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BBadanov 26th August 2025 23:22


Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50 (Post 11944394)
Here's a brilliant move: mess with the Aussies. (From FP, 26 Aug, 2025 short article) Let's go out of the way to stir up ill will, for (???) gain.

Apologies LoneW, but I'm missing your point.

Are you saying that by our reaction, we are stirring up ill will?

reynoldsno1 27th August 2025 03:14

Interesting that this comes but a couple of days after Australia decided to recognise a Palestinian state, and Netanyahu accused Albanese of 'betrraying' israel.

Captain Dart 27th August 2025 07:44

Got in quick before Israel cuts off intel tipoffs from Mossad?

OTOH Australia has a large Jewish community (which contributes much to the country), perhaps intel sharing will continue for their sake.

O/T General Sir John Monash for those interested:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Monash

Lonewolf_50 27th August 2025 12:32


Originally Posted by BBadanov (Post 11944433)
Apologies LoneW, but I'm missing your point.

Are you saying that by our reaction, we are stirring up ill will?

No, I think that the Iranians are foolish to stir up ill will among the Aussies, for .... what gain?
(Sorry if I was unclear).

Lonewolf_50 29th August 2025 13:36

Iran sanctions snap back.

Originally Posted by FP Magazine
France, Germany, and the United Kingdom triggered the start of a process to reimpose U.N. sanctions on Iran on Thursday, a process known as a “snapback.” The three countries, known collectively as the E3, are all parties to the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, which allowed for the resumption of sanctions that were suspended by the deal in case diplomacy with the Iranian regime to rein in its nuclear program did not yield a result. Trump walked away from the deal in 2018, during his first term in office, and has spent much of his second term thus far negotiating with (and bombing) Iran over its nuclear program.

The international sanctions, which have been suspended by the United Nations for the past decade, will now go back into effect in a little over a month unless Iran can stave them off with some eleventh-hour diplomacy in the meantime.

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio welcomed the snapback but reiterated that Washington remains open to continued engagement with Iran. “The United States appreciates the leadership of our E3 allies in this effort,” he said in a statement. “Over the coming weeks, we will work with them and other Members of the UN Security Council to successfully complete the snapback of international sanctions and restrictions on Iran.”

What one needs to keep an eye on with this move is the increase or decrease of activity in the Red Sea by the Houthis. That will be one way that Iran may signal a response to this.

Asturias56 30th August 2025 08:45

What's interesting is that since the attacks by the US 2 months ago Iran has pretty much dropped out of the main news.

Be interesting to see if they've restored their facilities and are any closer to testing a nuclear bomb.

Lonewolf_50 15th September 2025 20:45

An update on the controversial battle damage assessment...coming from Iran.

Originally Posted by FP magazine excerpt
Enriched uranium status.
Iran issued a rare public reference on Thursday to the whereabouts of its stockpile of nuclear material. In a state broadcast, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said the remains of nearly 900 pounds of enriched uranium is “located under the debris of the bombed installations” that Israel and the United States targeted in June.
Tehran’s Atomic Energy Organization is now “assessing whether these materials are accessible or not,” Araghchi added.

On June 21, the United States joined Israel’s 12-day war against Tehran by bombing three Iranian nuclear facilities: Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan. Trump has since said that the U.S. strike “obliterated” Iran’s nuclear program, but experts suspect that Tehran may have moved its stockpiles before the attack.
Iran has since suspended cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), preventing the United Nations from assessing the extent of the damage.

I am not sure why he is making this public; perhaps it is due to this:


Araghchi’s assessment comes as Iran faces a European-imposed deadline to address IAEA concerns about its stockpile or else risk reimposed snapback sanctions by the end of September. On Tuesday, Araghchi and IAEA chief Rafael Grossi reached an agreement intended to pave the way toward allowing the IAEA to resume its inspections in Iran. However, neither side provided any details on what that agreement entailed.
I'll let those with the stubby pencils figure out how much of Iran's stockpile "900 pounds" represents.

kiwi grey 16th September 2025 04:12


Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50 (Post 11954250)
An update on the controversial battle damage assessment...coming from Iran.

Originally Posted by FP magazine excerpt
Enriched uranium status.
Iran issued a rare public reference on Thursday to the whereabouts of its stockpile of nuclear material. In a state broadcast, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said the remains of nearly 900 pounds of enriched uranium is “located under the debris of the bombed installations” that Israel and the United States targeted in June.
Tehran’s Atomic Energy Organization is now “assessing whether these materials are accessible or not,” Araghchi added.
I am not sure why he is making this public;
.

If I was Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, that would be exactly what I would say, regardless of whether it was true or whether my surviving scientists were extremely busy pushing my 900 lbs of medium enriched uranium through centrifuges to manufacture bomb-making quantities of Highly Enriched Uranium
:eek:

tdracer 16th September 2025 05:29


Originally Posted by kiwi grey (Post 11954378)
If I was Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, that would be exactly what I would say, regardless of whether it was true or whether my surviving scientists were extremely busy pushing my 900 lbs of medium enriched uranium through centrifuges to manufacture bomb-making quantities of Highly Enriched Uranium
:eek:

Israeli intelligence has been so successful over the last several years that I wouldn't be surprised if Israel has a better idea of the state of Iran's nuke program than the Iranian government does.

