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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

Old 10th Oct 2022, 09:37
  #10321 (permalink)  
fdr
 
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Originally Posted by ORAC
This has major implications, I would suggest Poland and the Baltic states may well take some sort of action - closing their borders being the least.

BREAKING: Russia and Belarus agreed to deploy a joint "regional group of troops"
Yesterday Lukashenko claimed Ukraine was going to attack Belarus, so we can expect another maskirovska event at the hands of the FSB and Putin. That should be interesting, the Belarus citizens are around 85% fed up with Russia and Lukashenko. When he orders his troops forward, what direction will the troops advance? I would not bet against them going into Minsk and removing Lukashenko. Belarussians are in the war already, on the Ukraine side. Perhaps Lukashenko didn't get that memo?
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Old 10th Oct 2022, 09:45
  #10322 (permalink)  
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The power supply, via sub-sea cable from Sweden to the Danish island of Bornholm was ruptured this morning. Sabotage ? If so, guess by whom...
Timing is a bit suspicious of course but subsea cables, whether optical or HV or hybrids of
both do break on a regular basis around the world due to many causes
(subsea avalanches, ships dragging anchors etc..) so might be a bit premature
to jump to conclusions at this stage.
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Old 10th Oct 2022, 10:47
  #10323 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by TWT
Timing is a bit suspicious of course but subsea cables, whether optical or HV or hybrids of
both do break on a regular basis around the world due to many causes
(subsea avalanches, ships dragging anchors etc..) so might be a bit premature
to jump to conclusions at this stage.

The problem I can see is if the gas pipelines were ruptured with explosive, they could easily have been on a timer or remotely detonated, then why would you simply stop there knowing that once detected the security would be tightened up, surely if you were going to plant charges undetected you would also plant they on other systems at the same time, i.e internet cables power supplies etc. indeed they could have been prepared pre war for all we know.
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Old 10th Oct 2022, 10:48
  #10324 (permalink)  
 
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Russian missile hit German embassys visa office in Kiev.



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Old 10th Oct 2022, 10:54
  #10325 (permalink)  
 
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The power outage was caused by a local fault on the island, and power has been restored now, via the cable. No signs of sabotage. Sorry if having caused alarm.
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Old 10th Oct 2022, 11:12
  #10326 (permalink)  
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Local sources report that one of the Russian Navy's main warehouses has been set on fire.

Arsenal No. 6, is located near the village of Burmakino, Yaroslavl Oblast. This is one of the most important warehouses owned by the Ministry of Defense.

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Old 10th Oct 2022, 11:20
  #10327 (permalink)  
 
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Himar confirmed hits marked as skulls.

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Old 10th Oct 2022, 12:02
  #10328 (permalink)  
 
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Taking out a Russian cruise missile with an Igla

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Old 10th Oct 2022, 12:15
  #10329 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by fdr
Yesterday Lukashenko claimed Ukraine was going to attack Belarus, so we can expect another maskirovska event at the hands of the FSB and Putin. That should be interesting, the Belarus citizens are around 85% fed up with Russia and Lukashenko. When he orders his troops forward, what direction will the troops advance? I would not bet against them going into Minsk and removing Lukashenko. Belarussians are in the war already, on the Ukraine side. Perhaps Lukashenko didn't get that memo?
That's my take on it too, when the Belarusian military are presented with a bunch of conscripts a representation of what remains of the russian armies fighting force, that should give them the confidence to arrest lukashenko and end this madness, at least from the Belarus perspective. I suspect if any shots are fired from Belarus then that's all the excuse Poland will need.
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Old 10th Oct 2022, 12:57
  #10330 (permalink)  
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Good morning/afternoon/evening to you all. The Kerch Bridge has its now thread now. Please take further discussion on the bridge to that thread.
Thank you in advance
T28B
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Old 10th Oct 2022, 13:50
  #10331 (permalink)  
 
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Ukraine really needs more and better AA weapons. And fast.


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Old 10th Oct 2022, 14:16
  #10332 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Beamr
Ukraine really needs more and better AA weapons. And fast.
https://twitter.com/COUPSURE/status/1579465601231507457
If even slow Cruise Missiles are missing their target by the hundreds of Yards it is clear that the capability for any kind of precision strike is finally gone. One really does wonder: How is their idea to achieve any military success if you can't hit a power station the size of 20 Football fields?
One really wonders: GPS disturbed? GLONASS so bad? Run out of High- Tech components? Bad build quality? All of it?
It is just one video. Of just one event. And still it tells A LOT (besides targetting civillian/urban areas in general). When will they finally realise that they are destined up sh*t creek - without a paddle. What's the miracle they are waiting for?! The miracle for Ukraine is clear: More an better systems (IRIS-T) going to arrive (sadly not as quickly as one would love to).
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Old 10th Oct 2022, 14:19
  #10333 (permalink)  
 
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Now that's a near miss: "Russian missile strike misses a pedestrian bridge in Kyiv this morning" https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFoota...eb2x&context=3

Where traffic lights save your life: "A driver records another set of rocket attacks in Dnipro - 10/10/2022" https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFoota...eb2x&context=3


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Old 10th Oct 2022, 15:18
  #10334 (permalink)  
 
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When Kyiv is specifically requesting twitter users not to post images/videos which will identify precise time and place of missiles arriving , it is disappointing to see publicity eager posters doing exactly that. (Read history about how 3rd Reich were misled about V1 targeting).
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Old 10th Oct 2022, 15:32
  #10335 (permalink)  
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Brought back from the Kerch Bridge thread, because it’s nothing to do with the bridge….

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/ar...bridge/671693/

Putin’s Regime Faces the Fate of His Kerch Strait Bridge
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Old 10th Oct 2022, 15:39
  #10336 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by henra
The miracle for Ukraine is clear: More an better systems (IRIS-T) going to arrive (sadly not as quickly as one would love to).
Apparently miracles do happen. German media writes that Germany will speed up the IRIS-T deliveries, first one being in Ukraine in a few days. Announced by Christine Lambrecht.

However, this is just one system, more is urgently needed.

https://www.t-online.de/nachrichten/...-erhalten.html
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Old 10th Oct 2022, 15:54
  #10337 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Fitter2
When Kyiv is specifically requesting twitter users not to post images/videos which will identify precise time and place of missiles arriving , it is disappointing to see publicity eager posters doing exactly that. (Read history about how 3rd Reich were misled about V1 targeting).
Some of the footage I've seen originates from CCTV and not phones.
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Old 10th Oct 2022, 15:55
  #10338 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by jolihokistix
It is not yet made clear who is sabotaging whom; we are still kicking each other under the table.
Not so much kicking under the table, more like one diner is trying to stop another stealing his lunch and then the table.
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Old 10th Oct 2022, 15:57
  #10339 (permalink)  
 
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I bet this concentrates the mind, driving between mines!


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Old 10th Oct 2022, 16:01
  #10340 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Fitter2
When Kyiv is specifically requesting twitter users not to post images/videos which will identify precise time and place of missiles arriving , it is disappointing to see publicity eager posters doing exactly that. (Read history about how 3rd Reich were misled about V1 targeting).
Yes they need a lesson in Opsec and not unwittingly assisting their enemy. Recall the attack on the shopping mall in Kiev early on in the conflict after some dope Tweeted a pic with words to the effect of "Oo look at all those military vehicles parked in the basement". I suspect it may also have been the case in some of the early attacks on barracks housing elements of the international brigade.
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