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-   -   Is Ukraine about to have a war? (https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/639666-ukraine-about-have-war.html)

Video Mixdown 23rd Nov 2022 20:10


Originally Posted by JulieAndrews (Post 11336107)
on the chopper front - I'm not sure 3 Sea Kings is going to do it ........plus the shed full of spares to keep them going for the week.

They have clearly been offered and since UKR have accepted they must see them as a useful asset. If any other country had done this it would be seen as praiseworthy, but because it's the UK your first reaction is ridicule. Why would that be?
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Low average 23rd Nov 2022 20:13


Originally Posted by Video Mixdown (Post 11336140)
They have clearly been offered and since UKR have accepted they must see them as a useful asset. If any other country had done this it would be seen as praiseworthy, but because it's the UK your first reaction is ridicule. Why would that be?
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These are very old, mothballed airframes. I'm not sure of their value either. On the other hand, I think the Ukranians would benefit from plenty of warm, fighting gear.

ORAC 23rd Nov 2022 20:13

The three SK supplied are SAR versions for aeromed etc, not the ASW birds.

Meanwhile.

https://www.defensenews.com/air/2022...on-to-ukraine/

WASHINGTON — The Pentagon said it will send Ukraine up to $400 million in artillery ammunition, weapons and supplies in its latest drawdown package to help the nation defend itself against Russia.

The security assistance package announced Wednesday includes more ammunition for HIMARS, HARM and 200 precision-guided 155mm artillery rounds, the U.S. Department of Defense said in a statement.

It also includes 150 heavy machine guns with thermal imagery sights that Ukraine could use to shoot down Russian drones, the Pentagon said, as well as 10,000 120mm mortar rounds and additional munitions for NASAMS, air defense systems developed by Norway’s Kongsberg Defence and Aerospace and U.S. firm Raytheon Technologies.…

NutLoose 23rd Nov 2022 20:19


Originally Posted by JulieAndrews (Post 11336107)
on the chopper front - I'm not sure 3 Sea Kings is going to do it ........plus the shed full of spares to keep them going for the week.

Have they provided them with torpedoes or Compatible missiles?

ORAC 23rd Nov 2022 20:19

Reference Wagner and the hammer..


https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....699c1f62b4.png

NutLoose 23rd Nov 2022 20:33


Originally Posted by Old_Slartibartfast (Post 11336082)
Much as I've been very reluctant for the West to get involved in yet another conflict on foreign soil, I am seriously worried that this view is going to gain more traction over the coming weeks and months. It frankly terrifies me if it were to happen, as our (as in the West's) track record of engaging in military action in foreign lands isn't exactly a glowing recommendation for the idea.

The multibillion dollar question is knowing how Russia might react if the West were to directly intervene, or even just give Ukraine longer range weapons that could strike deep within Russia. I frankly do not trust any of our assessments of Russian capability, as the past 9 months have proved, beyond doubt, that every one of our assessments has been completely wrong. If we can have been so wrong about their military capability, what else have we seriously misjudged about Russia?

The major fear is that the madmen in the Kremlin may choose to do the unthinkable, and use their nuclear weapons. Some assessments of the remaining Russian weapon capability are suggesting that they have few conventional long range missiles left, and at least two reports suggest that long range missiles that landed in Ukraine, but had no warheads, were dummy nukes, perhaps fired as decoys, perhaps fired out of desperation. This war is evolving into a massively more serious phase now, with Russia under severe sanctions, with badly depleted and poorly trained and equipped land forces, having been declared a terrorist state and having expended most of its warstock of reasonably capable conventional weapons. There has to be a risk that the Kremlin may decide they have nothing to lose by using tactical nukes, and that could well be precipitated by the West upping the ante and taking more direct action.

I would not like having to sit around a table in whatever sort of decision conference decides on these things, it seems an almost intractable problem, with no good outcomes.

The ONLY way I can see them ever stopping the threat from these missiles destroying the countries infrastructure is as I said before, it’s not to keep plowing defensive weapons into the Country, because they will never catch them all, they need to give them long range weapons capable of destroying that bridge, hitting the ships, subs and loading docks in Sevastopol, also hitting the facilities launching the suicide drones and hitting the bomber launching from over the Black Sea.
And drop all the rail and road bridges linking Russia to Ukraine on both sides of the border.

After that I also think they need to give permission given to start destroying Russias power infrastructure around Moscow as well as their tv transmission masts etc..

And give them fighters, I just hope training on them has already begun.

magyarflyer 23rd Nov 2022 20:34


Originally Posted by Sallyann1234 (Post 11335935)
It's not just a sponsor. Russia is a terrorist state.

indeed we don't have the balls to call it what it is: a terrorist state not a sponsor
its time to revoke all Russian diplomats and expel them from western countries (after listening to the Russian embassador in England totally blind to the Bucha massacre).
In the meantime Putin is destroying Ukraine, nothing left but ruins and civilians lying dead. In the meantime Prigozhin has the audacity to send a blood stained hammer to the European Parliament.
The west needs to face reality. Lack of courage.

