Is Ukraine about to have a war?
Gazprom believe they can get Nordstream 2 working.

Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
#Ukraine: The UK🇬🇧 supplied Wolfhound TSV is also used as armoured recovery vehicle by the AFU; this time pulling a captured Russian BTR-82A back from the front lines in the South.

Someone made a pension plan by stealing 1.5 MILLION WINTER UNIFORMS. You really couldn't make this up. It is going to be one cold winter for the russkies, mobik or not.
GREAT!
GREAT!


Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
A Russian attack in Donbas ended in total fiasco. Several MBTs and IFVs were destroyed by Ukrainian ATGM teams. The remnants of the Russian attack forces were fleeing.

Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
Girkin claims Russian authorities have ordered Svatove to evacuate within 72h…

Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
Over 4,000 Norwegian Soldiers have reportedly received orders to be deployed to Strategically Important Locations throughout Norway and the North Sea, the Norwegian Government has said this number may increase alongside the Defensive needs of the Country.

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This is the first coherent Russian description of AFU's light motorized forces playing Cossack in the Russian rear areas.
Please carefully note these forces are using small UAV's to dominate the Russian rear area battle space.
Please carefully note these forces are using small UAV's to dominate the Russian rear area battle space.

Russian source on Kherson(Unconfirmed) "Dudchany, Barislavsky district, Kherson region, Ukraine. The Armed Forces of Ukraine occupied the settlement."
One commenter remarks that this would be a gain of 40km in 24 hrs.
One commenter remarks that this would be a gain of 40km in 24 hrs.

Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
Ctrl-alt-defeat from one of Russia's most gung-ho mercenary channels….


It's a s if the Russians have absolutely no idea what they are actually doing? That seems to suggest a total breakdown in command and orders. The Ukrainians appear to be dominating the battlefield and have air superiority, at least with drones.

"Russian channel indicates that Ukraine is employing effective EW in the Kherson region which is causing havoc with their communications. Units are forced to retreat with no support or radio communications. A full retreat to Berislav in the next few days is expected."
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Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
Russian channel indicates that Ukraine is employing effective EW in the Kherson region which is causing havoc with their communications.
All the6 need is a few old fashioned sweep or barrage jammers and the Russian troops are back to semaphore or carrier pigeons.

Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
NATO Joint-Intelligence has reportedly warned Members of the Alliance that they have seen indications that Russia may be preparing to conduct a form of Nuclear Weapons Test in the Black/White Sea or near the Ukrainian Border, and that they must prepare for the possibility.
A military train carrying Equipment from the 12th Chief Directorate; responsible within the Russian Ministry of Defence for their Nuclear Arsenal, has been seen traveling west towards the Ukrainian border.
Russian Nuclear Military Train Is Seen On The Move: Reports | South Asian Daily
A military train carrying Equipment from the 12th Chief Directorate; responsible within the Russian Ministry of Defence for their Nuclear Arsenal, has been seen traveling west towards the Ukrainian border.
Russian Nuclear Military Train Is Seen On The Move: Reports | South Asian Daily

NATO Joint-Intelligence has reportedly warned Members of the Alliance that they have seen indications that Russia may be preparing to conduct a form of Nuclear Weapons Test in the Black/White Sea or near the Ukrainian Border, and that they must prepare for the possibility.
A military train carrying Equipment from the 12th Chief Directorate; responsible within the Russian Ministry of Defence for their Nuclear Arsenal, has been seen traveling west towards the Ukrainian border.
Russian Nuclear Military Train Is Seen On The Move: Reports | South Asian Daily
A military train carrying Equipment from the 12th Chief Directorate; responsible within the Russian Ministry of Defence for their Nuclear Arsenal, has been seen traveling west towards the Ukrainian border.
Russian Nuclear Military Train Is Seen On The Move: Reports | South Asian Daily
Potentially being used as a highly mobile counter attack unit to plug the gaps.
The land still under Russian Control is huge, they have the potential to create a defensive line in depth, with a mobile counter attack echelon.
They will still suffer from poor comms and poor control, however going back to basics and waiting for the bad weather is a tactic that can be used to great effect to stifle the Ukrainian moral and start grinding out a resolution.
This is why I feel Ukraine will keep their feet on the Russian collective throat to stop the formation of a defensive line in depth.


NATO Joint-Intelligence has reportedly warned Members of the Alliance that they have seen indications that Russia may be preparing to conduct a form of Nuclear Weapons Test in the Black/White Sea or near the Ukrainian Border, and that they must prepare for the possibility.
A military train carrying Equipment from the 12th Chief Directorate; responsible within the Russian Ministry of Defence for their Nuclear Arsenal, has been seen traveling west towards the Ukrainian border.
Russian Nuclear Military Train Is Seen On The Move: Reports | South Asian Daily
A military train carrying Equipment from the 12th Chief Directorate; responsible within the Russian Ministry of Defence for their Nuclear Arsenal, has been seen traveling west towards the Ukrainian border.
Russian Nuclear Military Train Is Seen On The Move: Reports | South Asian Daily
Edited to add: Any test "near the Ukrainian border" would surely have to be in Russia itself (unless Putin could persuade Lukashenko to host it, finally do something useful...)? It really would be peak Russia if they did this i.e. nuke themselves to demonstrate their willingness to use a nuke!
Last edited by dead_pan; 4th Oct 2022 at 10:19.

Russia doing its best to look like its about to use a nuke, without actually ever using a nuke.
Edited to add: Any test "near the Ukrainian border" would surely have to be in Russia itself (unless Putin could persuade Lukashenko to host it, finally do something useful...)? It really would be peak Russia if they did this i.e. nuke themselves to demonstrate their willingness to use a nuke!
Edited to add: Any test "near the Ukrainian border" would surely have to be in Russia itself (unless Putin could persuade Lukashenko to host it, finally do something useful...)? It really would be peak Russia if they did this i.e. nuke themselves to demonstrate their willingness to use a nuke!
