Ukraine War Thread Part 2 [Archive]

SATCOS WHIPPING BOY

21st Apr 2023, 20:26

In Dmitri's link, is that a car or a motorbike flying over that row of houses with its headlights still on?
Amazing bit of footage. The delay between impact and actual burst is lengthy, suggests it wasn't a delay fuse but one that wasn't fused and it just cooked off?

The lights look to come from that white car which is parked facing to left of the frame. Its lights are off but the blast probably triggered its alarm which put the lights on. You can just make out twin beams of light as it spirals out of the blast.
https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune.org-vbulletin/835x581/1_c75ec578077f2de7b539430a01c2b420ae431241.jpg
Parked car
https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune.org-vbulletin/688x474/2_390cff7218fab06b302dee7fa9870155ad07be7c.jpg
twin headlights

NutLoose

21st Apr 2023, 20:42

Knocked out Ukrainian M113

https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1649418201405505544?cxt=HHwWkIC2za_H9OMtAAAA l

https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1649418201405505544?cxt=HHwWkIC2za_H9OMtAAAA

NutLoose

21st Apr 2023, 20:58

Russian film of the remains of a used switchblade 600

https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1649115118339227657?cxt=HHwWkoCw5c7d6uItAAAA

https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1649115118339227657?cxt=HHwWkoCw5c7d6uItAAAA

Spunky Monkey

21st Apr 2023, 21:36

Amazing bit of footage. The delay between impact and actual burst is lengthy, suggests it wasn't a delay fuse but one that wasn't fused and it just cooked off?

The lights look to come from that white car which is parked facing to left of the frame. Its lights are off but the blast probably triggered its alarm which put the lights on. You can just make out twin beams of light as it spirals out of the blast.

Amazing!
You actually see the lights of the car swirling up the adjacent building!

mickjoebill

21st Apr 2023, 22:09

Ukrainian 11th army mix tape, mainly helicopters,
click "analysis" on the webpage for details.

https://funker530.com/video/11th-army-aviation-brigade-drops-kherson-mixtape/?utm_source=sendgrid&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Top10Email

fdr

21st Apr 2023, 23:22

Good news, inflation is falling in the UK, apparently according to Russia, Prostitutes are cheaper meaning your pound can stretch even further.. :p

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1648676387983695875?cxt=HHwWhoC99ZKco-EtAAAA

given what ms Skabeyevahaha is prepared to put out for cash, she may have a point there. Imagine the impact to her Crimean dacha renovation fund of the decline in sales of her line of work. [insert sad face here]

NutLoose

21st Apr 2023, 23:45

I assume this is to increase his UAV range of operation, either that or he wishes to be a future contestant in our cap comp, which he may well achieve. I could imagine his tech guys briefing him on their use then pissing themselves laughing when he believed them and left.

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1649518620240908288?cxt=HHwWgMDQncKcouQtAAAA

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1649518620240908288?cxt=HHwWgMDQncKcouQtAAAA

NutLoose

21st Apr 2023, 23:56

Latvia to send ALL their Stingers to Ukraine.

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1649511137392689154?cxt=HHwWhIC81fronuQtAAAA

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1649511137392689154?cxt=HHwWhIC81fronuQtAAAA

NutLoose

22nd Apr 2023, 00:05

Winemaker

22nd Apr 2023, 01:00

Re-posted as some of us can't see the links.
YES…FINALLY, UKRAINE WILL become part of NATO. Post war, the problem I see is Russia will need to go all out plus some if their aim is to prevent that happening now, no deals to renage on later as during that time Ukraine could join.

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1649340949170888704?cxt=HHwWgICxzdm20eMtAAAA

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1649340949170888704?cxt=HHwWgICxzdm20eMtAAAA

Winemaker

22nd Apr 2023, 01:08

Ffrom the New York Times today:
The Air National Guardsman accused of leaking classified documents to a small group of gamers had been posting sensitive information months earlier than previously known and to a much larger chat group, according to online postings reviewed by The New York Times.

In February 2022, soon after the invasion of Ukraine, a user profile matching that of Airman Jack Teixeira began posting secret intelligence on the Russian war effort on a previously undisclosed chat group on Discord, a social media platform popular among gamers. The chat group contained about 600 members.

The case against Airman Teixeira, 21, who was arrested (https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/13/world/documents-leak-leaker-identity.html) on April 13, pertains to the leaking of classified documents on another Discord group of about 50 members, called Thug Shaker Central (https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/13/world/europe/jack-teixeira-pentagon-leak.html). His job as an information technology specialist at an Air Force base in Massachusetts gave him top secret clearance.

It is not clear whether authorities are aware of the classified material posted on this additional Discord chat group.

The newly discovered information posted on the larger chat group included details about Russian and Ukrainian casualties, activities of Moscow’s spy agencies and updates on aid being provided to Ukraine. The user claimed to be posting information from the National Security Agency, the Central Intelligence Agency and other intelligence agencies.

The additional information raises questions about why authorities did not discover the leaks sooner, particularly since hundreds more people would have been able to see the posts.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/04/21/us/politics/jack-teixeira-leaks-russia-ukraine.html

NutLoose

22nd Apr 2023, 01:50

Brings to mind can those other users who never reported it be charged with conspiracy.. or did they just think it was made up intel.

Imagegear

22nd Apr 2023, 06:09

Now who is threading their way through the Baltic from Moscow to Berlin, in a Rossiya Special Flight Squadron IL96-300 this morning? (FR24)

Or am I being nosey...

IG

melmothtw

22nd Apr 2023, 06:43

Nutloose, why have you started another Ukraine war thread?

ORAC

22nd Apr 2023, 07:02

DuncanDoenitz

22nd Apr 2023, 07:05

Nutloose, why have you started another Ukraine war thread?
Not Nutloose; the mods have re-booted the thread. (But Nutty's appearance as #1 still appropriate, I feel).

ORAC

22nd Apr 2023, 07:06

Nutloose, why have you started another Ukraine war thread?
He didn’t, the Mod closed the first part due to the length and opened the second. Nutloose just happened to be the first post transferred onto the new part.

https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/639666-ukraine-about-have-war-823.html#post11423867

fdr

22nd Apr 2023, 07:43

YES…FINALLY, UKRAINE WILL become part of NATO. Post war, the problem I see is Russia will need to go all out plus some if their aim is to prevent that happening now, no deals to renage on later as during that time Ukraine could join.

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1649340949170888704?cxt=HHwWgICxzdm20eMtAAAA

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1649340949170888704?cxt=HHwWgICxzdm20eMtAAAA

Ukraine would make a good NATO member, they know what is important, and how to protect their own territory from an aggressor nation. The expectation that Russia would renege on any agreement is well founded on the history of Russia, they certainly have a way of disregarding agreements that is at least consistent. Russia has itself to blame for becoming a pariah nation, the pavlovian response that characterises Russia's acceptance that corruption is business as usual and their govt is what they deserve.

Now in the spirit of Easter, and Eid, and to give an aero flavour to the tawdry business of keeping up with Voldamorts Fort Fumble ensembles escapades, and to preserve balance...

everyone can have a bad day, like waking up in the morning and thinking it is a good idea to invade your neighbour.

What the problem is.... (https://www.instagram.com/reel/Cn0MLLdDayo/?igshid=MDJmNzVkMjY=)

https://www.instagram.com/reel/Cn0MLLdDayo/?igshid=MDJmNzVkMjY=

fdr

22nd Apr 2023, 07:47

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius believes limited attacks by Ukraine on Russian territory are an acceptable tactic in repelling Russia's invasion.

In such a war, it is "completely normal for the attacked party to advance into enemy territory, for example to cut off supply routes," he said on the political talk show Maybrit Illner on Thursday evening. "As long as no cities, civilians or civilian areas are attacked , one will necessarily have to accept that."

The only civilians and cities attacked so far have been by Russia, deliberately or as own goals. It takes enthusiasm to try to better the turret toss record which stands at around 235' IIRC, by doing it to a peacefully sleeping Lada in a parking lot in Belgorod. Ordinarily, vandalism is not covered by insurance, so that sucks. :}

Thrust Augmentation

22nd Apr 2023, 12:43

Nutloose just happened to be the first post transferred onto the new part.

And a well deserved 1st spot it is!

Sue Vêtements

22nd Apr 2023, 13:05

Good news, inflation is falling in the UK, apparently according to Russia, Prostitutes are cheaper meaning your pound can stretch even further.. https://www.pprune.org/images/smilies/tongue.gif

But aren't all the prostitutes Russian anyway?

Maybe it's a supply and demand thing

NutLoose

22nd Apr 2023, 13:09

Nutloose, why have you started another Ukraine war thread?

I didn’t, the mods did, read the last post on the first one, my name appears simply because my post was the first one when they split the two threads and transferred some posts over.

ahhh... I see it’s already been remarked on :uhoh:

..

NutLoose

22nd Apr 2023, 13:21

Convoy of newly camouflaged Ukrainian Bradley’s formed up on transporters and carrying new fwd facing arrow tactical markings, rather apt ones for a counterattack if I say so myself.

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1649208934815744000?cxt=HHwWgIC-gbqyleMtAAAA

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1649208934815744000?cxt=HHwWgIC-gbqyleMtAAAA

NutLoose

22nd Apr 2023, 13:45

Another discarded cigarette in Moscow.

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1649658181268779009

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1649658181268779009

NutLoose

22nd Apr 2023, 13:56

The self inflicted bomb that hit Belogrod has uncovered another probably left over from the war for the Russians to deal with :)

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1649770705339179008?cxt=HHwWgICzyebtlOUtAAAA

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1649770705339179008?cxt=HHwWgICzyebtlOUtAAAA

NutLoose

22nd Apr 2023, 14:13

Ukraine has signed up for new nuclear power stations from the US, to be up and running 2029… we would still be holding enquiries.

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1649776846777507846?cxt=HHwWjICz7aPTl-UtAAAA

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1649776846777507846?cxt=HHwWjICz7aPTl-UtAAAA

NutLoose

22nd Apr 2023, 14:31

A man both proud and happy with his new ride.

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1649728351890731009?cxt=HHwWgsCz5cDMgeUtAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1649728351890731009?cxt=HHwWgsCz5cDMgeUtAAAA

Imagegear

22nd Apr 2023, 14:43

Now who is threading their way through the Baltic from Moscow to Berlin, in a Rossiya Special Flight Squadron IL96-300 this morning? (FR24)

Or am I being nosey...

IG

Ahhh, Now I see, Mass expulsion of Russian diplomats by Germany

IG.

ORAC

22nd Apr 2023, 14:58

U.S. hits Russia's "shadow fleet": largest oil carrier in India is deprived of international insurance

The shadow fleet of dozens of tankers, which transports Russian oil to Asia bypassing Western sanctions, was hit by the US sanctions.

India-registered Gatik Ship Management, which became a major carrier of oil from Russia last year, has lost international insurance because of a violation of the "price cap" mechanism, Bloomberg reported, citing a source familiar with the situation.

The Mumbai-headquartered company, which nobody knew about until last year, assembled a fleet of 48 tankers with a combined capacity of more than 30 million barrels and worth $1.4 billion. Almost all of the vessels entered Russian ports and exported oil or oil products, a Vortexa analysis showed.

NutLoose

22nd Apr 2023, 15:01

It sounds like Germany 1939

https://twitter.com/Feher_Junior/status/1649725445108056065

https://twitter.com/Feher_Junior/status/1649725445108056065

ORAC

22nd Apr 2023, 15:22

Wow!!

Chinese ambassador to France stating that ex-Soviet republics have no status in international law as sovereign nations.

That should lead to the ambassadors in the Baltic states, and elsewhere, being invited to explain themselves…

https://twitter.com/yasminalombaert/status/1649587830371373058?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

Less Hair

22nd Apr 2023, 15:33

How about the UN charter? Does China still intend to respect it?