Biggus 16th September 2025 07:31

Apparently, because of the success of Russian spies within the programme, but internal secrecy within the US administration, when Truman became President on the death of Roosevelt he knew less about US nuclear weapons than Stalin.

Asturias56 16th September 2025 11:23

He was only Veep - a job famously defined by LBJ as .... well Google it

Hangarless 28th December 2025 15:43

Iran says they are at war with the West .This could get interesting.

I'll wait to see what the official responses are.


West Coast 28th December 2025 16:15

Hopefully that’s for internal consumption, time will tell.

Asturias56 28th December 2025 17:19

"“We are in a full-scale war with the U.S., Israel and Europe; they don’t want our country to remain stable,” he said."

Well at least he can see the situation clearly

SASless 29th December 2025 12:56

If Iran wants a full scale War with the United States, Israel, and the Western European Nations....that can be arranged I bet.

Asturias....how many Oil Loading Facilities are there in Iranian Waters (Bulk Off Loading Platforms) and what is the water depth at each one?

What would be the effect upon the Iranian economy were every one of those be rendered unusable over night?

No transfer of oil in either. direction, no gasoline being shipped into the country?

Do you know what the Iranian Oil Distillery capabilities are currently and how quickly they can find themselves with ability to make gasoline or diesel?

An all out war does not have to include landing mass numbers of troops onto a belligerent's soil.

Siege Warfare is a very old strategy that can be effective if done correctly.

Take out the Iranian ability to sell oil, stop their import of petrol, and take out their Electric Grid....and how long would that government last?

Add in a Sink EX of the Iranian Navy and downing of the Iranian Air Force.....and return to their nuclear sites that need another round of kinetic strikes and the War would be pretty much over.

https://cimg2.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....121a2caef1.jpg



Asturias56 29th December 2025 17:07

All very well - but even if the current Iranian Govt fell under such conditions you're just repeating the Mossadehg removal of 1953.

It stokes up even longer term hatreds.

Like Afghanistan and the Yemen it 'll all have to be faced again by our children and grandchildren. It's just rinse & repeat.

And next time they'll make sure they have N weapons before starting anything.

West Coast 29th December 2025 19:16


Originally Posted by Asturias56 (Post 12012170)
All very well - but even if the current Iranian Govt fell under such conditions you're just repeating the Mossadehg removal of 1953.

It stokes up even longer term hatreds.

Like Afghanistan and the Yemen it 'll all have to be faced again by our children and grandchildren. It's just rinse & repeat.

And next time they'll make sure they have N weapons before starting anything.

Well, the goal should be to prevent them from acquiring said weapons then.

SWBKCB 29th December 2025 19:25


Originally Posted by SASless (Post 12012076)
If Iran wants a full scale War with the United States, Israel, and the Western European Nations....that can be arranged I bet.

But not before the World Cup, eh? They've got to play that Pride game in Seattle.

Seriously, haven't Iranian leaders been saying this sort of stuff for years, doubt anything has changed recently.

SASless 30th December 2025 11:33


In a statement, Maryam Rajavi, NCRI president-elect, said the protests reflected public anger over high prices, inflation and political repression, and called on Iranians to support the striking merchants.

The Iranian rial has fallen to a new record low against the U.S. dollar. Official data show year-on-year inflation reached 52.6% in December, while average annual inflation was 42.2%.

Videos circulating online show chants against government officials and growing frustration among merchants, a group traditionally viewed as a key pillar of regime support.
When you spend your money on terrorism, weapons of mass destruction, and promises to murder others, and pledge to lay waste to neighboring countries and drag your own nation back into the dark ages....is there no wonder your own people shall grow weary of you? Reports are the Iranian government is working on chemical, biological, and nuclear weapons to tip their missiles with as a means to leverage their power in the Region and further.

The Race is on...can the Mullahs and their followers be toppled before their hopes to obtain such weapons come true.

Current sanctions are showing signs of working.....now is the time to raise the ante and really hurt the Mullahs by adding to the misery index for that despotic regime.

The Iranian People should decide who governs them and deserve support and respect for taking on that task.

The CIA, MI-6, and the Mossad among others and Diplomatic sources should be providing encouragement to those Iranians that seek a new government that better represents the best interests of all Iranians.

SWBKCB 30th December 2025 11:45


Originally Posted by SASless (Post 12012521)

The Iranian People should decide who governs them and deserve support and respect for taking on that task.

The CIA, MI-6, and the Mossad among others and Diplomatic sources should be providing encouragement to those Iranians that seek a new government that better represents the best interests of all Iranians.

Agreed, but taking care that the Mullahs can't convince people that the opposition isn't a puppet of foreign powers...


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