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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

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Old 30th Apr 2022, 10:58
  #4921 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by fdr
and a train 2. thats 3 trains so far.
Film of the bridge and the train sitting in the river

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Old 30th Apr 2022, 11:52
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Ukrainian Mi 17 operating at low low levels.

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Old 30th Apr 2022, 11:53
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Sadly I am doubting this one Nutloose.

That bridge ( and river) is south of what I understand to be the current frontline by some km ( though I am geograpically challenged). So either the RF has a lot more territory in that little area than we saw published, or perhaps the russians blew the bridge with UA train on it to prevent reinforcements going north of the river, and video\pics are UA propoganda spin.

I cant imagine the OSINT is so far behind that RF is sending rail freight over a bridge that is supposedly in UAF hands still.

Please put me right if I have misunderstood something.
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Old 30th Apr 2022, 12:20
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
Ukrainian Mi 17 operating at low low levels.

https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/...07660305969153
Is pitching up to fire rockets the rotary wing equivalent of a Beirut sniper?
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Old 30th Apr 2022, 12:46
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Originally Posted by Ninthace
Is pitching up to fire rockets the rotary wing equivalent of a Beirut sniper?
it’s apparently in both sides textbooks.

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Old 30th Apr 2022, 13:00
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Here is an irony for you, Russia sold MI 17 to the USA to supply to Afghanistan, but the USA has now supplied them to Ukraine and Russia is complaining that it is a breach of contract, more details here.

https://www.aerotime.aero/articles/3...ne-with-mi-17s

The Russian Federal Service for Military-Technical Cooperation (FSVTS) issued a protest in response to a US announcement that a shipment of Mil Mi-17 helicopters will be sent to Ukraine.

On April 13, 2022, the US Department of Defense announced that its $800 million military aid package to Ukraine will include 11 Mi-17 transport helicopters. The aircraft were previously purchased for Afghanistan.


Some reports indicate that the transfer had been planned as early as January 2022, before the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

“Russian FSVTS expresses a protest in regards to any illegal transfer of armaments and military equipment of Russian (Soviet) origin, including helicopters, supplied by Rosoboronexport in a large contract with Pentagon, signed in 2011, to Ukraine,” FSVTS said in a statement published on April 27, 2022.

According to FSVTS, the contract and the user agreement, a copy of which was attached to the statement, states that the helicopters are intended for transfer to the Afghan Armed Forces and cannot be reexported or transferred to any third party without the agreement of the Russian Federation.

The service said such a “voluntaristic decision” contradicts the foundations of international law and the state of other Russian-American contracts.

“The fact that Pentagon officials admit being unable to control further movements of the armaments Americans supplied to Ukraine, meaning – to prevent its uncontrolled transfer to third parties, only aggravates the already intensified the threat of terrorism in the world,” the statement claims.
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Old 30th Apr 2022, 13:03
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
it’s apparently in both sides textbooks.

https://twitter.com/AnAthenianToLDN/...15229074341888
Probably for the same reasons. I suppose effectiveness depends how target rich the other end of the trajectory is.
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Old 30th Apr 2022, 14:06
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Originally Posted by Usertim
Sadly I am doubting this one Nutloose.

That bridge ( and river) is south of what I understand to be the current frontline by some km ( though I am geograpically challenged). So either the RF has a lot more territory in that little area than we saw published, or perhaps the russians blew the bridge with UA train on it to prevent reinforcements going north of the river, and video\pics are UA propoganda spin.

I cant imagine the OSINT is so far behind that RF is sending rail freight over a bridge that is supposedly in UAF hands still.

Please put me right if I have misunderstood something.
it looks similar on Google Earth and has a parallel concrete road bridge, remember, they also took out a rail bridge near Crimea behind the lines.

UPDATE

you are correct Russia took it out


added picture



..

Last edited by NutLoose; 30th Apr 2022 at 16:02.
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Old 30th Apr 2022, 14:28
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Lofted Rockets

During a mid-1980s discussion of this technique after Soviet helicopters in East Germany had been observed employing it, a USAF pilot who had flown O-2s in Vietnam said that he (and others) used it there. In his case, the rockets were typically for marking rather than effect, but he said with a little practice, accuracy could be surprisingly good.
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Old 30th Apr 2022, 14:37
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A bit of provocative flying today by NATO - lit itself up for a bit - not too far from Snake Island.