ORAC

22nd Apr 2023, 15:50

Copy of Nutloose video with added subtitles.

https://twitter.com/vidtranslator/status/1649782677627871232?s=20

Buster Hyman

22nd Apr 2023, 16:09

Chinese ambassador to France stating that ex-Soviet republics have no status in international law as sovereign nations.
Yet they have Embassies there. :rolleyes:

[email protected]

22nd Apr 2023, 16:17

Copy of Nutloose video with added subtitles.

A policy of isolationism - don't think many want to be their friends now anyway.

NutLoose

22nd Apr 2023, 16:26

Prigozhin Is finally coming to a realisation how truly fu**ed the Russian army around him is. It’s as if he is coming to terms with the real truth of it all.

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1649700902209482752?cxt=HHwWgMCz3dyO9eQtAAAA

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1649700902209482752?cxt=HHwWgMCz3dyO9eQtAAAA

NutLoose

22nd Apr 2023, 16:32

This is one of the most incredible things I have seen in this whole sh*tshow.

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1649679012640202793?cxt=HHwW0oCx3cqU6-QtAAAA

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1649679012640202793?cxt=HHwW0oCx3cqU6-QtAAAA

Winemaker

22nd Apr 2023, 16:54

NutLoose

22nd Apr 2023, 17:12

Some more barking at the moon.

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1649820076722225154?cxt=HHwWhICwhcynq-UtAAAA

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1649820076722225154?cxt=HHwWhICwhcynq-UtAAAA

chopper2004

22nd Apr 2023, 17:15

OOps

Targeting systems gone kaupt or jammed..

https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-military/2023/04/21/russias-air-force-accidentally-bombs-own-city-of-belgorod/?utm_source=sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=air-dnr

Unless all hell broke loose and Ukr were in the city.....getting ever closer

cheers

Sue Vêtements

22nd Apr 2023, 17:26

Ukraine would make a good NATO member

Member? How about just have them lead NATO!

I think that would put the fear of god into any potential enemy

Sue Vêtements

22nd Apr 2023, 17:37

Copy of Nutloose video with added subtitles.

"Immigration policy will be zero!"

w(ho)tf would want to go there?

Ninthace

22nd Apr 2023, 17:39

Member? How about just have them lead NATO!

I think that would put the fear of god into any potential enemy
Maybe by the time this thing is over, they will have had enough. Perhaps they would be more useful as NATO consultants since they should know more than anybody else by then.

petit plateau

22nd Apr 2023, 19:08

Destruction of electronic warfare equipment as a prelude to a counteroffensive. Analytics confirms dates of counteroffensive announced by the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine ....

https://www.molfar.global/en-blog/electronic-warfare-equipment-of-russian-occupiers

Andrewgr2

22nd Apr 2023, 19:56

It sounds like Germany 1939

https://twitter.com/Feher_Junior/status/1649725445108056065
I suspect Major Kurilovich Nikolaev Vladimirovich, will need to be wary of 6th floor windows if he is being lined up for President.

anxiao

22nd Apr 2023, 19:56

One fascinating aspect of petit platea's link is the Molfar sites's tools section. The ability of a private individual to access such OSINT tools and use them to find detailed intelligence is to me as an intelligence outsider astounding.

Wokkafans

22nd Apr 2023, 20:00

"Heroic Ukrainian pilot's cockpit cam shows daring below-radar flight"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AbSpWo4WbIY

langleybaston

22nd Apr 2023, 23:06

In a world fed with information, disinformation, lies, ignorance and conspiracy my fall-back position is extreme cynicism and disbelief.

A glance at "the News" or any media suggests strongly that we are permanently in a time trap, midnight +1, 1st April to 1159 1st April.

Apply the test for yourselves.

ORAC

23rd Apr 2023, 06:15

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/apr/22/cyprus-russia-sanctions-us-uk

‘Our credibility must be safeguarded’: Cyprus in turmoil after Russia sanctions

Island shuts 10,000 Russian bank accounts as US and UK put Cypriot lawyers and accountants under sanctions for enabling oligarchs including Roman Abramovich

……Attending this week’s emergency meeting at the presidential palace, the island’s central bank governor, Constantinos Herodotou, said Cypriot authorities had not only closed 123,000 suspicious bank accounts but about 43,000 shell companies.

“Cyprus was addicted to Russian money before the Americans very efficiently began weaning them off it,” said Prof Hubert Faustmann who teaches history and political science at the University of Nicosia. “They really have cleaned up their act and what we are seeing is the very last act in a story that has gone on for decades.”

ORAC

23rd Apr 2023, 07:15

https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-22-2023

Russian milbloggers have provided enough geolocated footage and textual reports to confirm that Ukrainian forces have established positions in east (left) bank Kherson Oblast as of April 22 though not at what scale or with what intentions.

Geolocated footage published by a Russian milblogger on April 22 shows that Ukrainian forces have established positions on the Dnipro River bank north of Oleshky (7km southwest of Kherson City) and advanced up to the northern outskirts of the settlement on the E97 highway, as well as west of Dachi (10km south of Kherson City).[1] This footage also indicates that Russian forces may not control islands in the Kinka and Chaika rivers less than half a kilometer north of the geolocated Ukrainian positions near the Antonivsky Bridge.

Russian milbloggers claimed on April 20 and 22 that Ukrainian forces have maintained positions in east bank Kherson Oblast for weeks, established stable supply lines to these positions, and regularly conduct sorties in the area—all indicating a lack of Russian control over the area.[2] Another milblogger’s battle map claimed that Russian forces do not control some Dnipro River delta islands southwest of Kherson City as of April 22, suggesting possible Ukrainian advances on these islands.[3]

Some milbloggers complained that the slow rate of Russian artillery fire due to the over-centralization of the Russian military command allowed Ukrainian forces to land on the east bank.[4] Russian forces may be prioritizing maintaining defenses in urban areas such as Oleshky and Nova Kakhovka, leaving the islands in the Dnipro River delta unmanned.

The extent and intent of these Ukrainian positions remain unclear, as does Ukraine’s ability and willingness to maintain sustained positions in this area.

ISW is recoding territory on the east bank of the Dnipro River to Ukrainian-held only now because this is the first time ISW has observed reliable geolocated imagery of Ukrainian positions on the east bank along with multi-sourced Russian reports of an enduring Ukrainian presence there.

https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune.org-vbulletin/1260x2000/image_e3301a5cde24056be8da676b809ff25b6f02495d.jpeg

Geriaviator

23rd Apr 2023, 17:35

Enjoying the report of a Russian pilot bombing his own city of Belgorod and now a second missile being found in the same area reminded me of Heller's novel Catch-22 in which Milo arranges to bomb an American base as a moneymaking exercise. Given the tales of corruption, I wouldn't be surprised if Russia has a Milo-vitch or two in their ranks.

Beamr

23rd Apr 2023, 19:32

Wagner takes no prisoners anymore.
I would be banned if I'd write here what I think.

https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1650216055661383684

https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1650216055661383684

Mr Mac

23rd Apr 2023, 20:22

Beamr
I don’t think a lot of German tank crews made it, as their Black uniforms were often confused with SS uniforms in WW2 which obviously had dark connotations. When someone says something like that you just know they are know where near any trench !

Cheers
Mr Mac

tdracer

23rd Apr 2023, 21:02

Wagner takes no prisoners anymore.
I would be banned if I'd write here what I think.

https://twitter.com/JimmySecUK/status/1650216055661383684
Good of them to make it official and public knowledge. Not only will we have undisputable evidence for the war crimes trial, Ukrainian soldiers now know they might as well fight to the death, since that would be the outcome of trying to surrender.

fdr

23rd Apr 2023, 21:03

Some more barking at the moon.

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1649820076722225154?cxt=HHwWhICwhcynq-UtAAAA

Magic mushrooms in the water supply? Perhaps she should read the USSR constitution before ranting inanities related to the workers paradise.

Every State of the USSR had the absolute right to withdraw at their discretion from the Union. It was quite a well drafted document. That it led to Stalin, Beria, and Putin is Russia's shame.

1936 Constitution

Chapter 1 ARTICLE 17. To every Union Republic is reserved the right freely to secede from the U.S.S.R.

What Russia is doing now would have been a crime under the same constitution:

ARTICLE 18. The territory of a Union Republic may not be altered without its consent.

ARTICLE 22. The Russian Soviet Federated Socialist Republic consists of the Altai, Krasnodar, Krasnoyarsk, Ordjonikidze, Maritime and Khabarovsk Territories; the Archangel, Vologda, Voronezh, Gorky, Ivanovo, Irkutsk, Kalinin, Kirov, Kuibyshev, Kursk, Leningrad, Molotov, Moscow, Murmansk, Novosibirsk, Omsk, Orel, Penza, Rostov, Ryazan, Saratov, Sverdlovsk, Smolensk, Stalingrad, Tambov, Tula, Chelyabinsk, Chita, Chkalov and Yaroslavl Regions; The Tatar, Bashkir, Daghestan, Buryat-Mongolian, Kabardino-Balkarian, Kalmyk, Komi, Crimean, Mari, Mordovian, Volga German, North Ossetian, Udmurt, Checheno-Ingush, Chuvash and Yakut Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republics; and the Adygei, Jewish, Karachai, Oirot, Khakass and Cherkess Autonomous Regions.

Khrushchev ceded Crimea to Ukraine FSR on 19 February, 1954.

ARTICLE 23. The Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic consists of the Vinnitsa, Volynsk, Voroshilovgrad, Dnepropetrovsk, Drogobych, Zhitomir, Zaporozhe, Izmail, Kamenets-Podolsk, Kiev, Kirovograd, Lvov, Nikolaev, Odessa, Poltava, Rovno, Stalino, Stanislav, Sumy, Tarnopol, Kharkov, Chemigov and Chernovitsy Regions.

Treaty on the Formation of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics drafted 1919, ratified 30 December, 1922

Article 26 affirmed the clause in the declaration where each republic has the right to leave the Union.

Perhaps she should change to drinking bottled water.

NutLoose

23rd Apr 2023, 21:21

More views of Bradley’s sporting the new camo

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1650194887092969473?cxt=HHwWgoC99bbg1eYtAAAA

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1650194887092969473?cxt=HHwWgoC99bbg1eYtAAAA

NutLoose

23rd Apr 2023, 21:23

I just cannot understand the thought behind this, they hand over tanks and APC to form the core of a counter offensive but withhold the equipment that might guarantee the success.

https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/04/23/ukraine-needs-fighter-jets-and-long-range-missiles-to-support-a-counteroffensive-but-allies-are-unwilling-to-provide-them-deputy-foreign-minister/

https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/04/23/ukraine-needs-fighter-jets-and-long-range-missiles-to-support-a-counteroffensive-but-allies-are-unwilling-to-provide-them-deputy-foreign-minister/

NutLoose

23rd Apr 2023, 21:34

Ukraines Longest Day, the first 48 hours, a write up describing what needs to be done.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/04/18/ukraine-russia-war-counteroffensive-attack-bakhmut-himars/

https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/04/18/ukraine-russia-war-counteroffensive-attack-bakhmut-himars/

Wokkafans

23rd Apr 2023, 22:00

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1650256668414947330?s=20

GlobalNav

24th Apr 2023, 02:57

I just cannot understand the thought behind this, they hand over tanks and APC to form the core of a counter offensive but withhold the equipment that might guarantee the success.

https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/04/23/ukraine-needs-fighter-jets-and-long-range-missiles-to-support-a-counteroffensive-but-allies-are-unwilling-to-provide-them-deputy-foreign-minister/

Whatever the official rationale, it’s not being shared publicly. I note there have been op-Ed’s by knowledgeable military experts which urge the provision of fighter jets for UKR. I’m astonished that any general officer with combined armed operations would choose to conduct defensive or offensive ground operations with insufficient AirPower.

