LUTON -8

[pabely]

Slot Capacity

ACL still shows:
Hour
UTC
23 to 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Arr 13 > 13 19 22 19 19 19 19 19 19 22 19 19 19 19 22 19 19 19 13
Dep 13 > 13 20 24 20 22 22 22 22 22 24 20 22 22 22 24 20 22 22 13
Total 15 > 15 25 34 28 31 31 31 31 31 34 28 31 31 31 34 28 31 31 15

Not good if using RWY 08

Does this still apply:
A scheduling limit of 114 movements in any 4 hour period (R240/60) is applied to allow scope for catch-up
in the event of schedule disruption. This may be waived on the day at the discretion of the airport manager
subject to weather, runway in use and the overall operational traffic situation.

[LTNman]

Everything about Luton's existing capacities can be found by doing a Google search using the term " maximum runway rate Luton Airport"

The top of the Google list is a link to a PDF called Capacity analysis of London Luton Airport - Gov.uk

Very interesting info as it goes into details about the capacity of the runway, apron, CTA and different parts of the terminal and was no doubt used in the planning of the airport upgrade.

Conclusion
For an airport to be designated as coordinated it is a requirement of legislation that the following two issues should be established. Firstly that the shortfall in capacity is so serious that significant delays cannot be avoided and, secondly, that no short term solution is available.
This analysis concludes that the constraint to overall airport capacity caused by the individual capacities of central security and of the runway-taxiway network meets both criteria: they individually are sufficiently serious that delay would become unacceptable if inappropriately managed, and that in each case no short term solution, other than coordination, is available.

[wallp]

It's so good to see JER listed in tomorrow's schedule. A route that has such a long history at LTN - for me most synomous with BMA in the 70's & 80's. It's great to have the route back, I hope it's a great success for EZY and that it'll soon be followed by the return of GCI and IOM.

[AvGeek1]

Originally Posted by wallp

It's so good to see JER listed in tomorrow's schedule. A route that has such a long history at LTN - for me most synomous with BMA in the 70's & 80's. It's great to have the route back, I hope it's a great success for EZY and that it'll soon be followed by the return of GCI and IOM.

I agree, a great new domestic route for Luton's network. I have just looked at loads for tomorrow's inaugural flight and they look quite promising. I wish EZY the best of luck and hopefully they can add more frequencies in the future.

[wallp]

That s good to hear.

5 x weekly seems a good schedule for JER.

Presumably in winter it'll reduce to say 3x weekly?

Any more news on Aurigny to GCI?

[AvGeek1]

I forget that the JER service was 5 weekly! Anyway outbound is currently schedule to be carrying 111 (71% LF) passengers and the inbound 122 (78% LF) passengers.

With a little growth in the market, this route will do very well in my opinion!

Along with easyJet's new service to Jersey, Blue Air commences service to Turin tomorrow also.

Tomorrow marks the end of the winter season and the start of the summer season for most airlines, who will now start flying there summer schedule in phases. The airport looks very busy tomorrow indeed! Let the chaos begin!

[Jamie2k9]

Shouldn't really post such info until post flight.

[Alloy]

No surprise but I see Monarch may be up for sale again:

Monarch Airlines owner seeks exit ? after only 17 months | The Sunday Times

This could change the scenery at Luton, I presume Norweigan or easyjet are most likely to purchase them.

[SWBKCB]

Let the chaos begin!

Yes that's the industry needs

[wallp]

Originally Posted by AvGeek1

I forget that the JER service was 5 weekly! Anyway outbound is currently schedule to be carrying 111 (71% LF) passengers and the inbound 122 (78% LF) passengers.

With a little growth in the market, this route will do very well in my opinion!

Along with easyJet's new service to Jersey, Blue Air commences service to Turin tomorrow also.

Tomorrow marks the end of the winter season and the start of the summer season for most airlines, who will now start flying there summer schedule in phases. The airport looks very busy tomorrow indeed! Let the chaos begin!

Those are very decent loads for a first flight in March. I think the route has a great chance of doing well under EZY's stewardship. I've followed the first flight online and she's arrived in JER - the welcome return of a classic route.

I hope Blue Air to Turin does well for them too. I flew the route some years back but with EZY. Hopefully Blue can make it a success - it definitely has potential all year round

[AvGeek1]

I was just wondering when easyJet will announce new flights that will commence around October time, if they are adding new routes that is. easyJet have definitely slowed growth at London airports so far this year, with two routes announced from Luton (Jersey & Dubrovnik) and Tivat the only route being announced from Gatwick this year. They also axed 5 routes from Gatwick from this month.

