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Old 31st Mar 2022, 15:51
  #1341 (permalink)  
Paxing All Over The World
 
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I expect that the UK, along with much of the world, is heading into a major recession. There are also those suggesting that we will be in Stagflation. The pains for the world, post Covid, have just been made worse.
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Old 31st Mar 2022, 15:53
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Thanks very much Mr Poo Tin
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Old 31st Mar 2022, 22:01
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2022 summer season was always going to mean full aircraft. Folk with vouchers, rebooked flights and those that needed a foreign sun holiday.

The problem airlines and tour operators have is cash flow, those that had vouchers or re-booked flights, airlines have probably spent that cash already. How do you generate more cash, by flooding the market with seats, launching flight programmes early and hoping oil stays around $100 a barrel.

I predicted last year, that Winter 2022/23 will see the demise of some airlines. Events to the east only exaggerate that claim. I also predict more consolidation in Europe. I'd love to be proved wrong, but the inflationary pressures on travel added to reduced household disposable income means the aviation world continues its cyclic ups and downs.

Woe betide any businesses over leveraged with cheap debt that will become more expensive.

I nearly forgot to mention that the leasing companies have taken a massive 'haircut' in Russia, so rates will increase to make up for losses. Planes will also be far more expensive to manufacture. Staffing costs will also head upwards. Charges by handing agents, MROs, airports............
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Old 31st Mar 2022, 22:21
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Originally Posted by davidjohnson6
After Monarch closed, I don't think anybody tried Luton (or any London airport) to Eilat. Arkia and Wizz focussed on London-Tel Aviv. There's a new, shiny, and rather underused airport now in Eilat which opened in Jan 2019

Could be wrong on this... happy to be corrected.
Wizz definitely flew to ‘Eilat’ but believe it was Ovda. This was miles from the city but where international was sent. Eilat Airport within the city was extremely constrained in terms of size. Both closed following opening of the new Ramon airport. Pretty sure Ryanair went to Ramon although not from the UK, I’m not sure Wizz followed. I found from google an article saying Wizz were increasing LTN frequency so must have done OK.
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Old 31st Mar 2022, 22:50
  #1345 (permalink)  
 
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I'm sure they announced an increase but it never happened then the whole route was canned, if the moneys right it may return, hey WZZ have more slots to use now.

What more might be on the radar is Egypt though, they are testing with Abu Dhabi base and there will be demand from Eastern Europe as well as UK to Hurghada & Sharm, why let EZY have all the fun!
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Old 2nd Apr 2022, 09:04
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Originally Posted by LGS6753
The summer slot report has now been published.
..
FlyOne disappear (but Moldova is currently in the Ukraine war zone)
.
FlyOne inbound now so maybe not.

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Old 2nd Apr 2022, 15:00
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Twice weekly at the moment rising to three weekly in a few weeks with onward connections to Yerevan etc.
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Old 2nd Apr 2022, 16:01
  #1348 (permalink)  
 
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5 weekly from July
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Old 3rd Apr 2022, 10:23
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The compulsory backtrack Notam has been removed a month early.

Second Biz jet banned from leaving Luton due to Ukraine

NO AEROPLANE OF THE TYPE D ASSAULT FALCON 7X AND WHICH IS REGISTERED TO VELUT LTD IS TO DEPART FROM LUTON AIRPORT.
NO AEROPLANE OF THE TYPE GULFSTREAM AND WHICH IS OPERATED BY FALCON WINGS IS TO DEPART FROM LUTON AIRPORT
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Old 5th Apr 2022, 07:10
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Iberia A321 today with Real Madrid football team today and Air Nostrum CRJ tomorrow. No slots available then?
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Old 5th Apr 2022, 07:21
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Seeing Luton is full of business jets again I would surmise slots are not a great issue compared to 2016-19
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Old 5th Apr 2022, 20:33
  #1352 (permalink)  
 
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Don't think slots are an issue yet.
It's parking. Didn't the LCFC toys stop over the weekend then reposition to SEN afterwards?

El Al start double daily tomorrow, that will be x9 week.
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Old 5th Apr 2022, 22:10
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It seems bums on seats for March was only running at around 72%. Too many flights chasing not enough passengers.

Last edited by LTNman; 5th Apr 2022 at 22:21.
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Old 5th Apr 2022, 22:49
  #1354 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by LTNman
It seems bums on seats for March was only running at around 72%. Too many flights chasing not enough passengers.
The TLV route or just generally, didn't think anyone reported their stats yet for March?

WZZ reported load factors of 61.0% & 69.8% for Jan & Feb so far across their whole network,
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Old 5th Apr 2022, 23:19
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72% is around the average for all flights and airlines.

Last edited by LTNman; 6th Apr 2022 at 04:33.
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Old 6th Apr 2022, 08:34
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I would suggest the increase of El Al flights is because of the Easter holidays.
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Old 6th Apr 2022, 09:39
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Easter and Passover for the Jewish faith, which is between 15th April until the 23rd
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Old 6th Apr 2022, 17:38
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As some will remember, the government recently put on hold the airport owner approving the airport operators application for 19m. Some thought the holding letter was just a formality before taking no further action. The government has now decided to call-in the application, so will need a Public Inquiry, which will come as a major shock to the Town Hall.

Maybe the government doesn't like the idea that the Council approved in effect its own airport planning application put in by its partner, while the DCO application for expansion from 18m to 32m has yet to be submitted.

When Luton Council started planning for airport expansion in 2016 the world was a different place. Maybe just maybe the Council has blown the £517m so far spent since 2016 that has yet to add a single passenger.

So will the airport operator withdraw the application due to cost or will the Council pick up the bill? At the planning committee meeting where this application was approved, the Council spent a small fortune making sure the application would go through by employing a QC and getting reports written to support the application to make it look all above board. They have been rumbled!

Last edited by LTNman; 7th Apr 2022 at 05:47.
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Old 6th Apr 2022, 18:18
  #1359 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by LTNman
As some will remember the government recently put on hold the airport owner approving the airport operators application for 19m. Some thought the holding letter was just a formality before taking no further action. The government has now decided to call-in the application, so will need a public enquiry, which will come as a major shock to the Town Hall.

Maybe the government doesn't like the idea that the Council approved in effect its own airport planning application put in by its partner and has done so for years, while the DCO application for expansion from 18m to 32m has yet to be submitted.

When Luton Council started planning for airport expansion in 2016 the world was a different place. Maybe just maybe the Council has blown the £517m so far spent that has yet to add a single passenger.
LTNman, I think you mean Public Inquiry? However I imagine the Inquiry is related to due process with regards to the increasing of the current annual passenger cap by 1MPPA, having inadvertently being approved. The major expansion project might not have any relation to this investigation. So I am sorry to say you might be disappointed once the matter is resolved!
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Old 6th Apr 2022, 18:32
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What do you mean by saying "inadvertently"? Do you really think it was an accident?
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