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-   -   All borders to reopen. (https://www.pprune.org/australia-new-zealand-pacific/632861-all-borders-reopen.html)

NumptyAussie 23rd Dec 2021 09:30


Originally Posted by Transition Layer (Post 11159927)
Yep…I would hate for fully vaccinated healthy people to get a runny nose and sore throat. I wouldn’t be able to sleep at night.

Well, I would not wish ill on anyone.

dr dre 23rd Dec 2021 09:50


Originally Posted by StudentInDebt (Post 11159979)
People are still people, regardless of how misguided or stupid they may be. I for one do not believe this is worthy of minimising the impact of their death or suffering regardless of their impact on my career or family life.

In terms of death numbers? Yeah it’s a tragedy, but we lost something like 1000-3000 Australians per year from Influenza and Pneumonia, media age 88, most years and didn’t fuss too much.

By all accounts vaccines will keep the Covid toll much lower than that. There’s not a single serious scientist who thinks Covid will be eliminated, just become endemic, so it will remain but not cause a large public health issue.

Transition Layer 23rd Dec 2021 10:12


Originally Posted by NumptyAussie (Post 11159982)
Well, I would not wish ill on anyone.

Nor would I, and that’s not what I said. I was referring to the fact that the sooner WA lives with covid the better, and if that means an out break now they so be it. It can’t remain closed off forever despite what people like SOPS would like. The Premier has already praised the very high vaccination rate and how it puts us in a good position (no mention of his poorly run Health System though).

News from the Imperial College today has Omicron 40-45% less likely to result in hospitalisation, so my comment about runny noses seems pretty appropriate. We aren’t talking about the initial Alpha strain, wiping out hordes of unvaccinated elderly in nursing homes. We are dealing with a milder strain in a highly vaccinated population. Chalk and cheese, so don’t fear the C!

NumptyAussie 23rd Dec 2021 10:21


Originally Posted by Transition Layer (Post 11160008)
Nor would I, and that’s not what I said.

"WA may well be locked down by New Years Eve once this spreads during Xmas gatherings. Bring it on,"

Aye...

morno 23rd Dec 2021 10:28


Originally Posted by StudentInDebt (Post 11159944)
what about the people who spend weeks in ICU units, go on to develop long-COVID or die?

Would you prefer to keep hiding under the blankets for years?

It’s inevitable that people will die, but they already do every year with the flu.

SOPS 23rd Dec 2021 10:28


Originally Posted by Transition Layer (Post 11160008)
Nor would I, and that’s not what I said. I was referring to the fact that the sooner WA lives with covid the better, and if that means an out break now they so be it. It can’t remain closed off forever despite what people like SOPS would like. The Premier has already praised the very high vaccination rate and how it puts us in a good position (no mention of his poorly run Health System though).

News from the Imperial College today has Omicron 40-45% less likely to result in hospitalisation, so my comment about runny noses seems pretty appropriate. We aren’t talking about the initial Alpha strain, wiping out hordes of unvaccinated elderly in nursing homes. We are dealing with a milder strain in a highly vaccinated population. Chalk and cheese, so don’t fear the C!

Keep it up mate. I have just nursed my wife through cancer in the last year. She is going well., fully vaxed.. but with a highly compromised immune system. But I’m sure she will just be a statistic in your dream to fly a shiny jet. There are many sides to this story.

Transition Layer 23rd Dec 2021 10:29


Originally Posted by NumptyAussie (Post 11160015)
"WA may well be locked down by New Years Eve once this spreads during Xmas gatherings. Bring it on,"

Aye...

See above…spread equals reality for WA and the end of the “blissful bubble”.

Transition Layer 23rd Dec 2021 10:34


Originally Posted by SOPS (Post 11160018)
Keep it up mate. I have just nursed my wife through cancer in the last year. She is going well., fully vaxed.. but with a highly compromised immune system. But I’m sure she will just be a statistic in your dream to fly a shiny jet. There are many sides to this story.

Sure “mate”, let’s just stay closed forever to protect your wife and thousands others like her. That will fix the problem!

I wish her all the best but please, the link between your wife’s health and the careers of Pilots is a little tenuous don’t you think?

Ladloy 23rd Dec 2021 11:11


Originally Posted by Buster Hyman (Post 11159976)
Like signing up for the CCP's Belt & Road debt trap?

Federal Labor isn't the same as Victorian Labor. The same can be said for state and federal LNP.

