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-   -   Is Ukraine about to have a war? (https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/639666-ukraine-about-have-war.html)

NutLoose 10th May 2022 13:19


Originally Posted by Beamr (Post 11227994)
Yet another confirmed T-90M kill. As the first obviously was no lucky shot the Russians really must be thinking hard what to do about it. And India thinking how to get rid of those.

As the latest evolution version of their 20th century kits aren't as good as advertised do the Russians dare to move the Armata in to the battlefield? I'd really love to know how it'll do in the battle, however a loss of one of those would really be a blow for the Russians.


https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1523979659544834057


At least they are more environmentally friendly, they retain their turrets thus making the post action clean up easier.. :)

dead_pan 10th May 2022 13:47


Originally Posted by Beamr (Post 11227994)
Yet another confirmed T-90M kill. As the first obviously was no lucky shot the Russians really must be thinking hard what to do about it. And India thinking how to get rid of those.

This may have been footage from the first reported kill.


I'd really love to know how it'll do in the battle, however a loss of one of those would really be a blow for the Russians.
Badly I suspect, hence why they're not risking fielding them. They lost a couple in Syria apparently.

The China military leadership must also be scratching their heads, having not only based much of their kit on Soviet legacy stuff, but also much of their military doctrine. Back to the drawing boards lads!

Beamr 10th May 2022 14:06


Originally Posted by dead_pan (Post 11228012)
This may have been footage from the first reported kill.

They do use the word "another" in the description.

WideScreen 10th May 2022 14:26


Originally Posted by dead_pan (Post 11227866)
Sorry but this is wishful thinking in the extreme.

The issue as I see it that Russia, in its current guise, is far too tempting a grift for a wannabe Putin successor to pass up: the opportunity to enrich yourself, your family and friends beyond measure, to literally have the natural resources of the world's largest country as your bank account, coupled the ultimate safeguard of the world's largest arsenal of nuclear weapons, oh and a supremely pliable and gullible population to ride roughshod over (vodka + circuses, that's all it takes). Even the most liberal-minded pro-Western amongst them would be tempted.

Without some "goal", realistic or not, you won't be able to strive to go to Mars......

Yep, Putin successors would be fighting to take-over from Putin. Though there are several, if not many. Which will make it quite a fight.

As such, my suggestion to break up the Russian Federation and suddenly the power base for all the would-be follow-up's would be gone.

And, to break up the Russian Federation, NATO needs to be in Moscow. Not to claim the country, though to initiate the political break-up of de Federation. With that, the Russian threat would be diminished, if not gone, etc.

Spunky Monkey 10th May 2022 14:40


Originally Posted by WideScreen (Post 11228035)
Without some "goal", realistic or not, you won't be able to strive to go to Mars......

Yep, Putin successors would be fighting to take-over from Putin. Though there are several, if not many. Which will make it quite a fight.

As such, my suggestion to break up the Russian Federation and suddenly the power base for all the would-be follow-up's would be gone.

And, to break up the Russian Federation, NATO needs to be in Moscow. Not to claim the country, though to initiate the political break-up of de Federation. With that, the Russian threat would be diminished, if not gone, etc.


You should be on stage with this, its comedy gold.

Lonewolf_50 10th May 2022 14:41


Originally Posted by WideScreen (Post 11228035)
And, to break up the Russian Federation, NATO needs to be in Moscow. Not to claim the country, though to initiate the political break-up of de Federation. With that, the Russian threat would be diminished, if not gone, etc.

That's the point that you keep getting wrong. The USSR, for example, broke up without NATO being in Moscow.

[email protected] 10th May 2022 15:26

As we saw with Saddam and Gaddafi, removing the head of the beast just creates a power vacuum and gets the different factions fighting with each other for control - that really would be a bad thing for Russia and the rest of Europe.

Ninthace 10th May 2022 15:33


Originally Posted by Beamr (Post 11227994)
Yet another confirmed T-90M kill. As the first obviously was no lucky shot the Russians really must be thinking hard what to do about it. And India thinking how to get rid of those.

As the latest evolution version of their 20th century kits aren't as good as advertised do the Russians dare to move the Armata in to the battlefield? I'd really love to know how it'll do in the battle, however a loss of one of those would really be a blow for the Russians.

I think they were looking the wrong way, Looks like a pantomime shot to me.

Ninthace 10th May 2022 15:39


Originally Posted by WideScreen (Post 11228035)
And, to break up the Russian Federation, NATO needs to be in Moscow. Not to claim the country, though to initiate the political break-up of de Federation. With that, the Russian threat would be diminished, if not gone, etc.

If you think Putin is hacked of now, you try walking NATO into Russian territory, let alone getting to Moscow. What's more, the Russian people would be right behind him on that one for real. When Putin and his boys say no foreign forces in Russia, they mean it and will chuck everything they own at NATO, including the kitchen sink!

WideScreen 10th May 2022 15:44


Originally Posted by Spunky Monkey (Post 11228050)
You should be on stage with this, its comedy gold.

