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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

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Old 1st Jun 2022, 18:24
  #6021 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50
Brief comment on the American contribution of artillery/MLRS that's been bandied about in the news of late:
I doubt that ATACMS (which is an option for the MLRS launcher system) will be provided. That may be what people were talking abut in terms of the long range artillery/rockets/missiles not being sent. You can either put two ATACMS or 12 MLRS rockets on the same vehicle/system.
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Whether or not the GMLRS will be provided is interesting to speculate on.
Aviation content to this post: the A2C2 (Army Air Command and Control) and other coordination between aircraft and the artillery firing units is important given how high in the air the missiles fly. (And for that matter, how high indirect fire/howitzer rounds fly). It may seem to be a big sky / little airplane situation, but does one really want to be in that volume of airspace when these rounds are passing through? I'd say no.
On Op SHADER they used HIDACZs, partly because of the use of HIMARS. It made airspace coordination interesting for our pilots, especially because of the size of the area we used to operate in.

In this case, Ukraine will be using HIMARS in the east in LNR and DNR. Not much friendly aircraft in that area to worry about.

Last edited by Toadstool; 1st Jun 2022 at 18:41.
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Old 1st Jun 2022, 18:54
  #6022 (permalink)  
 
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Stuka ace Rudel used to say back then against the Russians if you flew above the fence level you were dead......
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Old 1st Jun 2022, 19:12
  #6023 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50
Brief comment on the American contribution of artillery/MLRS that's been bandied about in the news of late:
I doubt that ATACMS (which is an option for the MLRS launcher system) will be provided. That may be what people were talking abut in terms of the long range artillery/rockets/missiles not being sent. You can either put two ATACMS or 12 MLRS rockets on the same vehicle/system.
Spoiler
 

Whether or not the GMLRS will be provided is interesting to speculate on.
Aviation content to this post: the A2C2 (Army Air Command and Control) and other coordination between aircraft and the artillery firing units is important given how high in the air the missiles fly. (And for that matter, how high indirect fire/howitzer rounds fly). It may seem to be a big sky / little airplane situation, but does one really want to be in that volume of airspace when these rounds are passing through? I'd say no.
I saw an article that said the US only has stockpiles of ATACMS.
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Old 1st Jun 2022, 20:01
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Originally Posted by peter we
I saw an article that said the US only has stockpiles of ATACMS.
What, did we shoot all of our normal MLRS rockets? Peter, I do not understand that pithy remark. Can you offer a more detailed explanation?

I have a vague recollection about people getting all up in arms over the sub munitions that MLRS distributes over a battlefield (or can, depends on what is in the rocket), and I think that the Israelis came in for a lot of criticism for something similar to that back in the 00's when they had a scrap with Hezbollah, as regards sub munitions.
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Old 1st Jun 2022, 20:07
  #6025 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Toadstool
On Op SHADER they used HIDACZs, partly because of the use of HIMARS. It made airspace coordination interesting for our pilots, especially because of the size of the area we used to operate in.

In this case, Ukraine will be using HIMARS in the east in LNR and DNR. Not much friendly aircraft in that area to worry about.
In an odd coincidence to our little discussion here, the front page of R&N shows a slight air space volume problem with a Cathay Pacific flight and a Chinese Ballistic Missile launch being "too close for comfort" Story on the Daily Mail if the original link didn't work. Appears to have happened a few days ago.
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Old 1st Jun 2022, 20:08
  #6026 (permalink)  
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Both sides being put through the meat grinder.

See the UKR casualty rates - then remember that Russia is losing between. 3-6 soldiers for every one lost by UKR…

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Old 1st Jun 2022, 20:30
  #6027 (permalink)  
 
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MQ-1C Gray Eagle

EXCLUSIVE U.S. plans to sell armed drones to Ukraine in coming days -sources | Reuters
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Old 1st Jun 2022, 21:15
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Brave guy.


another Colonel bites the dust and this time it’s that annoying Chechen

https://nypost.com/2022/06/01/russia...rce=NYPTwitter

Last edited by NutLoose; 1st Jun 2022 at 21:29.
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Old 1st Jun 2022, 21:40
  #6029 (permalink)  
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Bloomberg: Hungary blocks EU's 6th package of sanctions against Russia.

