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Lonewolf_50 27th February 2025 19:22

Lebanon is a failed state.
Back to Iran:

As concerns grow over Iran’s uranium stockpile, Iran itself is growing antsy over the possibility of a combined attack by Israel and the United States.
According to the U.K. Telegraph, Iran has put defense systems around its nuclear sites on high alert. The report cited Iranian sources it did not name as saying additional air defense systems are being prepared.

In its latest report, the Telegraph quoted one source as saying Iranian officials “are just waiting for the attack and are anticipating it every night, and everything has been on high alert -- even in sites that no one knows about.”

“Work to fortify nuclear sites has been ongoing for years, but it has intensified over the past year, particularly since Israel launched the first attack,” the source said. “Recent developments, including Donald Trump’s comments and reports about potential plans from his administration to strike Iran, have further intensified activities.”

Iran fears that with President Donald Trump in the White House, Israel -- now free from the restraining hand of former President Joe Biden -- will be emboldened to attack, the report said.

West Coast 28th February 2025 03:16


Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50 (Post 11837352)
Lebanon is a failed state.
Back to Iran:

Have to wonder just how big a conventional attack Israel might be capable of. Pinpoint targeting of Iran’s AD is one thing, truly taking Iran out of the nuclear game would take sustained attacks over the course of days/weeks. That I think that would require the US as well. I hope we don’t find out. If we do however, screw the pottery barn rule, run far away as fast as possible when done.

jolihokistix 28th February 2025 04:59

With nerves strung tight, and Iran expecting an attack every night, as per LW50's quote above, let us hope that they can distinguish airliners correctly this time around.

ORAC 8th March 2025 16:56

Fox News:

Trump says 'something's going to happen very soon' with Iran as he pushes to negotiate nuclear deal

President Donald Trump signaled that a nuclear deal with Iran could emerge in the near future, just over a month after his administration reinstated a "maximum pressure" campaign against Tehran.

Trump on Friday told reporters that the U.S. is "down to the final moments" negotiating with Iran, and that he hoped military intervention would prove unnecessary.

"It’s an interesting time in the history of the world. But we have a situation with Iran that something is going to happen very soon, very, very soon," Trump told reporters in the Oval Office.

"You’ll be talking about that pretty soon, I guess. Hopefully, we can have a peace deal. I’m not speaking out of strength or weakness, I’m just saying I’d rather see a peace deal than the other. But the other will solve the problem."

Trump revealed he sent a letter to Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei pushing for Tehran to agree to a nuclear agreement — or face military consequences, according to a clip released Friday from an interview with FOX Business that is set to air Sunday.


JokersWildMk.2 9th March 2025 03:25


Originally Posted by ORAC (Post 11843524)
Fox News:

Trump says 'something's going to happen very soon' with Iran as he pushes to negotiate nuclear deal

President Donald Trump signaled that a nuclear deal with Iran could emerge in the near future, just over a month after his administration reinstated a "maximum pressure" campaign against Tehran.

Trump on Friday told reporters that the U.S. is "down to the final moments" negotiating with Iran, and that he hoped military intervention would prove unnecessary.

"It’s an interesting time in the history of the world. But we have a situation with Iran that something is going to happen very soon, very, very soon," Trump told reporters in the Oval Office.

"You’ll be talking about that pretty soon, I guess. Hopefully, we can have a peace deal. I’m not speaking out of strength or weakness, I’m just saying I’d rather see a peace deal than the other. But the other will solve the problem."

Trump revealed he sent a letter to Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei pushing for Tehran to agree to a nuclear agreement — or face military consequences, according to a clip released Friday from an interview with FOX Business that is set to air Sunday.


Soooooooo……….seems Iran has told AO to go pound salt on his “do as I say or else” utterance. Gee what a surprise.

Think I’m gonna need more popcorn.


Lonewolf_50 9th March 2025 15:48

The president of Iran made some comments in the media recently about working to recover form the current recession. They seem to be having trouble selling their petroleum products at the moment. His finance minister recently resigned.
He is open to some engagement with the US, but apparently, the Grand Ayatollah isn't keen on it.
Puts the president of Iran in a tough spot.

ORAC 9th March 2025 16:03


Puts the president of Iran in a tough spot.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...s-wont-ease-it

Iran is riven with conflict. Donald Trump’s offer of talks won’t ease it

With internal politics at their most unstable for years, the risk of escalation is rising


https://www.reuters.com/world/trump-...ty-2025-03-09/

Trump administration ends Iraq's waiver to buy Iranian electricity

WASHINGTON, March 8 (Reuters) - The Trump administration rescinded a waiver on Saturday that had allowed Iraq to pay Iran for electricity, as part of President Donald Trump's "maximum pressure" campaign against Tehran, a State Department spokesperson said.

The decision to let Iraq's waiver lapse upon its expiration "ensures we do not allow Iran any degree of economic or financial relief," the spokesperson said, adding that Trump's campaign on Iran aims "to end its nuclear threat, curtail its ballistic missile program and stop it from supporting terrorist groups."……

For Iraq, the end of the waiver "presents temporary operational challenges," said Farhad Alaaeldin, foreign affairs adviser to Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani.

"The government is actively working on alternatives to sustain electricity supply and mitigate any potential disruptions," Alaaeldin told Reuters. "Strengthening energy security remains a national priority, and efforts to enhance domestic production, improve grid efficiency and invest in new technologies will continue at full pace."……

​​​​​​​
"Iraq’s energy transition provides opportunities for U.S. companies, which are world-leading experts in increasing the productivity of power plants, improving electricity grids, and developing electricity interconnections with reliable partners," the State Department spokesperson said.….

