MANCHESTER 1

[Betablockeruk]

Ryanair just announced 6 weekly MAN-FRA for W17. FRA to have 24 routes and 7 based.

Let the fares battle commence.

[inOban]

The rapid growth of Jet2 can only be at the expense of existing operators such Thomas Cook. I suspect they will focus on their longhaul holiday business, where they have less competition. It may also simply not be viable to set lease additional a/c for the peak season.

There may as well be a shortage of accommodation in Spain.

[LAX_LHR]

Lufthansa are not going to like that route announcement!

It's also surprising that most of Manchester's new Ryanair routes have come in the winter seasons now.

Last winter was 3 new routes (NUE/HAM/SXF)
This coming summer is 1 (NAP)
Next winter is already 3 (SVQ/CGN/FRA)

Obviously those new routes continued into Summer, but, Seems a good shift change to address the seasonal imbalance at MAN.

[Betablockeruk]

Ryanair's Frankfurt Winter 2017 schedule will deliver:
· 7 based aircraft
· 20 new routes: Athens (daily), Barcelona (daily), Brindisi (3 wkly), Catania (4), Glasgow (daily), Gran Canaria (2 wkly), Krakow (daily), Lanzarote (2 wkly), Lisbon (daily), London (2 daily), Madrid (daily), Manchester (6 wkly), Milan (daily), Pisa (3 wkly), Porto (daily), Seville (3 wkly), Tenerife (3), Toulouse (4), Valencia (daily) & Venice (daily)
· 24 routes in total incl. Alicante (3 wkly), Faro (3), Malaga (4) & Palma (4)

er, nope. I'm struggling to understand what deal was done on slots that pleased MOL and Fraport!

[MANFOD]

Thomas Cook reducing schedules for Summer 2017. Malaga gone and reductions on a number of other routes. Presuming a lack of aircraft? Anyone have any further info?

[QUOTE][The rapid growth of Jet2 can only be at the expense of existing operators such Thomas Cook. I suspect they will focus on their longhaul holiday business, where they have less competition. It may also simply not be viable to set lease additional a/c for the peak season.

There may as well be a shortage of accommodation in Spain. /QUOTE]

My understanding is that Jet2 are keeping to 15 based a/c as they had in S16 and not an increase to 17 as originally forecast, which doesn't sound like rapid expansion this year. Not sure whether those numbers include 'spare' a/c.

It could be that TCX are more focused on long haul growth with SFO startting May and CPT next winter.

On a different topic, the CAA stats for January are out. The overall increase in pax has already been reported at 17.7% but worth a look at the analysis if you get chance.

Just a couple of highlights from long haul going East::

CX showing 11,860 pax on what I reckon were 36 scheduled sectors. That is a 10% increase on the previous January, and unless anyone knows of additional flights operating works out as a LF of 96.9% which is remarkabale.

If all Hainan flights were A333s, their LF was 81.1%, higher if any were A332s. Respectable for winter I would have thought, although I appreciate at the end of the day it's yields that count.

With their all - A380 operation, EK's average load was 484, with pax in the month reaching 90,000. I don't know the config. of the morning flight, whether it's 2 class 615 seats or 3 class which is normally 517 seats.

LFs for EY and QR look to be in the high/middle 80's.

[inOban]

Thanks for all that info. Of course the start of Jet2 from BHX may have abstracted some PAX. Or it may be that the fall in the £ may eventually be feeding through into demand. We'll see.

[MANFOD]

Fair points inOban. It's quite probable that new flights from BHX can affect MAN at the margins with some overlap in catchment areas. And vice versa I suppose.

[eye2eye5]

TCX Summer 2017

Thomas Cook announced last week that they are pursuing higher margin business and that will be at the expense of volume. Note Luton has already lost flights this year. That does fit with their long haul expansion, expect to see short haul trimmed.