JJ 789 23rd Dec 2021 13:36


Originally Posted by SOPS (Post 11160018)
Keep it up mate. I have just nursed my wife through cancer in the last year. She is going well., fully vaxed.. but with a highly compromised immune system. But I’m sure she will just be a statistic in your dream to fly a shiny jet. There are many sides to this story.

As unfortunate as your wife's situation is, the vast majority of us shouldn't be punished and be able to get on with living our lives.

Doors Off 23rd Dec 2021 13:41

Well, so good to read (mostly) some open debate, without clickbait and (in the main) vitriol amongst participants. That is a wonderful thing.

Reading through the comments above, there appears to be a consistent disappointment in the two main coalitions (Green/Labor and LNP). The similarities between said “options” is startling! How do we affect change? Vote Independent I guess.

We live in an amazing country and democratically, we have the opportunity to shape the free money people in the Government, to actually earn said money. Let us consider our votes for real policy next year.

Ladloy 23rd Dec 2021 20:42


Originally Posted by Doors Off (Post 11160098)
Well, so good to read (mostly) some open debate, without clickbait and (in the main) vitriol amongst participants. That is a wonderful thing.

Reading through the comments above, there appears to be a consistent disappointment in the two main coalitions (Green/Labor and LNP). The similarities between said “options” is startling! How do we affect change? Vote Independent I guess.

We live in an amazing country and democratically, we have the opportunity to shape the free money people in the Government, to actually earn said money. Let us consider our votes for real policy next year.

Green and Labor are far from a coalition, but media likes to portray them as such.

This is a great video on why a hung parliament is a good thing for democracy. Disclaimer: It's a left leaning youtube channel

StudentInDebt 23rd Dec 2021 21:11


Originally Posted by morno (Post 11160017)
Would you prefer to keep hiding under the blankets for years?

It’s inevitable that people will die, but they already do every year with the flu.

No, I was writing in response to what I believed to be a rather callous attitude towards what COVID represents for those who don’t just get a cold from it. If it’s inevitable that people die, why do we bother with medicine an public health measures at all?

Icarus2001 23rd Dec 2021 22:29

Just to be clear the survival rate is somewhere between 98% and 98.7%.
The flu is around 99.5% survival rate.
The aged and the unhealthy are over represented in the fatalities.

43Inches 23rd Dec 2021 22:52


The flu is around 99.5% survival rate.
Make that 99.9%, CDC data on the 2018-2019 flu season was 28,000 deaths vs 29,000,000 symptomatic cases (asymptotic cases are not tested for in flu). Flu causes 3-4 deaths per 100,000 population in the USA on average.

Covid in the US is running at 98.4% survival rate on all suspected cases including asymptotic. So if you changed that to vs symptomatic cases only the number could easily be 95% or such. Covid is running at 250 deaths per 100,000 population in the US. Most other western nations with high covid have similar data.

PS I use the US as an example and the UK at times as they have rules that dispel a lot of the myths, such as death count from flu or covid must be 'due' to covid, not died with covid etc... It has to be listed as the actual cause of death and not as a sub item.

Also you don't have to be 'unhealthy' to die from covid, any condition that already stresses the heart or lungs will complicate covid recovery. Diabetics and asthmatics are highly susceptible to it, whether from being unfit, or just carrying the condition. Certain diabetics are due to unhealthy lifestyle, a lot are not by choice at all, and ageing is not a choice either, neither is asthma.

SHVC 24th Dec 2021 02:23

Looks like open borders and high demand have taken their toll on JQ the hardest. Multiple flights canceled due COVID isolation requirements leading to a shortage of Pilots, cabin crew and other staff. VA experiencing the same however QF canceling due lack of demand.


PoppaJo 24th Dec 2021 02:45

I lost some of my roster purely due low demand, was pretty quiet last week and even this week. Probably are about twice as heavy in capacity vs what is actually needed.

I wouldn’t expect much to change in the next month. If we are cycling months of high cases, the public will continue to be spooked by the fear from politicians and the media.

‘Brisbane on Edge’ when I flicked on the TV today. FFS.

SHVC 24th Dec 2021 02:53

Sydney is bursting at the seems, the JQ check in is overwhelmed. I guess the punters want out of Sydney. Majority of the flights that were canceled were ML-SY, 12 today in total. I think the appetite to head north will be met with caution for some time. This could be rex jet time to shine, or are they canceling also? no mention of them.

Transition Layer 24th Dec 2021 03:19


Originally Posted by 43Inches (Post 11160282)
Make that 99.9%, CDC data on the 2018-2019 flu season was 28,000 deaths vs 29,000,000 symptomatic cases (asymptotic cases are not tested for in flu). Flu causes 3-4 deaths per 100,000 population in the USA on average.