Beamr

24th Apr 2023, 03:38

One for the Hague. If he is not killed in action, he must be dug out from whatever hell hole he is hiding in and dragged to the court.

https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1650290948935659521

https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1650290948935659521

Timmy Tomkins

24th Apr 2023, 08:57

I just cannot understand the thought behind this, they hand over tanks and APC to form the core of a counter offensive but withhold the equipment that might guarantee the success.

https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/04/23/ukraine-needs-fighter-jets-and-long-range-missiles-to-support-a-counteroffensive-but-allies-are-unwilling-to-provide-them-deputy-foreign-minister/
it is Very frustrating, especially when this clip posted recently illustrates very eloquently exactly what they need as well as why.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AbSpWo4WbIY

Our politicians need to find some courage and get on with it. What is the real obstacle I wonder, other than being weak,

NutLoose

24th Apr 2023, 09:10

Russia are claiming 2 Mig 29 and 2 SU25 shot down this week, all be it without the usual video evidence.. Lets hope if true the pilots lived to fight another day, though I highly doubt Russian claims bearing in mind they have shot down the Ukrainian AF several times over.

Ironically, by announcing such they are actually supporting the argument by Ukraine that they need the F-16 to replace them, whether true or not.

NutLoose

24th Apr 2023, 09:25

Something went bang in Sevastopol harbour and was burning.

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1650342922833756160?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7 Ctwgr%5Etweet

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1650342922833756160?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7 Ctwgr%5Etweet

NutLoose

24th Apr 2023, 09:33

Ukrainian Strykers on show.

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1648906444136239105?cxt=HHwWgsC-6Zbri-ItAAAA

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1648906444136239105?cxt=HHwWgsC-6Zbri-ItAAAA

NutLoose

24th Apr 2023, 09:37

Lol, love the down inside the turret shot... UKraine Twardy's

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1648668918213378049?cxt=HHwWgoCw5azpn-EtAAAA

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1648668918213378049?cxt=HHwWgoCw5azpn-EtAAAA

NutLoose

24th Apr 2023, 09:44

No idea where this is, Fire trucks look Russian?https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650399732873691137?cxt=HHwWgoCw9YL0suctAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650399732873691137?cxt=HHwWgoCw9YL0suctAAAA

NutLoose

24th Apr 2023, 09:55

Graphic Beware, Clearing a trench, quotes only so you choose if you want to view it, it won't auto load on page

Build up
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650020965114413056

Assault
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650019444473618432

FUMR

24th Apr 2023, 10:37

Seems a waste of a grenade after shooting the guy!

wondering

24th Apr 2023, 10:45

Anybody F-18s?
Australia’s Mothballed F/A-18 Hornets Should Be Given To Ukraine
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/australias-mothballed-f-a-18-hornets-should-be-given-to-ukraine

Video Mixdown

24th Apr 2023, 11:21

Anybody F-18s? Australia’s Mothballed F/A-18 Hornets Should Be Given To Ukraine
Hard to see an argument for not doing it. What's the difference between supplying combat aircraft and supplying all the other weapons that are already in use? Ukraine's Western allies have now invested so much in repelling the invasion that they surely cannot now afford to let Russia claim any sort of victory.

fdr

24th Apr 2023, 11:29

Seems a waste of a grenade after shooting the guy!

Saves on postage.

That was a risky assault for the Ukrainians, it could have easily gone the other way. The Russians friend slept through the whole thing. Seems a lot of effort to get a Lada for the surviving family.

If the incident was beside Moscow, there might be sympathy for the brutality of war, but this bunch are part of a criminal invasion, they are fighting the wrong people.

Thrust Augmentation

24th Apr 2023, 11:59

Seems a waste of a grenade after shooting the guy!
Unless you weren't sure how many Ork's were down the Ork hole.

NutLoose

24th Apr 2023, 12:13

Now that's different!

https://twitter.com/maria_avdv/status/1650116297437376512

https://twitter.com/maria_avdv/status/1650116297437376512

NutLoose

24th Apr 2023, 12:23

https://twitter.com/Igor_from_Kyiv_/status/1649346177442127872

https://twitter.com/Igor_from_Kyiv_/status/1649346177442127872

:sad::(

https://twitter.com/ukraine_world/status/1650124251729412096?cxt=HHwWgIC2ufTQteYtAAAA

https://twitter.com/ukraine_world/status/1650124251729412096?cxt=HHwWgIC2ufTQteYtAAAA

fdr

24th Apr 2023, 13:52

If Putrid had time set aside for a lucid moment, would he wonder how long his project of winning the hearts and minds of Ukrainians will take to heal the hatred towards Russians, and Putin, that Ukrainians have gained, and which the rest of the world has largely condemned? When your only mate is a nasty individual such as Prickgoesin, perhaps you need to consider a new vocation, as master tactician is not working out so well.

NutLoose

24th Apr 2023, 15:26

Well with this guy as his mate, I suppose he is using China to boost his eastern numbers, because Russia on its own does not come close and is I am glad to report diminishing over the last couple of years.. A bit of a gall asking the west to behave decently!

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1650517332555431939?cxt=HHwWhoC86Zyx6OctAAAA

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1650517332555431939?cxt=HHwWhoC86Zyx6OctAAAA

NutLoose

24th Apr 2023, 15:52

A Russian women tells the world how great and superior Russians are compared to the rest of the World, Who added the images needs a huge pat on the back lol... Faultless.

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1650153464897347584?cxt=HHwWgICxwav1wuYtAAAA

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1650153464897347584?cxt=HHwWgICxwav1wuYtAAAA

Video Mixdown

24th Apr 2023, 16:24

A Russian women tells the world how great and superior Russians are compared to the rest of the World, Who added the images needs a huge pat on the back lol... Faultless.
Quite like the Ukrainian idea of changing the way we spell Russia to ruZZia. It could catch on.

[email protected]

24th Apr 2023, 16:38

A Russian women tells the world how great and superior Russians are compared to the rest of the World, Who added the images needs a huge pat on the back lol... Faultless.
The deep levels of introspection and blossoming self-awareness are enchanting............

I'll have a pint of whatever she's on please landlord:)

tdracer

24th Apr 2023, 17:23

Saves on postage.
The Russians friend slept through the whole thing.

I think that other guy was already in that sleep that you never wake up from.

NutLoose

24th Apr 2023, 19:47

Interesting..

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650550840787103744?cxt=HHwWgMCzzdTP9-ctAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650550840787103744?cxt=HHwWgMCzzdTP9-ctAAAA

NutLoose

24th Apr 2023, 19:54

WTF

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650471000469917697?cxt=HHwWgsC-8auo0-ctAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650471000469917697?cxt=HHwWgsC-8auo0-ctAAAA

NutLoose

24th Apr 2023, 19:55

Ukraine carrying out heavy artillery bombing.

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650495870700331009?cxt=HHwWgoC9xf3P3uctAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650495870700331009?cxt=HHwWgoC9xf3P3uctAAAA

212man

24th Apr 2023, 20:09

Interesting..

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650550840787103744?cxt=HHwWgMCzzdTP9-ctAAAA
like LGW in some ways

sonas

24th Apr 2023, 20:27

Here’s a right cheerful Charlie

https://vm.tiktok.com/ZGJmxfJot/

my daughter came in terrified by this nugget on the dreaded TikTok.

Timmy Tomkins

25th Apr 2023, 08:50

A Russian women tells the world how great and superior Russians are compared to the rest of the World, Who added the images needs a huge pat on the back lol... Faultless.

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1650153464897347584?cxt=HHwWgICxwav1wuYtAAAA

So satire is alive in Roozia then? And she can't be prosecuted because averythng she says is positive

NutLoose

25th Apr 2023, 09:11

Getting worried? Coming to the Aberdeen proving grounds soon?

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650761720636342279?cxt=HHwWjoC89b3C1-gtAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650761720636342279?cxt=HHwWjoC89b3C1-gtAAAA

NutLoose

25th Apr 2023, 09:31

Ukraine's new automated guns

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1650516696434900993?cxt=HHwWgoDUrZmM6OctAAAA

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1650516696434900993?cxt=HHwWgoDUrZmM6OctAAAA

[email protected]

25th Apr 2023, 11:40

Ukraine's new automated guns They should christen those 'The Lada Givers'......

jolihokistix

25th Apr 2023, 11:43

Poor things have no protection! :{
And they need real working legs...

NutLoose

25th Apr 2023, 12:10

:(

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1650818498040348672?cxt=HHwWgIC2xa6r8egtAAAA

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1650818498040348672?cxt=HHwWgIC2xa6r8egtAAAA

NutLoose

25th Apr 2023, 12:13

Preparation work? or bluff

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650797230629040131

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650797230629040131

NutLoose

25th Apr 2023, 12:16

Challengers out and about. They have been making a big show of all the Western kit for a while now, it must be worrying to the Ruzzians

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650824401946902529?cxt=HHwWgoC8iYKD9OgtAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650824401946902529?cxt=HHwWgoC8iYKD9OgtAAAA

Good to see the odd Ruzzian surrendering again.

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650808355273728006?cxt=HHwWjICzhf3c7OgtAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650808355273728006?cxt=HHwWjICzhf3c7OgtAAAA

NutLoose

25th Apr 2023, 12:26

Cuckoo land again..
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1650802095727992838?cxt=HHwWjICz5c_w6egtAAAA

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1650802095727992838?cxt=HHwWjICz5c_w6egtAAAA

Sweet

https://twitter.com/KpsZSU/status/1650421418218201090?cxt=HHwWhIC9qaPivOctAAAA

https://twitter.com/KpsZSU/status/1650421418218201090?cxt=HHwWhIC9qaPivOctAAAA

.. (https://twitter.com/KpsZSU/status/1650421418218201090?cxt=HHwWhIC9qaPivOctAAAA)

ORAC

25th Apr 2023, 13:07

https://twitter.com/justin_br0nk/status/1650525432393920513?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

Justin Bronk:

Delighted to share that '@CNA_org has just released a report by me assessing the short, medium and long term threat posed by the Russian Aerospace Forces in light of the first year of the Invasion of Ukraine. Free to download here:

https://www.cna.org/reports/2023/04/russian-combat-air-strengths-and-limitations

NutLoose

25th Apr 2023, 14:48

Winemaker

25th Apr 2023, 16:51

So satire is alive in Roozia then? And she can't be prosecuted because averythng she says is positive
I'm not so sure she's not serious. I think someone else added the video background.

NutLoose

25th Apr 2023, 21:01

A Tour around a captured KAMAZ, they’re about $1.5 mil each.

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1649522046366302208?cxt=HHwWgIC27fjjo-QtAAAA

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1649522046366302208?cxt=HHwWgIC27fjjo-QtAAAA

ORAC

25th Apr 2023, 22:27

https://twitter.com/victorishb123/status/1650907475309371394?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

Ok, that whole "running out of missiles" thing was produced last year. People just found OUT about it recently and so in their minds it is a recent thing. We have been providing RIM-7 missiles to Ukraine for Buk since January:…

https://t.co/AelpBLjxuB

WhatsaLizad?

26th Apr 2023, 02:06

A Russian troop shortage? :} I wonder if they have a box in the trenches for him to stand on..

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1650868036751040513?cxt=HHwWgoC92fLuh-ktAAAA

Nutloose,
The velocity of the rounds exiting the barrel of that rifle he's holding is the same as a 6'8" weightlifter holding the same rifle. My guess is low CG and profile benefits him far better in many situations than the tall guy as well. I've read of many like him as "tunnel rats" going below to kill in Viet Nam. In the Pacific in WWII, the video is also probably a good example of the size comparisons of the island Infantry combatants throughout the war. The tall guys took their lumps from the short Japanese as well.

I'm just a Civvy, but my guess is 99% of the fights this guy might find himself in aren't boxing matches.
Take care!

