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Old 21st Dec 2013, 20:11
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BMI Baby were also unheard of in Wales before they opened their base.....they operated 3 daily flights with B737-300's and the load factors were always high, especially EDI......and I know as I was present at check-in for these flights

The Flybe prices were no where near BMI fares so as I said City Jet need to offer some good fares.

As for ORY, there are still plenty of connections from there and has excellent links into the city centre.....plus a good range of domestic routes with AF too
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Old 21st Dec 2013, 20:39
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The fares offered by WW were based on filling a B737 on a low cost base, the same fares will not be possible on a Fokker 50 on the cost base at CityJet, especially given the generous seating pitch.
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Old 22nd Dec 2013, 06:12
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Let's wait and see what the business model of the new owners is, instead of basing any forecasts on the current operation.
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Old 22nd Dec 2013, 18:57
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Originally Posted by SWBKCB
Let's wait and see what the business model of the new owners is, instead of basing any forecasts on the current operation.
That's fair enough. However (a) the first aircraft will start flying out of Cardiff in January, well before any sale to new owners is concluded; and (b) with a fleet of elderly F50s and gas-guzzling RJ85s, there's limited scope to change business models.
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Old 23rd Dec 2013, 09:27
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Hopefully the new owners will begin talks with the likes of Bombardier, Embraer, ATR and invest in a new fleet for starters.
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Old 23rd Dec 2013, 11:52
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How about the AN148/158???
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Old 23rd Dec 2013, 15:55
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Originally Posted by CCR
Hopefully the new owners will begin talks with the likes of Bombardier, Embraer, ATR and invest in a new fleet for starters.
And how do you suggest they pay for this fleet? With saved-up Flying Blue miles? Cityjet has failed to make money even flying an old and mostly-fully-depreciated fleet around - how exactly are they supposed to magically generate enough cash to pay for shiny new kit (whether leased or purchased)?

Being given Cityjet for free and a chunk of cash and wet-lease contracts as a dowry may allow Intro to break even on an operating basis (assuming there are not too many more escapades like CWL to be announced ) but I can see no way it can finance refleeting.
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Old 23rd Dec 2013, 16:26
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Dundee/London City cancelled

Reported on BBC that all services will stop in January.

Not a surprise, but bad news for Dundee.
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Old 23rd Dec 2013, 16:28
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Cyrano - I agree with you that financing new shiny kit will be extremely difficult, but to play devil's advicate, how much longer can the existing fleet keep going in a reliable and cost-effective manner?
Planes may undergo very strict and regular inspection/maintenance, but they are ultimately made up of lots of moving parts that undergo various stresses like rapid and repeated changes of temperature, vibrations, weather, etc - and so like any machine they eventually wear out one way or another...

Bearpit - tickets for Dundee remain on sale until 29 March 2014. There's more on the Dundee thread
http://www.pprune.org/airlines-airpo...dundee-31.html

Last edited by davidjohnson6; 23rd Dec 2013 at 16:51.
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Old 23rd Dec 2013, 16:28
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The words "Fly" and "Be" spring to mind. They managed to burn through the dowry from BA, much of the IPO proceeds, and were about to chomp on the easyJet slot sale proceeds before they realised they had a terminal cash flow problem - to a large extent resulting from an ill-judged refleeting programme (and madcap diversification into Scandinavia).
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Old 23rd Dec 2013, 21:38
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Looks like ten of the 19 RJ85's are leased, however the F50's look as if they are fully owned. I think a newer, greener, more reliable, faster, fleet could enable better utilisation, but it depends how much investment the buyers are prepared to make (unlikely).
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Old 25th Dec 2013, 21:57
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VLM's AOC

Does anybody know if VLM is still holding its original AOC no. B-3004 after its operation was officially fully integrated into BCY on 11.JAN.2010?
I recently observed some flights operated under the VLM designator (3 flights by OO-VLL on 13.DEC.2013 and 3 flights by OO-VLI on 16.DEC.2013).
Thanks for some enlightment.
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Old 25th Dec 2013, 22:16
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The words "Fly" and "Be" spring to mind. They managed to burn through the dowry from BA, much of the IPO proceeds, and were about to chomp on the easyJet slot sale proceeds before they realised they had a terminal cash flow problem - to a large extent resulting from an ill-judged refleeting programme (and madcap diversification into Scandinavia).
I suspect they'd started planning what to do with the Flybe Ireland dowry too. Although dowry might not be the right term for a forced marriage!
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Old 4th Jan 2014, 22:14
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The boss of Intro Aviation, which has made an offer to buy Cityjet, has said he wants to merge it with his German/Austrian regional carrier Intersky (5 ATRs IIRC) to create a pan-European regional carrier big enough not to be pushed around by Lufthansa: Reuters story here.

I'm just not seeing this. European regional aviation is a bloodbath. While I wish it well, Cityjet has an obsolete fleet, no recent history of profitability, and a dwindling number of routes. How is it magically going to generate enough cash to refleet as it would need to do for longer-term survival, or is the Intro idea to replicate the VLM old-aircraft low-capital-cost low-utilisation model outside UK & Ireland?
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Old 4th Jan 2014, 23:08
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Cityjet actually needs a geographic territory to dominate and defend. It had LCY but nowhere else, and now this is diminishing. Their CWL adventure should be interesting.
Being a market sector champion makes you vulnerable to frequency, network and fare competition - you are not just competing with LH in German-speaking regions (der Zug und das Auto are pretty mean competitors).
You also end up having to serve too many markets to sustain the fleet, as Flybe finds; serving cross Irish Sea, UK inter-city, sun spot, gite, big city, mature leisure markets and codeshare/interline and other feeder routes is too complex and unfocussed. Unlike Flybe (when BA abandoned the regions), there is no natural vacuum for the airline to fill. Franchises are unfashionable and brand-building is expensive.
Good luck Herr Woerhl.
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Old 5th Jan 2014, 22:03
  #376 (permalink)  
 
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CityJet RJ85 fleet

Let us not forget that of the 19 currently operated RJ85's, 10 will be returning to lessor between Jan 14 and June 15, thus leaving them with only 9 operational jets plus the F.50's.
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Old 6th Jan 2014, 06:57
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When did they pull off LCY-EDI route and why? Thought that would have been a good earner.
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Old 6th Jan 2014, 10:49
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When did they pull off LCY-EDI route and why? Thought that would have been a good earner.
Cityjet dropped the LCY-EDI route back on the 26th October.

Edinburgh

Cityjet dropped the route after deciding it was no longer a commercially viable option
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Old 6th Jan 2014, 12:25
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I would imagine the resurgent East Coast route, with a brilliant First Class service and intense competition from BA put paid to the profitability of the route.
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Old 6th Jan 2014, 13:23
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Let us not forget that of the 19 currently operated RJ85's, 10 will be returning to lessor between Jan 14 and June 15
I would say this could be positive news. It might be that the leases are extended on a reduced cost basis or that it allows for replacement with more modern jets. How many are expected to go between now and end of March? If there were cut backs, what would happen to the slots? Are there crews being laid off already because of the planes going, if so how many? If they are keeping the crew I would guess they will be keeping the planes.

bb
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