Covid in the US is running at 98.4% survival rate on all suspected cases including asymptotic. So if you changed that to vs symptomatic cases only the number could easily be 95% or such. Covid is running at 250 deaths per 100,000 population in the US. Most other western nations with high covid have similar data.

PS I use the US as an example and the UK at times as they have rules that dispel a lot of the myths, such as death count from flu or covid must be 'due' to covid, not died with covid etc... It has to be listed as the actual cause of death and not as a sub item.

Also you don't have to be 'unhealthy' to die from covid, any condition that already stresses the heart or lungs will complicate covid recovery. Diabetics and asthmatics are highly susceptible to it, whether from being unfit, or just carrying the condition. Certain diabetics are due to unhealthy lifestyle, a lot are not by choice at all, and ageing is not a choice either, neither is asthma.

Out of curiosity, how do the flu death total numbers in 2020/2021 compare to previous years?

Icarus2001 24th Dec 2021 03:55


Also you don't have to be 'unhealthy' to die from covid, any condition that already stresses the heart or lungs will complicate covid recovery. Diabetics and asthmatics are highly susceptible to it,
Which is the very definition of unhealthy is it not!

NumptyAussie 24th Dec 2021 04:42

[QUOTE=Transition Layer;11160329]Out of curiosity, how do the flu death total numbers in 2020/2021 compare to previous years?[/QUOTE

Have a look for yourself

https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/he...latest-release

MickG0105 24th Dec 2021 04:46


Originally Posted by Transition Layer (Post 11160329)
Out of curiosity, how do the flu death total numbers in 2020/2021 compare to previous years?

From the CDC's 2020-2021 Flu Season Summary;

What was the 2020-2021 flu season like?

Flu activity was unusually low throughout the 2020-2021 flu season both in the United States and globally, despite high levels of testing. During September 28, 2020–May 22, 2021 in the United States, 1,675 (0.2%) of 818,939 respiratory specimens tested by U.S. clinical laboratories were positive for an influenza virus. The low level of flu activity during this past season contributed to dramatically fewer flu illnesses, hospitalizations, and deaths compared with previous flu seasons. For comparison, during the last three seasons before the pandemic, the proportion of respiratory specimens testing positive for influenza peaked between 26.2% and 30.3%. In terms of hospitalizations, the cumulative rate of laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalizations in the 2020-2021 season was the lowest recorded since this type of data collection began in 2005. For pediatric deaths, CDC received one report of a pediatric flu death in a child during the 2020–2021 flu season. Since flu deaths in children became nationally notifiable in 2004, reported flu deaths in children had previously ranged from a low of 37 (during 2011-2012) to a high of 199 (during 2019-2020).

What are possible explanations for the unusually low flu activity?

COVID-19 mitigation measures such as wearing face masks, staying home, hand washing, school closures, reduced travel, increased ventilation of indoor spaces, and physical distancing, likely contributed to the decline in 2020-2021 flu incidence, hospitalizations and deaths. Influenza vaccination may also contributed to reduced flu illness during the 2020–2021 season. Flu vaccine effectiveness estimates for 2020-2021 are not available, but a record number of influenza vaccine doses (193.8 million doses) were distributed in the U.S. during 2020-2021.
You can read the full report here.

Foxxster 24th Dec 2021 05:20


Originally Posted by SHVC (Post 11160324)
Looks like open borders and high demand have taken their toll on JQ the hardest. Multiple flights canceled due COVID isolation requirements leading to a shortage of Pilots, cabin crew and other staff. VA experiencing the same however QF canceling due lack of demand.


about 80 domestic flights cancelled

A Sydney Airport spokeperson said at least 80 domestic flights had been cancelled across all airlines. While Jetstar was forced to make last-minute cancellations, both Qantas and Virgin Australia informed passengers earlier this week that their flights scheduled for Friday had been cancelled.

It is understood that most of Qantas’s cancellations had been made to consolidate services due to lower-than-expected demand during the Christmas period, and that the airline is not suffering from staff shortages.

A Virgin Australia spokesperson said there had been only one unplanned flight cancellation announced on Friday, with passengers booked on other cancelled services for Friday informed earlier this week and most moved on to other flights within an hour of their original booking.

https://www.theguardian.com/australi...ned-over-covid





SHVC 24th Dec 2021 05:30

Jetstar shortages are two mainly the COVID isolation requirements. Multiple spilts, cabin crew and front line staff are having to isolate because of the long turn around for the PCR test which in most cases is 3+ days.

