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Search: Posts Made By: Numero Crunchero
Showing results 1 to 35 of 650
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Forum: Fragrant Harbour
15th Sep 2022, 11:11
Replies: 31
Views: 16,839
Posted By Numero Crunchero

What's that saying? "Never let the truth get in...

What's that saying? "Never let the truth get in the way of a good rumour"?

We owe less money today (as of 30Jun22) than we did 3.5 years ago (31Dec18)
Total current and non current liabilities...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
15th Sep 2022, 07:59
Replies: 31
Views: 16,839
Posted By Numero Crunchero

"...rumours of our loss have been greatly...

"...rumours of our loss have been greatly exaggerated" (with apologies for plagiarising and butchering the original quote)

CX as an airline, lost 1.5Billion in the first half - when you consider...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
10th Feb 2022, 13:36
Replies: 97
Views: 52,813
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Globnocnik I don't 'come up with the figures' -...

Globnocnik
I don't 'come up with the figures' - accountants following GAAP do so. So if they say we made 1.5-2.0B for 2nd half of last year, then you might find that all the things you mentioned are...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
10th Feb 2022, 06:33
Replies: 97
Views: 52,813
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Anxio, I remember reading that article and...

Anxio, I remember reading that article and thinking it was like reading the financial version of the national enquirer. A load of sensationalist BS

If my memory is correct it was talking about an...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
13th Sep 2021, 03:09
Replies: 179
Views: 88,696
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Vforvendetta (and three thirty) sorry, one of...

Vforvendetta (and three thirty)
sorry, one of my friends in BA has been laid off - I thought he said it was less than 50. I stand corrected.
I am well aware what happened in Qantas - my point is -...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
12th Sep 2021, 08:13
Replies: 179
Views: 88,696
Posted By Numero Crunchero

v for vendetta I would argue that MOST airlines...

v for vendetta
I would argue that MOST airlines have not right sized. BA ended up making redundant I think about 30-50 out of how many pilots? (3000+?)
QF ended up getting enough voluntary...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
11th Sep 2021, 04:54
Replies: 179
Views: 88,696
Posted By Numero Crunchero

I haven't heard any rumblings of a massive...

I haven't heard any rumblings of a massive downsizing of the 777 fleet. It would make no sense anyway. Increasing our per unit cost by having LESS aircraft is just plain (plane? ;-) stupid.

If you...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
8th Sep 2021, 14:33
Replies: 179
Views: 88,696
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Ha ha - thanks for not specifying my gender or...

Ha ha - thanks for not specifying my gender or sexual preference Curry Lamb - very PC of you ;-)

In 2 or 3 or 4 years yes we will be at the new normal. The very fact that flying has reached or...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
25th Aug 2021, 04:49
Replies: 64
Views: 42,451
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Hmmm - I am either not writing clearly enough or...

Hmmm - I am either not writing clearly enough or people are speed reading past the important bits.







At some point - next year - the year after - the year after that - 2028 - at some...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
20th Aug 2021, 13:15
Replies: 64
Views: 42,451
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Hi Curry Lamb actually i have based the above...

Hi Curry Lamb
actually i have based the above on zero expansion - zero.

As of 31/12/2020 we had 91 long haul a/c. Average annual hours for airbus/777 pre protests/covid was just a little under...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
20th Aug 2021, 01:05
Replies: 64
Views: 42,451
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Becky330 getting some real world experience...

Becky330
getting some real world experience before narrowing down to an airline job is a good idea IMHO.

In regards to CX numbers - we are MASSIVELY undermanned. Not for today - not for covid -...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
14th May 2021, 10:47
Replies: 268
Views: 168,379
Posted By Numero Crunchero

I see a lot of inane and ill thought out comments...

I see a lot of inane and ill thought out comments made here (quelle suprise). I thought I might correct, or add to it ;-)

For those that keep stating that the airline will shrink - why? We have...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
30th Oct 2020, 15:26
Replies: 303
Views: 195,053
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Just a few random thoughts.... After 9/11...

Just a few random thoughts....


After 9/11 and the GFC everyone thought things would be terrible for years - in both those cases it took a few years(3-4) to get back to 100% flying but it got...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
23rd Aug 2020, 01:10
Replies: 153
Views: 73,803
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Oops - I misspoke - spanish flu was a H1N1 - my...

Oops - I misspoke - spanish flu was a H1N1 - my bad.

Does that mistake make any difference to any of the numbers I quoted? Or is the focus on where I didn't dot the "i"s and cross the 't"s?

...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
22nd Aug 2020, 14:37
Replies: 153
Views: 73,803
Posted By Numero Crunchero

exfocx

Originally Posted by Numero Crunchero View Post (https://www.pprune.org/fragrant-harbour/634877-hold-your-underpants-post10866785.html#post10866785)

The initial reaction to covid was probably the...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
22nd Aug 2020, 13:46
Replies: 153
Views: 73,803
Posted By Numero Crunchero

I quote numbers - and yes I let my opinion sneak...

I quote numbers - and yes I let my opinion sneak in. Here are some numbers - see if they justify the US being in a dire state. Per the JH website the US is up to about 175K covid deaths.

Let's...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
21st Aug 2020, 11:37
Replies: 153
Views: 73,803
Posted By Numero Crunchero

The initial reaction to covid was probably the...

The initial reaction to covid was probably the right one(let history decide) - the ongoing reaction is an economic own goal - a stupendous achievement in self destruction for no good reason.
...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
20th Aug 2020, 04:53
Replies: 53
Views: 35,524
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Main Dog I hope you are right too. I am an...

