Originally Posted by Tucknroll
(Post 11037744)
stupid is thinking spending PAID time in quarantine is something to whine about. Don’t like it? Don’t do it. Plenty of work available cleaning toilets with me on minimum wage champ.
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Originally Posted by Australopithecus
(Post 11037703)
But you do agree that so far only a small fraction of the population has been infected? And that the death rate is approximately 2%, and there are long term effects for perhaps 30% of the others? Extrapolate that out to a 100% infection incidence, who the hell is going to provide acute care for that many people, bury that many people and provide chronic care for that many people?
There was always going to be a race between the virus and the vaccine, and those countries that understood that have suffered fewer deaths and costs. COVID is dangerous to the elderly and to those with underlying conditions. It’s dangerous and should be contained. To this day, CV kills approximately 2% of those that catch it. Even in the US where it ran rampant, 10% of the population caught it. Brazil, India, UK, Italy - all disasters, and yet all have similar stats - roughly 10% infection, roughly 1-2% of that 10% die. That’s approximately a 0.02 fatality rate for a population. Now look at the rates for every other fatal disease that we have. COVID is bad for sure - just not hysterically so. We did much better in Australia / NZ. No argument there. Let’s see how we fare post CV - I reckon we’ve snookered ourselves a little. Time will tell how well we handle the “exit strategy”. |
You are right that 100% of populations don’t get infected since, among other things, viruses tend to die out after herd immunity is reached. But the current estimates about the current variations run into the low 80’s. Still lots of people, but that’s moot mostly because vaccines were developed in record time and are slowly becoming more widely available.
No, covid isn’t bad compared to SARS or other diseases, but those others you never get in pandemic numbers. Regarding the exit strategy...I worry about it too since no one seems to be discussing what that is going to look like. Collectively we have embraced eradication, but since eternal isolation isn’t a practical path the government needs to start defining milestones and stages of reopening to the larger world. We certainly cannot let anti vaxxers inform policy on acceptable risk, one way or the other. |
but those others you never get in pandemic numbers. Only 246 cases in Australia. 25 cases in NZ |
Originally Posted by Troo believer
(Post 11037759)
Most of us have a story to tell on a minimum wage unfortunately. Sorry for your plight. It mustn’t be easy. The sooner we get out of this the better. One step is to get the quarantine rules changed. I’m merely pointing out the differences between the two countries participating in the bubble. Why quarantine when it’s unnecessary and not based on science. New Zealand don’t do it. Why should we when most are fully vaccinated. Call or email your local member and ask why. Do you want 14 or 0-2. It’s that simple.
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Now two big name Cricket Australia commentators are lashing out at the PM saying he had bloody on his hands. I must say I hope those two are removed from public life. Why do these ppl think cricketers deserve preferential treatment, they put themself in this situation knowing what could happen.
This is another example of why Australian athletes should be band from attending the Olympic Games. |
Originally Posted by Australopithecus
(Post 11037919)
You are right that 100% of populations don’t get infected since, among other things, viruses tend to die out after herd immunity is reached. But the current estimates about the current variations run into the low 80’s. Still lots of people, but that’s moot mostly because vaccines were developed in record time and are slowly becoming more widely available.
No, covid isn’t bad compared to SARS or other diseases, but those others you never get in pandemic numbers. Regarding the exit strategy...I worry about it too since no one seems to be discussing what that is going to look like. Collectively we have embraced eradication, but since eternal isolation isn’t a practical path the government needs to start defining milestones and stages of reopening to the larger world. We certainly cannot let anti vaxxers inform policy on acceptable risk, one way or the other. I found this interesting regarding the US. Apologies for the link - hopefully it’s viewable! https://apple.news/ADRGHPLjTQdWCbcDbzJHywg The title was “Is the world finally getting sick of Covid-mania?” Published in The Australian newspaper May 4. |
Originally Posted by SHVC
(Post 11038239)
Now two big name Cricket Australia commentators are lashing out at the PM saying he had bloody on his hands. I must say I hope those two are removed from public life. Why do these ppl think cricketers deserve preferential treatment, they put themself in this situation knowing what could happen.
