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-   -   Flybe-V2 (https://www.pprune.org/airlines-airports-routes/645924-flybe-v2.html)

SKOJB 31st October 2022 10:10


Originally Posted by BA318 (Post 11322988)
I posted this in the Loganair thread also but feels relevant here given it’s in response to Flybe. Loganair's MD going for it, complete with "No more maybes" tag line on their ad.

"Loganair's 60-year history is built upon service to local communities; it's a fundamental part of what we do. Other airlines come and go.

Some promise to come back, yet tell their customers less than 72 hours before they're due to land that they've completely cancelled the routes. It's undoubtedly been a tough summer for our industry as a whole, but I'm still taken aback that any airline would or could cancel whole routes only three days before their inaugural flights are due to take off.

And so with that in mind, I'm pleased to confirm that Loganair flies daily from the Isle of Man to London Heathrow, and up to twice daily from Isle of Man to London City. [We fly to the Isle of Man from Birmingham, Edinburgh, Liverpool and Manchester too.]

Our locally-based Isle of Man pilots and cabin crew will be delighted to welcome you aboard a Loganair aircraft, maintained by our great team of Isle of Man-based engineers. With same-ticket onward connections at Heathrow to several of the world's major airlines, we're truly in it for the long haul - just like our commitment to the communities we serve."

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/jonat...member_desktop

Brilliant from Loganair and yet another PR disaster for BE (will they ever learn)!

Wycombe 31st October 2022 10:48


Originally Posted by SKOJB (Post 11323004)
Brilliant from Loganair and yet another PR disaster for BE (will they ever learn)!

It isn't great for PR, but do you seriously think they want stuff like this to happen?

Perhaps you could enlighten us as to how you'd make it all better?

davidjohnson6 31st October 2022 10:55


Originally Posted by Wycombe (Post 11323025)
It isn't great for PR, but do you seriously think they want stuff like this to happen?

Perhaps you could enlighten us as to how you'd make it all better?

Perhaps we could start with a better understanding of why the anticipated aircraft could not be delivered on the planned date or put into commercial use ? It's difficult to suggest how a situation could be remedied without good knowledge of how it went wrong in the first place

BA318 31st October 2022 11:08


Originally Posted by Wycombe (Post 11323025)
It isn't great for PR, but do you seriously think they want stuff like this to happen?

Perhaps you could enlighten us as to how you'd make it all better?

There are some simple steps they could take. 1. Don't keep announcing new routes if you have continually had problems securing aircraft on time. Have a decent buffer of time between aircraft due to arrive and operate (of course this costs money but its better than continually destroying your brand) and if the plane doesn't come or seems highly unlikely with two weeks to go then postpone (at least cancelling more than 2 weeks in advance you won't have to pay compensation to all the passengers who did book) 2. Lease in support to cover for delayed aircraft (surely the leasing contract should have some kind of clause to cover such needs if it is as we are told and all the lessors fault - and if it is delayed aircraft why completely scrap the route rather than just postpone.

In small markets like this you're not going to get endless chances. Who would risk rebooking with Flybe next time they announce they are launching routes from IOM in competition with Loganair?

SKOJB 31st October 2022 11:39


Originally Posted by Wycombe (Post 11323025)
It isn't great for PR, but do you seriously think they want stuff like this to happen?

Perhaps you could enlighten us as to how you'd make it all better?

This is a perpetual problem that continues to play out, if you can’t guarantee the metal to transport the punters then don’t over commit on route announcements. The negative publicity is hugely damaging for the new start up and people will link this closely with the fall out from BE Version1, not a good look!

BHD2BFS 31st October 2022 12:35

Is The Times preempting something ?