Aussie Bob 24th Dec 2021 08:58

So much for the vaccine then ....

Doesn't stop you getting it
Doesn't stop you transmitting it
Doesn't negate the need for wearing masks
Doesn't negate the need to get tested
Doesn't negate the need to isolate
Only works for 6 months then you need a booster
In short, an abject failure

All for something 99.9% of healthy people survive.

Merry Christmas PPRUNE 's

megle2 24th Dec 2021 19:41

Bleat on Bob, as you said in your post “ it works “ so let’s run with it

Merry Christmas

Ex FSO GRIFFO 25th Dec 2021 09:16

And here I was thinking that the VACCINE may determine the degree of SEVERITY, or lack thereof, of the EFFECT of said virus on the recipient / sufferer....

I don't particularly want to experiment and see how it may affect me / my Grandies.... Had me 2 shots, and willing to back up for the third.

Just sayin'........

Cheers
p.s. I respect ya 'rights'....just keep ya distance from moi.....

PoppaJo 26th Dec 2021 01:40

Here we go. SA first to start jumping at shadows and impose restrictions. Not sure when they are planning on ‘living with it’. Queensland better hang on, restrictions normally cost me half my roster right off the bat.

SOPS 26th Dec 2021 01:57


Originally Posted by PoppaJo (Post 11160899)
Here we go. SA first to start jumping at shadows and impose restrictions. Not sure when they are planning on ‘living with it’. Queensland better hang on, restrictions normally cost me half my roster right off the bat.

Yes. I was just thinking.. this whole ‘ let’s open up and live with it thing’ is working really well.. isn’t it?

Icarus2001 26th Dec 2021 04:06


Yes. I was just thinking.. this whole ‘ let’s open up and live with it thing’ is working really well.. isn’t it?
I would be very interested to hear your alternative to that? Toot toot.

aussieflyboy 26th Dec 2021 05:01

I had a Covid test 85 hours ago in NSW and still don’t have a result. I imagine the vast majority of people entering QLD from NSW have not told the truth on the border pass.

A dumb requirement by the useless QLD gov has put a huge strain on NSW Covid testing sites for now no reason at all.

Torukmacto 26th Dec 2021 06:31

Bring on the omicron parties .

Angle of Attack 26th Dec 2021 08:42

The whole fing idea of having a PCR test to travel domestically was pretty well known to be a **** idea from the start, just proves that you basically have to be a di$head to be in state politics to start, the fools that couldn’t get into the real federal parliament. I’ve had enough and so has 90% of other people they just lie and do what they like, no one checks you anyway, you need to be able to enforce your **** not just crap on like babies. It’s everywhere F off tests and grow up, QLD will have 8k-15k cases a day within a couple of weeks, live with it!

Angle of Attack 26th Dec 2021 08:56

Let’s not beat around the bush, Spurrier from SA is way out of her league and has been since the start, she has actually been an immense embarrassment for anyone living in SA, she’s now going back to bull crap restrictions from las year lol, what a completely ineffective leader. Pathetic, totally out of her element. These so called health experts are just a bunch of chums getting jobs from mates, it’s ridiculous.

ozbiggles 26th Dec 2021 11:04

[QUOTE=Aussie Bob;11160427]So much for the vaccine then ....

Doesn't stop you getting it
Doesn't stop you transmitting it
Doesn't negate the need for wearing masks
Doesn't negate the need to get tested
Doesn't negate the need to isolate
Only works for 6 months then you need a booster
In short, an abject failure

All for something 99.9% of healthy

So after 2 hundred years of vaccine use and two intense years of scrutiny of what vaccines do…that is what you think vaccines were meant to do? Please, keep speaking up for the anti Vaxxers….they are a dying breed.

Radgirl 26th Dec 2021 11:38

doesnt stop you getting it - no but reduces risk that exposure leads to infection

doesnt stop you transmitting it - we used to agree but data in November shows vaccination halves risk of transmission

doesnt negate the need for wearing masks - nothing to do with science. Masks are a political decision and few politicians have any scientific knowledge. I agree, cloth masks and FFP2 masks have little and possibly no effect. In hospitals all staff and patients should wear FFP3 or N95 masks because hospitals have been a major source of infection

doesnt negate the need for testing - no because vaccines were developed to halve the risk of hospitalisation or death NOT infection, and testing reduced cross infection. Different strands to control. I could be persuaded that with Omicron we should stop testing and mix whereupon the wave would finish in 4-6 weeks with less economic damage. Just need to protect the immunosupressed