This is another example of why Australian athletes should be band from attending the Olympic Games. |
Originally Posted by ScepticalOptomist
(Post 11038240)
I found this interesting regarding the US. Apologies for the link - hopefully it’s viewable!
https://apple.news/ADRGHPLjTQdWCbcDbzJHywg The title was “Is the world finally getting sick of Covid-mania?” Published in The Australian newspaper May 4. I did see this cartoon today, from the 1930’s. La plus ca change... https://cimg6.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....a1d713042.jpeg |
Originally Posted by ScepticalOptomist
(Post 11038240)
I found this interesting regarding the US. Apologies for the link - hopefully it’s viewable!
https://apple.news/ADRGHPLjTQdWCbcDbzJHywg The title was “Is the world finally getting sick of Covid-mania?” Published in The Australian newspaper May 4. As far as Australia goes well there was a Lowy Institute poll recently with some telling stats on what Australians want with borders: A Lowy Institute poll has shown only two in 10, or 18 per cent of people, feel all Australians should be free to leave the country. 41 per cent agreed with the current policy that requires people to have special exemptions to be allowed to leave the country. Only a third of Australians aged 18-59 said those vaccinated should be free to leave now Almost 60 per cent feel the government has done enough to help fellow citizens return home No Australians felt the US had handled COVID-19 very well, while a whopping 92 per cent said the pandemic was managed very or fairly badly there |
Originally Posted by dr dre
(Post 11038289)
Actually more like “are US Republicans getting sick of Covid restrictions?” And the answer being yes, they’ve been sick of them since this pandemic started, which is why Republican states have had higher Covid tolls than Democratic ones.
As far as Australia goes well there was a Lowy Institute poll recently with some telling stats on what Australians want with borders: A Lowy Institute poll has shown only two in 10, or 18 per cent of people, feel all Australians should be free to leave the country. 41 per cent agreed with the current policy that requires people to have special exemptions to be allowed to leave the country. Only a third of Australians aged 18-59 said those vaccinated should be free to leave now Almost 60 per cent feel the government has done enough to help fellow citizens return home No Australians felt the US had handled COVID-19 very well, while a whopping 92 per cent said the pandemic was managed very or fairly badly there |
Originally Posted by dr dre
(Post 11038289)
Actually more like “are US Republicans getting sick of Covid restrictions?” And the answer being yes, they’ve been sick of them since this pandemic started, which is why Republican states have had higher Covid tolls than Democratic ones.
Interesting "Medical" website that one. After you're done reading about how "people I don't like get Covid more", You can also read about : Should we criminalize speech we don't like? Transphobia Can men get periods? How to have commitment free sex with as many people as possible Don't worry though, these are all "fact checked" and "medically reviewed" by the same publisher that wrote them. |
“
The authors of the study write that they adjusted for “state population density, rurality, Census region, age, race, ethnicity, poverty, number of physicians, obesity, cardiovascular disease, asthma, smoking, and presidential voting in 2020.” ha ha. Yup no bias there. |
How's Australia and it's elimination policy going to deal with this?
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/03/h...=pocket-newtab Reaching ‘Herd Immunity’ Is Unlikely in the U.S., Experts Now BelieveNow, more than half of adults in the United States have been inoculated with at least one dose of a vaccine. But daily vaccination rates are slipping, and there is widespread consensus among scientists and public health experts that the herd immunity threshold is not attainable — at least not in the foreseeable future, and perhaps not ever. Instead, they are coming to the conclusion that rather than making a long-promised exit, the virus will most likely become a manageable threat that will continue to circulate in the United States for years to come, still causing hospitalizations and deaths but in much smaller numbers. |
Originally Posted by Fonz121
(Post 11038543)
How's Australia and it's elimination policy going to deal with this?
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/03/h...=pocket-newtab Reaching ‘Herd Immunity’ Is Unlikely in the U.S., Experts Now Believe |
Originally Posted by Fonz121
(Post 11038543)
How's Australia and it's elimination policy going to deal with this?
In my secondary employment I work with people who have all their friends and relatives within 100km, who “went to Queensland once” and “didn’t like it”. They want the borders closed, and I quote: “forever, keep them shut, no one out or in until the virus has gone”. If anyone thinks we are going to get 100% consensus on the border opening they’re deluded. Once everyone has had the opportunity to be vaccinated in this country, the government needs show some leadership and start looking at a date for a gradual reopening. |
Originally Posted by ruprecht
(Post 11038868)
At some point in the future, the borders will be open, and people will be able to leave and return with no quarantine requirements. I used to say that the trick was figuring out when that point would be, but now I’m not so sure. Now I think that the trick is to convince people that this point actually exists.
