https://www.airandspaceforces.com/us...a-iran-attack/

https://www.pprune.org/military-avia...l#post12060316

https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....c81eba5884.png

https://cimg8.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....39a8db44c7.png

https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....dfaf53f98e.png
​​​​​​​

Yes.

But they must be in boatyard, hangar, carpark and the like.

And they take almost as long to replace as said boatyard, hangar, carpark and the like.

The Kuwaiti Armed Forces say several Iranian drones hit Kuwait International Airport, causing significant damage to the radar system and a large fire at the Airport’s fuel tanks. No injuries were reported. A total of 15 Iranian drones were launched at Kuwait in the past 24 hours.

https://cimg4.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....019c6fd27d.png

USS Ford now in Split, Croatia for crew R&R whilst repairs are made.

https://www.c6f.navy.mil/Press-Room/...split-croatia/

https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....0e71d87fdc.png

Houthis have apparently lobbed "missiles" from Yemen to.... Israel. Starting to get interesting. That will answer the question on the Bab-al-Mandab being messed with.

There goes the neighbourhood.

Yemen's issues now become existential threats to KSA for certain, horn of Africa as well, and even, once again, to Oman, just like the good ol' days. Closure of the Red Sea impacts Europe, North Africa, Asia, North Asia... pretty much everyone other than Brazil and points south...

The great orator in the WH might need to have a new voice that is coherent to achieve any measure of alliance to go and pull the goat out of the stew and put it back together again. Taking out the Red Sea as an MSR is going to cause mayhem to many, more than just the gulf does.

It is probably a long shot to suggest that the WH read some of their own history when the voice goes off on Europe never supporting the USA's wars, seems that there was once this thing called 9/11, and NATO and other non NATO countries responded to support the US when Article 5 was invoked, for the only occasion since the inception of NATO. More Danish forces per capita were sent to Iraq and Afghanistan than the US did, which is not apparent in the rhetoric that vents from the WH. At the beginning of WW-2.0, the USA did not support the UK, until eventually FDR assisted through Lend-Lease, which happened to more or less bankrupt the UK later. The US entered the war when attacked by Japan, (against Japan) and then Hitler apparently channelling future presidents, declared war against the USA. Going back further, in WW-1.0, the US was late to the party, but was instrumental to the outcome, the same is true of WW-2. Mr T's bestie friend, Vlad, wants a return to the good ol' days of being Tzar, (seems to be a lot of that going around lately) and that overlooks that WW-2 got its kick off whistle due to the actions of the USSR planning to invade in coordination with Hitler, the state of Poland, while carving up more of Europe to Stalins benefit. Today, Vlad has been happily giving targeting info to Iran and presumably the Houthi's, while being graciously having sanctions removed from their oil supplies.

Reminds me of the opening lines to "Soap"... "Confused? You should be...".

India, China, Japan, and even South Korea will have great interest in what now happens, this is a direct threat to their own stability.

Regime change is on the way, the question is, in what countries.

Not a bad idea.

Nope, it is one of the first times the Iranians have made a really serious blunder in this whole goat stew alternative. Iran now has given a fair justification for countries to consider the broader implications of losing the Gulf and Red Sea traffic at the same time. This will have China doing some math, they get a bit of a whack from the point they are a margin arbitrage to the rest of the world, but they have an immediate problem that is on a timer related to liquid hydrocarbons, and... fertiliser. Fertiliser is a big deal for China, without it, it is begging for food from the countries that it has been pi$$ing off for some time. Euro, GBR, Egypt, etc, all get an issue, and IMO will be doing the sums on the available tonnage that can be shifted, as going around Cape of Good Hope adds time that is not available for the amount of cargo that is carried, apart from making some Temu stuff more expensive.

A bit of Schadenfreude is probably not unhealthy. Iran would do well to cease shooting its own citizens, particularly girls, in the head. Seems to be a bit inconsistent with a lot of the Koran,

"Let there be no compulsion in religion" "لا إكراه في الدين"

There is no hadud (. حدود prescribed) punishment for not wearing a hijab in the Quran.

The problem with the rather innocent issue that sharia law gets an input from the head shed, and if they have an issue, then they get the right to make edicts... The Koran doesn't make drug pushers illegal, that is the dudes at the top of the food chain who seem to relish making stuff that messes with the masses. There is nothing about education bans for females, that is in the same bag of doo that the shooting in the head for playing soccer, not wearing a scarf and basically, not being the guy-in-charge

v v v Deeper dive v v v


That will make politics much less interesting.


And his replacement will be? The pickings are pretty slim for talent.

Imagine their logistics guy is all over them, only so many missiles with no real opportunity to resupply in the near term at least.

The 'damaged ' E-3

They only need to have more missiles than the targets have interceptors. In that sense, now is the moment when their missiles would seem to have greatest utility. A point that applies equally to Iran and all their proxies/allies.

So far I have only seen reports of the Houthis using drones and similar, i.e no ballistic missiles. That clearly is less of a magazine depth issue for the Israelis. Has anyone seen reports of them having or using ballistic missiles ?