ORAC

26th Apr 2023, 06:16

https://news.yahoo.com/exclusive-putins-plans-to-keep-the-baltics-in-check-220033457.html

Exclusive: Putin's plans to keep the Baltics in check

The Russian Presidential Administration’s strategy documents for Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania show a Kremlin “out of touch” with realities in the NATO and EU member states at its doorstep.

Beamr

26th Apr 2023, 08:16

Psyops 101 by UKR MOD.
Very good.

https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1651097603084554240

https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1651097603084554240

ORAC

26th Apr 2023, 10:29

What’s not to like…

https://twitter.com/noelreports/status/1651160130103197696?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

Great, mercenary infighting.

Wagner PMC fighters threatened to shoot mercenaries from Gazprom's Potok PMC. The mercenaries from Wagner directly complain to Prigozhin.

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1651163200732254208?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

NutLoose

26th Apr 2023, 11:27

They're now claiming there is treason in Russia as Wagner runs short of ammo.... :D Gazprom PMC, I hope British Gas don't get ideas ;)

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1651183960016257026?cxt=HHwWhIC8uYbEl-otAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1651183960016257026?cxt=HHwWhIC8uYbEl-otAAAA

Prickozhim is now worried everyone who is anyone in Russia now want their own PMC for future power struggles back home, and that they are trying to reduce Wagners size...Keep sending them to Ukraine, They will help with that..

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1651181923794911232?cxt=HHwWgIC8tcPNluotAAAA

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1651181923794911232?cxt=HHwWgIC8tcPNluotAAAA

NutLoose

26th Apr 2023, 11:32

Google maps have updated Mariupols maps showing the destruction..

https://twitter.com/United24media/status/1651131488966942720?cxt=HHwWgICx1erV_-ktAAAA

https://twitter.com/United24media/status/1651131488966942720?cxt=HHwWgICx1erV_-ktAAAA

NutLoose

26th Apr 2023, 11:39

More trench clearing.

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1651158379467874306?cxt=HHwWhIC9wYjzi-otAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1651158379467874306?cxt=HHwWhIC9wYjzi-otAAAA

mickjoebill

26th Apr 2023, 11:47

https://youtu.be/uVwxeKY7lj0
Former commercial pilot Denys delivers his regular update on the conflict. Unusually he elaborates about corruption within Ukraine.
In same breath talks of the failure of Ukraine Govt/ military to defend with mines, eastern Ukraine, allowing Russian forces to take Donbas with ease. He says corruption is rife and is more concerning for long term health of the country than Russian expansionism :(

Depressing.

Mjb

NutLoose

26th Apr 2023, 11:48

Russia in some parts are using thermal blankets.

https://twitter.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1650391632833830913?cxt=HHwWgoCz9cScr-ctAAAA

https://twitter.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1650391632833830913?cxt=HHwWgoCz9cScr-ctAAAA

NutLoose

26th Apr 2023, 12:07

Oooohh dear, how sad.

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1650935653675180045

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1650935653675180045

mickjoebill

26th Apr 2023, 12:09

Detailed update report on Ukraines use of drones.
There is something absurd about cramming troops into narrow trenches that are so easy to identify by your enemy using a $1k toy adapted to drop munitions into this confined space.

https://youtu.be/nf1B7Dhfwt4

Mjb

NutLoose

26th Apr 2023, 12:12

More Russian defence trenches dug along the left bank of the Dnipro

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1651116337777762309?cxt=HHwWioCzwfXj-OktAAAA

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1651116337777762309?cxt=HHwWioCzwfXj-OktAAAA

NutLoose

26th Apr 2023, 12:19

I never thought of this, but British vehicles supplied to Ukraine are favoured because......

https://twitter.com/frontlinekit/status/1650838718486282241?cxt=HHwWgoCwzazE-ugtAAAA

https://twitter.com/frontlinekit/status/1650838718486282241?cxt=HHwWgoCwzazE-ugtAAAA

NutLoose

26th Apr 2023, 12:41

Strange, a fire in Cyprus..

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1651197778398248961?cxt=HHwWgoC8tbHoneotAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1651197778398248961?cxt=HHwWgoC8tbHoneotAAAA

NutLoose

26th Apr 2023, 12:53

Good warning.

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPR/status/1650817680390393856?cxt=HHwWgMDUyeL78OgtAAAA

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPR/status/1650817680390393856?cxt=HHwWgMDUyeL78OgtAAAA

ORAC

26th Apr 2023, 13:16

https://twitter.com/gerashchenko_en/status/1651197159054749696?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

"This is going to end in hell": Russian oligarchs believe that Russian authorities are leading the country into abyss.

While the Kremlin pretends that everything is under control, the oligarchs start talking openly about the upcoming catastrophe….

NutLoose

26th Apr 2023, 14:01

"This is going to end in hell": Russian oligarchs believe that Russian authorities are leading the country into abyss.

While the Kremlin pretends that everything is under control, the oligarchs start talking openly about the upcoming catastrophe….

Which is why all the Oligarchs are looking at their own PMC's as they can see the writing on the wall.
IMHO several things point to a general breakdown.

1/
The Russian Army, their general powerbase is no longer as it was and probably would struggle to defend the outlying states from insurrection and dissent, along with their overseas commitments such as Syria etc.
2/
Their budget is in tatters, funding a war that it looks like they can no longer afford, their main earners in Gas and Oil a shadow of its former self and with that other large earner, Nuclear energy to also be hit by sanctions, it will get worse. Militarily, I do not think they will have the budget to replace their material losses any time soon..
3/
Conscription, the way it was handled was woofully inept, engineers, those responsible in key infrastructure, heating, power, water, food, production etc were whisked off the streets and sent to be slaughtered in their thousands decimating the factories and infrastructure required to run the Country back home, people that will take two generations to replace.
4/
Police, the latest to be conscripted from the likes of Moscow, meaning a rise in crime, and with the returning prisoners released for serving in Ukraine, a larger criminal base of trained and possibly armed thugs released from prison and finding a lack of police to keep a lid on things.
5/
Conscripted youth slaughtered on the fields of Ukraine for what, Putins vanity, meaning those jobs I mentioned in three will have to skip 2 generations, as the youth that would have filled them is also gone, meaning the generation after them will need to take their place.
6/
High end skills, such as in computing, finance, etc, lost to the country when those with the funds, saw the writing on the wall and fled early on, probably never to return.
7/
Finally, a Country now cut off from the world by just about everyone they used to trade with, who will not wish to trade with nor operate in Russia for a significant time into the future. A Country that is a pariah in the world and far from strengthening it's place and position in the World, has destroyed it and the myth that the Russian Military once had, they have bolstered the Wests resolve and brought NATO back together bigger and stronger than before as no one could have envisioned, and strengthened the cooperation of European countries and the USA.

NutLoose

26th Apr 2023, 14:12

Though as in the comments, decoy? It looks like a lot of wood flying about after the hit.

https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1651220243660800002?cxt=HHwWhICw1YSEqOotAAAA

https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1651220243660800002?cxt=HHwWhICw1YSEqOotAAAA

Beamr

26th Apr 2023, 15:30

Mig-31 crashed in Murmansk. That's one less to be used to bomb civilians. Good.

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1651238030772928513

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1651238030772928513

Wokkafans

26th Apr 2023, 19:48

The French reportedly delaying delivery of munitions to Ukraine, demanding they be manufactured in the EU, despite insufficient facilities to do so.

"EU ambassadors tonight failed yet again on joint purchases of ammunition for Ukraine as France is refusing to budge on its demand for the ammunition to only be produced in the EU. Poland leads a coalition of countries that has had enough of France’s games"

Thread: https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1651309862012289043?s=20

langleybaston

26th Apr 2023, 20:57

That makes me sort of Polish.

I suspect France has no concept of "the greater good" transcending local matters.

NutLoose

27th Apr 2023, 01:35

Wow!!

A remote controlled supposed Ukrainian loitering Torpedo with a 1200KM range. That will rid the Black Sea of Russian launch platforms and possibly hit their ports both in Crimea and Russia if true. Range looks erm large but looking at it , the bottom does appear to have a fitting for a bolt on… ballast / fuel tank etc?

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1651274879163940891?cxt=HHwWtoC-8Z7wwOotAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1651274879163940891?cxt=HHwWtoC-8Z7wwOotAAAA

NutLoose

27th Apr 2023, 03:30

Everyone should listen to this guy.

https://youtu.be/d2txQOzZgHc

https://youtu.be/d2txQOzZgHc

NutLoose

27th Apr 2023, 03:43

Transltion.

Latest video of a Flakpanzer Gepard 1A2 with kill markings. The old girl can still do it

https://twitter.com/gepardtatze/status/1649454069092630528?cxt=HHwWgIC22ZLvhOQtAAAA

https://twitter.com/gepardtatze/status/1649454069092630528?cxt=HHwWgIC22ZLvhOQtAAAA

India Four Two

27th Apr 2023, 03:56

Everyone should listen to this guy.

Absolutely remarkable.

NutLoose

27th Apr 2023, 04:11

Just so damned nice :)

https://twitter.com/ukrainiansquad/status/1651267717838561280

https://twitter.com/ukrainiansquad/status/1651267717838561280

fdr

27th Apr 2023, 04:41

Which is why all the Oligarchs are looking at their own PMC's as they can see the writing on the wall.
IMHO several things point to a general breakdown.

1/
The Russian Army, their general powerbase is no longer as it was and probably would struggle to defend the outlying states from insurrection and dissent, along with their overseas commitments such as Syria etc.
2/
Their budget is in tatters, funding a war that it looks like they can no longer afford, their main earners in Gas and Oil a shadow of its former self and with that other large earner, Nuclear energy to also be hit by sanctions, it will get worse. Militarily, I do not think they will have the budget to replace their material losses any time soon..
3/
Conscription, the way it was handled was woofully inept, engineers, those responsible in key infrastructure, heating, power, water, food, production etc were whisked off the streets and sent to be slaughtered in their thousands decimating the factories and infrastructure required to run the Country back home, people that will take two generations to replace.
4/
Police, the latest to be conscripted from the likes of Moscow, meaning a rise in crime, and with the returning prisoners released for serving in Ukraine, a larger criminal base of trained and possibly armed thugs released from prison and finding a lack of police to keep a lid on things.
5/
Conscripted youth slaughtered on the fields of Ukraine for what, Putins vanity, meaning those jobs I mentioned in three will have to skip 2 generations, as the youth that would have filled them is also gone, meaning the generation after them will need to take their place.
6/
High end skills, such as in computing, finance, etc, lost to the country when those with the funds, saw the writing on the wall and fled early on, probably never to return.
7/
Finally, a Country now cut off from the world by just about everyone they used to trade with, who will not wish to trade with nor operate in Russia for a significant time into the future. A Country that is a pariah in the world and far from strengthening it's place and position in the World, has destroyed it and the myth that the Russian Military once had, they have bolstered the Wests resolve and brought NATO back together bigger and stronger than before as no one could have envisioned, and strengthened the cooperation of European countries and the USA.

Hard to argue that Putin hasn't achieved the destruction of the "Nazi regime", he just got the flag wrong. Destruction of Russia's conventional arms and economy in one single hit is worthy of an enduring memory. Pity that innocent people were harmed by Putins need for validation. Would have thought having more loot than any other despot in recent history was a good reason to keep a low profile.

The growth of PMCs puts Russia back to the future for being a failed state overseen by robber barons. Their neighbours have long memories of the kindness shown in the past by Moscow, the wheels are coming off the wagon.

ramble on

27th Apr 2023, 07:55

Everyone should listen to this guy.

https://youtu.be/d2txQOzZgHc
Dave is a lion heart!

Wokkafans

27th Apr 2023, 09:08

Very grim conditions at the front line - footage of 3rd Assault Brigade soldiers storming the trenches near Bakhmut under heavy fire.