[Scottie Dog]

January passenger statistics

The data below is based on the provisional report supplied by the Civil Aviation Authority:

Manchester Statistics - January 2017 (Part 1)

Destinations that are either new (no passengers since my records started in January 2005), or have not been served for a number of years - if the latter then the month and year of the last service is shown.

Nothing to report


In the absence of any data for this section I have provided a review of the performance for the domestic destinations served from Manchester, comparing January 2017 with the same month in 2016:

Aberdeen - +14.0806%
Belfast City - +22.282%
Belfast International - +13.0345
Edinburgh - -14.297%
Exeter - +1.36063%
Glasgow - -30.013%
Guernsey - +7.53425%
Heathrow - +0.77414%
Isle of Man - +5.00098%
Jersey - -36.1982%
Newquay - + 8.28221%
Norwich - -7.25844%
Southampton - +24.8561%

 
Manchester Statistics - January 2017 (Part 2)

Top 25 destinations - by passenger numbers

DUBAI................................................ 90,003
DUBLIN.............................................. 81,019
AMSTERDAM..................................... 80,813
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)............. 67,348
HEATHROW....................................... 55,455
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)............ 48,024
ALICANTE.......................................... 40,191
ABU DHABI........................................ 36,574
GENEVA............................................. 31,580
DOHA................................................ 30,760
ARRICIFE............................................ 30,266
MALAGA............................................ 29,794
FRANKFURT....................................... 27,453
MUNICH............................................ 25,433
COPENHAGEN................................... 23,421
LAS PALMAS...................................... 22,573
BRIDGETOWN.................................... 22,553
KEFLAVIK............................................ 22,430
BARCELONA....................................... 21,792
ORLANDO........................................... 25,912
BERLIN (SCHONEFELD)....................... 21,511
BELFAST INTERNATIONAL.................. 24,225
ISLAMABAD........................................ 20,326
BELFAST CITY...................................... 20,009
FUERTAVENTURA............................... 19,185
DUSSELDORF...................................... 17,324

CAA provisional statistics for January are missing a number of domestic destinations.





Manchester Statistics - January 2017 (Part 3)
Top 25 destinations with highest percentage increase.
Destination......................................Total Pax....Schedule Pax....Charter Pax....Percentage change
MILAN (MALPENSA).................... 10,179.......... 10,179...................... 0.................... 209.77
TOULOUSE.................................... 3,946........... 2,618................. 1,328.................... 151.50
PALMA DE MALLORCA.................. 5,975........... 5,975....................... 0..................... 132,13
BERLIN (SHONEFELD).................... 21,511......... 21,511..................... 0..................... 125.15
KRAKOW....................................... 11,392......... 11,392...................... 0.................... 117.90
SANTA CRUZ DE LA PALMA........... 2,860.................... 0............... 2,860.................... 106.20
HAMBURG................................... 16,882........... 16,882...................... 0.................... 106.10
GOA............................................. 10,099............. 7,792............... 2,307.................... 96.364
TEL AVIV....................................... 5,363............. 5,363...................... 0..................... 87,978
KEFLAVIK.................................... 22,430............ 19,113............... 3,317.................... 82.358
FUNCHAL...................................... 9,375.............. 6,174............... 3,201.................... 77,054
ISLAMABAD................................ 20,326............ 20,326..................... 0..................... 64.33
BOA VISTA.................................... 5,308.............. 5,308..................... 0...................... 62.922
KITTILA......................................... 2,996................. 474................ 2,443.................... 62.561
HANOVER.................................... 3,853............... 3,853...................... 0..................... 57.716
ATHENS........................................ 7,080.............. 7,080...................... 0..................... 54.653
GIBRALTAR................................... 6,695.............. 6,695...................... 0..................... 48.58
CHICAGO...................................... 2,407.............. 2,407...................... 0..................... 46.59
ALMERIA....................................... 2,396.............. 2,396...................... 0..................... 45,565
TURIN........................................... 9,217.............. 5,145................. 4,072.................... 42.568
HOLGUIN...................................... 3,452.............. 3,452....................... 0..................... 42.527
TORONTO..................................... 2,297.............. 2,297....................... 0..................... 41.44
KARACHI............................................ 14................... 14....................... 0...................... 40.00
MONTEGO BAY............................. 7,684.................... 0................. 7,684...................... 39.811
ILHA DO SAL.................................. 7,681.............. 7,681....................... 0...................... 39.68

CAA provisional statistics for January are missing a number of domestic destinations.


