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-   -   Is Ukraine about to have a war? (https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/639666-ukraine-about-have-war.html)

TEEEJ 9th Mar 2022 11:54

:ok:


Tartiflette Fan 9th Mar 2022 11:56


Originally Posted by Usertim (Post 11197246)
I am sure he knows a No Fly Zone is unrealistic goal, .

I certainly hope so, but I have been disturbed by both Blinken's comments about supplying F16's if Poland chose to send its Migs to Ukraine ( which I see as tacit approval ) and then by Poland's offer to lend its Migs to the USA As far as the second point is concerned, I am not sure if this wasn't a way of telling Blinken to shut his big mouth, which seems to have worked as the USA has backtracked quickly; I don't understand however, why comments such as Blinken's are uttered at all. Imo opinion he should have said that the current position is that NATO is not going to get involved and made any other comments in secret discussions. It is necessary to keep making public statements about no NATO involvement every time Selensky makes an appeal.

Video Mixdown 9th Mar 2022 12:04

On March 9, 2022, Defense Secretary Ben Wallace said that the United Kingdom was looking into delivering Starstreak missiles to Ukraine, to prevent Russian air supremacy amid the Russo-Ukrainian War.

Beamr 9th Mar 2022 12:11


Originally Posted by TEEEJ (Post 11197253)
:ok:
tweet on towing fulcrums X-border

Just leave 'em by the border, have a leak and some Ukrainian farmer has towed it away. These things happen you know, it ain't NATO's fault if the guards hear the natures call every once in a while and some Ukrainian farmer is in need of a crop duster.

NutLoose 9th Mar 2022 12:16

Sell them to Ukraine one cent each, have them painted in the Ukraine markings then have Ukrainians fly their aircraft home. That way the NATO, The EU, Poland or the US are not delivering fighters as they are owned and operated by the Ukraine.

dead_pan 9th Mar 2022 12:17


charliegolf 9th Mar 2022 12:18

Is that big convoy still there? I'm a freezer, so it occurs to me that a week in a tin box ain't going to be balmy! Hope it snows...

CG

Beamr 9th Mar 2022 12:26


Originally Posted by charliegolf (Post 11197268)
Is that big convoy still there? I'm a freezer, so it occurs to me that a week in a tin box ain't going to be balmy! Hope it snows...

CG

Weather seems to be a bit chilly.

https://www.accuweather.com/en/ua/iv...weather/324329

NutLoose 9th Mar 2022 12:38

That can be bad news as the ground will freeze so they can spread out.

Tartiflette Fan 9th Mar 2022 12:39


Originally Posted by NutLoose (Post 11197266)
Sell them to Ukraine one cent each, have them painted in the Ukraine markings then have Ukrainians fly their aircraft home. That way the NATO, The EU, Poland or the US are not delivering fighters as they are owned and operated by the Ukraine.

I don't think Putin will be using the standards of proof/legality demanded in a court of law, Nutty.

Beamr 9th Mar 2022 13:07


Originally Posted by NutLoose (Post 11197278)
That can be bad news as the ground will freeze so they can spread out.

If the ground is soft as reported earlier, that weather is not going to make it frozen enough to carry any vehicles. It would require something like 70cm of solid frost to carry the equipment throught the mud and marshes and it takes a long continuous period of good freezing weather to achieve that.
Regarding the circumstances: It's +1C at day and -6 at night. It is just about as disgusting as it can be with gear getting wet during days and freezing during nights, but the ground is not freezing enough to get out of there. If theres no heat to dry you up it'll be quite miserable. If no food, even worse.

The Helpful Stacker 9th Mar 2022 13:51


Originally Posted by Tartiflette Fan (Post 11197228)
Given that Russian aircraft are being brought down frequently with manpads and very little damage is reported as a result of bombing, but rather artillery and rockets, I think this must be ignored. I have now moved completely to the view that Selensky is cynically trying his best to drag any NATO country into this war, so that it broadens the conflict and relieves pressure on Ukraine.

This must not happen. His words and pictures of suffering children must be ignored ( in this case ). There is a very real risk of this moving to some kind of nuclear level if NATO becomes involved, and for that Selensky becomes a total **** in my eyes in trying to engineer this. The help he is getting with ATGW and manpads is the most effective at the moment and, by all accounts, very large numbers are getting through;

You are such a wonderful empathetic person aren't you? Yes, let's ignore the suffering of children and the wider populace of a country on our doorstep.

It's Zelenskyy by the way, not Selensky. If you're going to accuse someone of cynically trying anything then at least have the common courtesy to use his actual name.

"Being a ****'? It's alright for you to say such things, sat no doubt in you Savoie retirement home, boring all comers with "Cold War Warrior" stories of getting drunk in Hamburg. His people are dying at the hands of a ruthless Dictator who has been emboldened over the years by Western appeasement.

Perhaps you need reminding that two of the biggest members of NATO (US and UK) signed an agreement, along with Russia, to respect Ukraine's independence, sovereignty and borders, as well as not use threats of force and economic pressure against Ukraine. The price? Ukraine's large nuclear stockpile.

Do you think Russia would have taken the actions it has, both in 2014 and now, if Ukraine hadn't given up its most effective defensive weapons for a promise from the US, UK and Russia?

It's time for the US and UK to stand by their commitment to Ukraine.