Caution - contains images of corpses

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/130da4l/intense_pov_footage_of_3rd_assault_brigade/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

Beamr

27th Apr 2023, 12:31

I'll tell you, this is just the tip of the ice berg. Just one colonel at one depot. Then multiply by the number of staff at every garrison, warehouse and depot.
This is good.

https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1651494541503913985

https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1651494541503913985

Sue Vêtements

27th Apr 2023, 13:22

Wow!!

A remote controlled supposed Ukrainian loitering Torpedo with a 1200KM range. That will rid the Black Sea of Russian launch platforms and possibly hit their ports both in Crimea and Russia if true. Range looks erm large but looking at it , the bottom does appear to have a fitting for a bolt on… ballast / fuel tank etc?

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1651274879163940891?cxt=HHwWtoC-8Z7wwOotAAAA

That's a strange picture: Just stick the thing on some rickety old table with about 49% of the weight overhanging the edge, then when someone accidentally bumps into the table they look over their shoulder as it starts to fall and think "I hope it's not a live one"

FUMR

27th Apr 2023, 13:28

Wokkafans

27th Apr 2023, 13:44

There's a news item on the BBC with Ukrainian forces claiming a lack of ammo on the front. Hmm, not sure what to make of that. If true it wouldn's seem prudent to make the fact known.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-65347835

Perhaps it's to apply pressure to the French because of their stance here?

Thread: https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1651309862012289043?s=20

Wokkafans

27th Apr 2023, 13:52

Claimed to be footage of Ukraine using the Advanced Precision Kill Weapon System (APKWS). Impressive accuracy hitting the comms tower at the end of the clip.

System info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Precision_Kill_Weapon_System

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1651553974984536067?s=20

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1651553974984536067?s=20

sangiovese.

27th Apr 2023, 14:07

I'll tell you, this is just the tip of the ice berg. Just one colonel at one depot. Then multiply by the number of staff at every garrison, warehouse and depot.
This is good.

https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1651494541503913985

is one of the tank engines called Thomas?

and how do you steal one without notice?….

NutLoose

27th Apr 2023, 14:14

Russian defensive positions built on top of the reactors at the Zaporizhzhya Nuclear Power Plant. Come the time I don't know why they don't simply surround it and starve them out.

https://twitter.com/DefenceHQ/status/1651456287408832512

https://twitter.com/DefenceHQ/status/1651456287408832512

NutLoose

27th Apr 2023, 14:17

Meanwhile downtown Moscow no doubt causing some concern

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1651589723826135041?cxt=HHwWgoC9tc6G0OstAAAA

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1651589723826135041?cxt=HHwWgoC9tc6G0OstAAAA

Video Mixdown

27th Apr 2023, 14:24

how do you steal one without notice?….
By giving everyone else their cut of the take for either helping or looking the other way.

NutLoose

27th Apr 2023, 14:28

Russia's Deputy Defence Minister has been removed

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1651520724060762112?cxt=HHwWgMCzjabWsOstAAAA

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1651520724060762112?cxt=HHwWgMCzjabWsOstAAAA

NutLoose

27th Apr 2023, 14:37

Home to the simple things in life.

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1651490613865455617?cxt=HHwWgoC91dP9oustAAAA

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1651490613865455617?cxt=HHwWgoC91dP9oustAAAA

Mogwi

27th Apr 2023, 14:39

There's a news item on the BBC with Ukrainian forces claiming a lack of ammo on the front. Hmm, not sure what to make of that. If true it wouldn's seem prudent to make the fact known.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-65347835

Ammo is rather like fuel; the only time you can have too much is when you are on fire!

Mog

fdr

27th Apr 2023, 15:02

Best way! 🙂

The Colonel should be promoted for saving the lives of 7 tank crews and for allowing for 7 tanks to be re allocated to guarding Russias eastern borders as China does its maths on recovering Chinese territory stolen by Russia. Xi would be rubbing his hands in glee for Putin presenting such an easy option to regain historical lands of the greater China region, which happens to include Sakhalin, Vladivostok.... and other nice spots on the map. Voldemort needs more than 7 engines to hold only the territory in his game of Risk, it's now Xi's turn.

The saving of Ukrainian ATGW's is also desirable, as is the removal of the CO2 that the T-90's emit in running away from Ukrainian defenders and when they enter the turret toss competition, the CO2 emissions from the SSTO attempts is mitigated. All in all a win-win.

Now, if Ukraine wanted to cause more havoc, they should offer additional rewards for more engines from the KAMAZ, Armata and other sundry items, including Su-25, Su-35 engines, or at least their compressor blades, they can be mailed to Kyiv... Firing pins would suffice.

jolihokistix

27th Apr 2023, 15:13

Xi has seen the poor performance of the ‘mighty’ Russian army and finally called Zelenskiyy, acknowledging the emerging reality that China will need to be ready to deal with Ukraine because they actually might win this thing.

NutLoose

27th Apr 2023, 15:32

Update on what's been delivered for the offensive.

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1651587096874827777?cxt=HHwWgoC-jdrtzustAAAA

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1651587096874827777?cxt=HHwWgoC-jdrtzustAAAA

Lonewolf_50

27th Apr 2023, 16:32

Some Aviation content.
Chilling Show of Strength: Vladimir Putin Sends Two Nuke Bombers Over the Baltic Sea in Tense Standoff With UK (msn.com) (https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/chilling-show-of-strength-vladimir-putin-sends-two-nuke-bombers-over-the-baltic-sea-in-tense-standoff-with-uk/ar-AA1aqXwT?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=a41d94877ee347a09895986a0adbc405&ei=13)

TU-160 flying over the Baltic.

Ninthace

27th Apr 2023, 16:49

It has been reported that two Russian Tu-160 nuclear bombers, known as White Swans, were seen skimming UK airspace, accompanied by a MiG-31 fighter, in a 14-hour mission.
Can a Mig 31 and Tu-160s operate for 14 hours without tanking?

NutLoose

27th Apr 2023, 17:05

Some more on Dave the evacuation driver.

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1651253720200499201

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1651253720200499201

Sue Vêtements

27th Apr 2023, 17:52

is one of the tank engines called Thomas?

and how do you steal one without notice?….

. . . and what do you do with them once you've stolen them?

ORAC

27th Apr 2023, 18:09

https://twitter.com/secretsqrl123/status/1651624485773033478?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

GAME CHANGER!!!!

if you don’t have a Russian passport and are in occupied Ukraine you will be jailed and or deported starting 1 july 2024, most will not qualify for citizenship.

From reports, deportations have started, but this makes it official.

tdracer

27th Apr 2023, 18:21

Interesting take on the new Russian 'Armata' tanks:

Russia Finally Sends T-14 Armata Tanks to Ukraine « Lawrence Person's BattleSwarm Blog (https://www.battleswarmblog.com/?p=54769)

Seems they will still have the turret altitude competition, but this time the crew will have a chance to survive:
The T-14 tank has an unmanned turret, with crew remotely controlling the armaments from “an isolated armoured capsule located in the front of the hull.”
Problem being, if the auto-loader jams or malfunctions (which apparently it is prone to do), the crew can't access it to unjam it.:confused:

ORAC

27th Apr 2023, 19:03

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1651553974984536067?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

Looks like a video of the use of Advanced Precision Kill Weapon Systems (APKWS) by 🇺🇦. APKWS has a semi-active laser guidance system and is a modified 70-mm Hydra 70 unguided missile. Judging by the landscape, it is used somewhere in the Kherson region.

https://t.me/operativnoZSU/93410

https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/what-the-vampire-weapon-system-the-u-s-is-sending-to-ukraine-can-actually-do

DaveReidUK

27th Apr 2023, 19:04

Video Mixdown

27th Apr 2023, 19:26

. . . and what do you do with them once you've stolen them?
I imagine he will have had a customer lined up. This was not some isolated opportunistic theft - it seems to be the way all of ruZZian society works.

NutLoose

27th Apr 2023, 21:35

A Ukrainian pilot explaining why the F16 is the preferred choice over the Mirage or Eurofighter, and interesting comment on the Eurofighter that has to have relevance to the U.K. and fellow operators is he does not think that in use in Ukraine the supply of spares would be able to keep up with the demands the Ukrainian airforce would require in combat. That does not bode well f we ever come up against a similar adversary.

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1651656833935745043?cxt=HHwWpoCx2ffI7ustAAAA

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1651656833935745043?cxt=HHwWpoCx2ffI7ustAAAA

tdracer

27th Apr 2023, 21:41

A Ukrainian pilot explaining why the F16 is the preferred choice over the Mirage or Eurofighter, and interesting comment on the Eurofighter that has to have relevance to the U.K. and fellow operators is he does not think that in use in Ukraine the supply of spares would be able to keep up with the demands the Ukrainian airforce would require in combat. That does not bode well f we ever come up against a similar adversary.

Hopefully this is all being carefully monitored and studied by the military planner types in all the "western" countries. It's already been demonstrated that our reserves of various munitions are seriously lacking.
Perhaps some good can come out of this clusterf:mad: if it can both rid us of the curse of Putin, and leave us properly prepared for the next despot that decides they want to expand their empire...

fdr

27th Apr 2023, 23:52

Hopefully this is all being carefully monitored and studied by the military planner types in all the "western" countries. It's already been demonstrated that our reserves of various munitions are seriously lacking.
Perhaps some good can come out of this clusterf:mad: if it can both rid us of the curse of Putin, and leave us properly prepared for the next despot that decides they want to expand their empire...

Freedom is not free. If the west wants to safeguard it's borders from the neo-empire egos such as Putin has shown himself to be, then adequate capability needs to be available to meet a rapidly escalating risk, and arguably, even the USA is falling down on that score. At a time that China is adding more carriers and blue water capability, the US response is to scrap 2 of their well proven carriers. Right now, that should be reconsidered. I understand that the maintenance cycle and refuelling will be a factor in that decision, but it is time that the refuelling was conducted as a modular system to permit rapid return to service of these fleet assets. Hulls loose thickness over time, but these ships are still young.

fineline

28th Apr 2023, 02:57

Would be interested in Karaya's thoughts on F18 as another option. This was posted on the old version of this thread:

https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/australias-mothballed-f-a-18-hornets-should-be-given-to-ukraine

wondering

28th Apr 2023, 03:11

GAME CHANGER!!!!

if you don’t have a Russian passport and are in occupied Ukraine you will be jailed and or deported starting 1 july 2024, most will not qualify for citizenship.

From reports, deportations have started, but this makes it official.

That´s two options. Gulag or become a RuZZian citizen and get drafted.

[email protected]

28th Apr 2023, 06:32

You need to match the fighter with the available and compatible weaponry to do the job, not just play top trumps with aircraft specs.

[email protected]

28th Apr 2023, 06:34

"... over the Baltic Sea near Britain".

Hmmm.

Yes, did someone move the FIR boundary when we weren't looking?

NutLoose

28th Apr 2023, 09:19

Massive air strikes last night.

https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1651838292906606592?cxt=HHwWgICwsZ6LwewtAAAA

https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1651838292906606592?cxt=HHwWgICwsZ6LwewtAAAA

UWAS

28th Apr 2023, 09:23

Ohrly

28th Apr 2023, 09:27

ORAC

28th Apr 2023, 09:38

https://twitter.com/bruckenruski/status/1651666473557827584?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

Detailed electrified rail logistics lines and their traction stations in the Russian near and occupied territories (the latter AFU has prioritized as High Value Targets) are available here.

Includes
Traction Stations
Transmission Stations
Documented Events

https://t.co/OUKdZgEKkF

ORAC

28th Apr 2023, 10:42

https://twitter.com/covertshores/status/1651860434251575298?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

Slowly information is coming out about the Russian Navy ships operating around NordStream before the attacks. E.g.

