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Search: Posts Made By: flocci_non_faccio
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15th Apr 2020, 08:01
Replies: 98
Views: 33,607
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

This sort of hysterical hand wringing really...

This sort of hysterical hand wringing really isn't helping anyone.

A family friend is an ITU nurse. He was telling us that their unit, with its newly requisitioned temporary third "pod" and...
15th Apr 2020, 05:34
Replies: 89
Views: 51,182
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

There are no circumstances under which an...

There are no circumstances under which an aircraft certified with a minimum flight crew of two can legally be flown by one.
14th Apr 2020, 07:04
Replies: 633
Views: 614,319
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

Do you really think that the French state only...

Do you really think that the French state only spends €1.4billion a year on healthcare?
5th Apr 2020, 12:41
Replies: 633
Views: 614,319
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

I've been pretty consistent in my assertion that...

I've been pretty consistent in my assertion that the industry will contract by a hell of a lot more than 10-20%. That doesn't change my belief that TUI UK and Jet2 (the corporate entities) will come...
5th Apr 2020, 08:36
Replies: 211
Views: 190,318
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

People will still go on holiday. Brits always...

People will still go on holiday. Brits always find the money to get away in the summer. It absolutely will be seen as a priority, as soon as restrictions are lifted. There's also going to be a huge...
Replies: 200
Views: 97,842
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

I'm basing them on observation and common sense....

I'm basing them on observation and common sense. I actually think that my numbers are still massively optimistic. I'd be very surprised if more than half of currently employed pilots in the UK keep...
Replies: 200
Views: 97,842
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

Anyone who thinks it's a hysterical reaction has...

Anyone who thinks it's a hysterical reaction has their head firmly in the sand.
easyJet are talking about shrinking by a third: that is 1000+ pilots gone straight away. BA I'd expect to do the same:...
Replies: 200
Views: 97,842
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

There will be no jobs for ANY pilots, let alone...

There will be no jobs for ANY pilots, let alone cadets, for the next decade at least. It is beyond belief that people are still even considering training now.

Conservatively, there will shortly be...
30th Mar 2020, 08:19
Replies: 208
Views: 154,311
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

Exactly the above. If you're not already...

Exactly the above. If you're not already qualified (and current, to use an aviation term) in another profession or trade, it is simply fanciful to suggest that you're going to find a job paying even...
29th Mar 2020, 22:20
Replies: 25
Views: 20,409
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

I think that the overwhelming sense is that...

I think that the overwhelming sense is that people can’t wait to book a holiday as soon as travel is permitted.
29th Mar 2020, 17:38
Replies: 211
Views: 190,318
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

A lot of working people didn’t really have the...

A lot of working people didn’t really have the money to travel before this crisis but still found a way to! The two week summer holiday is ingrained in the British psyche and I think that is going to...
29th Mar 2020, 17:16
Replies: 211
Views: 190,318
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

I actually tend to think that if any company is...

I actually tend to think that if any company is going to come out of this well it'll be Jet2. People will be going on their two week summer holiday when this is over, whether it be this year or next....
28th Mar 2020, 05:09
Replies: 208
Views: 154,311
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

It’s clearly not going to take 18 months for...

It’s clearly not going to take 18 months for international travel to start again. It will be up and running within a couple of months. The issue is the volume of travel, which isn’t going to be...
27th Mar 2020, 19:22
Replies: 208
Views: 154,311
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

Absolutely agree. A large number of pilots,...

Absolutely agree. A large number of pilots, myself included, are going to be forced into taking any job going just to pay the bills. It is unlikely that many will have the time or money to commit to...
27th Mar 2020, 18:31
Replies: 208
Views: 154,311
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

I don't think anybody is saying none of us will...

I don't think anybody is saying none of us will ever fly again. Unfortunately though, many pilots ARE going to lose their jobs, and a very sizeable proportion will never fly again. I don't see any...
27th Mar 2020, 18:03
Replies: 208
Views: 154,311
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

I think this will prove to be absolutely spot on....

I think this will prove to be absolutely spot on. Many of us have done our last ever flights in the past week or so.
There are lots of heads in the sand.
26th Mar 2020, 12:40
Replies: 103
Views: 46,878
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

If the industry shrinks?! Some people really...

If the industry shrinks?!

Some people really need to get their head out of the sand.
26th Mar 2020, 12:31
Replies: 103
Views: 46,878
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

What exactly is unbelievable? Take easyJet for...

What exactly is unbelievable? Take easyJet for example: they have a relatively young pilot workforce, with no real retirement bubble imminent. There is no reason to suggest that attrition will be...
26th Mar 2020, 10:48
Replies: 167
Views: 85,669
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

I'm about as pessimistic as it gets, but even for...

