Is Ukraine about to have a war?
Mike
Last edited by sealo0; 4th Mar 2022 at 18:46. Reason: time


What the hell? Armor column near Pskov (close to Estonia and Latvia).


This helped me understand the financial stick that's being used and helped me understand that the SWIFT stuff is minor - the body blow is preventing central bank access to the US and Europe and freezing all the liquid assets. As much as one likes see things happening on the ground, it seems like this will deliver a more potent effect.
The level of financial preparation and the long time it has been underway suggest that some dustup has been expected for a long time. I wonder if Ukraine is really the end goal - I cannot help thinking that it isn't.
The level of financial preparation and the long time it has been underway suggest that some dustup has been expected for a long time. I wonder if Ukraine is really the end goal - I cannot help thinking that it isn't.

What the hell? Armor column near Pskov (close to Estonia and Latvia).
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1499758843022258176
https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1499758843022258176
A direct threat to NATO members, this is potential prelude to WWIII.
Is Putin trying to goad NATO into mobilization and a casus belli?

On ADS-B Exchange they appeared in Germany, disappeared over Romania, reappeared and eventually made it back whence they really came.
I assume the Russians were warned, it could have turned very wrong if two 52s heading east out of Germany were interpreted as probably hostile.


Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Hanging off the end of a thread
Posts: 30,873
Received 1,732 Likes
on
746 Posts
It could simply be reacting to the NATO build up in the Countries. Which would make sense.
The good thing that comes out of all this is having to shift troops to bolster their defences on the northern borders means they are unavailable to reinforce the army in the Ukraine.
https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_136388.htm
The good thing that comes out of all this is having to shift troops to bolster their defences on the northern borders means they are unavailable to reinforce the army in the Ukraine.
https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_136388.htm

I can't find the text to quote it, but someone earlier said they were surprised that only three senior officers had been killed so far, and I was wondering ...
... what makes you think it's only three?
... what makes you think it's only three?


Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Hanging off the end of a thread
Posts: 30,873
Received 1,732 Likes
on
746 Posts
Spanish national arrested in Poland accused of spying for Russia. He is said to be a Russian who is suspected of being a GRU member.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe...source=twitter
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe...source=twitter
WARSAW/NABARNIZ, Spain, March 4 (Reuters) - Poland has arrested a Spanish national on suspicion of conducting intelligence activities for Russia, which could carry a 10-year prison sentence if he is found guilty, the Internal Security Agency (ABW) said on Friday.
The man, identified as an agent of Russia's military intelligence agency (GRU), was detained in Przemysl - near Poland's border with Ukraine on Sunday night, ABW said in a statement. It said he was of Russian origin.
His Spanish lawyer named him as Pablo Gonzalez, a reporter for several Spanish media including online newspaper Publico and TV station La Sexta, and demanded his immediate release.
Both outlets have recognised Gonzalez as having worked with them.
Gonzalez's wife Oihana Goiriena told Reuters she had not heard from her husband since he called to tell her of his arrest on Monday.
The man, identified as an agent of Russia's military intelligence agency (GRU), was detained in Przemysl - near Poland's border with Ukraine on Sunday night, ABW said in a statement. It said he was of Russian origin.
His Spanish lawyer named him as Pablo Gonzalez, a reporter for several Spanish media including online newspaper Publico and TV station La Sexta, and demanded his immediate release.
Both outlets have recognised Gonzalez as having worked with them.
Gonzalez's wife Oihana Goiriena told Reuters she had not heard from her husband since he called to tell her of his arrest on Monday.

Here is a reasonably objective analysis of whether or not Putin would use a tactical nuclear weapon in this conflict.
https://www.newscientist.com/article...ns-in-ukraine/
And worth noting that the Pentagon have set up a direct line to their Russian counterparts to aid deconfliction - and avoid escalation.
https://www.newscientist.com/article...ns-in-ukraine/
And worth noting that the Pentagon have set up a direct line to their Russian counterparts to aid deconfliction - and avoid escalation.



I certainly welcome the news of the flow of military aid to the Ukrainian forces. Our hearts ache to help Ukraine more, but held back for fear uncontrollable escalation.

Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Temporarily missing from the Joe Louis Arena
Posts: 2,117
Received 19 Likes
on
12 Posts
Given the current rhetoric coming from Putin, I wouldn't be surprised if he is sat in his bunker in the Urals, with maps spread about him with the fruits of his increasingly dangerous delusions, imagined directions of a NATO breakout, drawn all over them.

When a bear is cornered, what is it capable of? When NATO is goaded hard enough, what is it capable of?
