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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

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Old 13th Nov 2022, 14:29
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According to this Russia has acquired a HIMARS missile to study in their top secret facility, my garage is better equipped than their lab…


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Old 13th Nov 2022, 15:18
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Modern and valuable 48Ya6-K1 “Podlet K1” low-altitude S-band surveillance radar was left behind by #Russian forces at Chornobaivka airport, Kherson.

Expected to be have been made unoperable but time will tell.







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Old 13th Nov 2022, 15:33
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More on the two helis, they will possibly be Christmas Tree’d

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Old 13th Nov 2022, 16:08
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It looks like the Russians are attempting to evacuate some from Nova Kakhovka while they hastily prepare defence’s, it has also been reported they have attacked Ukrainian vehicles in the area. Ukraine may be attempting to take it, shelling has been going on, this would give Ukraine control of the eastern end of the Dam and Crimea’s water supply.

https://www.scmp.com/news/world/russ...itter#Echobox=1668289603




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Old 13th Nov 2022, 17:51
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Yesrerdays news on UAF offensive on west bank of Dnipr along Kinburn peninsula is evolving, Russian sources claim Ukrainians have captured the village of Herois’ke.

As Nutloose posted earlier the russkies had fortified the shores but apparently Ukrainians are taking advantage of open flanks from the peninsula direction.
waiting for confirmations but this should be good, showing Ukrainians are capable of ambhibious warfare in which russkies haven't quite succeeded (remembering their poor performance in crossing rivers earlier).


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Old 13th Nov 2022, 18:33
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I see a future of outflanking and encirclement by UKR. The RU just know head-on assaults., without much battlefield agility.
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Old 13th Nov 2022, 21:31
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I wonder if this is Ukraines way of hinting at the peninsula assault, and their capabilities.


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Old 13th Nov 2022, 21:34
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She has finally woken up to the fact their capabilities are sh*t and Ukraine has the resources of the free world behind them.

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Old 13th Nov 2022, 21:39
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A Russian Prisoner recruited as a mercenary and shipped to Ukraine as cannon fodder eventually captured as a POW and released in a POW exchange returned to Russia and is then executed with a Sledge Hammer.

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Old 13th Nov 2022, 21:44
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Originally Posted by ORAC
Modern and valuable 48Ya6-K1 “Podlet K1” low-altitude S-band surveillance radar was left behind by #Russian forces at Chornobaivka airport, Kherson.
Expected to be have been made unoperable but time will tell.
And some, defiantly made inoperable.

Last edited by T28B; 14th Nov 2022 at 12:03. Reason: no need to repeat the pictures shown previously
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Old 13th Nov 2022, 22:09
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
A Russian Prisoner recruited as a mercenary and shipped to Ukraine as cannon fodder eventually captured as a POW and released in a POW exchange returned to Russia and is then executed with a Sledge Hammer.
https://twitter.com/yarotrof/status/...DQsZXAtpcsAAAA
That should have an interesting effect on recruitment and on prisoners wanting to be returned to the loving arms of dear mother Russia.
Now, who uses the term "satan"? Wagner needs to be classified as a Terrorist Organisation, even if only the girls of the Scandinavian, Baltic and Italy have the guts to do so.
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Old 13th Nov 2022, 22:42
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The reality here is that the West is saying that they don’t wish to step up military production to any great extent because of the cost. Meanwhile, the Russians are beginning to mobilise their industry……

Like it or not, this war is now a battle of industrial systems - like previous large wars. The post Cold War ‘small, exquisite, periodic and expensive’ approach to weapons procurement in the West is over. We just haven’t fully realized that yet.…

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...358390272.html

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Old 13th Nov 2022, 22:43
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Originally Posted by fdr
That should have an interesting effect on recruitment and on prisoners wanting to be returned to the loving arms of dear mother Russia.
Now, who uses the term "satan"? Wagner needs to be classified as a Terrorist Organisation, even if only the girls of the Scandinavian, Baltic and Italy have the guts to do so.
Apparently he volunteered for the exchange as Wagner were threatening to kill his family back in Russia.
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Old 13th Nov 2022, 22:44
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Originally Posted by ORAC
The reality here is that the West is saying that they don’t wish to step up military production to any great extent because of the cost. Meanwhile, the Russians are beginning to mobilise their industry……