The presence of SS-750 with a DSRV submersible is **highly suspicious**

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1651860434251575298.html

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune.org-vbulletin/2000x1515/image_379f82e3860461b2d976f0582c0eff2a1b35571c.jpeg

Sepp

28th Apr 2023, 10:45

Is it me with a mistake (again!) ? Nutloose posted at #129 and 154 film of Dave. In the Youtube #129 his left eye as we view is apparently damaged. In the #154 post the patch is over the right eye as you view. Thoughts?
As Ohrly says, the pic in #154 is reversed. Clearly taken with the "selfie" camera on a smartphone, which will act as a mirror and hence reverse the image. Quite why the software can't at least offer to rectify that, is beyond me.

NutLoose

28th Apr 2023, 11:32

Detailed electrified rail logistics lines and their traction stations in the Russian near and occupied territories (the latter AFU has prioritized as High Value Targets) are available here.

Includes
Traction Stations
Transmission Stations
Documented Events

https://t.co/OUKdZgEKkF

Trying to disrupt the resupply network for the forthcoming offensive?

NutLoose

28th Apr 2023, 13:28

A fascinating look at Russia’s nuclear stockpile and that they are trying to hide the true state of play.

https://kyivindependent.com/russia-tries-to-conceal-its-dwindling-nuclear-stockpile/

https://kyivindependent.com/russia-tries-to-conceal-its-dwindling-nuclear-stockpile/

As for the much vaunted Satan missiles the propagandists keep bleating on about.

From the article

For instance, Russia's Strategic Nuclear Forces claim to operate 46 heavy missiles R-36M2 Voyevoda (commonly known in the West under the NATO name, SS-18 Satan), which entered service in the 1970s and 1980s.

These missiles make up the bulk of Russia’s nuclear power, with one missile designed to carry up to 10 warheads with a yield of up to 1 megaton (equivalent to 1 million tons of TNT). For comparison, the bomb that was used against Hiroshima in 1945 had a yield of 16 kilotons (16,000 tons of TNT).

But the R-36M2 Voyevoda missiles are considered to have long passed their operational life, especially given the fact that most missile types are designed to sustain between 10 and 15 years of service, with the possibility of extension following test launches and checkups.

Russia has been running a program to extend the use of R-36s since as far back as 2003.

The R-36 operation and production history is closely tied to Ukraine's Yuzhnoye Design Bureau, which terminated the missile's maintenance for Russia in 2015.

In 2018 and 2019, the Kremlin again announced its plans to extend the use of R-36M2 systems. But even since then, there have been little to no test launches, which suggests that the missiles are not being extended anymore, and that there’s no certainty regarding their operational status after so many years in service.

Inevitably, the old R-36s are being gradually retired, according to Pavel Luzin, a Russia defense policy expert with the U.S.-based Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy.

"This process began a long time ago, and it's a natural thing," the expert said.

“You can extend the use of R-36M2 on paper for as long as you want, but delivery vehicles, navigation components, propellent elements run out of their time. There is the reduction of not only missiles but, for instance, nuclear-armed submarines and even bombers. Not only R-36M2s, but also Topol and Topol-M missile systems are also being removed from service.”

fdr

28th Apr 2023, 13:55

GAME CHANGER!!!!

if you don’t have a Russian passport and are in occupied Ukraine you will be jailed and or deported starting 1 july 2024, most will not qualify for citizenship.

From reports, deportations have started, but this makes it official.

That is a war crime. Has been for some time. Naughty Vlad.

pasta

28th Apr 2023, 14:43

A fascinating look at Russia’s nuclear stockpile and that they are trying to hide the true state of play.
And that's not even considering the components that were sold to finance yachts, stored incorrectly, built on the cheap, or only ever existed on paper.

Of course, if they really are stupid enough to use a nuclear weapon (and my uneducated impression is that they're not) they only need one that works...

jolihokistix

28th Apr 2023, 14:48

That is a war crime. Has been for some time. Naughty Vlad.

In for a penny, in for a pound. Imagine the outcry if any tiny percentage of this was committed by a Western politician.

NutLoose

28th Apr 2023, 14:49

Updated Google maps of Hostomel.

https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1651226909722791939?cxt=HHwWhsC-2YaIq-otAAAA

https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/status/1651226909722791939?cxt=HHwWhsC-2YaIq-otAAAA

NutLoose

28th Apr 2023, 14:52

Total opposite to Putin.

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1651670330669137921

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1651670330669137921

Video Mixdown

28th Apr 2023, 15:15

In for a penny, in for a pound. Imagine the outcry if any tiny percentage of this was committed by a Western politician.
That's the difference between being a state with an army rather than an army with a state, and we see the sort of corrupt and totalitarian societies that are associated with the latter. You can argue all you like that political squabbles hold our countries back and create division, but compared with the alternative I know which I prefer.

NutLoose

28th Apr 2023, 15:29

Chances are it might work just after lift off… ;)

Ninthace

28th Apr 2023, 16:02

Total opposite to Putin.

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1651670330669137921
Nonsense, Putin walks to work most days. You don't need trams in a bunker.

tdracer

28th Apr 2023, 16:06

That is a war crime. Has been for some time. Naughty Vlad.
He's well past caring about such things. This would actually be pretty low on his list of war crimes.
After all, you can only hang him once.

ORAC

28th Apr 2023, 16:08

Reference my earlier post on Russian electric trains and targeting their power substations….

https://twitter.com/noelreports/status/1651911188035321856?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

Russian sources report that a total of 5 UAVs hit an electrical substation in Belgorod.

Tartiflette Fan

28th Apr 2023, 16:10

And that's not even considering the components that were sold to finance yachts, stored incorrectly, built on the cheap, or only ever existed on paper.

Of course, if they really are stupid enough to use a nuclear weapon (and my uneducated impression is that they're not) they only need one that works...

Yes, but the corollary is, unless they are willing to launch all their missiles in one Armageddon attack, they have to be absolutely certain that the one they do use does work.

Beamr

28th Apr 2023, 18:42

More corrupt thieving officers of Russian armed forces.

One of the most interesting stories is the one fueling 41000kg less to an IL-78 tanker than was supposed to and sold it. Was the IL crew part of the scheme or did they just think "sh@t happens" and take off anyway. What did they provide to those poor sods waiting for a refuel, wave pile of rubles on the window?

https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1651966786345091072

https://twitter.com/ChrisO_wiki/status/1651966786345091072

Wokkafans

28th Apr 2023, 20:47

EU nations quarrel over where to buy fresh ammo for Ukraine

https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2023/04/28/eu-nations-quarrel-over-where-to-buy-fresh-ammo-for-ukraine/?utm_source=sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=dfn-dnr

nevillestyke

28th Apr 2023, 23:42

And they just might fall on Belgogrod?

megan

29th Apr 2023, 03:26

After all, you can only hang him onceThat's only the beginning td, still have the drawing and quartering to go. ;)

Beamr

29th Apr 2023, 04:01

Now thats what I'd call a bonfire.

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1652155232896286720

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1652155232896286720

BANANASBANANAS

29th Apr 2023, 05:29

That's the difference between being a state with an army rather than an army with a state, and we see the sort of corrupt and totalitarian societies that are associated with the latter. You can argue all you like that political squabbles hold our countries back and create division, but compared with the alternative I know which I prefer.

Time to remind ourselves of one of Churchill's quotes:

'Democracy is a terrible way to run a country - until you consider the alternatives!'

ORAC

29th Apr 2023, 06:30

https://twitter.com/ilvestoomas/status/1652013168179179520?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

Talk about a hostile takeover. Russian troops take over Finland’s largest energy company’s operations in Russia.

And yet when Estonians said it was a gangster state we were told we were psychologically damaged.

https://www.ft.com/content/aa7ffb41-bcb9-4983-a312-1473fa0513b8

Russia seizes subsidiaries of Finland’s Fortum and Germany’s Uniper

The Kremlin has taken control of the Russian subsidiaries of Finland’s Fortum and Germany’s Uniper, moves it said were a response to western confiscations of Russian assets.

Dmitry Peskov, President Vladimir Putin’s spokesman, told reporters on Wednesday that the Kremlin wanted to establish a “compensation fund” to hit back against what he called “the illegal expropriation of Russian assets abroad”.

Putin signed a decree late on Tuesday to “protect Russian property and national interests” by allowing the state to impose “temporary control” over the assets of companies from countries deemed unfriendly by the Kremlin.…

ORAC

29th Apr 2023, 06:55

Promises, promises….

https://twitter.com/gerashchenko_en/status/1652036580482097167?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

"Wagner PMC will cease to exist in some rather short period of time. We will become history" - Prigozhin.

henra

29th Apr 2023, 08:14

Putin signed a decree late on Tuesday to “protect Russian property and national interests” by allowing the state to impose “temporary control” over the assets of companies from countries deemed unfriendly by the Kremlin.…
Good!
This will hopefully make sure that the (not so few) Western companies still being active in Russia understand that this is a bad idea. And it will quite surely make Russia toxic for foreign investments for the next decades.

[email protected]

29th Apr 2023, 08:45

Promises, promises….

"Wagner PMC will cease to exist in some rather short period of time. We will become history" - Prigozhin.

Whilst they are still in Sudan trying to get as much gold out as possible!

fdr

29th Apr 2023, 10:19

Talk about a hostile takeover. Russian troops take over Finland’s largest energy company’s operations in Russia.

And yet when Estonians said it was a gangster state we were told we were psychologically damaged.

https://www.ft.com/content/aa7ffb41-bcb9-4983-a312-1473fa0513b8

Russia seizes subsidiaries of Finland’s Fortum and Germany’s Uniper

The Kremlin has taken control of the Russian subsidiaries of Finland’s Fortum and Germany’s Uniper, moves it said were a response to western confiscations of Russian assets.

Dmitry Peskov, President Vladimir Putin’s spokesman, told reporters on Wednesday that the Kremlin wanted to establish a “compensation fund” to hit back against what he called “the illegal expropriation of Russian assets abroad”.

Putin signed a decree late on Tuesday to “protect Russian property and national interests” by allowing the state to impose “temporary control” over the assets of companies from countries deemed unfriendly by the Kremlin.…

It will be a brave VP who suggests to the CEO to "trust Russia", they are worth the risk. They will be a pariah state until they get around to actually electing a Navalny or other opposition to the corruption that characterises Russia for the last 20, 100, 200, 1,050 years.

Practice makes perfect.

On Nukes, there is vanishingly small likelihood that the strategic rocket forces escaped the corruption of the rest of the putrifying mess that is Russia under the tutelage of Voldemort. Their latest rockets when test fired from the barely floating Typhoon to qualify for the latest boomer, the Borei, 7 of 8 failed, one blew up immediately out of the tube damaging the sub resulting in her limping home. The one that flew didn't fly where targeted. So at least that was their best systems, and nothing bad ever happened from neglecting to maintain the sunshine, bucket, one of. The argument against a demonstration in 45 was the backwash of making a fuss and having a fizzle.

Fastest way for Russia to be completely isolated for a rather long time is to smoke their mates.

jolihokistix

29th Apr 2023, 10:28

So Russia will not object to Ukraine taking over the Zaporizhzhia NPP then. Perhaps the troops camped out on the roofs of the reactor buildings will suddenly decide when they come under attack that it's not actually such a good place to be.

Tartiflette Fan

29th Apr 2023, 11:25

It will be a brave VP who suggests to the CEO to "trust Russia", they are worth the risk. They will be a pariah state until they get around to actually electing a Navalny or other opposition to the corruption that characterises Russia for the last 20, 100, 200, 1,050 years.

Practice makes perfect.

On Nukes, there is vanishingly small likelihood that the strategic rocket forces escaped the corruption of the rest of the putrifying mess that is Russia under the tutelage of Voldemort. Their latest rockets when test fired from the barely floating Typhoon to qualify for the latest boomer, the Borei, 7 of 8 failed, one blew up immediately out of the tube damaging the sub resulting in her limping home. The one that flew didn't fly where targeted. So at least that was their best systems, and nothing bad ever happened from neglecting to maintain the sunshine, bucket, one of. The argument against a demonstration in 45 was the backwash of making a fuss and having a fizzle.

