............

Cha Ching. Look at that last sentence.
Settling scores. That is what he's about this time around. While an apt response from Iran's leadership (IRGC or otherwise) would be "...dealing with the current President's Reign of Chaos..." as the war of words continues, that a possible cease fire is in the offing is hopeful news.
One wonders how the Saudis feel about this. Have they changed their readiness posture, increased or decreased, recently?
Does any PPRuNer in the region have an insight on that?
That was only a matter of time, wasn't it? The pipeline being attacked?

Sun Tzu said (roughly):
If you defeat his plan you defeat your enemy.

If the enemy isn't sure what your plan is, that makes his efforts more difficult.
If you cover your plan with a smokescreen of noise, or dust, it also makes his efforts more difficult.
Then again, if you don't know your own plan, you may defeat yourself.

And lastly: Ike has an infamous aphorism -
"Plans are worthless, but planning is everything".
(Pretty much every staff officer has had this as part of their syllabus).


https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....47443906b6.png

Impressively understated.

Something popped up on farcebook earlier today about a US plan to secure several tons of Iranian Uranium by dropping in a few thousand troops, securing a perimeter and loading the uranium into waiting transport aircraft.
Sounds insane, but who knows these days.

Going in by Herc onto a small soccer pitch?

I believe that Tom Cruise will be playing a prominent role in this operation...:rolleyes:

…………….

Brain aero poop? Nope, that is the strategy of the Emperor to divide and rule, within the same sentence. It is easier and far more rewarding to listen to a 4-year old explain QED than to follow a sentence from the C-I-C of the USA. What commences the sentence drifts into inanity mid field, and then is contradicted by the end of the very same utterance. Sun Tzu (fictional or otherwise) would appreciate the inherent OPSEC that arises from hiding your intentions, but as LW says, it hardly assists the home team in their contingency planning. A circular firing squad, Russian roulette with a Glock comes to mind.

WRT "crazy" man strategy applied by Nixon and Kissinger, that didn't go so well there, although it was certainly great for sound bites and LB-II gave lots of screen time. (LB-II did achieve the goal of attrition of the SAM-2 stockpiles in Hanoi, at a considerable cost of USAF/USN crews and civilians). Mr T has a head start in the field of crazy which most other countries fortuitously do not enjoy.

A revisionist might do well to go back and read the words of FDR in December 1941 (the 8th, in front of Congress... the body that used to be part of the US Govt, remember?), the comment "A date which will live in infamy" and reflect on the actions of the B&T show in recent times WRT international law and order. Going out and acting as a mob boss and whacking the head of state of any regime is rather odious, particularly before a "War" is declared. Wasn't part of that the bit that offended FDR?

We have gone a long way since 7th December 1941, not sure the direction is what was expected.

When Turkey is the responsible party, some self reflection might be in order.

In the meantime, taking Kharg Island might make Mr T feel good, it won't be appreciated by the future gold star families that arise from what used to be described as larceny. Doing that to Venezuela hasn't quite turned out as expected, as far as plans go, giving a justification for an expanded and protracted asymmetric war will end about as well as it did in Afghanistan, Iraq and Vietnam. A stated strategy to plunder the resources of a sovereign state won't look good on a resume in the future, nor will it plead well in the court when there is an accounting which on occasions does catch up to perpetrators of crimes. Not often, but occasionally.

If war was so damned simple to win at, there would be no need for bone spurs.

About the same amount as buying a squadron of A-29 Super Tucanos to take out the Shaheeds, and thereafter about $1500/hr, $100/drone in munitions, day or night (.50 BMG), $22000/drone night with APKWS. In daytime, y'all can save on the .50 BMG ($10/round) with the 7.62 ($0.6/round) hose from an M134D that is already available underwing, but that comes with increased risks of frag damage to the aircraft doing the intercept, a bit of distance is a good thing.

Heck, you could sell tickets to go plinking, lots a folks would take on that circus act!

Not actually a bad call. They'd get sanctions relief pretty much immediately then would be able to make hay given the oil and gas prices. And they'd tie the US in another forever war as a bit of payback.

What good is dispersal given the current state of technology?
Drones can be targeted within a square meter, they can even have AI guidance. Satellite imagery is available in near real time.

Drone defences are the key. Jamming, hiding, intercepting, killing the operators and so on. In fact you could argue what is the point in spending billions on the large dollar weapons. Drones and lots of them.

Interesting approach to opsec at Fort Bragg.

If we qoute Sun Tzu, than :
No attack upwards ( up to the hil)
Is more appropriatte if anyone considers ground attack on Iranian costs all around SoH..( steep mountains almost to coastline).

Lesson that among many others was not known to Pochorek- KuK genaral in the opening battle against Serbia in avg 1914- and they finished it accordingly. 👹🤪

The E2D was $ 140 million back in 2013. Commentators have attached costs of $ 500 million for the Russian A50

Sounds like a slam-dunk for the Supreme Commander.

May I hope any aircrew who are shot down over Iran receive the care my late Father received, as I am really sad that your government feels that you need to be asked to do what he had to do, in a more questionable cause than his.

Regards
Mr Mac

Looks like, with the Iranian air force reduced to dust, the air-to-air threat is gone and the F-22s are headed home.

Meanwhile the A-10s heading out to the war zone have arrived in the UK. Long slow legs at their speed.

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