In my secondary employment I work with people who have all their friends and relatives within 100km, who “went to Queensland once” and “didn’t like it”. They want the borders closed, and I quote: “forever, keep them shut, no one out or in until the virus has gone”. If anyone thinks we are going to get 100% consensus on the border opening they’re deluded. Once everyone has had the opportunity to be vaccinated in this country, the government needs show some leadership and start looking at a date for a gradual reopening. |
A local case just identified in Sydney, unknown source at this stage - not good.
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Yes, ONE CASE, let’s all panic now and kill every small business selling coffees and meals...
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Originally Posted by Icarus2001
(Post 11038989)
Yes, ONE CASE, let’s all panic now and kill every small business selling coffees and meals...
This is why Kiwis didn't want the border open |
It’s in the community everywhere. Always has been.
people just can’t be f@&ed getting tested anymore, complacency and just generally being completely over it. |
Originally Posted by Chris2303
(Post 11039043)
how about being adult about it and hope that they can find the origin.
This is why Kiwis didn't want the border open https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/hea...7EPZHIpN66gxfA The Kiwi government doesn’t believe it necessary to quarantine its own crew upon return from an international flight outside the bubble. Are the Tongans or Cook Islanders happy with the gaping hole in the New Zealand quarantine wall? This matter now has the attention of both state and federal governments in Australia. This could easily bring the whole eradication policy tumbling down. It will only take one Kiwi crew member to import the virus and the inadequacy of the current policy will be revealed. What if an infectious aircrew member lives with an essential worker? Nurse or Doctor? Aged care worker? Another pilot or F/A that is flying the bubble? This would be all well and good if the general population is vaccinated but it isn’t. Fingers crossed🤞, you’re going to need it. |
Originally Posted by jrfsp
(Post 11038911)
A local case just identified in Sydney, unknown source at this stage - not good.
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Originally Posted by Agent_86
(Post 11039445)
McGowan is already looking at closing the WA Border to NSW subject to 'Medical Advice' :rolleyes:
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This was just released this morning:
Australians hoping international travel will return to normal next year have been dealt a blow, as the Federal Government warns borders are unlikely to reopen until the end of 2022 at least. Finance Minister Simon Birmingham said despite the rollout of the vaccine, global outbreaks and new mutant strains, such as those in India, left the world facing as much uncertainty as ever. He said this meant Australia’s international borders– which have largely locked Australians in since March 2020 – would likely remain shut well into next year. “We recognise that if Australians want to be kept safe and secure … and given uncertainties that exist not just in the speed of the vaccine rollout but also the extent of its effectiveness to different variants of COVID, the duration of its longevity and effectiveness, these are all considerations that mean we won’t be seeing borders flung open at the start of next year with great ease,” |
Originally Posted by dr dre
(Post 11039465)
This was just released this morning:
Finance Minister Simon Birmingham says no overseas travel until later in 2022 |
I say again, are Aussies really putting up with this?
A border closure until 1 Jan 2023 at least. Wow.. it baffles belief. Meanwhile the rest of the world will return to some semblance of normality. |
Originally Posted by Dannyboy39
(Post 11039516)
I say again, are Aussies really putting up with this?
A border closure until 1 Jan 2023 at least. Wow.. it baffles belief. Meanwhile the rest of the world will return to some semblance of normality. |
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Originally Posted by SOPS
(Post 11039526)
Im going to say.. let’s wait and see how well the UK experiment with international travel goes...
Why is the same response always returned whenever the Australian approach is questioned... “but but but UK...” And I’m definitely no fan of Boris. Believe it or not, if borders are not reopened, pilots do not have jobs. Do you seriously think airlines should be continuing to pay your wages with no one in the back? |
Originally Posted by Dannyboy39
(Post 11039535)
Considering over 50m vaccines have now been given out and everyone must be tested at least 3 times for every overseas trip, probably better than last year. And to low risk destinations only are quarantine free.
