https://www.airandspaceforces.com/us...a-iran-attack/

https://www.pprune.org/military-avia...l#post12060316

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https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....39a8db44c7.png

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Yes.

But they must be in boatyard, hangar, carpark and the like.

And they take almost as long to replace as said boatyard, hangar, carpark and the like.

The Kuwaiti Armed Forces say several Iranian drones hit Kuwait International Airport, causing significant damage to the radar system and a large fire at the Airport’s fuel tanks. No injuries were reported. A total of 15 Iranian drones were launched at Kuwait in the past 24 hours.

https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....019c6fd27d.png

USS Ford now in Split, Croatia for crew R&R whilst repairs are made.

https://www.c6f.navy.mil/Press-Room/...split-croatia/

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Houthis have apparently lobbed "missiles" from Yemen to.... Israel. Starting to get interesting. That will answer the question on the Bab-al-Mandab being messed with.

There goes the neighbourhood.

Yemen's issues now become existential threats to KSA for certain, horn of Africa as well, and even, once again, to Oman, just like the good ol' days. Closure of the Red Sea impacts Europe, North Africa, Asia, North Asia... pretty much everyone other than Brazil and points south...

The great orator in the WH might need to have a new voice that is coherent to achieve any measure of alliance to go and pull the goat out of the stew and put it back together again. Taking out the Red Sea as an MSR is going to cause mayhem to many, more than just the gulf does.

It is probably a long shot to suggest that the WH read some of their own history when the voice goes off on Europe never supporting the USA's wars, seems that there was once this thing called 9/11, and NATO and other non NATO countries responded to support the US when Article 5 was invoked, for the only occasion since the inception of NATO. More Danish forces per capita were sent to Iraq and Afghanistan than the US did, which is not apparent in the rhetoric that vents from the WH. At the beginning of WW-2.0, the USA did not support the UK, until eventually FDR assisted through Lend-Lease, which happened to more or less bankrupt the UK later. The US entered the war when attacked by Japan, (against Japan) and then Hitler apparently channelling future presidents, declared war against the USA. Going back further, in WW-1.0, the US was late to the party, but was instrumental to the outcome, the same is true of WW-2. Mr T's bestie friend, Vlad, wants a return to the good ol' days of being Tzar, (seems to be a lot of that going around lately) and that overlooks that WW-2 got its kick off whistle due to the actions of the USSR planning to invade in coordination with Hitler, the state of Poland, while carving up more of Europe to Stalins benefit. Today, Vlad has been happily giving targeting info to Iran and presumably the Houthi's, while being graciously having sanctions removed from their oil supplies.

Reminds me of the opening lines to "Soap"... "Confused? You should be...".

India, China, Japan, and even South Korea will have great interest in what now happens, this is a direct threat to their own stability.

Regime change is on the way, the question is, in what countries.

Not a bad idea.

Nope, it is one of the first times the Iranians have made a really serious blunder in this whole goat stew alternative. Iran now has given a fair justification for countries to consider the broader implications of losing the Gulf and Red Sea traffic at the same time. This will have China doing some math, they get a bit of a whack from the point they are a margin arbitrage to the rest of the world, but they have an immediate problem that is on a timer related to liquid hydrocarbons, and... fertiliser. Fertiliser is a big deal for China, without it, it is begging for food from the countries that it has been pi$$ing off for some time. Euro, GBR, Egypt, etc, all get an issue, and IMO will be doing the sums on the available tonnage that can be shifted, as going around Cape of Good Hope adds time that is not available for the amount of cargo that is carried, apart from making some Temu stuff more expensive.

A bit of Schadenfreude is probably not unhealthy. Iran would do well to cease shooting its own citizens, particularly girls, in the head. Seems to be a bit inconsistent with a lot of the Koran,

"Let there be no compulsion in religion" "لا إكراه في الدين"

There is no hadud (. حدود prescribed) punishment for not wearing a hijab in the Quran.

The problem with the rather innocent issue that sharia law gets an input from the head shed, and if they have an issue, then they get the right to make edicts... The Koran doesn't make drug pushers illegal, that is the dudes at the top of the food chain who seem to relish making stuff that messes with the masses. There is nothing about education bans for females, that is in the same bag of doo that the shooting in the head for playing soccer, not wearing a scarf and basically, not being the guy-in-charge

v v v Deeper dive v v v


That will make politics much less interesting.


And his replacement will be? The pickings are pretty slim for talent.

Imagine their logistics guy is all over them, only so many missiles with no real opportunity to resupply in the near term at least.

The 'damaged ' E-3

They only need to have more missiles than the targets have interceptors. In that sense, now is the moment when their missiles would seem to have greatest utility. A point that applies equally to Iran and all their proxies/allies.

So far I have only seen reports of the Houthis using drones and similar, i.e no ballistic missiles. That clearly is less of a magazine depth issue for the Israelis. Has anyone seen reports of them having or using ballistic missiles ?

"Extensive damage".....I think that's something of an understatement.

If China has designs on Taiwan, it's now or never.

Radiation warnings
 

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....a00881160.jpeg

The fact that nations (in this case Bahrain but there are similar in Qatar, Kuwait and UAE) are even having to publicise things such as this are a major warning sign that things are teetering in the brink.

BV

I have to agree. There is nobody in control, no plan, no idea what ‘success’ would look like and no way out without massive loss of face to the CinC.

Two things that concern me about this war. America hasn't learnt anything from Ukraine. Each loss is a piece of kit no longer available for the defence of Ukraine.
Putin is rubbing his hands.

It smells like an eerie rerun of Putins SMO. Planned as a few days bombing run Venezuela style may very well turn into an extensive meat grinding ground war with 4 digit body bags a day lasting years with Afghanistan style end result. The positive side for Iran, they figured to set up a toll booth creating 600 million a month, 2 million a ship, without even digging a channel.
https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-n...0v3b6sw7r3m8ah

History is redefining 'Guerrilla Warfare' - Ukraine and Iran with drones; an uncertain future until the time when we can look back.
Any past lessons which might apply in this situation to combat the 'Guerrillas'.