This might be a game changer if they are supplied, they would be able to take out the Crimea bridge, artillery and rail / road bridges supplying the front all from further back in Ukraine.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe...2022-05-26/U.S. officials say the Biden administration is even considering supplying Kyiv with the M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS), which depending on the munitions can have a range of hundreds of kilometers. But U.S. intelligence has also warned about growing risks, particularly given a mismatch between Russian President Vladimir Putin's apparent ambitions and the performance of his military. The coming months could put the war on a "more unpredictable and potentially escalatory trajectory," Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines told a Senate hearing this month. The United States, by design, is not directly combating Russian forces but Pentagon commanders are in constant contact with Ukrainian leaders and have provided critical intelligence that has allowed Ukraine to target Russian troops, on land and at sea, U.S. officials have said. A second U.S. official, also speaking on condition of anonymity, said Washington and Kyiv had a shared "understanding" about the use of certain Western-provided weapon systems. "So far, we've been on the same page about the thresholds," the official said. Ukraine's defence ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov warned the West that supplying weapons to Ukraine capable of hitting Russian territory would be "a serious step towards unacceptable escalation," according to remarks published on the Russian foreign ministry website on Thursday. |
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...670407682.html
There seem to be two completely different narratives emerging about the Battle of the Donbas, one on the micro level and one from the larger perspective, and its fascinating to see the differences. Thought I would try and summarize.…. |
First? Video of the use of a Switchblade 300
Meanwhile Colonel No 46 departs this mortal life.. More losses for Vladimir Putin’s forces in Ukraine as 46th colonel is killed (msn.com) .. |
1933-46 = 2014-20??The rest of the worlds players not yet fully engaged
"...The just punishment for this part of the population is possible only as the bearing of the inevitable hardships of a just war against the Nazi system" "The name Ukraine can seemingly not be retained as the title of any fully denazified state formation on the territory liberated from the Nazi regime" "Denazification is inevitably also deukrainisation – a rejection of the large-scale artificial inflation of the ethnic element of self-identification of the population of the territories of the historical Malorossiya and Novorossiya begun by the Soviet authorities" "Unlike, let’s say, Georgia or the Baltics, Ukraine, as history has shown, is unviable as a national state, and attempts to 'build' one logically lead to Nazism" "The Banderite elite must be liquidated, its reeducation is impossible. The social 'swamp' which actively and passively supports it must undergo the hardships of war and digest the experience as a historical lesson and atonement" END This, to me, is obviously a direct argument for the total eradication of Ukraine and all of its peoples. In other words Genocide. Hopefully the world in general and the UK, US and Poland remember what happened in the Katyn Forest, and the concentration camps of Germany and Poland, which some seem to insist never happened Germany, Italy and France especially should remember the above and get off the fence. Hungary should remember what the then German population went through in and after WW2, thanks to the Liebensraun and Genocide policies of the then Chancellor, his government and his toadying judiciary. I think Comrade Putin is of a similar make, seeking the restoration of the USSR or even earlier to the times of the Czars. A personal reading of what is, and again, to me, a land grab complete with ethnic cleansing, seen many times since 1945. |
More combat footage, this time with some familiar accents + language. Sounds like something big ricocheting at c.20 seconds - RPG maybe?
|
Originally Posted by ACW342
(Post 11236501)
Hungary should remember what the then German population went through in and after WW2, thanks to the Liebensraun and Genocide policies of the then Chancellor, his government and his toadying judiciary. I think Hungarians have a pretty good idea about the privations & horrors of war. |
Originally Posted by ORAC
(Post 11236435)
That’s up to the Ukrainians to decide - and if they decide, as they have, to fight on, we should back them to the hilt including HIMARS, MLRS, aircraft and heavy armour if they ask for it.
