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“Russian troops have begun operating at a company scale rather than at the level of a BTG to focus on seizing specific villages in Donbas, according to US officials…
A pro-Russian military Telegram channel criticized the current Russian strategy, claiming that Russian forces are hitting a “strategic dead end” and are suffering significant losses trying to slowly capture small villages in different directions.”… |
A change in tactics for the better or simply no longer have the manpower or resources to do large scale attacks?
You have to be screwed when even a bunch of folks watching it pan out on their PC are telling you that you are doing it all wrong. |
Originally Posted by macmp419
(Post 11232551)
Posted earlier in Jet Blast, and worthy of an hour or so of your time.
https://parliamentlive.tv/event/inde...8-bcccde927d06 Are they finally now going to get it? |
https://theglobalherald.com/news/ukr...in-the-donbas/
Nuff said. https://cimg0.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....86066cc689.png Totally agree with htis assesment https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/05/19...-military-aid/ Russia is approaching the limits of the combat-capable manpower it can make available for the war in the short term. It has committed a significant portion of its combat-capable units to Ukraine and has suffered major losses. Troops have been pulled from every possible direction: private military contractors redeployed, recruits ginned up from Syria, and locals in occupied areas forcefully conscripted. Few options remain. It would take Putin months to put new, usable combat troops into Ukraine. Once rejuvenated, however, Russian military progress in Ukraine could look very different if it attacks from its current lines, compared with its starting positions from February. Meanwhile, in the months or years leading up to that renewed offensive, Russia’s presence in the southeast would impose a perpetual burden on Ukraine to defend this vast front line. While Russian forces have begun to entrench defensively in the east and south, they are concurrently still trying to advance. The West must help the Ukrainians get a broader counteroffensive underway before Russia transitions to a coherent and planned defense, which it has not yet done. The longer Russia is allowed to stay, the costlier it becomes to drive it out. Time also gives Putin an opportunity to adapt the Russian people to the idea of a long war and put the Russian economy on a wartime footing. The West’s attention is focused on Russia’s war in Ukraine, but this Western attention is not a constant nor a given. Putin has achieved some of his advances over the past 20 years simply by outlasting the West in the information space. The West should provide Ukraine with weapons at the pace and scale that matches the requirement of a Ukrainian campaign to expel Russian forces and liberate its people and land. |
The West’s attention is focused on Russia’s war in Ukraine, but this Western attention is not a constant nor a given. Putin has achieved some of his advances over the past 20 years simply by outlasting the West in the information space. The West should provide Ukraine with weapons at the pace and scale that matches the requirement of a Ukrainian campaign to expel Russian forces and liberate its people and land. I do hope they think their (now) incremental gains in the Donbas are worth the cost to their military, economy, international reputation, long-term prospects as a nation etc etc. |
Plus they probably had a view of walking into a thriving productive area, then promptly destroyed anything of value. meaning if they manage to hold onto anything it will cost them years and billions of dollars before they see a red cent... pun intended, out of the place. I bet they will provide didly squat to improve the regions.
Just like the people of Kherson who were pro'ish Russia in places are finding out, lack of fuel and drugs meaning those that were pro Russia are rapidly turning.. |
Originally Posted by NutLoose
(Post 11232730)
Just like the people of Kherson who were pro'ish Russia in places are finding out, lack of fuel and drugs meaning those that were pro Russia are rapidly turning..
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I vote the general for next PM. What a guy. In the last few minutes of the video he points out that redressing the parlous state of our armed forces would require leadership and cohesion from the PM, Chancellor, Sec state for Def and Home Secretary - with the clowns we have presently in those positions, not much hope for us. |
Originally Posted by macmp419
(Post 11232551)
Posted earlier in Jet Blast, and worthy of an hour or so of your time.
https://parliamentlive.tv/event/inde...8-bcccde927d06 Are they finally now going to get it? |
I do not know if this is true, looks like Putin is having to resort to his new toys.
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Originally Posted by [email protected]
(Post 11232766)
absolutely - unfortunately he seems to have intellect, honesty and integrity............and he can talk coherently without making choo choo noises.
