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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

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Old 27th Sep 2022, 21:30
  #9841 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by WB627
Russia is now reduced to the WW2 playbook. Attempting to defeat the technologically superior, militarily competent, but numerically inferior opposing forces with overwhelming waves of cannon fodder. That worked, barely, when Russian soldiers were defending mother Russia. Those soldiers were almost entirely tough farm boys used to hardship and privation and totally insulated from any news.

I don't think this strategy has much of a chance with an "army" of young men, many of whom are social media savvy and used to a comfortable city life, fighting a war they could not care less about. Putin had better be afraid of the mothers of the Russian soldiers returned in body bags after having their life thrown away on his vanity project.
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Old 27th Sep 2022, 21:30
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Morale…..


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Old 27th Sep 2022, 21:34
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More mud

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Old 28th Sep 2022, 00:09
  #9844 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by jolihokistix
Neither Crimea nor Russia have been ‘officially’ attacked. We need to be clear on this. Ukraine has been scrupulous in this regard.

The reason for various fires and explosions has been kept deliberately vague, as to whether it was local resistance, infiltration teams, things launched and falling from improvised/improvised Ukrainian weapons systems, or carelessness with vodka, matches and cigaret/cigarette butts. Conditions do apply.
Yes they have, they admitted responsibility for the attacks.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-62821044

https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/ukra...crimea-3325272
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Old 28th Sep 2022, 01:08
  #9845 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by Big Pistons Forever
Russia is now reduced to the WW2 playbook. Attempting to defeat the technologically superior, militarily competent, but numerically inferior opposing forces with overwhelming waves of cannon fodder. That worked, barely, when Russian soldiers were defending mother Russia. Those soldiers were almost entirely tough farm boys used to hardship and privation and totally insulated from any news.

I don't think this strategy has much of a chance with an "army" of young men, many of whom are social media savvy and used to a comfortable city life, fighting a war they could not care less about. Putin had better be afraid of the mothers of the Russian soldiers returned in body bags after having their life thrown away on his vanity project.
With Barbarossa, Russia was defensive, and survived long enough to stretch the corporals logistics tail. Thereafter, they built up force capability to allow an effective counter offensive. The supply given to Uncle Joe was quite impressive. Today, Russia is a pariah, when China and North Korea think your plan is a problem, may be a time for a change of management.

Russia's logistics are horrible, and Ukraine has the assistance coming to keep it that way.

Mass waves of conscript POWs seems like an odd plan. But well done, red team.
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Old 28th Sep 2022, 06:13
  #9846 (permalink)  
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“Don’t tell me you cant’, I can’t either…I survive on pills and blockers.”

Interesting approach to ‘inspiring’ mobilized troops from a Russian commander. This technique, also known as the ‘we’re all gonna die’ #leadership model, has generally been omitted from western doctrine.
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Old 28th Sep 2022, 06:31
  #9847 (permalink)  
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Mobilised troops…

”What did you do in the war grandpa?”


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Old 28th Sep 2022, 07:01
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Originally Posted by ORAC
Mobilised troops…

”What did you do in the war grandpa?”
Is that CCS training at RAF High Wycombe?
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Old 28th Sep 2022, 07:09
  #9849 (permalink)  
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Going for the record. It will be hard to beat…

From mobilization to captivity in 3 days
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Old 28th Sep 2022, 11:30
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A frank look at the mobilised and well worth watching

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Old 28th Sep 2022, 11:53
  #9851 (permalink)  
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Quality of the units turning up at the front - and these are the ones with some training - those mobilised haven’t arrived in numbers yet….

Pro-Russian Vostok battalion commander Aleksandr Khodakovsky tells about the dire situation with mobiks who do crazy stuff like driving into enemy positions and placing ammo in the open; blames generals for not establishing proper teamwork.

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Old 28th Sep 2022, 12:05
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This does not make sense, it shows a British soldier in Ukraine dragging / recovering the body of a dead American to safety... Who is filming it??

https://nexth.city/ukrainewar/dramat...russian-ambush
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Old 28th Sep 2022, 12:08
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
This does not make sense, it shows a British soldier in Ukraine dragging / recovering the body of a dead American to safety... Who is filming it??
That Nexth is utter garbage by default. It is a propaganda site. might as well not read it at all.
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Old 28th Sep 2022, 12:15
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
This does not make sense, it shows a British soldier in Ukraine dragging / recovering the body of a dead American to safety... Who is filming it??



https://nexth.city/ukrainewar/dramat...russian-ambush
Russians in fancy dress.
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Old 28th Sep 2022, 12:28
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Originally Posted by Winemaker
To have an EMP effect the explosion has to take place in the upper atmosphere. The effect wasn't discovered until an American high altitude burst 'Starfish Prime' took place, knocking out some power in Hawaii, 900 miles from the detonation center. The altitude of the shot was about 250 miles. A tactical low altitude burst wouldn't cause a major EMP event. It certainly would cause other effects.....
This video discusses Putin's EMP option from about the 20:20 minute mark - for example a high altitude burst over Brussels would take out components of the electrical grid and critical infrastructure from Poland to Ireland.

He also mentions that the Euro grid is not EMP hardened, whereas the Russian grid has been hardened. The US is supposedly looking at hardening their own grid.

The Mitchell Institute's Nuclear Deterrence and Missile Defense Forum hosts Dr. Peter Pry, Executive Director of Task Force on National and Homeland Security for a discussion on evolving events in Ukraine, the performance of the Russian military, NATO, U.S. responses, and implications for the future.

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Old 28th Sep 2022, 12:48
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It all continues to get worse. The conscripts are arriving with nothing to nothing, no support at all, no-one knows what to do, They will all starve and freeze to death within a month.
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Old 28th Sep 2022, 13:28
  #9857 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by Xeptu
It all continues to get worse. The conscripts are arriving with nothing to nothing, no support at all, no-one knows what to do, They will all starve and freeze to death within a month.
They can place their underwear on their helmets, hold it up on a stick and hope the Ukranians are not related to people in Izium, Bucha, Mariuopol etc.

Probably worth removing them early for hygiene.
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Old 28th Sep 2022, 14:20
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A hit YPR765 appears to carry on burning possibly to give the rest of the column a protective smokescreen. If true that takes balls.

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Old 28th Sep 2022, 15:39
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Does anyone have anything further on the affect of sanctions on the opertional capability of the likes of Aeroflot with their fleets of A320 etc?

Its been a while now and Flight Radar shows plenty of Aeroflot operated flights still. Or are these simply carrying large number of deficiences?
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Old 28th Sep 2022, 15:42
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Some Aviation Content from pasta and ORAC, originally posted at JB. This was related to "How does one know what caused the pipeline damage to Nordstreams?".
Originally Posted by pasta
There are a few states that are likely to have that capability, but I'd be amazed if Ukraine was one of them; even if it did, how would it get the appropriate asset all the way to the Baltic undetected? I saw some twitter posts suggesting the US had ASW assets in the area; I'm guessing they know exactly who's responsible.
While they may have gotten some evidence pointing in a given direction, shallow water ASW is a bit tricky.
Originally Posted by ORAC
Too deep for scuba, no dive support vessels for deep divers in the area. Too shallow for submarines. Which leaves UUVs. The only navy in the area which possesses UUV with the capability, and practices it, is Russia. The USA and others do, but they don’t have the assets in the Baltic. The USN had ASW helicopters searching the area a couple of days ago so presumably had detected something - I doubt they were attracting attention to any of their own assets.
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