Nr. 1 in Ukraine seems to be doing pretty well, with a background like that. We also did have Reagan, though he was more of a movie star.

WideScreen 10th May 2022 15:48


Originally Posted by Ninthace (Post 11228087)
If you think Putin is hacked of now, you try walking NATO into Russian territory, let alone getting to Moscow. What's more, the Russian people would be right behind him on that one for real. When Putin and his boys say no foreign forces in Russia, they mean it and will chuck everything they own at NATO, including the kitchen sink!

Of course. Just find a way, to get this resolved. Oh, I don't say, it should be military hardware. So, maybe as part of a political cease fire agreement, once all Putin's armament is turned into scrap ?

ORAC 10th May 2022 15:48

BREAKING: The Finnish parliament's defence committee recommends NATO membership.

WideScreen 10th May 2022 15:50


Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50 (Post 11228051)
That's the point that you keep getting wrong. The USSR, for example, broke up without NATO being in Moscow.

Russia is a country. USSR was a collection of independent countries, who each decided (including the main one Russia), that going further on their own would be more beneficial to all.

Breaking-up the Russian Federation, would imply breaking-up a country with a central government, law, currency, etc (vs. multiple governments for the USSR, with each a lot of "freedom" to decide).

langleybaston 10th May 2022 15:53


Originally Posted by ninthace (Post 11228087)
if you think putin is hacked of now, you try walking nato into russian territory, let alone getting to moscow. What's more, the russian people would be right behind him on that one for real. When putin and his boys say no foreign forces in russia, they mean it and will chuck everything they own at nato, including the kitchen sink!

JUST ONE MORE TIME
NATO IS A DEFENSIVE ALLIANCE

which bit is not understood?

FlightDetent 10th May 2022 15:59


Originally Posted by WideScreen (Post 11228100)
Russia is a country. USSR was a collection of independent countries, who each decided (including the main one Russia), that going further on their own would be more beneficial to all.

Breaking-up the Russian Federation, would imply breaking-up a country with a central government, law, currency, etc (vs. multiple governments for the USSR, with each a lot of "freedom" to decide).

Please, spare us this nonsense. Benefit of a doubt, perhaps you mean the Warsaw pact / East bloc in mainland Europe?

WideScreen 10th May 2022 16:01


Originally Posted by [email protected] (Post 11228080)
As we saw with Saddam and Gaddafi, removing the head of the beast just creates a power vacuum and gets the different factions fighting with each other for control - that really would be a bad thing for Russia and the rest of Europe.

I agree to that, as such, my suggestion to break up the Russian Federation in its individual states, which each do have a kind of "local government" already in place. Of course, a lot needs to be done, though, replacing Putin with just another dictator in a huge country, isn't going to take away the Russian threat, given its population seriously believes in all what the propaganda said. You're not going to change that in just a few years. So, better have a lot of small countries, who initially do not want to "work" together, etc, though learn on that, and each in itself aren't a threat to NATO.

Also, these individual states no longer have the ability to pay for the Nukes, so, these will also get scrapped.

Just assuming, it is possible to "bring" a democracy isn't something that is going to work, recent history has shown this extensively.

Having a lot of smaller though independent countries, condemned to gradually start working together to accomplish something, along the EU model, is one of the very few options, I think, to get rid of the Russian threat.

And, the above also sends a serious message to China, what might happen, in case they think a Hitler game would be appropriate.

Ninthace 10th May 2022 16:02


Originally Posted by langleybaston (Post 11228106)
JUST ONE MORE TIME
NATO IS A DEFENSIVE ALLIANCE

which bit is not understood?

Don't tell me, tell him!

WideScreen 10th May 2022 16:17


Originally Posted by langleybaston (Post 11228106)
JUST ONE MORE TIME
NATO IS A DEFENSIVE ALLIANCE

which bit is not understood?

Yep, NATO is "defensive". I don't say, NATO should invade Russia, though certainly be a strong negotiation partner, the moment, Putin his armies are turned into scrap. IE, go to Moscow, being the political center in Russia. And, NATO not even has to go there physically. Just be an important party at the table. This moment will come inevitable, once the Russian army is depleted of all their shiny stuff. NATO, just take care to be there, to lay the groundwork, that NATO doesn't need to become military active, not your official role, though take care to be there.

langleybaston 10th May 2022 16:28

Please, folks, stop b*ggering an important thread.
Most of us do not want to wade through the stuff.

As one says:

There's a war on !

[email protected] 10th May 2022 16:38

Widescreen - not a NATO job at all but the EU could act as a partner to a future Russia (they already were to some extent with the German policies of building links through trade).

The power and money of the EU could help a reborn Russia stand on it's own feet but there would have to be no military threat - which the Russians perceive NATO to be - it would have to be trade based and would need a lot of investment from the West.

The Russians have a common currency, an almost common language and a country-wide system of command and control/government - if you can remove the FSB and the thought police from their country and introduce a bit of free speech without the threat of imprisonment (or worse) the raw materials for a successful rebirth of a proud nation are there.


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