 
Manchester Statistics - January 2017 (Part 4)

Figures for the European and long haul destinations that I consider to be the main points for our connecting traffic.

Foreign_airport……..Total_pax……..Total sched pax……Total charter pax……..% change
VIENNA……………………..5,099……………..5,099……………………0………………………………..+2.2 4584
BRUSSELS………………..15,158……………15,158……………………0………………………………..-1.45625
BEIJING……………………..8,051……………..8,051…………………..0………………………………….0. 00
PRAGUE…………………..12,515……………12,515……………………0………………………………..+12.0 011
COPENHAGEN………….23,241…………..23,421……………………0………………………………..+2.5 8421
HELSINKI…………………….8,091…………….8,091……………………0….……….……………………+5.7 9236
PARIS (CDG)………………48,024………….48,024……….……………0…..…………………………..+26.685 7
DUSSELDORF……………17,324………….17,324…………………….0…..…………………………..+36 .754
FRANKFURT MAIN……27,453………….27,453….…………………0……..…………………………-8.58142
MUNICH……………………25,433..……….28,433…………………….0.………………………………+5.05 163
HONG KONG…………….11,860………….11,860…..………………..0……………………………….+9.96755
KEFLAVIK………………….22,430………….19,860………………3,317……………………………….+82 .3577
DUBLIN…………………….81,019………….80,728…………………291…...…………….…………..+1 1.0382
MILAN (MALPENSA)….10,179………….10,179…………………...0……………………………….+209.76 9
ROME (FIUMICINO)…….5,021..…………5,021……………………..0……….……………………..+10.0 373
AMSTERDAM…………… 80,813………….80,813.……………………0….………………………......+14.2815
ISLAMABAD………………20,326..………..20,326…………………….0……………………………….+64 .3302
LISBON ……………………..15,495………….15,495……………………..0….………………..…………+20.8187
DOHA……………………….30,760………….30,760……………………..0……………………………….+12.5 585
JEDDAH……………………..8,538…………….8,538……………………..0….…………………………..+22 .0063
SINGAPORE……………….6,702…………….6,702….………………….0……………………………….-28.3515
MADRID…………………..13,383…………..13,383…………………...0…………………………………+11 .3302
STOCKHOLM (ARN)….11,703…………..11,703…………………….0…………………………………+25.4475
GENEVA……………………31,580…………..29,887..……………1,693………….………………..... .+20,6817
ZURICH…………………….12,346……………12,346..………………….0…………………………….….+3. 64339
ABU DHABI……………….36,574…………..36,574…..……………….0…………………………………-2.19463
DUBAI……………………….90,003…………..90,003……………………0…………………………………+11.5 901
ATLANTA…………………..10,801………….10,801…………..……….0…………………………………-5.53612
CHICAGO…………………….2,407……………2,407…………………….0…………………………………+46.58 95
HOUSTON…………………..3,404……………3,404…………………….0………………………………….0.00
NEW YORK (JFK)…………10,195………….10,195……………………0…………………………………-33.1081
NEW YORK (NEWARK)…9,461…………….9,461……………………0…………………………………+8.2866
PHILADELPHIA……………10,604………….10,604……………………0………………………………..+14 .9361
HEATHROW……………….55,455………….55,455…………………….0……….……………………..+0.7 7414

CAA provisional statistics for January are missing a number of domestic destinations.


 
Manchester Statistics - January 2017 (Part 5)

Comparison of top 25 destinations - January 2007 versus January 2017

I have revised the format this month so that the 2006 figure is shown as the benchmark, and 2016 is then the comparison.

