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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

Old 5th Dec 2022, 16:50
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U.S. Altered Himars Rocket Launchers to Keep Ukraine From Firing Missiles Into Russia

Experts debate whether long-range missiles for Ukraine would deter Putin or widen war

​​​​​​​https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-alt...d=hp_lead_pos5
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Old 5th Dec 2022, 16:51
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Remember Forgotten fact that also 8 Tu-160, 3 TU-95, 575 Х-55, 124 train cars went to Russia from Ukraine in 1994 as part of Denuclearization Agreement.

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Old 5th Dec 2022, 16:55
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about 100 missiles at Ukraine, using these very same bombers. Ukraine has transferred to Russia 11 strategic bombers (Tu-160 and Tu-95) and hundreds of cruise missiles. Russia has integrated them into 37th Strategic Air Force Army, based in #Engels.


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Old 5th Dec 2022, 17:18
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With the other attack stating a tanker was hit and everyone assumes a fuel truck, I do wonder if it has been misinterpreted as a fuel truck in some of the posts, the reason I mention it is..

In addition to #Engels2, #Ukrainian Armed Forces also targeted #Ryazan Air Base where several Tu-22M2 & Tu-95MS Heavy Bombers of #Russian Air & Space Force are always on deployment. It is also home of Il-78\M tankers of 203rd Guards Independent Air Refueling Regiment.
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Old 5th Dec 2022, 17:36
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A new but covert wave of mobilisation will begin in Russia in January 2023, according to multiple sources who have spoken to the 'We can explain' Telegram channel. It will reportedly include raids on places of residence to round up men for the army.…

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...383335424.html
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Old 5th Dec 2022, 17:39
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Old 5th Dec 2022, 18:23
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Originally Posted by ORAC
A new but covert wave of mobilisation will begin in Russia in January 2023, according to multiple sources who have spoken to the 'We can explain' Telegram channel. It will reportedly include raids on places of residence to round up men for the army.…

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...383335424.html
QUOTE Well, under such circumstances "covert" can only mean not officially announced in the newspapers or on TV
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Old 5th Dec 2022, 18:23
  #12328 (permalink)  
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With the other attack stating a tanker was hit and everyone assumes a fuel truck, I do wonder if it has been misinterpreted as a fuel truck in some of the posts
Presumably Russian Dyagilevo military air base near Ryazan, a tanker truck and a damaged Tu-22M3….




​​​​​​​https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1...PVc81YG_NUDPQw
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Old 5th Dec 2022, 18:32
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Worth pointing out that those Ukraine Bombers being chopped up was paid for by the US and executed under contract by Raytheon.

Also rather than handing over everything as part of Start or as a consequence of Budapest memorandum, Ukraine actually sold 11 Blackjacks to Russia in 2001 or so to pay gas bills. As far as I see Russia failed to pay the full agreed amount in the end.

Other details of Ukraine giving up their ALCM fleet can be found here.

https://www.nti.org/wp-content/uploa...ine_bomber.pdf
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Old 5th Dec 2022, 18:35
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Another photo of the Russian Tu-22M3 bomber (RF-34110) damaged in today’s strike on Dyagilevo. It is armed with a Kh-22 missile under its wing.



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Old 5th Dec 2022, 19:22
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Defensenews: US plans to increase the production of 155mm artillery shells six fold. What caught my eye in the article is bolded underneath. This time the lend/lease goes against the Russkies... (but against the fascists, again. Take that, Putler).

“We are in a position to support Ukraine, but it’s more the mid and long term,” Bush said. “By creating this capacity ... if this war goes three or four years, we’ll be in a position to just vastly outproduce the Russians all by ourselves ― and if you combine that with our allies, then we’re just dwarfing their capability. They won’t be able to keep up.”

"Beyond artillery shells, Bush said he is pushing to double production for the the most in-demand precision munitions for Ukraine: rounds for the Lockheed Martin-made High Mobility Artillery Rocket System and Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System, as well as Javelins, the portable anti-tank weapon jointly made by Lockheed and Raytheon Technologies."

https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon...drains-stocks/
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Old 5th Dec 2022, 19:26
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I would say that’s a starter truck not a refuel truck.






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Old 5th Dec 2022, 20:18
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Originally Posted by Big Pistons Forever
Re WWW 3

Look at the shyte storm right after pieces of a Ukrainian anti air missal landed in Poland with 2 dead.
Pieces? Pieces of a missile don't leave a crater few meters wide and deep and don't flip a tractor with a trailer as if it was a toy.
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Old 5th Dec 2022, 21:15
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Estonia buys HIMARS, as eastern allies boost artillery arsenals

https://www.defensenews.com/global/e.../?utm_source=s
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Old 5th Dec 2022, 21:20
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The important thing is the attack itself, as it means Russia now has to honour the threat in future. With no HAS or revetments they’ll have to disperse their entire TU-95/22/160 fleets to FOB outside threat range - severely limiting their ability to launch further ALCM attacks.

​​​​​​​Russian military researcher explains that such a tight arrangement of strategic bombers at airbases is due to a lack of expenditure in this type of weaponry, and only a few airbases are ready to take them.
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Old 5th Dec 2022, 21:29
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Russian sources claim that it was a soviet era TU-141 drone that hit the Rjazan-Dyagilevo airbase.

I thought it was the tanker.




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Old 5th Dec 2022, 21:55
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Long thread and worth reading by Ukrainian ground troops on RuAF SU-34 crash site.


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Old 5th Dec 2022, 22:47
  #12338 (permalink)  
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Basic fact, Russia cannot out produce 27 co7ntries with GDPs far larger - and able to outbid them on the world market for weapons - or sanction those that seem willing to supply them..

https://www.defensenews.com/smr/reag...ordinary-rate/

Russia burning through ammunition in Ukraine at ‘extraordinary’ rate

https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon...drains-stocks/

Army plans ‘dramatic’ ammo production boost as Ukraine drains stocks

https://www.defensenews.com/global/e...rt-to-ukraine/

Nordic nations may pool their growing military support to Ukraine

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Old 5th Dec 2022, 23:32
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Pretty large missile:

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Old 6th Dec 2022, 00:32
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Originally Posted by Beamr
Russian sources claim that it was a soviet era TU-141 drone that hit the Rjazan-Dyagilevo airbase.

I thought it was the tanker.



https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1599838787059986432
That possibly makes sense, start with something you know and have that is proven technology with the range needed, you can then use one as a blueprint to mass produce them and improve on the design, new guidance, large payload and possibly the engine. A quicker scenario than starting from scratch.

https://twitter.com/search?q=Tu-141%...rc=typed_query
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