Ukraine War Thread Part 2
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Remember President Biden: “Russia would pay a severe price if they use chemical weapons.”
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Diesel prices up 10% in Russia. I wonder why?
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This is telling, I wonder what there reserves are and how many refurbs a day they can pump out and deliver.
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I do wonder if that is why they are developing the thermite "bombs" no cage would stop those penetrating the tanks.
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Actually, I am not referring to a broad strategic or even operational level counterattack.
I am looking at the current advance from Avdiika area westwards at the tactical level for the capacity for a counterattack. (Brigade/Division/Corps(-))
Going back to military history on this one... the Wehrmacht had a penchant for counterattack at roughly "the culminating point" (which you mentioned) of their opponent's attack that was quite often effective at the tactical level. It was an aspect to the auftragstaktik theme. (And no, I am not sure how that might fit into the Ukrainian Army's current concept of Operations)
They don't have to wait for November to do that. What I had in mind as I asked that question, as regards the time horizon, is before the end of June. Not sure if they can get in a counter blow in that time horizon.
No.
My thesis/inquiry has nothing to do with Trump, nor an election, and the time horizon I am envisioning is during the summer (June may be too optimistic) and at the tactical (brigade/division/corps) level, not the "Take back large percentages of occupied territory" EAC level.
I have an idea that they really do want to get Kherson back, though, and believe that at some point another move in that sector will happen in due course.
As to Kharkov/Kharkiv, I don't think Ukraine can afford to lose that major city, and I get the idea that Vlad's concept is "If I can't have it I'll just wreck it".
I am looking at the current advance from Avdiika area westwards at the tactical level for the capacity for a counterattack. (Brigade/Division/Corps(-))
Going back to military history on this one... the Wehrmacht had a penchant for counterattack at roughly "the culminating point" (which you mentioned) of their opponent's attack that was quite often effective at the tactical level. It was an aspect to the auftragstaktik theme. (And no, I am not sure how that might fit into the Ukrainian Army's current concept of Operations)
Whilst Russia is clearly in the ascendency currently, their current offensive will culminate at some point and then Ukraine will then have an opportunity to hit back.
The big binary question is who wins the US Presidential election. If Trump then sadly this will substantially increase the probability of your thesis coming to pass.
My thesis/inquiry has nothing to do with Trump, nor an election, and the time horizon I am envisioning is during the summer (June may be too optimistic) and at the tactical (brigade/division/corps) level, not the "Take back large percentages of occupied territory" EAC level.
I have an idea that they really do want to get Kherson back, though, and believe that at some point another move in that sector will happen in due course.
As to Kharkov/Kharkiv, I don't think Ukraine can afford to lose that major city, and I get the idea that Vlad's concept is "If I can't have it I'll just wreck it".
Last edited by Lonewolf_50; 2nd May 2024 at 21:09.
As alluded earlier, at least during Soviet times post Stalin the Central Committee exercised some control over the General Secretary. Vlad made sure all checks and balances were removed. He has absolute power.
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Nutty…..I am worried - really worried - that they may have been Ukrainian casualties.
Blue tape on two helmets and the butt of one SMG.......any confirmations either way yet?
Last edited by ramble on; 3rd May 2024 at 02:41.
The clothing on many bodies have russian camouflage, some are just green.
What happened and to whom is anyones guess, all we know is they are gone.
One thing that is clear is that this is a terrible waste of young life, for which Putin is 100% responsible.
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the US ramping up ammunition production. This specfic factory met the 2027 productivity goal already.
BBC radio news reporting that David Cameron (UK foreign sec) is in Kiev & saying:
- UK-supplied weapons may be used to strike targets in Russia
- UK will provide £3bn (~$3.8bn) in military aid to Ukraine "for as long as it takes"
I would have preferred 2-3 times this much aid committed, but pleased to see the UK taking the right stance on support for Ukraine, and rejection of Putin's "reflexive control"! The good thing about the UK is that support for Ukraine has solid bi-partisan support, so Labour will maintain this position.
- UK-supplied weapons may be used to strike targets in Russia
- UK will provide £3bn (~$3.8bn) in military aid to Ukraine "for as long as it takes"
I would have preferred 2-3 times this much aid committed, but pleased to see the UK taking the right stance on support for Ukraine, and rejection of Putin's "reflexive control"! The good thing about the UK is that support for Ukraine has solid bi-partisan support, so Labour will maintain this position.
Last edited by KeyPilot; 3rd May 2024 at 06:55. Reason: typo
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