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Old 26th Jul 2023, 05:29
  #2941 (permalink)  
 
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It’s not at all. Unless you understand the risk-based reason which led to this UK measure being in place, you jump to the conclusion that it is misplaced, damaging etc etc. You can’t have a proper debate about the specific risk without the threat assessment, and you don’t go near putting either in the public domain if you are party to them.

It is a completely futile debate here as the debate is far from fully informed. And if you think those at MAG who are fully aware of this issue have been silent on the subject with DFT and HMG, then you’d be mistaken.



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Old 26th Jul 2023, 06:52
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Emotive topics: Cargo volumes, Transit flights. Feels like we need a third, you know, for completeness. Three always feels better than two…
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 07:29
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And if you think those at MAG who are fully aware of this issue have been silent on the subject with DFT and HMG, then you’d be mistaken.
If they're actively attempting to get this issue addressed (we don't need security specifics), then that is all we ask. WE may not need to have the debate, but THEY do. Keep raising the question, because the current policy does come at a heavy economic price with little obvious redress in terms of enhanced passenger safety.

Two weeks ago, I boarded an Ethiopian A359 at GVA bound for MAN. About 24 pax boarded there, all fully security-checked in accordance with Swiss procedures. Aboard the aircraft itself were around 200 through-passengers who remained aboard throughout the stopover. I never felt under any threat from this, as all those pax had undergone similar security checks before initial boarding at ADD. They'd also already completed one long sector without incident. All pax aboard had done one comprehensive security check, completed to international standards at a major airport, to be there. Based on your information, there is something so concerning about this situation that UK authorities would require a full re-screening were this aircraft to stopover in MAN bound, say, for DUB, yet that need is not replicated or recognised by Swiss authorities at GVA.

If you are aware of a valid reason for this, fair enough. We don't need the details. But I hope it is a really good one, because UK regional airports are paying a high price for this apparent over-abundance of caution, as is our economy. Security situations evolve, so if the opportunity to rescind this rule (within the bounds of safety) exists, then it should be taken. Other highly-respected security-conscious jurisdictions haven't applied this rule in the first place, so obviously they interpret the threat level differently. Of course, if there is a specific flaw unique to UK airports which introduces a security threat not present at continental airports (I won't ask), perhaps it would be cost-effective to rectify that issue directly instead, rather than trying to mitigate it on a day-to-day operational basis. A behind-closed-doors cost-benefit analysis should be produced, quantifying the cost of remedying this uniquely UK problem, versus the opportunity cost of discouraging potentially lucrative fifth-freedom air services which could be transformational for regional connectivity.

I do understand and have sympathy with your "not in front of the children" approach on forums such as this, but there is a need for UK airports to keep this issue on the agenda with the appropriate Whitehall officials, away from the public gaze. I'm encouraged by your reassurance that MAG does that.

Emotive topics
Economically significant topics. Entirely appropriate for debate on the Manchester Airport thread. Cargo flights and fifth-freedom services matter in this industry. Many readers here are professionally involved. Nobody is forced to read or engage.
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 07:44
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A behind-closed-doors cost-benefit analysis should be produced, quantifying the cost of remedying this uniquely UK problem, versus the opportunity cost of discouraging potentially lucrative fifth-freedom air services which could be transformational for regional connectivity.
I appreciate that you are talking about an investigation, but is the likelihood of fifth-freedom flights really significant? If so, what is the best way of addressing the issue outside of specialist forums like this?
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 09:48
  #2945 (permalink)  
 
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This isn't a cost-benefit analysis question. Where it's a security threat and risk-based assessment, cost-benefit doesn't come into it.
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 10:12
  #2946 (permalink)  
 
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Good grief, how many times. You are not privy to the information that made this decision necessary.
You do not know what threats, current, historical or perceived are in the minds of UK security policy makers. Just because you can't see a threat it doesn't mean there isn't one. Let it go.
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 10:18
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Originally Posted by SWBKCB
I appreciate that you are talking about an investigation, but is the likelihood of fifth-freedom flights really significant? If so, what is the best way of addressing the issue outside of specialist forums like this?
We know that Bangladesh Biman switched initial plans to route transatlantic transit flights through MAN to IST instead, with the re-screening issue being a major factor in that decision. Likewise, we know that Ethiopian have been unable to progress plans for combining MAN with DUB for the same reason. We know that Luxair, who previously operated LUX-MAN-DUB, restored only LUX-DUB with this being a consideration. Beyond these, we know that other possibilities draw speculation, but only MAG and the companies concerned can assess the likelihood of these realistically coming to pass. What we do know for sure is that an airport with a prosperous and densely-populated catchment area which does not host a based hub-carrier is a prime attraction for business of this sort.

No doubt MAG has the relevant data to hand and can lobby the appropriate agencies without either party divulging security-sensitive / commercially-sensitive information in the public domain. The important thing is that dialogue takes place and that both security implications and value of business forfeited are afforded due consideration in exchanges. It is helpful if political figures are aware of the reality of business opportunities being lost so that an old security rule of questionable value to passenger safety might be left unchanged. The continuation of that rule comes at a high cost. Is it worth it? That is for discussion behind closed doors, but regular dialogue on the issue should be maintained. Nobody wants to compromise safety if a genuine concern is driving this, but the commercial impact must be taken into account too. We can't be keeping a damaging rule in place due to inertia alone. Switzerland don't see the need for it, and they're not complacent about matters of passenger safety. Many other countries likewise.
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 10:27
  #2948 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by OzzyOzBorn
We know that Bangladesh Biman switched initial plans to route transatlantic transit flights through MAN to IST instead, with the re-screening issue being a major factor in that decision. Likewise, we know that Ethiopian have been unable to progress plans for combining MAN with DUB for the same reason. We know that Luxair, who previously operated LUX-MAN-DUB, restored only LUX-DUB with this being a consideration. Beyond these, we know that other possibilities draw speculation, but only MAG and the companies concerned can assess the likelihood of these realistically coming to pass. What we do know for sure......
Hang on.
How do 'we' know all these things? Are they public knowledge?
Apologies if I missed it.
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 10:35
  #2949 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Flightrider
This isn't a cost-benefit analysis question. Where it's a security threat and risk-based assessment, cost-benefit doesn't come into it.
Based on this logic, we could make the case for every passenger departing MAN to be forced to go through the same security process twice before boarding their flights. Surely that would be safer than going through security just once?