Fastest way for Russia to be completely isolated for a rather long time is to smoke their mates.

When was this ? My quick check gave the following 2018 report which was a salvo of four missiles within 20 seconds with four hits and a single successful test from 2022.

https://thediplomat.com/2018/05/russias-borei-class-test-fires-4-submarine-launched-ballistic-missiles/

https://eurasiantimes.com/new-russian-nuclear-submarine-successfully-test-fires-bulava-ballistic/ (https://thediplomat.com/2018/05/russias-borei-class-test-fires-4-submarine-launched-ballistic-missiles/)

Beamr

29th Apr 2023, 12:30

May 9th parades in Putinland shall be interesting. In those rare towns where such are held.

https://twitter.com/albafella1/status/1651724790644760577

https://twitter.com/albafella1/status/1651724790644760577

Tartiflette Fan

29th Apr 2023, 13:05

May 9th parades in Putinland shall be interesting. In those rare towns where such are held.

https://twitter.com/albafella1/status/1651724790644760577

I am entirely unsure what difference - if any - that will make where parades are held. I have no idea if the general Russian population knows the difference between a T-62 and a T-90

NutLoose

29th Apr 2023, 13:19

Can we send Putin an email that we intend to take possession of the Kremlin to pay off Russian debts / seizures and ask them to vacate?

Beamr

29th Apr 2023, 13:38

I am entirely unsure what difference - if any - that will make where parades are held. I have no idea if the general Russian population knows the difference between a T-62 and a T-90
the average Ivan probably wouldn't notice the difference. But he for sure will notice the total abscense of MBT's whatsoever. Tanks are what is considered the pride and strength of the armed forces of Russia since WW2. So to the extent that there were two statues in every soviet village, Lenin and a T34.. The ground forces are what the Russian military doctrine has been leaning on, in propaganda as well as in strategies.
No MBT in a parade is no parade at all.

Beamr

29th Apr 2023, 14:18

Ukraine and Czech to co-produce F/A 259 light attack jets.

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1652115733290287107

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1652115733290287107

ORAC

29th Apr 2023, 15:12

👀👀👀

Medvedev:

“I see no point in maintaining diplomatic relations with Poland. This state must not exist for us while there is no one but Russophobes in power and Ukraine is full of Polish mercenaries, who should be ruthlessly exterminated like stinky rats.”

DaveReidUK

29th Apr 2023, 15:13

Ukraine and Czech to co-produce F/A 259 light attack jets.

It's a fairly depressing prospect that the conflict might to last so long that an aircraft currently existing only on paper would have an effect.

NutLoose

29th Apr 2023, 15:47

They think the fuel depot is a total loss.

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1652199889416192002?cxt=HHwWhIC8qfbC5e0tAAAA

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1652199889416192002?cxt=HHwWhIC8qfbC5e0tAAAA

NutLoose

29th Apr 2023, 15:52

Russia is now operating a flying boat. :E

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1652202420355694593

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1652202420355694593

NutLoose

29th Apr 2023, 16:02

Remember the report that Poland had found an aerial object in a forest a few days ago, well there are now thoughts that it may well be an old Russian nuclear weapon that was used as a decoy on an earlier attack on Ukraine and went adrift.

this one

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1652325153114652672

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1652325153114652672

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1652338834082869254?cxt=HHwWjMC94cjapO4tAAAA

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1652338834082869254?cxt=HHwWjMC94cjapO4tAAAA

NutLoose

29th Apr 2023, 16:19

What a ballsy woman, total respect.

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1651357429840396289?cxt=HHwWgoC2ram15uotAAAA

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1651357429840396289?cxt=HHwWgoC2ram15uotAAAA

NutLoose

29th Apr 2023, 16:38

A Gepard hit, but unsure as to the damage.

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1651877246057979906?cxt=HHwWhICx_c3m0uwtAAAA (https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1651357429840396289?cxt=HHwWgoC2ram15uotAAAA)

https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1651877246057979906?cxt=HHwWhICx_c3m0uwtAAAA

NutLoose

29th Apr 2023, 16:51

Marders on the training ground, interestingly they appear to be training in defeating the Russian defence dragons teeth.

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1652344516492533761?cxt=HHwWgoDRgaqlp-4tAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1652344516492533761?cxt=HHwWgoDRgaqlp-4tAAAA

anxiao

29th Apr 2023, 17:09

Nutloose post #217, I must have got some dust in my eye when she said at the end of the interview, "...that it is a country worth fighting for, and that's why I am here.."

Now if only the politicians that are wringing their damp hands about sending appropriate arms to Ukraine would agree with her.

If you don't stop this now, you will be fighting it in Berlin.

Beamr

29th Apr 2023, 17:23

In case Russia gets bad ideas of seizing not just parts of Finnish companies but parts of Finland itself, in Finland ammunition is priced per person. :E

https://twitter.com/virtaava/status/1652270478415785984

https://twitter.com/virtaava/status/1652270478415785984

NutLoose

29th Apr 2023, 17:33

Ermmm, well…… yes.

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1652335427079094272?cxt=HHwWgIC-zaCUo-4tAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1652335427079094272?cxt=HHwWgIC-zaCUo-4tAAAA

ORAC

29th Apr 2023, 22:25

Interesting…

https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1652399267179565057?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

🚨 #Bakhmut may very well end up being the catalyst for a Russian civil war.

1) Putin has ordered that Bakhmut must be taken by May 8th, in time for the Soviet Victory Day parade on May 9th. He has threatened Shoigu and others with dire consequences.

2) Prigozhin has Putin's blessing as head of Wagner PMC, a mercenary group established and largely controlled by the FSB & GRU (Russian Military Intelligence).

3) Army and intel services famously hate each other. The jockeying for power between the various factions has been ongoing.

4) Expect Wagner PMC to retreat from Bakhmut in the coming days to completely screw over Shoigu and the Russian army. This is a perfect way for Prigozhin to setup Shoigu and other generals.

5) For May 9th, Ukrainians may end up controlling all of Bakhmut, and possibly much, much more. This would have highly unpredictable domino effects domestically in Russia.

6) Right now, the Russian Game of Thrones is just backstabbing, scheming in the shadows, assassinations, and so on. But Bakhmut may turn out to be the catalyst to ignite a 'hot' civil war among the factions in Russia.

NutLoose

30th Apr 2023, 00:12

They appear to have the pilots, give them the jets.

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1652422062747648001?cxt=HHwWgoC80Y7Hyu4tAAAA

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1652422062747648001?cxt=HHwWgoC80Y7Hyu4tAAAA

ORAC

30th Apr 2023, 06:24

Further to #229,

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1652367108745965578?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

"Russia is on the brink of catastrophe."

Prigozhin issued an ultimatum to Shoigu and threatened Putin with military mutiny

Yevgeny Prigozhin, head of the PMC "Wagner", wrote a letter to Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, demanding to provide ammunition.

Prigozhin gave an ultimatum that if the problem with supplies for his PMC is not solved, he will complain to Putin, and the mercenaries will leave their positions in Bakhmut and retreat.

"I appeal to Shoigu with a request to immediately issue ammunition. In case of refusal, I consider it necessary to inform the Supreme Commander-in-Chief (Putin) about the existing problem in order to make a decision and about the advisability of further presence of the "Wagner" PMC in Bakhmut in conditions of ammunition shortage. <...> The deadline for making a decision is today, April 28," Prigozhin said.

The leader of the mercenaries said that "ammunition is no longer left for weeks, but for days." "If the shortage does not stop, <...> part of the units we will be forced to withdraw from this territory, and then everything else will collapse," Prigozhin said.

According to his prediction, Ukraine's offensive will begin no later than May 15. "We need to stop deceiving the population and telling them that everything is fine with us. <...> I must honestly say: Russia is on the brink of catastrophe," Prigozhin stressed.

ORAC

30th Apr 2023, 06:39

https://twitter.com/gerashchenko_en/status/1652396944843501577?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

A fire in Perm, Russia - at PJSC Motovilikha Plants which produce artillery systems and MLRS…

NutLoose

30th Apr 2023, 08:34

Not looking good..several news agency’s reporting similar

https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/04/29/why-is-the-west-reluctant-to-equip-ukraine-to-win-the-war/

https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/04/29/why-is-the-west-reluctant-to-equip-ukraine-to-win-the-war/

Video Mixdown

30th Apr 2023, 08:45

Further to #229,
"Russia is on the brink of catastrophe."
Prigozhin issued an ultimatum to Shoigu and threatened Putin with military mutiny
Yevgeny Prigozhin, head of the PMC "Wagner", wrote a letter to Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, demanding to provide ammunition.
Prigozhin gave an ultimatum that if the problem with supplies for his PMC is not solved, he will complain to Putin, and the mercenaries will leave their positions in Bakhmut and retreat.
"I appeal to Shoigu with a request to immediately issue ammunition. In case of refusal, I consider it necessary to inform the Supreme Commander-in-Chief (Putin) about the existing problem in order to make a decision and about the advisability of further presence of the "Wagner" PMC in Bakhmut in conditions of ammunition shortage. <...> The deadline for making a decision is today, April 28," Prigozhin said.
The leader of the mercenaries said that "ammunition is no longer left for weeks, but for days." "If the shortage does not stop, <...> part of the units we will be forced to withdraw from this territory, and then everything else will collapse," Prigozhin said.
According to his prediction, Ukraine's offensive will begin no later than May 15. "We need to stop deceiving the population and telling them that everything is fine with us. <...> I must honestly say: Russia is on the brink of catastrophe," Prigozhin stressed.
I suppose all wars have turning points - Midway, El Alemain, Stalingrad, Normandy etc. When this is over maybe Bakhmut will be added to the list.

NutLoose

30th Apr 2023, 10:10

Now that is what you call mud

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1651447328652378113?cxt=HHwWgoC-2Y-mj-stAAAA

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1651447328652378113?cxt=HHwWgoC-2Y-mj-stAAAA

NutLoose

30th Apr 2023, 10:25

Hahahahaha…… that must be the SNP lol….

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1652592385845608448?cxt=HHwWgIC-zZyBmO8tAAAA

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1652592385845608448?cxt=HHwWgIC-zZyBmO8tAAAA

NutLoose

30th Apr 2023, 11:21

More on Uncle Festers possible withdrawal from Bakhmut if they do not get more ammo.

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1652367108745965578?cxt=HHwWlMC9ta_Ise4tAAAA

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1652367108745965578?cxt=HHwWlMC9ta_Ise4tAAAA
(https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1652367108745965578?cxt=HHwWlMC9ta_Ise4tAAAA)

[email protected]

30th Apr 2023, 12:11

Hahahahaha…… that must be the SNP lol…. They must be running out of 'experts' as quickly as they are running out of tanks, ammunition, soldiers and ideas......

wondering

30th Apr 2023, 12:35

Does anybody know what the status of the Ukrainian Hrim-2 missile is? Any chance it could be manufactured and deployed?

NutLoose

30th Apr 2023, 16:21

Ukraine to get IR resistant Kayaks

https://twitter.com/clashreport/status/1651996276299386881?cxt=HHwWgsC-sYr3iO0tAAAA

https://twitter.com/clashreport/status/1651996276299386881?cxt=HHwWgsC-sYr3iO0tAAAA

_Agrajag_

30th Apr 2023, 16:54

Is anyone else suffering from their sense of outrage at Russian lies and propaganda being dulled down by their ever-increasing level of absurdity?

I realise this stuff is playing out for mind-control purposes within Russia, but the Russians I've met have been decent and intelligent people (not to mention a lot of fun on a night out). Surely to god they aren't being suckered by crazy crap like that in post #241 by NutLoose are they?