Asturias56 10th March 2025 08:47

Payments will be routed via Dubai instead no doubt......................

Lonewolf_50 10th March 2025 15:40

With a bit skimmed off the top ...

ORAC 11th March 2025 19:35

Trump: “Hold my coat”…….

https://www.reuters.com/world/irans-...nt-2025-03-11/

Iran's President to Trump: I will not negotiate, 'do whatever the hell you want'


March 11 (Reuters) - President Masoud Pezeshkian said Iran would not negotiate with the U.S. while being threatened, telling President Donald Trump to "do whatever the hell you want", Iranian state media reported on Tuesday.

"It is unacceptable for us that they (the U.S.) give orders and make threats. I won’t even negotiate with you. Do whatever the hell you want", state media quoted Pezeshkian as saying.

Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said on Saturday that Tehran would not be bullied into negotiations, a day after Trump said he had sent a letter urging Iran to engage in talks on a new nuclear deal.….

tdracer 11th March 2025 22:24

If memory serves, Israel disabled most of Iran's air defenses rather easily a few months back (in retaliation for a large-scale missile/drone attack).
Iran might be well served to remember that...

Top Gun Maverick fiction may be becoming fact...

Lonewolf_50 12th March 2025 16:36

I don't get the idea that Mr Trump wants to start "a foreign war" - if his first term is any indication of his aims now.
He likes to threaten and bluster, though, in hopes of that leading to some kind of deal.
Iran's president has basically told him "we see through you, not buying your BS" or something like that.

On the other hand, it was during Trump's first term that Soleimani got taken out.

On 3 January 2020, Qasem Soleimani, an Iranian major general, was killed by an American drone strike ordered by U.S. President Donald Trump near the Baghdad International Airport in Iraq, while travelling to meet Iraqi prime minister Adil Abdul-Mahdi.
He will occasionally lash out.

tdracer 12th March 2025 20:52


Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50 (Post 11846341)
I don't get the idea that Mr Trump wants to start "a foreign war" - if his first term is any indication of his aims now.
He likes to threaten and bluster, though, in hopes of that leading to some kind of deal.
Iran's president has basically told him "we see through you, not buying your BS" or something like that.

On the other hand, it was during Trump's first term that Soleimani got taken out.

He will occasionally lash out.

I'm not sure if Trump's unpredictability is a positive or a negative with regard to this situation - but it's certainly something that other world leaders need to take into account.

Asturias56 13th March 2025 09:34

I'm sure the Iranians are happy to let things drift while the Ukraine gets all the attention.

They know they can "make an offer" if Trump turns his baleful eye in their direction - a resort, perhaps some minerals, ditch one of their "allies" like the lunatic Houthis.............. and of course, Trump may fall out with Netanyahu sooner or later - he falls out with everyone eventually. And Israel gets a lot of "freebies" from the USA

GlobalNav 14th March 2025 00:25


Originally Posted by tdracer (Post 11846475)
I'm not sure if Trump's unpredictability is a positive or a negative with regard to this situation - but it's certainly something that other world leaders need to take into account.

And it unquestionably damages trust in the US as an ally. Where will US allies be when circumstances require them as they did in the Gulf War?

Asturias56 14th March 2025 09:14

I always thought that was a political need rather than a military one........... but , yes, trust is evaporating very quickly

ORAC 17th March 2025 23:28

VideoIranian leader Khamenei: No talks with the U.S.; Iran will pursue nukes if it chooses—sanctions won’t work.

West Coast 18th March 2025 01:01


Originally Posted by ORAC (Post 11849340)
VideoIranian leader Khamenei: No talks with the U.S.; Iran will pursue nukes if it chooses—sanctions won’t work.

That rather narrows down the next course of action.

Lonewolf_50 18th March 2025 01:33

The war of words continues.

Houthi attacks. The United States launched a third day of large-scale attacks on Houthi rebels in Yemen on Monday. The strikes have killed at least 53 people, including children, according to the Houthi-run health ministry.
They would say that, regardless of whether or not there is any truth to that claim.

Trump has vowed to continue retaliatory strikes until the Iranian-backed proxy group stops targeting shipping vessels in the Red Sea, which the Houthis say they are doing in solidarity with Palestinians in Gaza.

“Every shot fired by the Houthis will be looked upon, from this point forward, as being a shot fired from the weapons and leadership of IRAN, and IRAN will be held responsible, and suffer the consequences, and those consequences will be dire!” Trump wrote on Truth Social on Monday.
That's a lot of talk. Do you think they take you seriously?


“We warn our enemies that Iran will respond decisively and destructively if they take their threats into action,” Hossein Salami, commander of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, said on Sunday.
Salami is pulling a Trump: he's talking real big because he thinks he needs to. I doubt he grasps the irony of his position. I also find it amusing that an Iranian leader of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps is named for a pork filled sausage.

As to Iran's move toward more nukes: nobody with a brain ever doubted that they'd keep working on that program, making progress. Anyone who thought the 2015 deal would stop that, be they on my side of the pond or on the eastern side of the pond, was and remains a naive fool.

The noise will continue, giving the chattering classes something to talk about.

ORAC 18th March 2025 15:39

https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....d9c6daf69b.png


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