Is Ukraine about to have a war?
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Interesting message coming out of Belarus

This is incorrect. Government hands out a statement of current security situation to the parliament (this is estimated mid April). The parliament then handles the issue and sends its recommendations back to the government. Then, based on this process, the government makes a recommendation to join or not to the president of Finland who makes the decision of sending/not sending the request to join NATO.

It would be interesting to see (Nutty?) more information on what Russia is having to do to reinforce Ukraine by withdrawing assets from other disputed borders. A few weeks ago there was a post from a asian blogger indicating Russian naval vessels with moving out to support the Ukraine conflict. https://jbpress.ismedia.jp/articles/-/69335
If the desire to defeat Ukraine led to a net loss in territory that might yet wipe that smirk off Putin's face. A few weeks ago I saw a youtube lecture from the Oxford Union suggesting that ultimately this conflict will lead to Russia becoming a (resource supplying) satelite of China.
If the desire to defeat Ukraine led to a net loss in territory that might yet wipe that smirk off Putin's face. A few weeks ago I saw a youtube lecture from the Oxford Union suggesting that ultimately this conflict will lead to Russia becoming a (resource supplying) satelite of China.

In response to the video whereby they shot a Russian Vechicle with that sort of laptop that had the square sight with a + in the middle of it.
This video shows the whole system
This video shows the whole system

"A few weeks ago I saw a youtube lecture from the Oxford Union suggesting that ultimately this conflict will lead to Russia becoming a (resource supplying) satellite of China."
Before the start of the War the Economist pointe doubt that Russia would become increasingly reliant on China - and they would be the minor partner - which doesn't fit well with Putin's world view....... eventually Xi wil be pulling the strings
Before the start of the War the Economist pointe doubt that Russia would become increasingly reliant on China - and they would be the minor partner - which doesn't fit well with Putin's world view....... eventually Xi wil be pulling the strings

With respect, this is not a "local problem" and the error in thinking that it could be kept as such, belongs to the lunatic in the Kremlin. The time for crisis management is over when the world is being threatened with Nukes.
At this stage no one is going to capitulate or negotiate in good faith therefore trust does not exist and things must be taken at first value. If the lids are going to open make sure that yours are the first.
IG
At this stage no one is going to capitulate or negotiate in good faith therefore trust does not exist and things must be taken at first value. If the lids are going to open make sure that yours are the first.
IG

You are astonishingly bellicose - thank goodness not in a position of power. Contrary to your opinion this is stiil a local problem, but obviously with the potential to become a lot worse, which your options would guarantee. I think the current actions are mostly right as they are hurting Russia badly, but don't give Putin any real excuse to expand his war. The next steps are banning Russian oil and gas imports, but given the price rises hitting all populations for all goods, it's not certain that politicians - particularly in Germany - are willing to take that step.

It will happen anyway. If Germany is not cutting it Russia will cut it more sooner than later. Time to move on to energy not coming from Russia.
Will it hit the economy? Yes very much. But Russia will be hit even worse.
Will it hit the economy? Yes very much. But Russia will be hit even worse.

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Reports that possibly an S-125 shot down the SU 35, see
https://eurasiantimes.com/after-usaf...y-shoots-down/
https://eurasiantimes.com/after-usaf...y-shoots-down/
Recently, a Russian Sukhoi Su-35 which is the most powerful jet in the Russian inventory was shot down by Ukrainian missiles while it was conducting SEAD operations. This was the first-ever loss of the Su-35E Flanker that entered combat service in 2016 and is believed to be the best dogfighter in the Russian Air Force.
Experts confirmed that the Russian Su-35 aircraft was flying to eliminate an air defense system based on the remains found on the battlefield. The Russian Kh-31 anti-radiation missile was clearly visible in the footage.
Now, social media is abuzz with reports that the system responsible for causing this massive casualty on the Russian Air Force was none other than the Soviet-origin S-125 air defense system, which is remembered for its assault against American fighter jets, decades ago. The EurAsian Times has not been able to verify this independently.
Experts confirmed that the Russian Su-35 aircraft was flying to eliminate an air defense system based on the remains found on the battlefield. The Russian Kh-31 anti-radiation missile was clearly visible in the footage.
Now, social media is abuzz with reports that the system responsible for causing this massive casualty on the Russian Air Force was none other than the Soviet-origin S-125 air defense system, which is remembered for its assault against American fighter jets, decades ago. The EurAsian Times has not been able to verify this independently.

I would have thought that would include all the permanent 5 members of the Security Council and a fair few of the rest. As to the majority decision, be careful what you wish for.

Russia has been careful to keep all its contractual obligations and Germany has been careful to try to do likewise. I've seen no evidence that Russia wants to cut off Europe's gas lines, but they do want to get paid as well.


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Poland purchases 250 Abrams

.......The parliament then handles the issue and sends its recommendations back to the government. Then, based on this process, the government makes a recommendation to join or not to the president of Finland who makes the decision of sending/not sending the request to join NATO.

Why do people keep going on and on about the UN, as if it has any relevance or influence in this conflict? The votes are only useful to determine which states support Russia - helpful when it comes to investment decisions, where to holiday etc.

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Previous BBC interview

The reason for the process is that the president is the highest authority in foreign policy, and joining or not joining a military alliance is a very strong foreign policy statement. Therefore his name needs to be in the application.
But the decision to apply for the membership needs to come from the parliament, namely the majority of parliament needs to support the membership. Then it goes to the government which then presents it to the president, which makes decisions in co-operation with the government.
Parliamentary democracy at its finest.

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Janes Analysis of the war
https://www.janes.com/defence-news/n...ukraine-crisis
01 April 2022
Janes Analysis: Ukraine Conflict
Janes delivers persistent monitoring of Russian troop and equipment sightings that connects the unit from the ORBAT, location, source data, exercise and mission (where relevant known), equipment with associated numbers, vessel ID, tail numbers, ground vehicle markings and estimated sighting date. Below are a series of recent analysis pieces focusing on Russian troop movements on the border with Ukraine, that leverage the data collected, structured, verified and interconnected by Janes to enable a more detailed assessment of Russian military force movements and capabilities.