Good to see there are increasing signs of civil unrest, in the form of what looks very like targeted attacks within Russia, presumably by Russians, to try and hinder their war machine. In the short term this may help Ukraine. At the back of my mind there are niggles about mass civil unrest in Russia and all the associated consequences for Europe (and the rest of the world). Hard not to look back at what happened a century ago after the revolution, and again after the break up of the Soviet Union, and wonder what mayhem might result if Putin was toppled by force.

meleagertoo

30th Apr 2023, 19:07

I'm looking forward to Parade Day, May 9.
People of Ukrainian descent and allegiance exist in great numbers throughout Russia, especially the relevant parts, the Western end of the country.
I'd be very surprised if sleepers have not been identified and equipped with armed drones to bomb and disrupt the "victory" day parades - even one such successful attack, just a singe grenade in the middle of a big public parade would carry such a message. But imagine a number of them?
Ukraine has a golden opportunity here to get a massive PR victory - so you can bet that they've been planning it.
Let's hope it works.
The sight of grenades dropping amongst the goose-steppong Orks in Red Square would be even better than downing the big bridge in terms of hearts and minds, and also in terms of strategic advantage due to the humiliation delivered.
Fingers crossed.

GlobalNav

30th Apr 2023, 19:35

NutLoose

30th Apr 2023, 20:24

Does anybody know what the status of the Ukrainian Hrim-2 missile is? Any chance it could be manufactured and deployed?

See post 3 and 4

https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1651051021496352769

https://twitter.com/TheStudyofWar/status/1651051021496352769

NutLoose

30th Apr 2023, 20:40

Reported Mig 29 Harm launch.

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1652630374273662976?cxt=HHwWgIDSubikqe8tAAAA

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1652630374273662976?cxt=HHwWgIDSubikqe8tAAAA

NutLoose

30th Apr 2023, 20:48

Well that’s impressive….

https://twitter.com/WarMonitor3/status/1652746145926356994

https://twitter.com/WarMonitor3/status/1652746145926356994

Herod

30th Apr 2023, 20:56

Wokkafans

30th Apr 2023, 22:01

Usual caveats:

https://twitter.com/Doranimated/status/1652784047951695873?s=20

https://twitter.com/Doranimated/status/1652784047951695873?s=20

ORAC

30th Apr 2023, 22:55

https://twitter.com/slawomirdebski/status/1652712357708062721?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

I’ve recently heard at a closed-door meeting in D.C. that, through backdoor diplomacy, the Russians communicated to the Biden administration that the delivery of ATACAMs would be a red line for them. Two comments: 1) I don't know what is worse self-imposed red lines or letting the Kremlin determine US policy towards Ukraine. 2) any red lines established by an aggressor are there to be broken and circumvented. Here is one of the ways how to do it. 👇

UK 🇬🇧 wants to procure Long-Range Missiles for Ukraine 🇺🇦 with a range of 100km to 300km and a payload of 20kg to 490kg. Companies have until May 4th to make their offers

Sending missiles to Ukraine with a range of 300km and a payload of 200kg is the equivalent of sending ATACMS

https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune.org-vbulletin/1058x838/image_28ef5bc58a165ca50ca29a8c1e2daabbd386b8b2.jpeg

Wokkafans

1st May 2023, 00:29

Usual caveats:

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1652826838647861249?s=20

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1652826838647861249?s=20

NutLoose

1st May 2023, 00:42

I’ve recently heard at a closed-door meeting in D.C. that, through backdoor diplomacy, the Russians communicated to the Biden administration that the delivery of ATACAMs would be a red line for them. Two comments: 1) I don't know what is worse self-imposed red lines or letting the Kremlin determine US policy towards Ukraine. 2) any red lines established by an aggressor are there to be broken and circumvented. Here is one of the ways how to do it. 👇

Just as tanks were and artillery etc, sorry but the more the USA cowers to these thugs the more they get away with it, the US reply should have been straight and to the point, a single nuclear weapon used there will be an equal response on the city of our choosing. Ie call their bluff. If it’s okay for Russia to launch attacks from out of the Country then the same should go for Ukraine.

I do hope that munitions store hit was just that and didn’t hold the armour build up.

jolihokistix

1st May 2023, 00:51

Let's hope those stand-offish bombers don't meet any accidents over the Caspian Sea. Borders are not well defined up there.

NutLoose

1st May 2023, 00:57

This does not look good, I wonder how it will effect NATO and the sharing of information if they are replaced with unknown quantities.

https://twitter.com/panyiszabolcs/status/1651538305379442688?cxt=HHwWgIC9kdXVuOstAAAA

https://twitter.com/panyiszabolcs/status/1651538305379442688?cxt=HHwWgIC9kdXVuOstAAAA

https://twitter.com/panyiszabolcs/status/1509072928922607616?cxt=HHwWgIC5yav1pvEpAAAA

https://twitter.com/panyiszabolcs/status/1509072928922607616?cxt=HHwWgIC5yav1pvEpAAAA

ORAC

1st May 2023, 06:13

https://twitter.com/noclador/status/1652721084762931201?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

A quick explainer for the reasons russia's invasion of Ukraine can only be defeated in the South: A quick thread 🧵

There are five major (green pentagons) and five minor (purple) geographic points that are the main objectives for russia to told and for Ukraine to liberate.
1/7

https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune.org-vbulletin/1419x1395/image_a3aaad040cdb9f1fe37392482aa8993ecefce727.jpeg

ORAC

1st May 2023, 06:17

Reference the “mass” cruise missile attack… Only 2 per aircraft - running out of missiles?

https://twitter.com/ralee85/status/1652901006504521728?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

The Ukrainian Air Force says 9 Russian Tu-95 strategic bombers from Murmansk Oblast and two Tu-160 strategic bombers from the Caspian Sea area launched 18 Kh-101/Kh-555 cruise missiles, 15 of which were shot down.

https://www.facebook.com/kpszsu/posts/pfbid02FcWAbLcJQwwqSLqtHBomkNV4vbABwTKTu4xzfA7MDQf2xXy4YkFDF dt955rgDUQbl

May 01, 2023 around 02.30 Russian occupants attacked Ukraine from strategic aviation aircraft - nine tu-95 from the area of oleenêgorsk (Murmansk region. ) and two tu-160 from the Caspian Sea area.
In total, 18 winged missiles of the X-101/X-555. air base were launched.
The forces and means of anti-air defense of the Air Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine destroyed 15!
https://static.xx.fbcdn.net/images/emoji.php/v9/te0/2/16/270a.png Hold up the sky!
https://static.xx.fbcdn.net/images/emoji.php/v9/t51/2/16/1f1fa_1f1e6.png Together - to victory!

ORAC

1st May 2023, 06:33

https://twitter.com/osinttechnical/status/1652875263309406209?s=61&t=rmEeUn68HhlFHGKbTPQr_A

Ukrainian Su-25 armed with US-supplied Zuni 5-inch Folding-Fin Aircraft Rockets (FFAR)

https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune.org-vbulletin/473x742/image_5aa851e1dbe9a57408517ce42fb0cc3d216bf989.png

NutLoose

1st May 2023, 09:03

An interesting change of fortune, a UN statement that Russia is an aggressor state was now signed by China, Armenia and Kazakhstan!
That in itself is a major change.

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPR/status/1652950262888235008?cxt=HHwWgIC8rbTguvAtAAAA

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPR/status/1652950262888235008?cxt=HHwWgIC8rbTguvAtAAAA

NutLoose

1st May 2023, 09:12

Damn those Russian cigarette smoking rabbits and their burrowing.

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPR/status/1652957641109389313?cxt=HHwWgoC-sfCNvvAtAAAA

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPR/status/1652957641109389313?cxt=HHwWgoC-sfCNvvAtAAAA

NutLoose

1st May 2023, 09:36

And Russian tin worms are playing havoc in the Leningrad region.

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1652923343786455041?cxt=HHwWgsC9tcHBrvAtAAAA

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1652923343786455041?cxt=HHwWgsC9tcHBrvAtAAAA

Tartiflette Fan

1st May 2023, 10:15

Report from the ISW detailing all the bewildering number of command changes just in Summer '22. It is therefore historical, but thought it might be of interest. The second catalogues changes during/after last autumn's Ukrainian counter-attack. The linked article gives a detailed commentary.
https://understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Slide4.jpg (https://understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Slide4.jpg)

The start of Ukrainian counteroffensives in August and September of 2022 led to w

https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-april-30-2023

https://understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Slide5.jpg (https://understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Slide5.jpg)

Gerasimov and his affiliates likely attempted to convince Putin that they co

NutLoose

1st May 2023, 11:47

Ukrainian civilian BDR, sellotape over bullet holes, I hope they were all ok

https://twitter.com/NikaMelkozerova/status/1651576422245314573?cxt=HHwWmsC99a2AyustAAAA

https://twitter.com/NikaMelkozerova/status/1651576422245314573?cxt=HHwWmsC99a2AyustAAAA

NutLoose

1st May 2023, 12:14

Timelapse of the battle for Bakhmut.

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1652885556018421760?cxt=HHwWgIDRzfypnfAtAAAA

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1652885556018421760?cxt=HHwWgIDRzfypnfAtAAAA

Lonewolf_50

1st May 2023, 17:27

Just as tanks were and artillery etc, sorry but the more the USA cowers to these thugs the more they get away with it, the US reply should have been straight and to the point, a single nuclear weapon used there will be an equal response on the city of our choosing. Ie call their bluff. If it’s okay for Russia to launch attacks from out of the Country then the same should go for Ukraine. Sorry, Nutty, but President Joe Biden doesn't answer to you.
US support to Ukraine via arms, intel, logistics, training, et al will be whatever the various minds in DC decide is the best course forward. You don't get a vote.
(1) American aid is pretty darned substantial to date, (2) so far the bipartisan support for that stance remains good, (3) and the US has more than Ukraine to worry about.
Reaching a consensus on the above is very much the child of politics (which is more of a JB topic, as is your whinge).

On the practical side as it pertains to military personnel: trying to contain the war (since prevention utterly failed :mad:) and keep it from spreading, as well as trying to gage the effects and risks of escalation without letting Agony Aunts - like yourself - influence the decision is what is needed to avoid 1914 all over again.(Well, that's one line of thinking at Foggy Bottom, there are others). The time to stop this war was during the prevention stage: lots of blame to go around there in a lot of capitals.

Another practical consideration: the US gets to benefit from some field testing and validation of various weapons systems (and some TTP), without having to throw in a lot of boots on the ground.
That appeals to a variety of Americans whether you like it or not.
Lastly, about the F-16's. I still think that the sharp guy from RUSi is right about the limitations the Falcons would have (at present) unless more airfields were given an upgrade, but I'd love to see the Vipers (from whomever chooses to contribute them) go forth and do their thing with Ukrainian pilots at the controls. Setting the conditions for that is, I suspect, still a work in progress (that's a guess). And if a few crusty old American Viper pilots wanted to do a Flying Tigers thing, that would not hurt.

For Video Mixdown: you may be right about turning points. (https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/652441-ukraine-war-thread-part-2-a.html#post11427885) (I have a weird analogy going on in my head, where Mariupol looks to be St Vith to Bakhmut's Bastogne, but that's probably a reach)

NutLoose

1st May 2023, 20:01

Sorry LW, I meant to put NATO not the US, there are more than one nuclear power in that organisation.

By the west / NATO failing to provide the weapons needed, longer range missiles, fighters etc containment may well fail and then you are left with the problem and costs involved with bolstering the defence of some of NATOs smaller and threatened members.
If the west had provided the weaponry as and when asked for, then the depth of Russian incursion would never have happened, something we still haven’t learnt from. As for pre invasion I was one of those saying NATO / UN ha! should have gone in as peacekeepers at the invitation of Ukraine to the disputed border.