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Cirrus down Gundaroo, 06/10/23

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Old 6th Oct 2023, 05:46
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Angel Cirrus down Gundaroo, 06/10/23

From the ABC:
Emergency services responding to reported plane crash outside Gundaroo, north of Canberra
Emergency services have been called to a reported plane crash at Gundaroo, a small town north of Canberra.

NSW Police said they received a report that a plane had crashed and caught alight just before 3:00pm today.

Firefighters, police and the ambulance service are at the scene, which is close to the Federal Highway and Lake George.

It is unclear how many people were on board the plane.
Both FA & FR24 show VH-MSF, a Cirrus planned YSCB-YARM in the area at the time, and in a rapid descent from ~9,000 in the vicinity, and failing to reappear. Whoever it was, hopefully they've been able to walk away from it, but it doesn't sound promising...

EDIT:Added photos from onthesceneACT.



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7th Oct 2023, 01:26
SOPS
short flights long nights
 
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Originally Posted by triathlon
articles written by media are often lacking credible facts, look at the gaslighting during covid with lies, so I could be right , a studen pilot , older man fulfilling a childhood dream late in life
We are talking about a crash here that killed four people. Can you please give your Covid conspiracy theories a rest.
Old 6th Oct 2023, 06:06
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Channel 10 news is saying there are no survivors.

DF
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 06:13
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[[color=#333333]Looks like pancaked from vision I can see, could shute been deployed?
Or is there slide marks across the road?
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 06:31
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It's about 3 km from my strip. Deepest condolences.
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 07:16
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Very sad.

Last radio call to departures was ops normal.

FR suggests 12,000fpm descent rate at <120 knots.

It’s a G1 and they have a one piece wing.

It sounds catastrophic.
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 08:26
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There's nothing left to investigate . It looks like the remains of an ancient campfire.
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 08:31
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Originally Posted by Dr1sRule
There's nothing left to investigate . It looks like the remains of an ancient campfire.
Yes. If you weren't told it was the scene of an aircraft crash it would be hard to know what it was.

DF.
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 08:42
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I thought they had a ballistic chute
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 08:48
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Originally Posted by TBM-Legend
I thought they had a ballistic chute
They do.
Still need to deploy it in (relative) reasonable conditions.
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 08:49
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Icing?
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 08:54
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Originally Posted by TBM-Legend
I thought they had a ballistic chute
They're supposed to! Which makes this one strange. Looking at FA and the recent flights, they've all been filed at set 1000's in altitudes, not Alt+500, indicative of routine operations under the IFR.

Latest news reports are saying a pilot + 3 kids on board, too.

Icing?
FZL per the 0500-1100Z GAF was listed as 8000'N / 5000'S for the area, with BKN CU/SC5000/10000. Possible...

Last edited by KRviator; 6th Oct 2023 at 09:01. Reason: Added GAF
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 09:26
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FR shows maintaining groundspeed in low fpm descent at time 20231006 03:47 UTC after reaching top of climb, then followed by slowing groundspeed with increasingly rapid descent. Explanations?
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 09:34
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Looks like something catastrophic happened. KMZ and CSV from RealTraffic - Fly with real air traffic attached.


Attached Files
File Type: zip
VH-MSF.zip (27.1 KB, 0 views)
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 10:47
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Worse…..grandpa took three of the grandkids out for a School holiday blast.

https://www.news.com.au/national/at-...be08567f2f00e5


the flight profile is heartbreaking…




Last edited by outnabout; 6th Oct 2023 at 10:50. Reason: New information
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 10:55
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Some observations:

From flightaware - Flight out of Canberra shows straight tracking upto 7800’ (1013 datum) then tracking looks handflown.



On the way down, at 7300’ (1013 datum) the ROD is 9811 at around 80° angle of depression. 18 seconds later the ROD at 3550’ (1013 datum) is reduced 41% to 5714 fpm at an 83° angle of depression.

Last edited by Paul O'Rourke; 6th Oct 2023 at 11:13. Reason: r instead of f
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 11:21
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Maybe an evil thought…

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Old 6th Oct 2023, 11:43
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No mayday and no chute. Quite unusual. Incapacitation?
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 12:23
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Maybe an evil thought…
Hate to think it right.
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 18:18
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It's a bit hard to imagine incapacitation leading to that sort of flight profile unless it was a seizure or something causing a total lockup on the controls. I'd think even with someone slumped over the stick (which doesn't seem very likely with a Cirrus sidestick anyway) the aerodynamic forces involved would eventually shallow the descent out a bit. You would assume he would have shown the kids how to operate the parachute too in case he suddenly keeled over.
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Old 6th Oct 2023, 19:37
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Autopilot on VS climb. Heart attack or similar. Young children not understanding anything about the aircraft or 'chute. Stall. Descent to terrain.
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