Is Ukraine about to have a war?
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Hanging off the end of a thread
Posts: 33,035
Received 2,902 Likes
on
1,243 Posts
Well Australia, your Bushmaster works..
I agree with what is said in the description, double fencing does looks awfully like a secure weapons area. hence the bomb dumps not hit?? though it is next to a residential area, so probably why they left it untouched.
Better airfield views more on link
That magazine has two fences and watch towers. That seems very nukey to me.
Better airfield views more on link
Last edited by NutLoose; 11th Aug 2022 at 10:27.
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Hanging off the end of a thread
Posts: 33,035
Received 2,902 Likes
on
1,243 Posts
Back at the dam
Rail Bridge
new pic, old damage
Rail Bridge
Last edited by NutLoose; 11th Aug 2022 at 10:26.
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
The only clear(ish) pics I have seen are of the aircraft dispersal and flight line. Missile hits, GPS guided, multiple LoA, reasonable mensuration, slight AMPI shift (minor plan error, almost no height error), impact fused, known effects, no evidence of bulk ordnance at dispersal (beyond ready-use / aircraft armed) and no reliance on secondaries. All in my opinion, of course.
By no means disparaging the Ukes efforts in their recent strike in Crimea, I did read somewhere (maybe here much earlier in the thread?) that the US has the very planners and tools capable of mitigating even the best AD systems using known weaknesses and limitations (in kit and personnel), terrain masking, countermeasures etc etc. They were employed to great effect in Syria during the various strikes against regime infrastructure.
Sky reporting Crimea attack was Special Forces ops
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-w...rimea-12669644
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-w...rimea-12669644
If the preceding speculation about the weapons store - nuclear related - likely, Black Sea airforce and Naval forces; then the ‘accurate’ miss, combined with adjacent hits would be a notible warning re issues of nuclear power-plants.
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
Swedish co-founder leaves Amnesty due to controversial report on Ukraine.
“I have now been a member for almost sixty years. It is with a heavy heart that I, in view of Amnesty's statements on the war in Ukraine, end a long and rewarding commitment,” Per Wästberg said.
“I have now been a member for almost sixty years. It is with a heavy heart that I, in view of Amnesty's statements on the war in Ukraine, end a long and rewarding commitment,” Per Wästberg said.
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Hanging off the end of a thread
Posts: 33,035
Received 2,902 Likes
on
1,243 Posts
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Hanging off the end of a thread
Posts: 33,035
Received 2,902 Likes
on
1,243 Posts
UK sending more MLRS plus precision-guided M31A1 missiles
Denmark to join the UK, Canada, Netherlands, Finland, Sweden training inititive both in the UK and at home and will also train officers.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/u...les-to-ukraine
Denmark to join the UK, Canada, Netherlands, Finland, Sweden training inititive both in the UK and at home and will also train officers.
The UK will send further multiple-launch rocket systems (MLRS) to Ukraine as part of an enduring commitment to help the country defend itself against Russia’s illegal invasion, Defence Secretary Ben Wallace has announced.
Britain will also give a significant number of precision guided M31A1 missiles which can strike targets up to 80km away, enabling Ukraine to continue to defend itself against Russian heavy artillery.
Britain will also give a significant number of precision guided M31A1 missiles which can strike targets up to 80km away, enabling Ukraine to continue to defend itself against Russian heavy artillery.
Last edited by NutLoose; 11th Aug 2022 at 11:55.
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
DEVELOPING: Explosions have been reported at the Zyabrivka air base in Belarus.
Locals claim that at least 4 flashes were seen within 10 minutes.
Rochan Consulting has provided further detail on the air base's assets.
You'll love this - makes the Russian explanations seem serious….
https://news.am/eng/news/715648.html
The Ministry of Defense (MOD) of Belarus has dismissed the social media reports about explosions at the Pribytki (Zyabrovka) military airbase in Homiel region.
In the respective statement issued by the press service of the Belarusian MOD, it is noted that a car's engine had caught fire during a test run at the airbase.
"There are no victims," added the MOD…..
Locals claim that at least 4 flashes were seen within 10 minutes.
Rochan Consulting has provided further detail on the air base's assets.
You'll love this - makes the Russian explanations seem serious….
https://news.am/eng/news/715648.html
The Ministry of Defense (MOD) of Belarus has dismissed the social media reports about explosions at the Pribytki (Zyabrovka) military airbase in Homiel region.
In the respective statement issued by the press service of the Belarusian MOD, it is noted that a car's engine had caught fire during a test run at the airbase.
"There are no victims," added the MOD…..
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Hanging off the end of a thread
Posts: 33,035
Received 2,902 Likes
on
1,243 Posts
It seems the idea of taking cutting off Ukraine from the nuclear powerplant and diverting it to Crimea and Russia etc has run into a few problems with tinworm.
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Hanging off the end of a thread
Posts: 33,035
Received 2,902 Likes
on
1,243 Posts
T-72 seems quite pleased to see the lady. S-300 would probably benefit from some, ahem, medication.
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Hanging off the end of a thread
Posts: 33,035
Received 2,902 Likes
on
1,243 Posts
As the war rages on following Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, we have documented a pattern of crimes committed by Russian forces, including unlawful attacks, wilful killings of civilians, torture, and extrajudicial executions. Take action to demand that the Russian authorities stop this act of aggression and systemic attacks on civilians now.
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Right here, right now
Posts: 270
Received 0 Likes
on
0 Posts
An SF hit looks most likely to me. Come in by sea, head to the one place where there are a lot of high-value targets seen on previous sat imagery, lots of concealment with all the earth berms, work around the loop and head back the way you came in.
The 3 'craters' that people are seeing are, IMHO...
45.0906N 33.5859E - destroyed munitions or fuel store, it is inside one of the earth berms where there was possibly something stored other than an aircraft on the 'before' images.
45.0922N 33.5852E - destroyed building. Maybe a bomb attached to a fuel bowser, weapons carrier, etc, turning it into a LVBIED?
45.0935N 33.5908E - destroyed building. As above.
They must have hit something really big though, to throw a huge metal beam at least 375m from the nearest destroyed building (above) to the car park shown on the video of the burnt out vehicles. There are also videos of the fires still raging well into the night and large peices of debris in the surrounding civilian housing areas.
The 3 'craters' that people are seeing are, IMHO...
45.0906N 33.5859E - destroyed munitions or fuel store, it is inside one of the earth berms where there was possibly something stored other than an aircraft on the 'before' images.
45.0922N 33.5852E - destroyed building. Maybe a bomb attached to a fuel bowser, weapons carrier, etc, turning it into a LVBIED?
45.0935N 33.5908E - destroyed building. As above.
They must have hit something really big though, to throw a huge metal beam at least 375m from the nearest destroyed building (above) to the car park shown on the video of the burnt out vehicles. There are also videos of the fires still raging well into the night and large peices of debris in the surrounding civilian housing areas.
Last edited by MFC_Fly; 11th Aug 2022 at 14:56.