Foreign airport.............................Jan-07...............Jan-17
HEATHROW....................................... 81,586.................. 55,455
TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA)............. 59,488.................. 67,348
DUBLIN.............................................. 52,465.................. 81,019
DUBAI................................................ 46,599.................. 90,003
AMSTERDAM..................................... 43,852.................. 80,813
ALICANTE........................................... 35,337.................. 40,191
GATWICK........................................... 34,045........................ 128
PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE)............. 32,578.................. 48,024
MALAGA............................................ 31,859.................. 29,794
FRANKFURT....................................... 27,999.................. 27,453
ARRECIFE........................................... 26,722.................. 30,266
GENEVA............................................. 19,840.................. 31,580
CHICAGO (O'HARE)............................ 18,692................... 2,407
BRIDGETOWN.................................... 18,534.................. 22,553
BELFAST CITY..................................... 18,404................... 20,009
LAS PALMAS....................................... 18,279.................. 22,573
ORLANDO........................................... 17,455.................. 16,319
DOHA.................................................. 17,313.................. 30,760
EDINBURGH........................................ 17,040.................... 7,565
SHARM EL SHEIKH.............................. 16,698............................ 0
PAPHOS.............................................. 16,139..................... 9,969
GOA.................................................... 15,964................... 10,099
SINGAPORE......................................... 15,953.................... 6,702
NEW YORK (NEWARK)......................... 15,935..................... 9,461
SALZBURG………………………….…………….. 15,430………..……….. 6,029

CAA provisional statistics for January are missing a number of domestic destinations.

[Betablockeruk]

More divs away! This time due car fire in one of the tunnels under 23L/R! MAN was hit worst by Storm Doris, this mornings snow and now this!

Now open but 5 diverted away.

[MANFOD]

Not the luckiest airport by any means. Decades ago, our reputation for good weather was second only to Prestwick. Now we seem to get more fog than LHR & LGW and not for the first time we were the only airport affected by snow today. And we have not been short of unusual incidents in recent years - a dog on the airfield comes to mind.

Arrivals board indicates 8 flights diverted away.

[Suzeman]

Single Runway ops 23L at present

Fire was in a van in the tunnel under 23R. Damage to tunnel being assessed.

Live updates: Blaze in tunnel under Manchester Airport runway - Manchester Evening News

[ETOPS]

Makes you wonder why Ops didn't publish a temporarily reduced LDA based on exiting via B1 thus allowing some landings?

[MANFOD]

Makes you wonder why Ops didn't publish a temporarily reduced LDA based on exiting via B1 thus allowing some landings?

Yes, I wondered about that. Were both runways closed for a while or did they start to use R2 straightaway for landings? Given the number of diverts I was assuming the former.

[Council Van]

My understanding is that Jet2 are keeping to 15 based a/c as they had in S16 and not an increase to 17 as originally forecast, which doesn't sound like rapid expansion this year

A quick look at the timetable shows 32 departures per day most days of the week in the peak season. A Palma based aircraft will be operating Palma Manch Palma every day and doing two Palma Manch Palma rotations on some days.

The A330 is leased in to increase seats and an extra 75 will be operating every day instead of a 73.

[Johnny F@rt Pants]

Jet2 will also be larger aeroplanes so more seats available. No 733's this summer from MAN.

[LAX_LHR]

DUBAI................................................ 90,003

Crazy to think this route carried over 90,000 pax in one month, and that month being January in the depths of winter too. If EK continued to get 90,000 every month, then that's over 1m pax per year.

[Alsacienne]

Explosion at Manchester Airport

'Massive explosion' in tunnel under Manchester Airport | Daily Mail Online

More info will probably come from more 'classic' sources very soon.

[EcamSurprise]

Maybe we should change the title to: "Manchester Airport car tunnel fire".... less exciting though.

Manchester Airport car tunnel fire closes runway - BBC News

[HeartyMeatballs]

For on the first procure on the Mail link it seems there is still some light in the sky so it suggests it occurred a good few hours ago.