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/travel/ad...with-goes-bust

Gurnard 31st October 2022 19:12

If people read it, that's not going to do FlyBe much good. Not many are going to distinguish between V2 and V1. Monarch (pictured in the article) has gone. The name of this reincarnation has been discussed at length in the past, but it might have been better if they had retained Thyme Opco.

pabely 31st October 2022 19:26


Originally Posted by BA318 (Post 11323045)
There are some simple steps they could take. 1. Don't keep announcing new routes if you have continually had problems securing aircraft on time. Have a decent buffer of time between aircraft due to arrive and operate (of course this costs money but its better than continually destroying your brand) and if the plane doesn't come or seems highly unlikely with two weeks to go then postpone (at least cancelling more than 2 weeks in advance you won't have to pay compensation to all the passengers who did book) 2. Lease in support to cover for delayed aircraft (surely the leasing contract should have some kind of clause to cover such needs if it is as we are told and all the lessors fault - and if it is delayed aircraft why completely scrap the route rather than just postpone.

In small markets like this you're not going to get endless chances. Who would risk rebooking with Flybe next time they announce they are launching routes from IOM in competition with Loganair?

Flybe customer services said today it was due to poor bookings, nothing about lack of aircraft.

SWBKCB 31st October 2022 19:26

You'd have thought somebody will have been on to the Times suggesting a change of picture.

Diff Tail Shim 31st October 2022 19:38


Originally Posted by Wycombe (Post 11322176)
You can have all the lead time in the World, and all the tech logs, but if spares are needed (due to unforseen problems) and the lessors/MRO's can't get them, for example, then you're in the trouble.

Spares are still an issue for all airlines!

southamptonavgeek 31st October 2022 19:43


Originally Posted by BHD2BFS (Post 11323086)
Is The Times preempting something ?

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/travel/ad...with-goes-bust

If Flybe was to go out of business, which it isn't (take into account its shareholding) it would be people's livelihoods at stake. Not really something to joke about.

BA318 31st October 2022 19:49


Originally Posted by southamptonavgeek (Post 11323301)
If Flybe was to go out of business, which it isn't (take into account its shareholding) it would be people's livelihoods at stake. Not really something to joke about.

I’m not suggesting it’s going anywhere but shareholders mean nothing. When owners get tired of throwing good money after bad it doesn’t matter who the owner is. Plenty of companies owned by those with very deep pockets have gone under in the past. Everyone has a limit to how much money they will put into something. If they reach that point and it doesn’t look like it’s getting better they often say enough.

As for the picture, that’s the problem with using the name of a bankrupt carrier.

BA318 31st October 2022 19:50


Originally Posted by pabely (Post 11323291)
Flybe customer services said today it was due to poor bookings, nothing about lack of aircraft.

So customer services says the complete opposite of the Flybe press release but what a lot of people suspected.

BHD2BFS 31st October 2022 19:59

When you look at the delays from Birmingham today and the cost of eu261 claims for the dozens of flight cancelled over the coming weeks you wonder how they can afford this.
correct me if I am wrong but I was under the impression Birmingham is their hub however there doesn't seem to be much of a schedule from this airport

OltonPete 31st October 2022 21:47

BHX
 

Originally Posted by BHD2BFS (Post 11323311)
When you look at the delays from Birmingham today and the cost of eu261 claims for the dozens of flight cancelled over the coming weeks you wonder how they can afford this.
correct me if I am wrong but I was under the impression Birmingham is their hub however there doesn't seem to be much of a schedule from this airport

Not sure what your re on about ;)- they operated a whole sector yesterday from BHX:confused::ugh::oh:. Okay A few months ago they planned 10 and in the end managed just 1 inbound Belfast City but 4 sectors at least (EDI & GLA) were cancelled more than 2 weeks in advance.