Hungary asked for Patriarch Kirill, the head of Russia’s Orthodox Church who supports the war in Ukraine, to be removed from the next list of sanctioned individuals, Bloomberg reported.
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Old 1st Jun 2022, 22:03
  #6030 (permalink)  
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Old 1st Jun 2022, 22:13
  #6031 (permalink)  
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I’ll believe when I see the first ships safely depart through the Bosporus…

Lavrov: Putin, Erdogan tentatively agree on unblocking Ukrainian ports.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that the two leaders agreed during a phone call on May 30 that as soon as Turkey clears the Ukrainian ports of mines, cargo ships will be able to leave.
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Old 2nd Jun 2022, 02:38
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And why on earth will Ukraine wish to open the sea route into Odessa by demining it, that’s just opening itself up to attack. The only. way I could see that happening is if NATO put ships in to prevent Russian incursions.

I still cannot fathom the USA’s lend lease agreement, it’s like tying One of Ukraines Hans behind their back. By selling them restricted range rocket systems that will be vulnerable to Russian artillery strikes is pointless without allowing them air assets etc to defend them, all that does is drag out the war even longer and does not stop the pointless deaths of civilians, it’s like a drip fed death, and it still does not allow them to drop the Crimean bridge. It would in a way be like selling the U.K. lend lease shipping during WW2 that didn’t have the range to resupply the U.K.

The sooner they give them the equipment to finish the job, the sooner it will all end.

THE EU needs to get tough with Hungary and look at removing them from it.The EU has the means to punish them financially

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...rban-quicktake

Last edited by NutLoose; 2nd Jun 2022 at 02:51.
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Old 2nd Jun 2022, 02:51
  #6033 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by ORAC
Both sides being put through the meat grinder.

See the UKR casualty rates - then remember that Russia is losing between. 3-6 soldiers for every one lost by UKR…
This tremendous loss of life …. It’s no game is it. Freedom is dear.
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Old 2nd Jun 2022, 02:59
  #6034 (permalink)  

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Originally Posted by NutLoose
THE EU needs to get tough with Hungary and look at removing them from it.The EU has the means to punish them financially
​​​​​
I am afraid you don't really see the irony in this.
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Old 2nd Jun 2022, 03:43
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Ukraine could take out that Kerch Strait Bridge if they thought it necessary and really put their mind to it. Might involve Kamikaze pilots though.

Last edited by jolihokistix; 2nd Jun 2022 at 04:37.
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Old 2nd Jun 2022, 03:52
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Originally Posted by FlightDetent
I am afraid you don't really see the irony in this.

I do, have you seen the request for another 18 billion from the EU to cut off the oil supplies, it’s trying to blackmail the EU who should return the favour.

UK requesting to send US supplied rocket systems to Ukraine

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/0...raine-00036328
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Old 2nd Jun 2022, 04:33
  #6037 (permalink)  
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https://news.sky.com/story/us-milita...mmand-12625139

….Speaking in Tallinn, Estonia, the general, who is also director of the National Security Agency (NSA), told Sky News that he is concerned "every single day" about the risk of a Russian cyber attack targeting the US and said that the hunt forward activities were an effective way of protecting both America as well as allies.

General Nakasone confirmed for the first time that the US was conducting offensive hacking operations in support of Ukraine in response to the Russian invasion.

He told Sky News: "We've conducted a series of operations across the full spectrum; offensive, defensive, [and] information operations."

The four star general did not detail the activities, but explained how they were lawful, conducted with complete civilian oversight of the military and through policy decided at the Department of Defence.….
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Old 2nd Jun 2022, 06:13
  #6038 (permalink)  
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https://www.politico.com/news/2022/0...raine-00036328

UK seeks U.S. approval to send MLRS to Ukraine
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Old 2nd Jun 2022, 09:03
  #6039 (permalink)  
 
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^Here is Canadian Ukrainian Volunteer at his best.
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Old 2nd Jun 2022, 09:25
  #6040 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by downsizer
https://twitter.com/Nrg8000/status/1...VUIRLu9xUoBMGw

^Here is Canadian Ukrainian Volunteer at his best.
To be fair 'he' doesn't claim these to be his photos. Much debate as to whether he's for real or not. I have my doubts although he does seem to post some information ahead of the pack, as it were.
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