Only works for 6 months then you need a booster - long term I suspect it will be annual.....like flu vaccination. Indeed covid 19 may well replace or supplant flu so no change in number of vaccinations

In short an abject failure - if you are referring to the politicians or the modellers or the scare mongers then I agree. If you are talking about the dozen or so poor vaccines then I agree. If you are talking about Uger Sahin who is responsible for the mRNA vaccines (with his own money) then no these vaccines have possibly saved a million lives, will be modified within 90 days for future mutations and the technology is already being developed for oncology. Another million women's lives will be extended this decade due to avoiding death from gynaelogical cancers alone.

43Inches 26th Dec 2021 21:45


Originally Posted by Icarus2001 (Post 11160337)
Which is the very definition of unhealthy is it not!

Managed diabetes, asthma, hypertension etc can all exist in a healthy person that may well be more healthy than any of us, ie the management puts the person back to that of a healthy individual who is well aware of their problems. Add a disease that attacks the lungs and heart and combined with these conditions and that same person may become critically ill or die due to complications. More than likely you will know numerous people with diabetes, asthma or hypertension that just don't talk about it, but manage it quietly, the later being very common in anyone over 50. Like mental illnesses few people that have lived with these conditions let everyone know they have it.

Talking about comorbidity like they are some small portion of the community, and somehow most likely that persons choice or lifestyle results shows a lot of ignorance to how prevalent these conditions are and how they manifest.


Please, keep speaking up for the anti Vaxxers….they are a dying breed.
And that is the entire point, they are dying, not the vaccinated, and we are trying to sway their opinions so they don't lead others down the same garden path of delusion and death. It's sad to hear 70 years olds worried about what will happen to them in 20/30 years from a vaccine when the virus will kill you now, or a pregnant woman worried about her unborn child when the vaccine is proven to do no harm at all to pregnancy yet the virus has killed thousands of expectant mothers due to their low immunity, I personally know 2 that passed with child (both early 30s) as a result of not being vaccinated and contracting covid, the science is solid, the data is there in mass numbers, and not being vaccinated is stupider than smoking or drinking during pregnancy.

Now that being said we are moving into a phase of the virus now where its harm rate, of omicron, has dropped significantly, especially for the vaccinated. That doesn't mean you cant still get delta, however the high case numbers are mostly the new, low severity version. You still don't want to catch it, like flu or any other disease, but like Victoria and NSW are showing the case numbers are rising, but hospitalisation and deaths are steady. The need for closed borders has ended, vaccination rates are high, systems are prepared, just wear masks and practice good hygiene and don't hug and kiss strangers and lick windows (or other fixtures) and you should be fine.

BTW I do think the spread difference between NSW and Vic is directly related to mask policy.

WingNut60 26th Dec 2021 22:29


Originally Posted by 43Inches (Post 11161172)
.......................the need for closed borders has ended, vaccination rates are high.......

Except that. if in my age group bracket, the vaccination that you received is now deemed to be damned near useless and, because of factors unfathomable, you will not be able to get a booster for another month.
That despite the government-run campaign exhorting us to "just go and get a booster".

Whenever the word "just" is used in a promotion you can safely presume that it's a crock.

43Inches 26th Dec 2021 23:15


Except that. if in my age group bracket, the vaccination that you received is now deemed to be damned near useless and, because of factors unfathomable, you will not be able to get a booster for another month.
That despite the government-run campaign exhorting us to "just go and get a booster".
I'm in the 'at risk' group as well, my folks are well into the high risk age group and so on being well over 60 and some in their 80s. The vaccine does not 'stop working' at 5-6 months, it just starts to reduce in effectiveness, so where it had 90% protection it might drop to 60% protection, the booster just kicks it back up to higher levels. Really just depends on what you consider acceptable protection for the circumstance. If Omicron is as docile as stated then even with 50% protection it probably would stop any severe infection, just the problem if you encounter any remaining delta, which is still circulating in Melbourne.

43Inches 26th Dec 2021 23:31

I'm not adding this to make fun of the individual, but to highlight that it's still a very dangerous virus to dice with. Part of fighting any virus is to alleviate the stress on the body while it copes naturally, which is what part of the focus of treatment is. This guy thought his strength and fitness would carry him through with some oxygen, but the stress on his body led to cardiac arrest and death. Which is a common way it can end you.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...rged-dies.html

Get vaccinated, and if you need to be in hospital, go there and let them help.


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