Why is the same response always returned whenever the Australian approach is questioned... “but but but UK...” And I’m definitely no fan of Boris. Believe it or not, if borders are not reopened, pilots do not have jobs. Do you seriously think airlines should be continuing to pay your wages with no one in the back? |
And to think, at the beginning of all of this, restrictions were to 'flatten the curve'.
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Originally Posted by Oriana
(Post 11039704)
And to think, at the beginning of all of this, restrictions were to 'flatten the curve'.
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I say again, are Aussies really putting up with this? A border closure until 1 Jan 2023 at least. Wow.. it baffles belief. Meanwhile the rest of the world will return to some semblance of normality. However, the main reason for borders remaining closed so long is the rather lethargic vaccine roll out which seems to consist of jabbing a few arms and knocking off for a beer each day, mixed with anyone in Australia who walked past someone who had spoken to someone that had been given the AZ jab having blood clots. |
Originally Posted by Dannyboy39
(Post 11039516)
I say again, are Aussies really putting up with this?
A border closure until 1 Jan 2023 at least. Wow.. it baffles belief. Meanwhile the rest of the world will return to some semblance of normality. |
The reality is that the vaccination rollout is the weakest link in getting international travel back up and ruining. It has been a national embarrassment to say the least. Blood clots or not, the government should have had more options under their belt. The interesting thing is that Pfizer approached the government in July last year to secure some supply, it took them until October to make a decision. By that point we were at the back of the global queue. Now we have over 50s more than eligible for the jab and the vaccination centres are practically empty. I'm mid 30s and I'm happy to get AZ, hurry up and end all of this.
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The delay in the vaccine rollout is going to cost 10s of billions of $$ to the industry.
Insights Report: Counting the cost of Australia’s delayed vaccine roll-out Part Two: International border closures And even then I think the uptake rates since those numbers have published have dropped off, we’re even below France blowing out the time even further. It’s obvious media scaremongering about AZ and lack of incentive to get vaccinated locally is hampering the rollout. With the government unwilling to pull out all stops to get more alternate vaccines different incentives to encourage people to get vaccinated will have to be considered. Is it time to make a Covid vaccination mandatory for certain things? Not just travel without quarantine, to enter certain venues, to work certain jobs? With the rest of the world about to open unfettered travel for the vaccinated a thing Australian’s attitude may change quick. Sure it’ll piss off the “No Mandatory Vaccination” crowd, but they’re nutters and no one should care what they think: EU plans summer opening for vaccinated tourists |
Originally Posted by Ladloy
(Post 11040060)
The reality is that the vaccination rollout is the weakest link in getting international travel back up and ruining. It has been a national embarrassment to say the least. Blood clots or not, the government should have had more options under their belt. The interesting thing is that Pfizer approached the government in July last year to secure some supply, it took them until October to make a decision. By that point we were at the back of the global queue. Now we have over 50s more than eligible for the jab and the vaccination centres are practically empty. I'm mid 30s and I'm happy to get AZ, hurry up and end all of this.
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Originally Posted by Tucknroll
(Post 11040068)
we should be the back of the global queue, we don’t have a Covid problem here. Send the vaccines where they are needed first, like we did with PNG.
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Originally Posted by dr dre
(Post 11040067)
The delay in the vaccine rollout is going to cost 10s of billions of $$ to the industry.
Insights Report: Counting the cost of Australia’s delayed vaccine roll-out Part Two: International border closures And even then I think the uptake rates since those numbers have published have dropped off, we’re even below France blowing out the time even further. It’s obvious media scaremongering about AZ and lack of incentive to get vaccinated locally is hampering the rollout. With the government unwilling to pull out all stops to get more alternate vaccines different incentives to encourage people to get vaccinated will have to be considered. Is it time to make a Covid vaccination mandatory for certain things? Not just travel without quarantine, to enter certain venues, to work certain jobs? With the rest of the world about to open unfettered travel for the vaccinated a thing Australian’s attitude may change quick. Sure it’ll piss off the “No Mandatory Vaccination” crowd, but they’re nutters and no one should care what they think: EU plans summer opening for vaccinated tourists Do that 5 or six times and see how incentivised you are still feeling. No one that I know is in the least deterred by the clotting scaremongering. |
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