With the current bloodshed, reconciliation between Kiev and the eastern parts of the country is pretty much off the table. Separation seems the least destructive outcome. |
Originally Posted by etudiant
(Post 11236565)
The Ukraine civil war started with the revolt of the Russian speaking eastern segment of the country against the new post Maidan Kiev government's laws, which were perceived as damaging them.
|
Originally Posted by etudiant
(Post 11236565)
I disagree strongly with giving the Kiev leadership a blank check. The Ukraine civil war started with the revolt of the Russian speaking eastern segment of the country against the new post Maidan Kiev government's laws, which were perceived as damaging them. The Kiev government chose to send in the army rather than to address the grievances. The Russian intervention has just exacerbated that conflict.
With the current bloodshed, reconciliation between Kiev and the eastern parts of the country is pretty much off the table. Separation seems the least destructive outcome. Kyiv should absolutely not capitulate, and the international community now needs to test the red line set out earlier by Lavrov regarding the supply of MLRS etc. This seems more imperative against the rumours that the Kremlin now believes it can take Kyiv by the end of the year (with what though??). The RF has been meddling and stirring it up in the east of Ukraine for years, something has to change and that means a Ukraine with pre 2014 borders. |
Originally Posted by Recc
(Post 11236587)
That is simply ahistorical. The Russian state was present in Eastern Ukraine from the start. Initially they tried to raise an effective proxy army from the local inhabitants, and when that failed, they sent in Russian troops. There has never been a civil war in Ukraine.
|
Meduza: Kremlin still discussing attacking Kyiv.
Independent Russian media outlet Meduza quoted undisclosed sources saying the Kremlin is discussing a possible assault on Kyiv and even hopes for a full-scale victory by fall. According to Meduza’s sources, Russian leadership is hoping Europe will get tired of helping Ukraine and that bloc members will have to agree with Russia on gas and oil before the heating season. |
Originally Posted by etudiant
(Post 11236607)
That differs from my understanding. Afaik, the international observers showed no Russian troops in the eastern Ukraine. It was a local uprising. Obviously given that there had not been a rigorous border during Soviet days, there surely was lots of cross border traffic, which probably continued once the shooting started, but regular troop formations were not noted.
|
I do wonder if all the latest rhetoric from Russia threatening WW3 and attacking supplies in Western countries is to do with the fact they have thrown everything but the kitchen sink into their latest assaults and the Ukrainians are holding though it is costing them.
Russia is throwing all their best toys into the mix, but are blissfully aware that they are both outclassed and inferior to the Western weapon’s already deployed and realise that if the West do start to deploy the long range rocket systems and more lethal aid to Ukraine that the advantage they have at the moment in terms of quantity will rapidly evaporate as bridges, supply routes and artillery are picked off leading to massive unsustainable losses and defeat, thus the threats of WW3 and attacks on Western countries has raised its heads again. The Crimea bridge would thus become a major target cutting of a principle supply route as would the ports such as Sevastopol. https://edition.cnn.com/2022/05/26/p...lrs/index.html |
Originally Posted by etudiant
(Post 11236565)
I disagree strongly with giving the Kiev leadership a blank check. The Ukraine civil war started with the revolt of the Russian speaking eastern segment of the country against the new post Maidan Kiev government's laws, which were perceived as damaging them. The Kiev government chose to send in the army rather than to address the grievances. The Russian intervention has just exacerbated that conflict.
With the current bloodshed, reconciliation between Kiev and the eastern parts of the country is pretty much off the table. Separation seems the least destructive outcome. |
Originally Posted by Recc
(Post 11236587)
That is simply ahistorical. The Russian state was present in Eastern Ukraine from the start. Initially they tried to raise an effective proxy army from the local inhabitants, and when that failed, they sent in Russian troops. There has never been a civil war in Ukraine.
I know you want to refute 'etudiant' - but quoting it makes us who have put it on ignore have to read it's cr*p... |
Originally Posted by etudiant
(Post 11236565)
The Ukraine civil war started with the revolt of the Russian speaking eastern segment of the country against the new post Maidan Kiev government's laws, which were perceived as damaging them.
Originally Posted by etudiant
(Post 11236607)
Afaik, the international observers showed no Russian troops in the eastern Ukraine. It was a local uprising. Obviously given that there had not been a rigorous border during Soviet days, there surely was lots of cross border traffic, which probably continued once the shooting started, but regular troop formations were not noted.