Main Dog
I hope you are right too. I am an optimist at heart.

But as they say - prepare for the worst and hope for the best. (but of course the cynics will call that expectation management)
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
19th Aug 2020, 06:39
Replies: 53
Views: 35,524
Posted By Numero Crunchero

I actually agree with some of what you have said...

I actually agree with some of what you have said here! Quelle surprise!

Where I disagree.....The amounts paid by CX on Level 1 or RFZ or mortgage are POLICY. They spell out in the policy how they...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
17th Aug 2020, 04:43
Replies: 53
Views: 35,524
Posted By Numero Crunchero

I wish you were right but you are 100% wrong. The...

I wish you were right but you are 100% wrong. The HKAOA lawyers and senior counsel advice on two seperate occasions have stated what I have repeated here. Though a former chairman spent an hour on...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
16th Aug 2020, 11:58
Replies: 53
Views: 35,524
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Yes it is contractual to pay housing...

Yes it is contractual to pay housing assistance/HKPA for all of us. The levels are policy. So $1 is still an ARAP payment for someone who was getting $100K last month in rental assistance. As I have...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
13th Aug 2020, 11:24
Replies: 66
Views: 28,784
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Ha ha ha. Ok you guys win - either ICAO is too...

Ha ha ha.
Ok you guys win - either ICAO is too pessimistic or too optimistic. Farman - you are right - ICAO is pessimistic enough - Progress Wanchai you are also right - ICAO are too optimistic ;-)
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
13th Aug 2020, 09:02
Replies: 66
Views: 28,784
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Icao put out a report yesterday - with many...

Icao put out a report yesterday - with many predictions going out to Mar2021.

On 12Aug20, overall, the industry is down 60% on 2019 seat capacity (btw, as pilots, we care about ASK because they...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
13th Aug 2020, 06:52
Replies: 66
Views: 28,784
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Good point Dan - but I think that was already...

Good point Dan - but I think that was already factored by Dec 2019. Hence the reason for us having too many trainers for the plan for 2020 onwards - I assume that was in response to the political...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
13th Aug 2020, 06:28
Replies: 53
Views: 35,524
Posted By Numero Crunchero

coronavirus - clearly we didn't fly together ;-) ...

coronavirus - clearly we didn't fly together ;-)

Thanks to the failure of TA16 and TA18 we don't have any pesky legal restrictions on changes to ARAP or HKPA. Minor changes can be done with...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
13th Aug 2020, 06:13
Replies: 66
Views: 28,784
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Good question - clearly they have a different...

Good question - clearly they have a different viewpoint to me.

What I will say - they had over 10% attrition a couple of years ago. Plus they were growing. So I suspect their training 'machine'...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
13th Aug 2020, 04:47
Replies: 66
Views: 28,784
Posted By Numero Crunchero

I said keep the team together -I didn't say on...

I said keep the team together -I didn't say on what terms. But I wanted to keep the previous post optimistic.
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
13th Aug 2020, 04:43
Replies: 66
Views: 28,784
Posted By Numero Crunchero

I am at heart an optimist- but then the joke goes...

I am at heart an optimist- but then the joke goes that a pessimist is just an optimist with life experience. My views on the 'protections' on the base are coloured by my own personal union...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
11th Aug 2020, 03:41
Replies: 66
Views: 28,784
Posted By Numero Crunchero

cxorcist - I admire your optimism on the power of...

cxorcist - I admire your optimism on the power of courts in other jurisdictions imposing their will on a communist company in a communist enclave in the worlds most populous, and arguably most...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
6th Aug 2020, 07:44
Replies: 66
Views: 28,784
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Yeah on an update they have said the WEF date is...

Yeah on an update they have said the WEF date is now 30Sep20.


Yeah maybe it was obvious to others that this was just a long term money grab - but my initial instinct was that any VR or ERS...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
6th Aug 2020, 03:31
Replies: 66
Views: 28,784
Posted By Numero Crunchero

I am sure anyone interested/eligible has already...

I am sure anyone interested/eligible has already done the maths(or mathematics for the grandma nazis - grammar was never my thing - just maths).

So I have more than 4 years to my RA - so I would...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
3rd Aug 2020, 05:17
Replies: 69
Views: 44,264
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Ahhhh I've missed reading PPRUNE ;-) So...

Ahhhh I've missed reading PPRUNE ;-) So entertaining - Jerry Springer meets Aviation

I feel like much of what is said is like the passengers on the titanic arguing about their relative chances of...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
21st Jan 2019, 07:46
Replies: 76
Views: 54,245
Posted By Numero Crunchero

If there had been no member amendment, the...

If there had been no member amendment, the original GC motion would have allowed for a full vote to start two weeks earlier.

In order to satisfy RF's amendment, both RF and the GC agreed to a...
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
18th Jan 2019, 15:42
Replies: 76
Views: 54,245
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Kenfoggo - you are right I am tarring you with a...

Kenfoggo - you are right I am tarring you with a broad brush. I get frustrated - as I did in 2001 - with lots of big talk. And yes of course there is action between here and 'strike'.
apologies!
Forum: Fragrant Harbour
18th Jan 2019, 06:14
Replies: 76
Views: 54,245
Posted By Numero Crunchero

Hey mate in 2001 I was on the GC that...

Hey mate
in 2001 I was on the GC that recommended NO to the vote - that was pre rule 20.4 so the membership never got to vote on it. Over the next few years membership fell to 50%

So explain to...
Showing results 1 to 35 of 650
 
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