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Old 30th Apr 2022, 14:50
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
Here is an irony for you, Russia sold MI 17 to the USA to supply to Afghanistan, but the USA has now supplied them to Ukraine and Russia is complaining that it is a breach of contract, more details here.

https://www.aerotime.aero/articles/3...ne-with-mi-17s
Recycling. Like returning 122 and 152's to sender. Thoughtful really.


"Russia used to be considered the second strongest military in the world, now, they are the second strongest military in Ukraine". anon
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Old 30th Apr 2022, 15:42
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Apparently Russian troops are fighting each other. Chechens vs Buryats regarding spoils of war and Russian contractors vs officers for actually being shot at instead of staying in a five star hotel. Also WW2 soviet style barricading troops are mentioned.

You couldn't make this up. Serves them right.

Buryat skirmish with Chechens - occupiers can't share loot and don't want to go on the offensive
April 29, 2022

In the occupied Kiselivka (Chornobayiv village community of Kherson region) there was a shootout between the Russian military of Chechen and Buryat nationality. More than 50 participants from each side took part in the night incident. The exact number of wounded and dead is currently unknown.

The causes of interethnic conflict are the reluctance of the Buryats to conduct offensive hostilities and "inequality" of conditions with the Chechens. The latter are not at the forefront at all, remaining in the rear only as "barricading detachments". Their task is to encourage the occupying forces to take active action. That is, open fire on those who are trying to retreat.

Another reason is the uneven distribution of loot. The main "profit" from looting is received by the same Chechens.

Due to the unwillingness to take part in the offensive, a conflict arose between the commanders and personnel of the Russian Armed Forces in the occupied Fedorovka, Zaporizhia region. Russians are complaining to locals about cheating when signing contracts and obtaining consent to take part in hostilities.

It turned out that the Russian contractors were promised an operation under the "Crimean scenario". That is, the lack of resistance from Ukraine, the allocation of housing in the occupied territories and a quiet service.

Seeing the real picture, many Russians refused to continue their service. This led to a conflict, which was resolved by the FSB. Some of the servicemen were taken away in an unknown direction after interrogations. They did not return to the place of service.


https://gur.gov.ua/content/perestril...-v-nastup.html
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Old 30th Apr 2022, 16:41
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Originally Posted by Ninthace
Probably for the same reasons. I suppose effectiveness depends how target rich the other end of the trajectory is.
More Ukrainian Helicopters operating flying Nap of the Earth.

https://twitter.com/Blue_Sauron/status/1520039940041719809

https://twitter.com/EmmettLesterSan/status/1508439252089991173
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Old 30th Apr 2022, 16:58
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It they can get over the trees without climbing, they aren't really low!
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Old 30th Apr 2022, 17:55
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
it’s apparently in both sides textbooks.

https://twitter.com/AnAthenianToLDN/...15229074341888

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Old 30th Apr 2022, 17:57
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The Ukrainians have upgraded from Toyota:

"Ukrainian MT-LB engages with mounted aircraft rocket pods"

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFoota...eb2x&context=3
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Old 30th Apr 2022, 19:23
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He looks like Benny Hill, or should one say did.
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Old 30th Apr 2022, 21:13
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Originally Posted by fdr
it is past time to commence reforger.
I doubt that. Just bring in a lot of proper Nato stuff on invitation of the Ukraine government and warn Putin to not hurt/damage anybody/thing, or the Russian forces will be wiped out by those contingents.
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Old 30th Apr 2022, 21:16
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Originally Posted by Timmy Tomkins
Today's Telegraph reporting the view from Ben Wallace, UK defence secretary, that Putin will declare War on Ukraine at V day celebrations and mobilise Russia. Martial Law will allow total focus on the military effort.
While that sounds very deterrent, to be able to do so, there needs to be a strong economy to "pay" for that. Russian economy is very weak now, and all the savings are already gone. So, no way to pay. Let alone, where is the equipment to be used by the untrained mobilized mob ?
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