However, Russia's "little green man" were reported in Ukraine in 2014 within a week after the Maidan Revolution. And Russia doesn't even deny anymore that Putin decided to send troops into Ukraine the night after Yanukovych was deposed. Yanukovych was deposed on February 22nd 2014. That night, by the morning of 23rd, Putin had already decided to invade Ukraine and annex Crimea. That's before any attempted changes of legislation: https://news.yahoo.com/putin-describ...212858356.html The military operation was initially kept secret and despite the increasingly obvious actions of unmarked Russian forces on the ground, Moscow insisted that only locals were involved in the upheaval. Later, the Kremlin conceded that it had been behind the power grab. In the trailer for the documentary, Putin also claims that Russia's military was ready to fight its way into the eastern Ukrainian city of Donetsk to get Yanukovych, a heavily corrupted but loyal figure who favoured keeping Ukraine in Russia's sphere of influence. "He would have been killed," Putin said. "We got ready to get him right out of Donetsk by land, by sea or by air," he said. "Heavy machineguns were mounted there to avoid talking too much." So, it's clear Putin's main motivation was to keep Ukraine in Russia's sphere of influence, as a puppet state, and prevent it from getting closer to the EU, not to "protect Russian speakers". As to the eastern Ukraine, while indeed initially there were no reports of "little green man", the separatist insurrection from April 2014 was led by the same Russian GRU operatives which worked a bit earlier on annexing Crimea. And, a few months later, Russian heavy equipment, like the Buk SAM that brought down MH17, was also present. Then Russian troops started to "accidentally" cross into Ukraine during "exercises": https://www.reuters.com/article/us-u...0GQ1X520140826 Kolosky is about 7 km (4 miles) from Dzerkalniy, a settlement where Ukrainian officials said they had detained the 10 Russian troops featured in the video footage. Russian news agencies cited a source in the Russian defense ministry as saying the paratroopers had strayed into Ukraine by mistake during an exercise. One of the men said in video footage released by Ukraine’s security services that they had been instructed to put on white arm-bands. |
etudiant, I have mentioned before my concerns with some of your softly presented apologia for the Russian position. I ask you to take a good hard look at your assumptions, and particularly consider Mike Snow's post in good faith.
It isn't just the Russians who do stuff like this. As just one example: back in the mid 1990's, there were over 200 Iranian operatives in Bosnia supporting the Bosniak cause. Hezbollah was begun as an Iranian supported local Sunni group in Lebanon in the early 80's. Little green men, and in that case, the green is the color of the Islamic revolution. A variety of places on the globe have had over the years American, or French, or UK, or {pick a nation} enablers and assisters backing local resistance groups. Why is it so hard for you to believe that the Russians would do a similar thing in a nation right next door upon whom they had designs and possibly nefarious intentions? This is not rocket science. It's political science, 101. Have you bought the Moscow line? If so, why? I get Putin's (and Orban's) distaste for the EU. Hell, Brexit was a case of distaste for the EU. That concern, that aversion to Eurocrats, is hardly an excuse for an invasion of a neighbor.
Originally Posted by Tocsin
(Post 11236644)
I know you want to refute 'etudiant' - but quoting it makes us who have put it on ignore have to read it's cr*p...
|
Originally Posted by etudiant
(Post 11236565)
I disagree strongly with giving the Kiev leadership a blank check. The Ukraine civil war started with the revolt of the Russian speaking eastern segment of the country against the new post Maidan Kiev government's laws, which were perceived as damaging them. The Kiev government chose to send in the army rather than to address the grievances. The Russian intervention has just exacerbated that conflict.
With the current bloodshed, reconciliation between Kiev and the eastern parts of the country is pretty much off the table. Separation seems the least destructive outcome. |
Russian speaking eastern segment of the country |
So how wide is this undeclared DMZ that Russia is establishing across the south and east of Ukraine? (Turkey wanted one about 30 km deep across the north of Syria, as I recall.)
|
All times are GMT. The time now is 08:35. |
Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.