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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

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Is Ukraine about to have a war?

Old 7th Oct 2022, 19:31
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Ukraine is reporting Starlink outages as they advance, hindering troop communications, various people are having a pop online at Musk, but it appears that the Starlink was deliberately limited in its coverage to prevent Russia being able to utilise it in their captured regions and Ukraine is out running the coverage and not keeping Musks operation updated to allow more areas to be brought on line as they recapture more territory..
It might be one of the reasons they have short pauses, that and resupplying the frontline.

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Old 7th Oct 2022, 19:40
  #10262 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by ORAC
IT BEGINS: A growing number of Russian military veterans have come to the conslusion that Putin’s war in Ukraine is winnable. As UKR’s counter-offensive continues, these voices are becoming more numerous.

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/...ine-war-a78876
Read his reply,I think it was a typo originally..

Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings |
@ChuckPfarrer
·
3h
Replying to
@ChuckPfarrer
IT BEGINS: A growing number of Russian military veterans have come to the conslusion that Putin’s war in Ukraine is UNWINNABLE. As UKR’s counter-offensive continues, these voices are becoming more numerous.
And the Moscow Times link

soldiers.

“Putin destroyed the country’s military mobilization resources with his own hands and now this idiot has gotten himself into the war with the entire world,” Votanovsky told The Moscow Times.

“He created circumstances in which we cannot win.”
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Old 7th Oct 2022, 19:46
  #10263 (permalink)  
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The helmet from the most modern Russian set "Vatnik"... sorry, "Ratnik", turned out to be a simple old soviet steel helmet.

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Old 7th Oct 2022, 19:57
  #10264 (permalink)  
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How many trained senior officers do the6 have left?

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...635101696.html

Several Russian commanders have been discharged due to failures at the frontlines:
.
The commander of the 1st Guards Tank Army, Lt. General Kysel was removed from the position for the failure to capture Kharkiv;

.Thecommander of the Black Sea Fleet, Igor Osipov, was removed due to Moskva cruiser sinking;
.
TheRussian General Staff commander Valery Gerasimov, likely still in his position but unclear if allowed to manage forces, intellgence says no, this is due to unprecedented losses in personnel and vehicles;

The commander of the 6th Combined Arms Army of the Western Military District, Lt. General Vladislav Ershov, for the same reasons - losses, and failure to capture Kharkiv;

The commander of the 22nd Army Corps of the Fleet located in Crimea, Arkadiy Marzoyev, was removed. This is the corps formed after 2015, currently fighting in Kherson;
.
The commander of the 103rd Separate Brigade Colonel Ponomaryov;
.
General Ershov was not only discharged but ordered to house arrest due to huge losses of personnel. The total losses of the 6th Combined Arms Army are over 2,000 people, 180 of them were conscripts.

The commander of the 58th Combined Arms Army, Lt. General Zus’ko, the same army that was taking Tskhinval in 2008.
.
Over 150 other officers were arrested or discharged.
.
Put under house arrest is the head of the 5th service, Col. General Sergey Beseda, from FSB. Beseda was moved to prison. This is related to the large-scale theft of funds dedicated to secret services in Ukraine and improper reports of the political situation in Ukraine.
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Old 7th Oct 2022, 21:31
  #10265 (permalink)  
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The 'Havila Subsea' vessel investigating the Norwegian gas pipeline 'Europipe' for possible explosives has stopped completely. Expert says that it 'may' have made a discovery.

Equinor declines to comment.
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Old 7th Oct 2022, 21:35
  #10266 (permalink)  
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NO FLY LIST: The US Department of Defense has added China’s DJI Technology, manufacturer of the widely used DJI/Mavic/Pro drones, to its tech blacklist.

The prohibition was included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) on 5 OCT.
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Old 7th Oct 2022, 21:58
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Originally Posted by ORAC
How many trained senior officers do the6 have left?

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...635101696.html

Several Russian commanders have been discharged due to failures at the frontlines:
.
The commander of the 1st Guards Tank Army, Lt. General Kysel was removed from the position for the failure to capture Kharkiv;

.Thecommander of the Black Sea Fleet, Igor Osipov, was removed due to Moskva cruiser sinking;
.
TheRussian General Staff commander Valery Gerasimov, likely still in his position but unclear if allowed to manage forces, intellgence says no, this is due to unprecedented losses in personnel and vehicles;

The commander of the 6th Combined Arms Army of the Western Military District, Lt. General Vladislav Ershov, for the same reasons - losses, and failure to capture Kharkiv;

The commander of the 22nd Army Corps of the Fleet located in Crimea, Arkadiy Marzoyev, was removed. This is the corps formed after 2015, currently fighting in Kherson;
.
The commander of the 103rd Separate Brigade Colonel Ponomaryov;
.
General Ershov was not only discharged but ordered to house arrest due to huge losses of personnel. The total losses of the 6th Combined Arms Army are over 2,000 people, 180 of them were conscripts.