In the last few minutes of the video he points out that redressing the parlous state of our armed forces would require leadership and cohesion from the PM, Chancellor, Sec state for Def and Home Secretary - with the clowns we have presently in those positions, not much hope for us. "Lions led by donkeys" starts at the very top of government, unfortunately. The impact of Russian influence over the last decade or so on our mechanisms of state should, of course, not be ignored. How much of the criticism the good General has towards the UK's short-sighted and misdirected defence policy has come about as a result of Russian political interference? It would be interesting to have an honest appraisal released, unredacted, by the security services. |
Originally Posted by dead_pan
(Post 11232744)
Add to that the fact that any male of fighting age who had pro-Russian sympathies has been drafted into the military ("you wanted to be part of Russia - now go fight for the Motherland!"). Honestly, what a bunch of dimwits - what they think would happen?? Zero sympathy from me.
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I am intrigued by the current rush to supply Ukraine with Harpoon to “lift the blockade”. I am aware that ships are not moving at present but is there a blockade as such in place? I thought the issue was more one of the chances of bumping into a mine. I have not seen any reports of Russian vessels actually actually interfering with shipping and I am not sure how effective a missile that is limited to 250 km can be. That is not far enough to prevent the Russians using any of their naval ports and it is over 500 km from Odessa to Turkish waters as the crow flies, which I would have thought gives them scope form a blockade out of range.
I believe it is not clear who is responsible for the mines, but if they are free floating, as I have seen suggested, clearing them is going to be a problem and I would have thought the only solution would be convoys preceded by mine hunters which is a problem if to don’t have a navy. I am also not sure what use the majority of the Russian Navy is at present. Does it have any role beyond support of an amphibious assault or firing missiles from offshore? In respect of the latter threat, these seem to be sm launched so Harpoon is no threat to them. |
Somewhat provocative flight path by the Russian Air Force over the Black Sea. Probably headed into Sevastopol - but still an interesting flight path. The US’s Global Hawk is not far off.
https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....24dd29f5e.jpeg |
Originally Posted by peter we
(Post 11232805)
few people in Ukraine are pro-Russian, regardless of their language skills. The have seen the disaster in Donbass since 2014 and don't want it. Before February the whole country was 95% anti Russian.
As others have pointed out they may be a little more circumspect now. By way of example, I did see a video of some women living in the Donbas who were asking a Russian official as to the whereabouts of their husbands who'd been conscripted. They were less than impressed with his response, basically telling them he had no idea. |
Originally Posted by Ninthace
(Post 11232859)
I am intrigued by the current rush to supply Ukraine with Harpoon to “lift the blockade”. I am aware that ships are not moving at present but is there a blockade as such in place? I thought the issue was more one of the chances of bumping into a mine. I have not seen any reports of Russian vessels actually actually interfering with shipping and I am not sure how effective a missile that is limited to 250 km can be. That is not far enough to prevent the Russians using any of their naval ports and it is over 500 km from Odessa to Turkish waters as the crow flies, which I would have thought gives them scope form a blockade out of range.
I believe it is not clear who is responsible for the mines, but if they are free floating, as I have seen suggested, clearing them is going to be a problem and I would have thought the only solution would be convoys preceded by mine hunters which is a problem if to don’t have a navy. I am also not sure what use the majority of the Russian Navy is at present. Does it have any role beyond support of an amphibious assault or firing missiles from offshore? In respect of the latter threat, these seem to be sm launched so Harpoon is no threat to them. |
BREAKING: Russia's Gazprom informs Finland that it will suspend natural gas exports tomorrow.
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The General
Originally Posted by Jerry Atrick
(Post 11232695)
I vote the general for next PM. What a guy.
A fascinating listen and thanks to macmp419 for the link. We are rather scarily open about our deficiencies though, |
Originally Posted by dead_pan
(Post 11232869)
I wondered whether it would be possible to transport the grain to Romania by rail or ship (hugging the Ukraine coast within Ukraine's ASM and SAM missile shield), for on-shipment from one of its ports on a neutral flagged vessel (if necessary with an escort to Turkish territorial waters)?
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The main problem, as I see it, is Train hundreds of tons and Ship thousands of tons per load . Also Odessa to Middle East a bit shorter route rather than through Gdansk. But needs must.
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