Like it or not, this war is now a battle of industrial systems - like previous large wars. The post Cold War ‘small, exquisite, periodic and expensive’ approach to weapons procurement in the West is over. We just haven’t fully realized that yet.…

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...358390272.html

Meanwhile Rishi plans to cut the UK defence budget.
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Old 13th Nov 2022, 22:44
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This is interesting and makes some sense to me or am I reading it wrong?

I do wonder if this is the trap everyone was worried about, Russia was never going to be able to realistically hold the far bank in any numbers as they would be subjected to accurate artillery and HIMARS strikes, so pulling back a large part of their forces to cities to preserve them makes sense.
Ukraines problem now is with Russia withdrawn across the Dnipro and having destroyed most of the crossing points, if Ukraine crosses in force to liberate cities and cut off the main supply route, they will themselves be subjected to the same issues Russia had, ie an in ability to supply the front line due to limitations of getting supplies, munitions and replacement across the river.



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Old 13th Nov 2022, 23:43
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
According to this Russia has acquired a HIMARS missile to study in their top secret facility, my garage is better equipped than their lab…

https://twitter.com/MsOksanna/status...CjzZPJhpUsAAAA
DreamWorks have already signed the film rights




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Old 14th Nov 2022, 00:09
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
This is interesting and makes some sense to me or am I reading it wrong?

I do wonder if this is the trap everyone was worried about, Russia was never going to be able to realistically hold the far bank in any numbers as they would be subjected to accurate artillery and HIMARS strikes, so pulling back a large part of their forces to cities to preserve them makes sense.
Ukraines problem now is with Russia withdrawn across the Dnipro and having destroyed most of the crossing points, if Ukraine crosses in force to liberate cities and cut off the main supply route, they will themselves be subjected to the same issues Russia had, ie an in ability to supply the front line due to limitations of getting supplies, munitions and replacement across the river.





https://twitter.com/Conquerors1011/s...36023558168576
Depenfs on the timing and place of the crossing surely, and the size of the bridgehead and the rate of advance. For example, a crossing in winter when the rive freezes would give many more possibilities of crossing. Cross higher or lower and outflank the Russian defences. A rapid advance on a relatively narrow front could cut the Russian supply lines forcing them to rely on re supply through Crimea. The world is the Ukrainian’s mollusc if they can maintain the initiative and rely on manoeuvre.
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Old 14th Nov 2022, 04:32
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Ukrainian sources are saying they have taken control of a Geroiskoe and russian sources are reporting heavy gunfire around Hola Prystan (night when typing so only have the sound to go on), both on east side of Dnipro
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Old 14th Nov 2022, 06:15
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Originally Posted by rattman
Ukrainian sources are saying they have taken control of a Geroiskoe and russian sources are reporting heavy gunfire around Hola Prystan (night when typing so only have the sound to go on), both on east side of Dnipro
To fit this into the situation, Geroiskoe (in Ukrainian Herois'ke) is in the Kinburn peninsula. Hola Prustan is on the Dnipr delta, distance in between these villages is roughly 50km demanding the Russkies to react on a threat from left flank. There goes the Russian natural defence line of Dniepr...
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Old 14th Nov 2022, 06:35
  #11580 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by Beamr
To fit this into the situation, Geroiskoe (in Ukrainian Herois'ke) is in the Kinburn peninsula. Hola Prustan is on the Dnipr delta, distance in between these villages is roughly 50km demanding the Russkies to react on a threat from left flank. There goes the Russian natural defence line of Dniepr...

The good news though is that the RuZZians have excellent defensive lines available at low risk, around Rostov. They actually speak the same language there, like the same god king master strategist, and could do with the economic boost of having the RuZZian forces buying hamburgers there instead of being turned into hamburger.
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