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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

Old 2nd Jan 2023, 10:06
  #13061 (permalink)  
 
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alegedly a translation of a post from our favorite war criminal mr gherkin


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Old 2nd Jan 2023, 10:41
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Originally Posted by GlobalNav
While our environment does have an affect on how we behave, it it not deterministic. We all make decisions, willful choices, strongly affected by the context of our background, but there are many many examples of men and women making good choices in spite of when and how they were raised. We are individually accountable for the choices we make.
As research into the field of epigenetics advances I believe that our understanding of these long term societal/psychological phenomena will change significantly.
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Old 2nd Jan 2023, 12:13
  #13063 (permalink)  
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Ukrainian estimate of Russian casualties in the last HIMARS strike is 400 dead and 300 injured.

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Old 2nd Jan 2023, 15:37
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Originally Posted by ORAC
Ukrainian estimate of Russian casualties in the last HIMARS strike is 400 dead and 300 injured.

A strange ratio, but it might derive from "only" 700 present, in which case a good lethality result. I do hope the Orcs learn nothing abou dispersal from this.
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Old 2nd Jan 2023, 15:49
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More on it.

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe...es-2023-01-01/
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Old 2nd Jan 2023, 16:56
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There's one lucky SOB...


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Old 2nd Jan 2023, 17:02
  #13067 (permalink)  
 
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Very Lucky guy there..



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Old 2nd Jan 2023, 20:29
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Le Figaro quotes an anonymous source from the DPR speaking to TASS, that a large arrival of new troops who all turned on their phones within a short period, allowed the UKA to make a quick assessment of what this meant and then blow them to hell. Several Russian war bloggers said that the commandant should have /taken away their phones ( as well as spreading them out over several buildings ) Would this be the straw that caused revolt in young conscripts ?

https://www.lefigaro.fr/internationa...oscou-20230102

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Old 2nd Jan 2023, 20:56
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Generous.

Originally Posted by Tartiflette Fan
Le Figaro quotes an anonymous source from the DPR speaking to TASS, that a large arrival of new troops who all turned on their phones within a short period, allowed the UKA to make a quick assessment of what this meant and then blow them to hell. Several Russian war bloggers said that the commandant should have /taken away their phones ( as well as spreading them out over several buildings ) Would this be the straw that caused revolt in young conscripts ?

https://www.lefigaro.fr/internationa...oscou-20230102
The families and relatives of the killed soldiers will have all the necessary help and support ,” assured the spokesman for the Russian Ministry of Defence.

Beyond the blankets and a cake?
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Old 2nd Jan 2023, 21:27
  #13070 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by nevillestyke
The families and relatives of the killed soldiers will have all the necessary help and support ,” assured the spokesman for the Russian Ministry of Defence.

Beyond the blankets and a cake?
… but presumably only families of the 63 who died according to Russia rather than the 400 claimed by Ukraine. And what help for the ?300 wounded?
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Old 2nd Jan 2023, 21:37
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More young lives lost in the service of a dictator - very sad but rather them than the Ukranians who have lost more than enough already.
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Old 2nd Jan 2023, 22:01
  #13072 (permalink)  
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….Since the Russian Mobiks do not have cold weather gear for corruption reasons. They cannot disperse them without huge cold weather casualty rates. So they are cramming them into large public buildings…

It certainly doesn't help that the Mobiks ignore their chain of command on keeping & using their cellphones in order to get water, food, & vodka from the Russian Army black market….

Then the Mobiks get annihilated with M31A1 GMLRS or 155mm Excalibur…..

​​​​​​​Rinse and repeat throughout the winter…
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Old 2nd Jan 2023, 23:51
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Old 2nd Jan 2023, 23:59
  #13074 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by ORAC
….Since the Russian Mobiks do not have cold weather gear for corruption reasons. They cannot disperse them without huge cold weather casualty rates. So they are cramming them into large public buildings…

It certainly doesn't help that the Mobiks ignore their chain of command on keeping & using their cellphones in order to get water, food, & vodka from the Russian Army black market….

Then the Mobiks get annihilated with M31A1 GMLRS or 155mm Excalibur…..

​​​​​​​Rinse and repeat throughout the winter…
allegedly transcipt of a post on VK
Urgent!!!

Critically urgent!!!

Our Samara boys need help. Those who were caught under fire in Makiivka on January 1, 2023.

Gathering continues until January 6.
  • Shirts
  • Underwear
  • Socks
  • Medication (we need EVERYTHING! EVERYTHING IS DESTROYED)
  • Sleeping bags
  • Blankets
  • Heating burners
  • Vacuum flasks
  • Winter shoes
  • Gloves
  • Bags
  • A surveillance system, even the most basic one.
  • A generator, at least one.
  • Pots, pans, dishes, cups, etc.
In short, EVERYTHING. All the company's equipment is destroyed, we're left with our bare asses. We only have the clothes on our backs. Everything the mobilized took with them is under the rubble. We need EVERYTHING!
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Old 3rd Jan 2023, 04:45
  #13075 (permalink)  
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Interesting historical analysis of Russia's ability to fight in Winter by Antony Beevor. Winter won't be an Ally to Russia this time.

Russia’s New Winter War

https://t.co/oInVx3Wtpg


Moscow’s 1939 Finland Hubris Repeats Itself in Ukraine in 2022

https://t.co/pdJyOvJgBg​​​​​​​

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Old 3rd Jan 2023, 07:12
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It's merely day three of the year 2023 and we have a strong contestant for the Darwin award. Can't wait what's coming up throughout the year.
Reminds me of the phrase "we are lucky the RuZZians are so effing stupid".


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Old 3rd Jan 2023, 08:43
  #13077 (permalink)  
 
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I don't think the detonators are fitted to these mines, so effectively its a shed load of explosive. Although should one take a stray round then its Goodnight Vienna.
We used to move them around in trailers as it was supposed to be safer in their original boxes, moving them loose like this looks like a lot of effort to tie them down.
Stupid is as stupid does.
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Old 3rd Jan 2023, 09:01
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I sure hope the detonators are somewhere safe, having them installed would make this an epic fail beyond belief.
Installing the detonator is the second to last thing to do, camouflaging the mine being the last.

I counted some 20ish mines spread evenly on the deck of that BMP. That"s some 100kg of TNT in an environment where one of the main entertainment of Ukrainian drone drivers is dropping mortar rounds on RuZZians...

I just can't get my head around why on earth they'd transport mines like that, tied down all across the vehicle. I'd prefer them in their boxes as well, at least it would allow two men to quickly create a blockade but now they'd have to untie them separately.
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Old 3rd Jan 2023, 09:01
  #13079 (permalink)  
 
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The key thing about ERA is that is uses a VERY insensitive explosive,a small feature lost on those half-wits. Be interesting to see them get a top hit. I bet the mutual detonation of maybe 100kg of RDX, TNT or whatever isn't going to do a lot for their health.
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Old 3rd Jan 2023, 09:12
  #13080 (permalink)  
 
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When your enemy is busy making mistakes - let them get on with it.
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