Just This Once... 9th Mar 2022 14:04


Originally Posted by Video Mixdown (Post 11197258)
On March 9, 2022, Defense Secretary Ben Wallace said that the United Kingdom was looking into delivering Starstreak missiles to Ukraine, to prevent Russian air supremacy amid the Russo-Ukrainian War.

Not sure about the wisdom of handing-out Starstreak. It requires more training than Stinger RMP and (unlike modern Stinger) wasn't built with counter-proliferation in mind. Heck of a big stick to whack with though.


BANANASBANANAS 9th Mar 2022 14:08


Originally Posted by The Helpful Stacker (Post 11197307)
You are such a wonderful empathetic person aren't you? Yes, let's ignore the suffering of children and the wider populace of a country on our doorstep.

It's Zelenskyy by the way, not Selensky. If you're going to accuse someone of cynically trying anything then at least have the common courtesy to use his actual name.

"Being a ****'? It's alright for you to say such things, sat no doubt in you Savoie retirement home, boring all comers with "Cold War Warrior" stories of getting drunk in Hamburg. His people are dying at the hands of a ruthless Dictator who has been emboldened over the years by Western appeasement.

Perhaps you need reminding that two of the biggest members of NATO (US and UK) signed an agreement, along with Russia, to respect Ukraine's independence, sovereignty and borders, as well as not use threats of force and economic pressure against Ukraine. The price? Ukraine's large nuclear stockpile.

Do you think Russia would have taken the actions it has, both in 2014 and now, if Ukraine hadn't given up its most effective defensive weapons for a promise from the US, UK and Russia?

It's time for the US and UK to stand by their commitment to Ukraine.

I think we understand your anger but TF is, imho, brutally correct. Unless we are prepared to have a major European war with Russia (with all the risks that may bring) then the total loss of life is almost certainly going to be far lower (and just as successful) by continuing as we are. Not nice if you feel you are being hung out to dry, I know, but realistically, what other option do you suggest?

El Grifo 9th Mar 2022 14:11

Maybe a stupid question, but I have rarely seen it asked elsewhere.
Why is Ukraine not retaliating by shelling Russian targets outwith their own borders !

El Grifo

Tartiflette Fan 9th Mar 2022 14:13


Originally Posted by The Helpful Stacker (Post 11197307)
You are such a wonderful empathetic person aren't you? Yes, let's ignore the suffering of children and the wider populace of a country on our doorstep.
e.



Realistic I think. As i said above, the NFZ doesn't help Ukraine. Slag me off if you wish, but explain to me why I am wrong in my belief that Zelensky wants to spread the war as widely as possible . Explain how the NFZ helps Ukraine when all the damage is being done by artillery and rockets. IMO he sees (probably correctly ) that spreading the war is the only chance of getting the Russians out of Ukraine. If Ukraine manages to fight them to a stand-still there is no way they will relinquish the strategic territory they have won in any "peace-accord". By the way re-read my words, I wrote: "His words and pictures of suffering children must be ignored ( in this case ) " i.e. in this manipulative advert;

" boring all comers with "Cold War Warrior" stories of getting drunk in Hamburg "
Thinking of yourself perhaps ? It's certainly not me, never having been a CWW. and not having been in Hamburg since I was 18.

"Perhaps you need reminding that two of the biggest members of NATO (US and UK) signed an agreement, along with Russia, to respect Ukraine's independence, sovereignty and borders, as well as not use threats of force and economic pressure against Ukraine. The price? Ukraine's large nuclear stockpil"
Perhaps you need reminding that Zelensky signed the renegotiated Steinmeier Formula in 2019 agreeing to recognise the independent status of Donbas which he has reneged on because he subsequently discovered he didn't have the support of his people.( see link )

https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-in...utonomy-donbas

I can't change anything that has happened and I have been deeply affected to tears to read and see the terrible events occurring, but believe that if Zelensky got what he is demanding, then many times more people would die than at present and I don't see that as intelligent. Could I be wrong about Putin's likely reaction to a NFZ ? Of course I could, in the same way that Angela Merkel - long praised as the most intelligent and influential European politician/leader - was wrong when she took the decisions to make Germany overwhelmingly dependent on Russian energy.

NutLoose 9th Mar 2022 14:17

What a bunch of muppets


Tartiflette Fan 9th Mar 2022 14:57


Originally Posted by El Grifo (Post 11197316)
Maybe a stupid question, but I have rarely seen it asked elsewhere.
Why is Ukraine not retaliating by shelling Russian targets outwith their own borders !

El Grifo

Shortage of shells ? Trying to deny Putin any propaganda wins with press reports " Nazi Ukranians kill 100 women and children in cowardly attack on peaceful xxx " ? Nothing strategically important within range ?

Having said that, they did attack Millerovo air-base with rockets on Feb 25th

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Millerovo_(air_base)

NutLoose 9th Mar 2022 15:00

They have been. look on twitter for Ukrainian artillery

TEEEJ 9th Mar 2022 15:03


Originally Posted by Beamr (Post 11197260)
Just leave 'em by the border, have a leak and some Ukrainian farmer has towed it away. These things happen you know, it ain't NATO's fault if the guards hear the natures call every once in a while and some Ukrainian farmer is in need of a crop duster.

:ok: I agree. Those Ukrainain farmers have been busy!

Interesting imagery with the An-2 Colts. Are the Russians going to use them to degrade and draw out Ukrainian air defences? Azerbaijan were using AN-2s as UAVs during the conflict with Armenia.



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