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Ukraine War Thread Part 2

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Ukraine War Thread Part 2

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Old 3rd May 2023, 13:06
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"The Russian side reserves the right to take retaliatory measures where and when it sees fit."
What are they going to do? Launch missiles against Ukraine? Invade?
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Old 3rd May 2023, 13:26
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Originally Posted by Sepp
Looking at the big flash in ORAC's post, and recalling pictures posted earlier of anti-air assets being craned onto tall buildings, I am tempted to ponder "wat air defence doing?"
Ref, footage on BBC news web site. Strange that 2 people are walking up the dome steps at the same time, and some one happens to be videoing it.

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Old 3rd May 2023, 13:29
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Mr Sensible is talking again.


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Old 3rd May 2023, 13:57
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Possibly a false flag to justify other Russian actions? Ukraine of course denies it, they must have seen the no flying drones sign and realised they would be liable for a fine..



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Old 3rd May 2023, 14:05
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Originally Posted by ex fat repair team
Ref, footage on BBC news web site. Strange that 2 people are walking up the dome steps at the same time, and some one happens to be videoing it.
Clearly not footage from a fixed camera, and the scene seems to pan slightly exactly in sync with the arrival in frame of the drone just as if the operator was anticipating its arrival.
I call maskirovka.
Is this going to be an excuse to bomb Zelensky's palace, or even his person?
Hoperfully other footage will come out from security cameras that can clarify the flightline of the drone and whether it was actually heading towards the Kremlin and this video isn't a cleverly set up angle to make it appear so.
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Old 3rd May 2023, 15:11
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Footage of the first strike:



Footage of the second larger strike here: https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFoota...eb2x&context=3

Last edited by Wokkafans; 3rd May 2023 at 15:23. Reason: Additional info
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Old 3rd May 2023, 15:13
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Footage from a different camera:


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Old 3rd May 2023, 15:16
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Originally Posted by ex fat repair team
Ref, footage on BBC news web site. Strange that 2 people are walking up the dome steps at the same time, and some one happens to be videoing it.
I think those 2 people are flags.
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Old 3rd May 2023, 15:22
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How do both drones manage to catch the identical "support wire" for the "proper" flag, both exploding some two or more meters past the "proper" flag pole, 2 hours apart. Nope, its all faked.

IG
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Old 3rd May 2023, 16:38
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Perfectly captured from every angle, and with the detonation of a small firework. Hardly an assassination attempt (if it was - poor effort and must try harder). I am smelling something and it is not sheep or cows...

Could somebody zoom in on the flag and see if has "FALSE" emblazoned upon it.
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Old 3rd May 2023, 17:10
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Medvedev's take:

1. If Russia were capable of assassinating Zelensky, they would have done it already
2. The drone could only be considered an assassination attempt if the person flying it genuinely thought that Putin spends his nights sitting on the roof
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Old 3rd May 2023, 17:17
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I seem to remember they tried that several times before.
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Old 3rd May 2023, 17:24
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Now the propagandists blame us as the reason behind all the expelled Diplomats across the world, just as well they couldn’t invade us without the help of China

​​​​​​​
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Old 3rd May 2023, 17:30
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
Now the propagandists blame us as the reason behind all the expelled Diplomats across the world, just as well they couldn’t invade us without the help of China



https://twitter.com/francis_scarr/st...C8qarAkOotAAAA
Quite flattering really, isn't it?
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Old 3rd May 2023, 17:40
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So there were to climbers on the Kremlin dome, they were on the way up after the first strike and were seen as the second one hit.


The first drone hit from the opposite direction, film here.

https://twitter.com/kromark


Last edited by NutLoose; 3rd May 2023 at 17:53.
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Old 3rd May 2023, 17:43
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Originally Posted by NutLoose
Now the propagandists blame us as the reason behind all the expelled Diplomats across the world, just as well they couldn’t invade us without the help of China.
​​​​
Good to hear that their Ambassador and Diplomats in London are having a miserable time.
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Old 3rd May 2023, 18:04
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Very pleased my country is considered to be foe number one. Had a bad moment when I couldn't advance past page 15 but deleting cookies fixed it. Keep up the great work Nutloose, ORAC and others. Thanks.
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Old 3rd May 2023, 18:17
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Definitely something odd about those drone strikes. Are we expected to believe that a couple of slow flying drones travelled around 300 miles across Russia from the Ukrainian border without being detected?

Someone smarter than me could work out the speed from the video frame rate. My guess is no more than 100kts from just eyeballing it. They look to be flying very slowly.

Perhaps Russia might want to explain how their state of the art air defence systems failed to detect these drones for the three hours or so they were flying over Russian territory.
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Old 3rd May 2023, 19:13
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a. Sun Tzu would probably advocate the strategy of taking out the enemy king/leader in order to end a war.

b. Clausewitz would (perhaps) identify Putin as a center of gravity (strategic CoG in any case) worth targeting with the aim of ending the war by removing the center of gravity.

From the perspective of an objective analysis (if indeed Ukraine sent in a few drones to try and take out the head of government) this was an attempt at a decapitation strike that was worth trying if you are Ukraine.
Spoiler
 


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Old 3rd May 2023, 19:43
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Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50
a. Sun Tzu would probably advocate the strategy of taking out the enemy king/leader in order to end a war.

b. Clausewitz would (perhaps) identify Putin as a center of gravity (strategic CoG in any case) worth targeting with the aim of ending the war by removing the center of gravity.

From the perspective of an objective analysis (if indeed Ukraine sent in a few drones to try and take out the head of government) this was an attempt at a decapitation strike that was worth trying if you are Ukraine.
Spoiler
 

Since the Kremlin has a footprint of approx 3 000 000 ft2 and is up to six stories tall, unless Putin follows an ironly rigid timetable and spends time on the roof, I don't think anyone (outside Russia ) would be thinking about assassination.
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