Flybe-V2
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Dorset
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OAG publish on-time and cancellations data every month which is about as a fair a source as you'll get rather than these "this was cancelled today, this was cancelled yesterday" debate.
October data shows 55% on-time and a whopping 29% cancellation rate for Flybe, which has even dislodged Wizz Air from the bottom slot in the league table for cancellations (they were at 11%). Of the other regionals, Aurigny was at 18% cancellations - which I guess will be because Alderney was off air for several days? - Eastern at 5%, Loganair at 4% and Blue Islands at 1%.
October data shows 55% on-time and a whopping 29% cancellation rate for Flybe, which has even dislodged Wizz Air from the bottom slot in the league table for cancellations (they were at 11%). Of the other regionals, Aurigny was at 18% cancellations - which I guess will be because Alderney was off air for several days? - Eastern at 5%, Loganair at 4% and Blue Islands at 1%.
And that just sums up the acceptance of mediocrity. It is perfectly possible to run for weeks without any cancellations if you schedule appropriately, have adequate crew numbers, good engineering back up, etc. the bete noir tends to be the weather. An airline that shrugs its collective shoulders and just assumes it will have frequent cancellations will indeed have frequent cancellations.
However, those stats show that Flybe are not doing well, and as I look at FR24 right now I can see one a/c positioning from BHD to EXT on a maintenance c/s (could be planned, who knows) and another from LHR to BHD (having previously been on the ground in AMS for 5 days, which one would have to assume wasn't).
It's not great and even people who want to support the airline will lose faith in they can't rely on it.
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: BMA
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Who is going to book with a carrier that currently cancels nearly 1 in 3 flights. Regardless of the reason thats a big problem. And just under half of flights are at least 15 mins late. The compensation alone must be costing a fortune especially on cancelled services where passengers can get a refund and €250 compensation.
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Leeds, UK & Cork, Ireland
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Who is going to book with a carrier that currently cancels nearly 1 in 3 flights. Regardless of the reason thats a big problem. And just under half of flights are at least 15 mins late. The compensation alone must be costing a fortune especially on cancelled services where passengers can get a refund and €250 compensation.
Have a look at EI fares for November and December on LBA-BHD on Sundays. Its over £300 each way on both flights. flyBe don't even fly LBA-BHD on Sundays. What Emerald looses on the sectors where they compete with flyBe they gain in spades on the sectors they don't compete on. flyBe don't have that ability. Or the commercial acumen to offer flights between NI and GB on a Sunday afternoon, a fairly peak time, in my experience.
A 29% cancellation rate (assuming this is true) means you have just a 50% chance of flying a round trip without significant problem.
Would really put me off if I can't afford to muck around with major delays
For those wondering 29% cancellation means 71% completion. 0.71 x 0.71 = 50.4%
I am assuming the 2 legs are independent and identically distributed
Would really put me off if I can't afford to muck around with major delays
For those wondering 29% cancellation means 71% completion. 0.71 x 0.71 = 50.4%
I am assuming the 2 legs are independent and identically distributed
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: BMA
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A 29% cancellation rate (assuming this is true) means you have just a 50% chance of flying a round trip without significant problem.
Would really put me off if I can't afford to muck around with major delays
For those wondering 29% cancellation means 71% completion. 0.71 x 0.71 = 50.4%
I am assuming the 2 legs are independent and identically distributed
Would really put me off if I can't afford to muck around with major delays
For those wondering 29% cancellation means 71% completion. 0.71 x 0.71 = 50.4%
I am assuming the 2 legs are independent and identically distributed
Join Date: Sep 2012
Location: Newcastle
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Who is going to book with a carrier that currently cancels nearly 1 in 3 flights. Regardless of the reason thats a big problem. And just under half of flights are at least 15 mins late. The compensation alone must be costing a fortune especially on cancelled services where passengers can get a refund and €250 compensation.
They do have a market on some routes IMO although completely agree re Belfast and LHR-AMS too.
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: EDI, LHR, NQY
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To be fair, this happens a lot these days when carriers use handling agents who aren’t always present at every gate. Has happened to me recently with a certain flag carrier, as well as Flybe Mk1 on LGW-NQY. A wet and wild night in NQY so cancellation is not surprising.
Luckily my wife’s niece worked until recently for FB and has said what it’s like behind the scenes. Lessons learned I suppose when you try to support the little guy (as such).
My wife managed to get through yesterday after 10 mins waiting. Enquiring about the refund for the cancelled flight as nothing on the website. Agent said no you have to request a refund even though Flybe made the cancellation. My wife said she couldn’t find any information/instruction of the kind. Agent was disinterested and never eluded why it’s taken 4 calls to get through the previous 3 attempts being around an hour on hold before giving up.
Luckily my wife’s niece worked until recently for FB and has said what it’s like behind the scenes. Lessons learned I suppose when you try to support the little guy (as such).
Luckily my wife’s niece worked until recently for FB and has said what it’s like behind the scenes. Lessons learned I suppose when you try to support the little guy (as such).
Not sure its any better withe big guys TBH when it comes to refunds
Unless there are changes, it looks (based on planned early morning departures) like they will need 10 airframes by the end of Feb and assuming 8 sector days, there will only be short gaps in the flypro where an aircraft will be on the ground and spare. The real test of commitment from the money man will be whether he is prepared to fund a fully crewed spare. Muddling through and trying to juggle the entire program when an aircraft is grounded is not sustainable. If the airline is to succeed in line with their published plans, there will need to be signs of crew being recruited and trained before the end of the year and a steady aircraft arrival rate of at least one per month.
Join Date: Aug 2009
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Unless there are changes, it looks (based on planned early morning departures) like they will need 10 airframes by the end of Feb and assuming 8 sector days, there will only be short gaps in the flypro where an aircraft will be on the ground and spare. The real test of commitment from the money man will be whether he is prepared to fund a fully crewed spare. Muddling through and trying to juggle the entire program when an aircraft is grounded is not sustainable. If the airline is to succeed in line with their published plans, there will need to be signs of crew being recruited and trained before the end of the year and a steady aircraft arrival rate of at least one per month.
To be fair, this happens a lot these days when carriers use handling agents who aren’t always present at every gate. Has happened to me recently with a certain flag carrier, as well as Flybe Mk1 on LGW-NQY. A wet and wild night in NQY so cancellation is not surprising.
There is also one in EXT (arrived there yesterday) which was apparently for planned maint.These issues with delayed airframe deliveries and keeping the ones they have serviceable seem to hurting them and their much-needed reputation badly.
BHX to EDI and GLA due to restart on Thursday (although other routes have had frequency reduced or have been temporarily suspended to make way)
Join Date: Apr 2018
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Join Date: Aug 2009
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