I think they still have loads more room for growth at Luton, but the factor that is prohibiting this growth slightly is the airport itself, as it is running at capacity.

Any news on any of the potential new routes from Luton, like Guernsey (Auringy Air) and Rome (Vueling)? I still think Florence with Vueling is strange, as flights are only showing as operating for a month from May to June.

[wallp]

Originally Posted by AvGeek1

I was just wondering when easyJet will announce new flights that will commence around October time, if they are adding new routes that is. easyJet have definitely slowed growth at London airports so far this year, with two routes announced from Luton (Jersey & Dubrovnik) and Tivat the only route being announced from Gatwick this year. They also axed 5 routes from Gatwick from this month.

I think they still have loads more room for growth at Luton, but the factor that is prohibiting this growth slightly is the airport itself, as it is running at capacity.

Any news on any of the potential new routes from Luton, like Guernsey (Auringy Air) and Rome (Vueling)? I still think Florence with Vueling is strange, as flights are only showing as operating for a month from May to June.

I'm sure all the redevelopment works at Luton must be restricting EZY growth but that will surely change in time.

Wasn't the Aurigny interest for 2017?

As for Vueling, Rome and Florence wouldn't surprise me. Rome is a major base for them and maybe they are testing the waters with Florence - a route I'm sure could do very well. Aren't they doing something similar with AMS and BCN at present with a limited service before the full schedule commences?

[AvGeek1]

Yes, I think Vueling are definitely testing the waters with the Barcelona flight as operations stop on the 30th March and recommences on the 27th May with two daily flights. I think Vueling have so many options out of Luton for further growth in the future with routes to Alicante, Tenerife, Malaga, Palma & Brussels all coming to mind.

A question for LTNman, any news on how the work on the drop off and the dualling of the airport road is going?

[wallp]

Originally Posted by AvGeek1

Yes, I think Vueling are definitely testing the waters with the Barcelona flight as operations stop on the 30th March and recommences on the 27th May with two daily flights. I think Vueling have so many options out of Luton for further growth in the future with routes to Alicante, Tenerife, Malaga, Palma & Brussels all coming to mind.

A question for LTNman, any news on how the work on the drop off and the dualling of the airport road is going?

It's a good time to schedule in some additional flights around the Easter Holidays. I see Air Nostrum are doing the same again this year to Vigo. Vueling seem to have major plans for growth in the UK. That they've opted for LGW & LTN and are targeting routes like BCN and AMS suggests they intend to go head on with EZY on their core routes and in their own backyards

[toledoashley]

I have always had the feeling that a BA/Monarch sale would make sense. It gives them more slots at Gatwick, and with a lower cost base than they used to have, a real opportunity for the BA brand to return to the regions (we have also seen a little of this with the GLA-SZG route, as well as the summer routes from Stansted).

[canberra97]

Well the GLA to SZG flights are just using spare capacity as was the case with the former EDI to IBZ flights, I wouldn't call the STANSTED summer routes as being regional as there shown as London flights as in London Stansted.

I'm not sure that BA would be interested in Monarch, maybe a sale to another Equity company or even Easyjet is a more likely scenario.

[Lee Baker Street]

LTN's astonishing continued growth

Once LTN has completed it's transformation expect many new airlines and routes but remember whilst LHR and LGW are no nearer to securing a new runway, both LTN and STN are the future for the London area!

LTN will, or is on course to reach 18 MPPA by 2020 but what does 2026 hold in terms of passenger levels? Could LTN have the potential to be on a par of say New York City La Guardia Airport?

I say yes!

[davidjohnson6]

Lee - it's worth remembering that LaGuardia is a lot nearer to Manhattan than Luton is to central London. That short distance may well encourage passengers to pay a premium in air fare comparable to London City which Luton struggles to attain

[LTNman]

I kept an eye on Ryanair today and noted 36 movements using 5 based aircraft and several non based aircraft flying into Luton.

Seems quite a step up from last year.

[LTNman]

LTN will, or is on course to reach 18 MPPA by 2020 but what does 2026 hold in terms of passenger levels?

I think Luton is reaching the end game when it comes to expansion. It might squeeze another 2 million out of the upgrade so hitting 20 million but then that will be it. Any more would have to come from a terminal 2 south of the runway and that could be 10 to 20 years away if at all due to objections and inquiries.

There would be no more nodding through by the council as it would be outside the town boundary.