Confusious 23rd Nov 2022 20:42


Originally Posted by NutLoose (Post 11336158)
The ONLY way I can see them ever stopping the threat from these missiles destroying the countries infrastructure is as I said before, it’s not to keep plowing defensive weapons into the Country, because they will never catch them all, they need to give them long range weapons capable of destroying that bridge, hitting the ships, subs and loading docks in Sevastopol, also hitting the facilities launching the suicide drones and hitting the bomber launching from over the Black Sea.
And drop all the rail and road bridges linking Russia to Ukraine on both sides of the border.

After that I also think they need to give permission given to start destroying Russias power infrastructure around Moscow as well as their tv transmission masts etc..

Agreed, but the resistance to send the required offensive hardware is probably fuelled by the same fear as physical intervention, lighting Putin's unpredictable fuse.

Herod 23rd Nov 2022 20:43

Fighting a war where one side is not allowed to strike the other's territory is like playing football where one side isn't allowed over the half-way line. Makes no sense.

Old_Slartibartfast 23rd Nov 2022 20:56

What we don't know (and quite rightly so) is what's being done in terms of training those Ukrainians that are here and in the USA. There have been Ukrainian troops on Salisbury Plain for some time now, for example, and I've no doubt they are probably training elsewhere as well. Giving Ukraine long range weapons is sod all use unless they are competent to deploy them very effectively.

Think back to how long it takes to learn to use any bit of fairly complex kit competently. It's not a short process, especially as we know that they will get zero additional training when they get home, they need to be ready to use any new weapons and systems they are given the moment that set foot back on Ukrainian soil. For all we know that process might well be going on now, with a publicity black out because no one would want to tip off Russia as to what might be pointed in their direction before too long.

ORAC 23rd Nov 2022 21:51

😁😁😁😁

A confectionery producer in Kazakhstan dropped a new ad for their chocolate bar called “Kazakhstan”.

In it, what looks like a Russian draft dodger walks over to Kazakhstan and is handed a chocolate bar.

He asks what it is and is told, “It’s the taste of freedom.”

Absolute fire.
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ORAC 23rd Nov 2022 21:57

Germany offered to move patriot air defense systems to Poland after missiles killed two polish citizens.

Poland ask Germany to move them to Ukraine.

​​​​​​​Legends.

ORAC 23rd Nov 2022 22:28

I’m seeing more and more talk of a Russian and Kazakhstan possible conflict... from both sides.

This is like a wounded animal lashing out at anyone.

Kazakhstan has a capable military, a big enough army and the Russian space program.

Go ahead and f around and find out

NutLoose 23rd Nov 2022 23:01

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NutLoose 23rd Nov 2022 23:03


Originally Posted by Old_Slartibartfast (Post 11336176)
What we don't know (and quite rightly so) is what's being done in terms of training those Ukrainians that are here and in the USA. There have been Ukrainian troops on Salisbury Plain for some time now, for example, and I've no doubt they are probably training elsewhere as well. Giving Ukraine long range weapons is sod all use unless they are competent to deploy them very effectively.

Think back to how long it takes to learn to use any bit of fairly complex kit competently. It's not a short process, especially as we know that they will get zero additional training when they get home, they need to be ready to use any new weapons and systems they are given the moment that set foot back on Ukrainian soil. For all we know that process might well be going on now, with a publicity black out because no one would want to tip off Russia as to what might be pointed in their direction before too long.

On the liberation of Kherson film, one of the soldiers was wearing on his chest the Union flag badge with the top half yellow and the bottom blue, which I think those trained in the U.K. had.

NutLoose 23rd Nov 2022 23:06

Shows some of Russia's losses in one region.

​​​​​​​https://twitter.com/UkraineRussia2/status/1595478650790375424

..

rattman 23rd Nov 2022 23:07


Originally Posted by ORAC (Post 11336229)
I’m seeing more and more talk of a Russian and Kazakhstan possible conflict... from both sides.

Sounds like hes just making stuff up. no way either would start a war

BlankBox 23rd Nov 2022 23:49


That includes replacing the string of 1980s-era radars in Canada’s north that form the backbone of this country’s contribution to Norad with more modern systems that can see farther and detect and track new types of weapons.
https://ca.news.yahoo.com/russia-res...011012308.html

ORAC 24th Nov 2022 05:47

More on the previous report if the withdrawal of Russian forces from Crimea….


https://censor.net/en/video_news/338...ia_videophotos

Russians massively transfer military equipment from occupied Crimea to mainland - media. VIDEO&PHOTOS

In the occupied Crimea, a lively movement of columns of Russian military equipment was recorded from the occupied Kherson region in the direction of the Kerch bridge….

ORAC 24th Nov 2022 07:40

Excellent thread on remaining Russian ASM/SSM/IRBM stocks.

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...889127936.html


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