I'm about as pessimistic as it gets, but even for me your posts just seem like hysterical nonsense. There's no doubt aviation is going to suffer, the industry will contract. However, people will...
26th Mar 2020, 06:13
Replies: 167
Views: 85,669
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

Sunak is merely engaging in political posturing....

Sunak is merely engaging in political posturing. Every other country in Europe is going to support its airlines. The UK is not going to be the odd one out.
25th Mar 2020, 09:36
Replies: 167
Views: 85,669
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

I personally just can’t see that. I think the...

I personally just can’t see that. I think the aviation industry is going to come out of this smaller than it went in, but there is still going to be the usual demand for bucket and spade, package...
23rd Mar 2020, 16:07
Replies: 33
Views: 16,561
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

You don’t have any idea either. Nobody really...

You don’t have any idea either. Nobody really knows. However, I’d say it’s a safe bet that there will still be an aviation industry. It’ll just look very different to the one that existed a month...
23rd Mar 2020, 12:02
Replies: 605
Views: 554,951
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

Politically it's very difficult for the...

Politically it's very difficult for the government to say "Sorry, nothing we can do. Good luck if you catch it."

Quite understandably, nobody wants to make that call, so we're in a situation...
23rd Mar 2020, 09:38
Replies: 103
Views: 46,878
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

It will not go on for 12-18 months. That may well...

It will not go on for 12-18 months. That may well solve the virus issue, but it would be at the cost of destroying the entire social order. There would be rioting, looting etc. At some point the...
23rd Mar 2020, 08:20
Replies: 633
Views: 614,319
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

I do tend to think that as and when restrictions...

I do tend to think that as and when restrictions are lifted, in the UK at least people will still want to go on holiday. It may well be though that travel habits go back to the old fashioned two...
23rd Mar 2020, 08:09
Replies: 2,003
Views: 1,460,454
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

Massively optimistic. I can't see any realistic...

Massively optimistic. I can't see any realistic prospect of any recruitment for the next decade.
22nd Mar 2020, 10:22
Replies: 248
Views: 115,849
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

I'd be surprised to see easyJet hiring any pilots...

I'd be surprised to see easyJet hiring any pilots for a very, very long time. It seems almost certain that the fleet will be significantly shrunk and the pilot workforce is fairly young. It's hard to...
21st Mar 2020, 16:35
Replies: 633
Views: 614,319
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

If any lockdowns go on for longer than the 12...

If any lockdowns go on for longer than the 12 weeks that's been mooted, talk of which airlines (or businesses of any type for that matter) will survive is irrelevant. We will see civil disobedience...
13th Mar 2020, 22:32
Replies: 153
Views: 171,053
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

I think that's a racing certainty.

I think that's a racing certainty.
13th Mar 2020, 08:58
Replies: 103
Views: 46,878
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

It's incredibly optimistic to think that this is...

It's incredibly optimistic to think that this is "the next 9/11". The impact on aviation is far, far worse than that, and it's only going to get much, much worse.

Without government intervention,...
11th Mar 2020, 07:01
Replies: 12
Views: 4,949
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

I don’t really care one way or another about the...

I don’t really care one way or another about the MPL. To be honest, if you gave me a low houred MPL cadet, a low houred ‘traditional’ integrated cadet with a CPL/IR, and a low houred modular cadet on...
9th Mar 2020, 09:35
Replies: 60
Views: 29,765
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

Expecting any recruitment by 2022 seems...

Expecting any recruitment by 2022 seems incredibly optimistic to me.

Even as a captain in (supposedly) one of the most secure airlines in the UK, I think the chances are no better than 50/50 that...
8th Mar 2020, 09:15
Replies: 2,907
Views: 639,001
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

I personally think that TUI is more exposed in...

I personally think that TUI is more exposed in this situation than Jet2, but neither of them are in any sort of imminent danger. This is clearly going to turn out to be a shocking year for airlines...
7th Mar 2020, 12:11
Replies: 103
Views: 46,878
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

The music has well and truly stopped. Anybody...

The music has well and truly stopped. Anybody thinking of training now is quite frankly certifiable unless money is no object and they don't need a job at the end of it.

There are going to be mass...
Forum: Tech Log
6th Mar 2020, 05:45
Replies: 38
Views: 16,128
Posted By flocci_non_faccio

In the commercial world, we don't routinely carry...

In the commercial world, we don't routinely carry additional fuel "just in case". It is entirely possible to have planned a flight perfectly adequately from a fuel point of view, arrive at your...
Showing results 1 to 35 of 44
 


 
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