The commander of the 58th Combined Arms Army, Lt. General Zus’ko, the same army that was taking Tskhinval in 2008.
.
Over 150 other officers were arrested or discharged.
.
Put under house arrest is the head of the 5th service, Col. General Sergey Beseda, from FSB. Beseda was moved to prison. This is related to the large-scale theft of funds dedicated to secret services in Ukraine and improper reports of the political situation in Ukraine.
Why not draft them, and send them to the front? At least the retreat and/or surrender would be more orderly.
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Old 7th Oct 2022, 23:40
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"Russian air defense firing at incoming HIMARS missiles in Ilovaisk, Donbas. Later big explosions can be seen near the railway station according to local sources."

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/xyd3td/russian_air_defense_firing_at_incoming_himars/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3
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Old 8th Oct 2022, 07:43
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Whoops. Brown trouser moment close to turn into another Kerch bridge moment.


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Old 8th Oct 2022, 08:02
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No Mr Simpson (BBC) - Biden, this is what is meant by a pre-emptive strike to stop Russia using its battlefield nuclear weapons”.

A challenge to Putin to use TNW; or a message to the generals to say no. Dissidence in command.

Brings the war to the front of Russian media; the significance of a security video identifying the truck. A threat to all Russian people, which bridge, which truck, where in Russia - the one over the Moscow river before Red Square.

Requiring military checks on all road transport into the Crimea for explosives; but isn't most of the transport carrying explosives - that will slow things up.
Concern for all other operations in occupied Ukraine, which bridge, when; logistic snarl-up, apprehensive troops.

All things in war are simple, but even the simplest is difficult” Clausewitz
Fortuitous road and rail strike, or a well planned and executed operation; whatever - the tactical and strategic value is immense.
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Old 8th Oct 2022, 08:03
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Large queues in Crimea to fill up cars, with a dwindling fuel supply you would think they would restrict supplies.


A bit of humanity in all this sh*t

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Old 8th Oct 2022, 09:02
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Russian bots are all over the internet gleefully advocating mass nuclear murder, both in Ukraine and the entire world. How could we have allowed a country like Russia to become such an immoral, criminal threat to humanity? The Chinese, Indian and other governments who stood silent must now fear the consequences of their neutrality. It may result in their complete destruction.
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Old 8th Oct 2022, 09:32
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Unleash the memes!
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Old 8th Oct 2022, 12:44
  #10274 (permalink)  
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As well as pipelines….

#BREAKING German rail operator Deutsche Bahn says sabotage caused the massive problems with the train network in the north of the country on Saturday.

The German rail operator said "sabotage to cables which were vital for train traffic" led to the disruption - and security authorities have taken over the investigation. More details to follow
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Old 8th Oct 2022, 12:54
  #10275 (permalink)  
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😀😀😀👍👍👍

The Ukrainian Parliament has recognised the Kuril islands(Northern Territories) as Japanese territories, occupied by the Russian Federation.
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Old 8th Oct 2022, 14:44
  #10276 (permalink)  
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Arrests of the military began in Moscow.

Traffic in the city center was stopped.

Units of Russian Guards Elite, Dzerzhynskyi division, entered the city, - Chief Intelligence Service of Ukraine.

Multiple arrests, detainments and blockings of military are reported.

All military units within the perimeter of Moscow have been put on high alert.

Last edited by ORAC; 8th Oct 2022 at 15:07.
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Old 8th Oct 2022, 15:00
  #10277 (permalink)  
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Black Sea fleet sortieing to sea…

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Old 8th Oct 2022, 16:31
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Looked at the video again and have to say: I'm pretty sure there is a boat arriving fast just in that second just in that place and just when it arrives - kaboom.
Would that suggest that Sevastopol yacht-yard is now in play?
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Old 8th Oct 2022, 16:53
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Originally Posted by BlankBox
Would that suggest that Sevastopol yacht-yard is now in play?
Post 10340 by ORAC would suggest that forces in place are not in a good place. Scatter Plan Alpha is niw in force? Anyone for a cruise?
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Old 8th Oct 2022, 17:05
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Originally Posted by MPN11
Post 10340 by ORAC would suggest that forces in place are not in a good place. Scatter Plan Alpha is niw in force? Anyone for a cruise?
How many oilers they got?
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