Is Ukraine about to have a war?
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
This is a grim, but interesting read from @BrunoTertrais on near term future scenarios for Russia as a result of their invasion of #Ukraine. The Fall of Russia
https://www.institutmontaigne.org/en...is/fall-russia
https://www.institutmontaigne.org/en...is/fall-russia
This article is military, though it's not so much aviation.
https://www.economist.com/zaluzhny-transcript
An interview with General Valery Zaluzhny, head of Ukraine’s armed forces
https://www.economist.com/zaluzhny-transcript
An interview with General Valery Zaluzhny, head of Ukraine’s armed forces
Originally Posted by an excerpt near the end
I know that I can beat this enemy. But I need resources. I need 300 tanks, 600-700 ifvs, 500 Howitzers. Then, I think it is completely realistic to get to the lines of February 23rd.
But I can’t do it with two brigades.
I get what I get, but it is less than what I need.
TE: What do you make of Russia’s mobilisation?
VZ: Russian mobilisation has worked. It is not true that their problems are so dire that these people will not fight. They will. A tsar tells them to go to war, and they go to war.
I’ve studied the history of the two Chechen wars—it was the same.
They may not be that well equipped, but they still present a problem for us.
We estimate that they have a reserve of 1.2m-1.5m people… The Russians are preparing some 200,000 fresh troops. I have no doubt they will have another go at Kyiv.
But I can’t do it with two brigades.
I get what I get, but it is less than what I need.
TE: What do you make of Russia’s mobilisation?
VZ: Russian mobilisation has worked. It is not true that their problems are so dire that these people will not fight. They will. A tsar tells them to go to war, and they go to war.
I’ve studied the history of the two Chechen wars—it was the same.
They may not be that well equipped, but they still present a problem for us.
We estimate that they have a reserve of 1.2m-1.5m people… The Russians are preparing some 200,000 fresh troops. I have no doubt they will have another go at Kyiv.
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Russian soldier POV combat (Possibly PMC Wagner)
What's going on with the ammunition sparking - damp, well out of date, dirty weapon?
https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFoota...eb2x&context=3
What's going on with the ammunition sparking - damp, well out of date, dirty weapon?
https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFoota...eb2x&context=3
It's not occuring from all their weapons, which you'd expect if it was an ammunition issue (old ammunition/slower burning powder).
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
BREAKING: The US is considering expanding its support for the war in Ukraine, as Kyiv worries that Russia could make a new push to take the capital as soon as January, sources say - Politico
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/1...raine-00074153
https://www.politico.com/news/2022/1...raine-00074153
Russian soldier POV combat (Possibly PMC Wagner)
What's going on with the ammunition sparking - damp, well out of date, dirty weapon?
https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFoota...eb2x&context=3
What's going on with the ammunition sparking - damp, well out of date, dirty weapon?
https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFoota...eb2x&context=3
Potential assassination attempt on the Head of the Polish Police who recently visited Ukraine:
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This article is military, though it's not so much aviation.
https://www.economist.com/zaluzhny-transcript
An interview with General Valery Zaluzhny, head of Ukraine’s armed forces
https://www.economist.com/zaluzhny-transcript
An interview with General Valery Zaluzhny, head of Ukraine’s armed forces
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Only half a speed-brake
Potential assassination attempt on the Head of the Polish Police who recently visited Ukraine:
https://twitter.com/visegrad24/statu...r9624_0zflL3cg
https://twitter.com/visegrad24/statu...r9624_0zflL3cg
kiev attack 0.2
would be interesting to see if the poles will stand idilly by if this northward push from belerus again if the attack comes. seem a new kursk.
WITH the conclusion being kiev would hold. the news of this and time frame make sharpish plans are in play i would imagine.
Perhaps Russia is not as weak as has been portrayed. The way things are developing more recently I can only see the West having no choice but to become directly involved. I can't imagine that is what Putin wants but that is where we're headed.
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Apparently
This is how the RGW-90 grenade launcher looks like, which, according to unofficial information, accidentally fired at the Police Headquarters. The ceiling was damaged and the Police Commander-in-Chief, Jarosław Szymczyk, lost his hearing for several hours and was transported to the hospital..
Our Polish Cmdt Lassard was given a RGW-90 RPG trainer (shoots inert missiles) by his UA colleagues and was toying with it in his office in PL and shoot it in the ceiling. Alcohol probably involved at all stages (gifting, transport, playing)
The funniest thing is that at first they wanted explanations from the Ukrainians, whether it was their fault that the commander did not think, and fired the gun in a closed room. The fact is that there are a number of omissions here. Why did the commander get a grenade launcher, how did he get transported across the border
Last edited by NutLoose; 16th Dec 2022 at 12:02.
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I was hoping for one of those for Christmas myself.
We must have had quite a few explosions near where I live then. Had very similar scenes the past few days from local factories. I'm therefore doubtful that what we are seeing in that short clip is anything to do with the conflict.
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Uk possibly looking at providing Storm Shadow cruise missiles.
https://twitter.com/search?q=storm%2...rc=typed_query
https://twitter.com/search?q=storm%2...rc=typed_query
Uk possibly looking at providing Storm Shadow cruise missiles.
https://twitter.com/search?q=storm%2...rc=typed_query
https://twitter.com/search?q=storm%2...rc=typed_query
The head of the British Ministry of Defense Ben Wallace did not rule out the possibility of supplying Ukraine with Storm Shadow cruise missiles.
However, the final decision has not yet been made and will be made behind closed doors - Times radio
However, the final decision has not yet been made and will be made behind closed doors - Times radio
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Yes and I said possibly, the fact it is being talked about is interesting in itself, it would reach the bridge and Moscows power grid
I have a suspicion (yes, this is speculation) that some of those 'accidents' have had help in getting the holes in the cheese to line up.
Only half a speed-brake
Are there any relevant data what is the 'natural background' frequency for shopping mall and warehouse fires in RUS (to be compared against what media recently report)?
Last edited by FlightDetent; 17th Dec 2022 at 02:10.