We can't just leave security rules to fossilise at great cost, simply because some insist that the subject must never be discussed or debatable decisions revisited.

You do not know what threats, current, historical or perceived are in the minds of UK security policy makers
This isn't about taking shortcuts on security measures. It is about eliminating duplication of the process in the very specific case of a multiple-sector flight at a midpoint airport. Those passengers have been screened already with all those threats taken into account. And they've already flown a sector where they could have done their worst if travelling with ill-intentions. This rule merits constant review because of the cost it imposes on business with no obvious upside.

How do 'we' know all these things? Are they public knowledge?
Apologies if I missed it.
These three have been reported and discussed in the public domain. You must have missed them.
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 12:26
  #2950 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by bobradamus
Emotive topics: Cargo volumes, Transit flights. Feels like we need a third, you know, for completeness. Three always feels better than two…
Terminal 2…always emotive 😉😉
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 12:33
  #2951 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by pabloc
terminal 2…always emotive 😉😉
👏🏻👏🏻
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 12:34
  #2952 (permalink)  
 
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we could make the case for every passenger departing MAN to be forced to go through the same security process twice before boarding their flights. Surely that would be safer than going through security just once?
You could make that case. But as there's no risk-based rationale for double screening to UK standards then there would be no purpose behind doing so. The issue fundamentally is whether you are content to accept third countries' standards as equivalent to your own in all respects, and that is why the re-screening upon departure from the UK is required for transit operations. And if I were arguing the case to retain the current rules, I'd point to Singapore Airlines SIN-MAN-IAH as an example that the rules aren't a blocker to trade.
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 13:06
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And if I were arguing the case to retain the current rules, I'd point to Singapore Airlines SIN-MAN-IAH as an example that the rules aren't a blocker to trade.
As with all commercial decisions, there are multiple factors to consider. In this case the positives outweigh the negatives. On this one, most pax are generally happy to alight to stretch their legs anyway, as both SIA sectors are very long. And from SIA's perspective, demand from the Manchester catchment props up a route which would likely be unviable operated as a standalone. There is no competing service between MAN and Texas, whilst MAN bulks out flights to SIN. But the cost-benefit analysis must be applied to all multi-sector routes affected by the re-screening mandate. In post 2947, I itemised three routes where the decision went the other way. I could throw back at you that these are examples which demonstrate that the rules ARE a blocker to trade. It cuts both ways.

On your point about acceptance of third countries' standards, I have not argued for random acceptance of these. Airports would need to be approved on an individual basis, using standards benchmarked by a recognised agency such as ICAO [see the earlier postings on this to avoid repetition]. The reality is that it would only be necessary to monitor a very limited pool of airports for this purpose; flights of this sort would tend to use major gateway airports with state-of-the-art equipment.
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 14:50
  #2954 (permalink)  
 
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It certainly wasnt/isn't just a UK thing I recall flying EVA from LHR to TPE via BKK and having to get off the aircraft and go through security on both legs in BKK. Was pre covid so may have changed since then.
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 14:55
  #2955 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by pwalhx
It certainly wasnt/isn't just a UK thing I recall flying EVA from LHR to TPE via BKK and having to get off the aircraft and go through security on both legs in BKK. Was pre covid so may have changed since then.
Yes, same happened with me, seemed to be a standard procedure.

Happened in MUC, ZRH, FRA whilst transferring to LHR.
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 16:22
  #2956 (permalink)  
 
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Luxair do not need to route via Manchester as loads are good enough for the route to operate as a stand alone service.

If Luxair thought Manchester was viable on it's own right I guess it would operating the route. Can Manchester not generate its own traffic to support routes such as Newark, Philadelphia, Dallas, Delhi, Mumbai to name but a few.
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 17:33
  #2957 (permalink)  
 
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Why do TUI use 767's and 787's on more short haul out of Manchester compared to Gatwick? Always wondered this. Is Manchester busier for TUI than LGW?
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 19:38
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Happened in MUC, ZRH, FRA whilst transferring to LHR.
Were you changing flights at those hubs, or obliged to get off and reboard the same aircraft operating a through flight? The anomaly we're discussing only relates to the latter scenario.
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 19:47
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If Luxair thought Manchester was viable on it's own right I guess it would operating the route.
Luxair was contemplating taking over the route when FlyBe failed, but the timing of their collapse was immediately pre-covid which put the blockers on everything. Now airlines are focused on recovery from the covid era, bringing staff numbers back up to strength and improving resilience. We'll have to see whether they revisit the idea of taking on LUX-MAN as recovery continues. I did fly MAN-LUX-MAN with FlyBe and demand at the time looked healthy; obviously, I have no access to yield data which is the important bit.
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Old 26th Jul 2023, 20:01
  #2960 (permalink)  
 
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Question: How.much is a transit flight worth to an airport if it has no access to 5th freedoms? Minimal commercial revenue surely. Keeping airline relationships smooth?
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