Originally Posted by
ORAC
NATO Joint-Intelligence has reportedly warned Members of the Alliance that they have seen indications that Russia may be preparing to conduct a form of Nuclear Weapons Test in the Black/White Sea or near the Ukrainian Border, and that they must prepare for the possibility.
A military train carrying Equipment from the 12th Chief Directorate; responsible within the Russian Ministry of Defence for their Nuclear Arsenal, has been seen traveling west towards the Ukrainian border.
Russian Nuclear Military Train Is Seen On The Move: Reports | South Asian Daily
A worrisome report at first, then you read that the train is seen to carry the
BPM-97 armoured personnel carriers (APCs). These are also used as boarder guard vehicles.
Potentially being used as a highly mobile counter attack unit to plug the gaps.
The land still under Russian Control is huge, they have the potential to create a defensive line in depth, with a mobile counter attack echelon.
They will still suffer from poor comms and poor control, however going back to basics and waiting for the bad weather is a tactic that can be used to great effect to stifle the Ukrainian moral and start grinding out a resolution.
This is why I feel Ukraine will keep their feet on the Russian collective throat to stop the formation of a defensive line in depth.