"Extensive damage".....I think that's something of an understatement.

If China has designs on Taiwan, it's now or never.

Radiation warnings
 

https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....a00881160.jpeg

The fact that nations (in this case Bahrain but there are similar in Qatar, Kuwait and UAE) are even having to publicise things such as this are a major warning sign that things are teetering in the brink.

BV

I have to agree. There is nobody in control, no plan, no idea what ‘success’ would look like and no way out without massive loss of face to the CinC.

Two things that concern me about this war. America hasn't learnt anything from Ukraine. Each loss is a piece of kit no longer available for the defence of Ukraine.
Putin is rubbing his hands.

It smells like an eerie rerun of Putins SMO. Planned as a few days bombing run Venezuela style may very well turn into an extensive meat grinding ground war with 4 digit body bags a day lasting years with Afghanistan style end result. The positive side for Iran, they figured to set up a toll booth creating 600 million a month, 2 million a ship, without even digging a channel.
https://edition.cnn.com/world/live-n...0v3b6sw7r3m8ah

History is redefining 'Guerrilla Warfare' - Ukraine and Iran with drones; an uncertain future until the time when we can look back.
Any past lessons which might apply in this situation to combat the 'Guerrillas'.

I did make the statement a while ago that Venezuela might be Trump's `Hitler` moment. After the invasion of Europe in 1940 Hitler started to believe he was some amazing general when in reality he just got lucky. I think Trump might also be under that illusion.

The most important lesson is that a $100 million piece of kit can be defeated by a 30k drone.

Thanks for that but this and other video footage is ambiguous. The media etc seem to be using old stock footage, or footage of Iranian attacks, or footage of Israeli SAM launches.

The news item I heard with the most info suggested it was a cruise missile/drone and that the likely target was Eilat. If so that was not ballistic.

In this wiki link they give a list of what the Houthis had a whole back, in the last round. But even then it is ambiguous about what actually got launched.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_Sea_crisis

Who's Hermer?

Cargo vessels are already going around the Cape. Cargo vessels are green, tankers are red.

https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....a2bb9ef687.jpg

Do E3s have laundry’s on board?

Google "Hermer" "Fairford".

@ artee
Listen colonial chappie, I'll have you know that Lord Hermer is British Attorney General and a Very Important Panjandrum in the UK government. He keeps us all right on international law and was mainly behind the UK's kind donation of the Chagos Islands plus a small donation of £35 billion to Mauritius to help smooth out past injustices imposed by England a few centuries back.

It is reported that he is already planning strict measures on every possible woke legal procedure to delay any action whatever. These Iranians had better prepare for him to launch a very strong solicitor's letter warning the Iranians to cease and desist from blocking the Strait of Hormuz under penalty of severe writs being fired in their direction.

Not buffing out. It will need speed tape as a minimum. More than 1 roll.

CG

The first recorded launch of the Burkan-2H by the Houthis was on 22 July 2017

The Suez Canal can only carry ships up to a certain maximum size. This is around 150,000 Dead Weight Tonnage (DWT). Such vessels have a capacity of up to 1 million barrels of oil.
This is known as the Suezmax.
Many tankers, container vessels and bulkers simply cannot fit through Suez. This needs to be taken into account when considering increased traffic around the Cape route.

Thanks.

Those were used against KSA. Do they have range to reach even Eilat ? Approx 2000km.

Do the Houthis have anything ballistic with that range, and have they actually ever used them ?

Update : interceptor 'rationing' ongoing
https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-891460

The two apps I use to track shipping are Vessel Finder and Marine Traffic. I use Ship Finder for North America, the St. Lawrence Seaway and the Great lakes.
https://cimg1.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....430bd1984.jpeg
Marine Traffic
https://cimg3.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....a6ffc5fc1.jpeg
Vessel Finder



The latest weekly summary from Whats going on with Shipping.

Albatross: you are right to analyse shipping in an attempt to understand what the effects of the war in the Arabian/Persian Gulf are.
A useful tool to understanding is provided by the biggest maritime intelligence organisation here;

https://www.lloydslist.com/search#?m...rs%20and%20Gas

Precious:}​​​​​​​

https://www.france24.com/en/middle-e...lict-escalates.

​​​​​​​

It does not surprise me to see so many US aircraft damaged at bases in the Middle East, with Trumps imposed “ceasefire for talks” which is more likely due too expended readily available munition stockpiles, and the withdrawal of a carrier, the air strike capabilities to keep hitting launch facilities are no doubt diminished, so “Iran is making hay while the sun is shining” so to speak.

As I keep saying this is just going to get worse for the USA with no apparent escape plan and I fear for the death toll before it ends.

.

I was surprised to see the US aircraft so neatly parked in box to make it easier for the Iranians to hit them. Have they forgotten about dispersals?

The US only have/had 14/15 active E-3 aircraft.

It appears the Americans have forgotten the billy billy basics.

And failed to learn lessons from Ukraine.

And planning assumptions seem to have been a bit off.

Right in the saucer - must have looked like a bullseye.
Not so much speed tape as a dust pan and brush I suggest.