Is Ukraine about to have a war?
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I once again had to call on the runway sweeper-truck to remove the political FOD material from the Mil Av thread runway.
Please take your political points, many of which are very intriguing, to the Jet Blast thread.
Thank you all in advance.
Please take your political points, many of which are very intriguing, to the Jet Blast thread.
Thank you all in advance.
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in the meantime a sign of the desperation felt in Kherson since the bridges were cut, attempting to resupply, although limited by helicopter.
Remember the supposed attack on the Nuclear plant, Russia has released images of the immaculately dressed Ukrainian dead without a sign of a wound on any of them, with the usual Nazi badges, American dollars lol etc.. while carefully avoiding showing their faces etc, some of them appear to have a remarkable healthy colour to them for dead people too.
https://twitter.com/GalileoArms/stat...28665303932934
Also about the inspection, I hope the inspectors had the presence of mind to bring sat phones with them
https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato...nergoatom.html
https://twitter.com/GalileoArms/stat...28665303932934
Also about the inspection, I hope the inspectors had the presence of mind to bring sat phones with them
https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato...nergoatom.html
/facepalm
They apparently laundered the uniforms, washed the bodies, brought them back to life, the normal things, neatly hid the actors faces..
I've had the unfortunate displeasure of seeing a drowned person, and none of those allegedly "drowned to reservoir" troops have been anywhere near water. Not the dollars, passports, clothes or the actors.
The bayraktars are in the air in Kherson. Apparently Russian air defence or air force aren't doing much since these can freely roam the current weight area of the war.
Many people wanting their say...
"Civilians in a bus pass by a Russian PANTSIR S-1 after a visit from an AGM-88 HARM the night before - Oleshki, Kherson Oblast"
https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFoota...eb2x&context=3
https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFoota...eb2x&context=3
What stocks likely to be held on west bank of Dnipro ?
Just asking for people's opinion of how many supplies will have been stock-piled to support Russian troops. There are - for me - many pro/contra points.
The area was clearly at risk of being cut-off, so does that mean you pour in more or less supplies? Logically since the troop contingent was reinforced, it would be reasonable to increase supplies, but at the same time the whole area is within range of UKR weapons and they have been successful in destroying supply dumps. Speculating - with no military experience - I would not expect large supply-dumps so close to the front-lines (maybe enough for a few days ), but that should mean that the Russian forces will be out of food, ammo and perhaps fuel by mid-week. I have read the post speaking of supply by helicopter, that seems a truly risky and completely inadequate measure when there are 25 000 troops and heavy armaments involved.
The area was clearly at risk of being cut-off, so does that mean you pour in more or less supplies? Logically since the troop contingent was reinforced, it would be reasonable to increase supplies, but at the same time the whole area is within range of UKR weapons and they have been successful in destroying supply dumps. Speculating - with no military experience - I would not expect large supply-dumps so close to the front-lines (maybe enough for a few days ), but that should mean that the Russian forces will be out of food, ammo and perhaps fuel by mid-week. I have read the post speaking of supply by helicopter, that seems a truly risky and completely inadequate measure when there are 25 000 troops and heavy armaments involved.
Too many variables, but I believe based on information available that whatever they had will be on short supply.
No comment necessary - one of many.
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Evidence confirming they dropped the Dam road bridge into the shipping channel.
From the New York Times just now:
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/09...ng-the-un-says
KYIV, Ukraine — Shelling once again threatened the safe operation of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, even as United Nations officials expressed cautious optimism that a permanent presence of its inspectors at the plant was helping to lower the risk of a nuclear disaster.
The plant lost the connection with its last remaining main external power line after shelling on Friday evening, forcing engineers to rely on a lower-voltage reserve line to power the cooling equipment needed to prevent meltdowns, the International Atomic Energy Agency said in statment.
Nuclear power plants must sometimes rely on external power drawn from the grid to cool the reactor cores and spent fuel. If the external power lines are cut, the Zaporizhzhia plant must turn to backup diesel generators, and if those malfunction or run out of fuel, a meltdown becomes possible.
The plant lost the connection with its last remaining main external power line after shelling on Friday evening, forcing engineers to rely on a lower-voltage reserve line to power the cooling equipment needed to prevent meltdowns, the International Atomic Energy Agency said in statment.
Nuclear power plants must sometimes rely on external power drawn from the grid to cool the reactor cores and spent fuel. If the external power lines are cut, the Zaporizhzhia plant must turn to backup diesel generators, and if those malfunction or run out of fuel, a meltdown becomes possible.
Negotiations between Ukraine and the United States on the provision of ATACMS missiles for the Himars MLRS were only a cover - at this time, Kyiv received an unnamed number of JFS-M missiles from Germany, which have a target engagement range of up to 499 kilometers. This is stated by a number of independent sources both in Ukraine and in Germany, moreover, the very transfer of such weapons was previously indirectly voiced by German Chancellor Scholz, stating that the Armed Forces of Ukraine require modern missiles.
Stoking the fires?
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At the moment, neither the circumstances of the receipt of German JFS-M missiles by Ukraine, nor their total number remain unknown, however, given that we are talking about low-observable cruise missiles, with their official strike range of up to 499 kilometers, such weapons are very serious threat, as it allows strikes in the rear.
which reads like rubbish. Too many double negatives to make sense!
and in such an action are cutting their own throats and their war funding.
in the meantime a sign of the desperation felt in Kherson since the bridges were cut, attempting to resupply, although limited by helicopter.
https://twitter.com/WarMonitor3/stat...52685869031425
in the meantime a sign of the desperation felt in Kherson since the bridges were cut, attempting to resupply, although limited by helicopter.
https://twitter.com/WarMonitor3/stat...52685869031425
The Luftwaffe was unable to fulfil the promises of capability for uplift that Goering made to the Putin muse,
The Luftwaffe’s Aerial Resupply of the Sixth Army at Stalingrad
The 6th Army required around 900 tons/day. they got barely 10% of that. [averaged 114.6 tons/day). Russian forces on the "Right" bank (a term recently learnt) are predominantly mechanised, so their needs in supplies are much higher per person than the amount that was unsupportable in 42. For 25,000 troops, which are around 30 BTGs assuming full strength... their daily needs per person are estimated as 440lbs/soldier/day... 0.2 Tons/soldier/day. That's... 5,000tons resupply/day for the Redex's. An Mi-17 carries... about... 4 ton internally, 5 ton sling, but of course external kind of makes transit speed suuuuuck. Giving the Redskins the benefit of the doubt, they carry 5Ton/chalk, 2 copters per mission, and flying constant, around the clock... thats... 1,000 flight, being 500 missions with 2 choppers.... 42 flights per hour... 21 missions of 2 choppers per hour... say 20 minutes to load 5 tons, 10 minutes to offload, 10 minute transits each way from a forward depot.... (which would be under attack fairly promptly... ) thats... roughly 36 Mi-17s operating around the clock. double that for 12 hrs ops per chopper per day... 72 machines. At any time there would be 4 being loaded, 2 outbound, 2 unloading, 2 inbound, and a couple being refuelled. That is about 1/3rd of the number needed to lift the payload. That is looking like a gaggle, and gaggles attract duck hunters, would be Mi - open season I would think.
Last edited by fdr; 4th Sep 2022 at 12:52. Reason: avg 114.6 tons 4th airfleet OCT 1942 JAN 43