Still another day to forget for Flybe at BHX and worse still, one cancellation was Amsterdam a route they are doing well on and the competitors have slashed frequencies so little chance of pax getting back into BHX at the end of half-term. The worrying aspect to me is that Flybe couldn't find a suitable airline to sub-in on that would have been full inbound and a decent outbound load as well, of course if that was considered. On the bright side all 6 sectors operated today, okay none anywhere near their schedule timings but an improvement on Sunday

Pete

biddedout 1st November 2022 08:01

Looking ahead to what is planned by March, they will need at least 10 airframes to cover all the early morning departures. Quite a tight program of mostly 8 sector days so presumably mainly 4 sector days for crews. Mostly out and backs so fairly simple but not a lot of spare down time so I wonder if they will have twisted the money man's arm enough by then for a crewed spare. If so, things might settle, and it could be quite efficient by then if they get it right. It certainly looks like there will be more possibilities from SOU but I guess the bigger picture will depend on what sort of alliances they are negotiating (if any). If there is to be a further spat with Logan, I imagine that will start around SOU. There are still quite a few single rotation routes which surely will have to be built upon to become viable.

SWBKCB 1st November 2022 08:08


Originally Posted by pabely (Post 11323291)
Flybe customer services said today it was due to poor bookings, nothing about lack of aircraft.

Whether it's poor bookings or lack of a/c, the short notice of the cancellation shows there's something amiss somewhere. Who is doing the forward look?

willy wombat 1st November 2022 08:34

One of the things I don’t understand about Flybe v 2 is why they need to schedule so tightly - I am referring to the comment above about lots of 8 sector days. Traditionally there are 2 basic approaches to scheduling. Either 1/ you have new, very reliable aircraft which you can work hard and which you need to because the fixed cost of the aircraft (lease or whatever) is high and the unit needs to fly a lot of hours to cover these costs or 2/ you use older aircraft which are much cheaper. You don’t therefore need to fly them as hard to cover the fixed cost and instead accept that more of you costs will be variable (hours related maintenance, fuel etc). You accept that these older aircraft will be less reliable than newer aircraft but that’s an acceptable trade off because you can afford a much looser schedule and back up aircraft (the greatest ever exponent of this approach was probably Dan Air with the comet).
So, it’s quite a while since I was actively involved in leasing aircraft but I imagine Dash 8 400s are not expensive (unless lessors perceive Flybe v 2 to be so high risk that they need a very long barge pole to touch them). As such, given that there are clearly a number of contributors to this thread who either work for or have a vested interest in Flybe v 2, could one of them explain exactly why they are pursuing the strange business model of trying to intensively operate cheap, unreliable aircraft rather than going for a more relaxed and thus more reliable schedule?

Wycombe 1st November 2022 08:55


There are some simple steps they could take.
1. Don't keep announcing new routes if you have continually had problems securing aircraft on time. Have a decent buffer of time between aircraft due to arrive and operate (of course this costs money but its better than continually destroying your brand) and if the plane doesn't come or seems highly unlikely with two weeks to go then postpone (at least cancelling more than 2 weeks in advance you won't have to pay compensation to all the passengers who did book)
2. Lease in support to cover for delayed aircraft (surely the leasing contract should have some kind of clause to cover such needs if it is as we are told and all the lessors fault - and if it is delayed aircraft why completely scrap the route rather than just postpone.

In terms of 1 above, there does seem to be an attempt to build in some buffer time, for example it was said that FLBB is due this week, but is not needed to operate the schedule straight away. So they might have needed to delay the IOM start by a few days (if this a/c was earmarked for that), but not bin it completely. Maybe some truth in that a commercial decision was taken (due lack of bookings), albeit very/too late in the day.

In terms of 2, again perhaps a commercial decision based on lack of bookings (where it would make no sense to go to the expense of a lease-in - depending on how much of that a lessor may or may not cover)

I'd like to see Flybe 2 succeed, but in some respects at least they're not helping themselves by making a better job of managing the headwinds they currently face.

BA318 1st November 2022 11:11

And now they’ve announced Belfast - Newcastle and Newcastle - Heathrow from 7 Nov. So all this blame about leasing issues is not true as they evidently have aircraft available just a week later.


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