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Mt Erebus Disaster 40th Anniversary

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Mt Erebus Disaster 40th Anniversary

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Old 5th Dec 2019, 00:46
  #241 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Dark Knight
Have we discovered anything new yet this time around?

Have we changed anything or, more importantly, will anything be changed?

Is it likely a new inquiry will happen?
No.

Originally Posted by Dark Knight
Is any of the procrastination, expert, unprofessional, inexpert, amateurish, waffling or discussion going to create a new inquiry?
Impossible that any of those things will; the only thing that might is money. And given that the only people that could be charged with a crime are dead, and as you say the institutions that could learn from this already have; it's impossible to imagine from where such a funding source might arise.

Originally Posted by Dark Knight
Rather than the continuous and no doubt a 40th anniversary review the most important thing is; Did this accident result in any improvements to aviation safety?
Probably, but not as many as might have if a full, comprehensive enquiry had taken place by an impartial body of people who were qualified to undertake one.

Originally Posted by Dark Knight
instead of an endless unproductive, sometimes vitriolic, self indulgent mishmash diatribe which changes little or nothing, concentrating upon the future will be a more highly productive contribution to our industry, aviation safety!.
If that's what you think of this discussion, then don't contribute to it or read it. But the fact you're even here suggests you agree there is a debate to be had, and it's useful on some level to have it.

To many of us, truth is important.
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 00:57
  #242 (permalink)  
 
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"To many of us, truth is important." Well said.
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 01:27
  #243 (permalink)  
 
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Truth is most often used to mean being in accord with fact or reality, or fidelity to an original or standard. Truth is also sometimes defined in modern contexts as an idea of "truth to self", or authenticity.

Truth is usually held to be opposite to falsehood, which, correspondingly, can also suggest a logical, factual, or ethical meaning.

The concept of truth is discussed and debated in several contexts, including philosophy, art, theology, and science. Most human activities depend upon the concept, where its nature as a concept is assumed rather than being a subject of discussion; these include most of the sciences, law, journalism, and everyday life. Some philosophers view the concept of truth as basic, and unable to be explained in any terms that are more easily understood than the concept of truth itself.

To some, truth is viewed as the correspondence of language or thought to an independent reality, in what is sometimes called the correspondence theory of truth.

Truth is often as seen in the eye of the beholder.


As was said by one far more eloquent than I; "I have never been untruthful to you however, which version of the Truth would you care to hear?"
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 01:44
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“What's done cannot be undone.”
William Shakespeare, Macbeth
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 02:36
  #245 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by 3 Holer
"Jim Collins and his crew had nothing whatsoever to do with the cause of this accident as has been confirmed by highly qualified legal persons, multiple inquiries and aviation experts worldwide (I am not including the ones on this forum!). Only ignorance and a failure to grasp the facts in this accident would make anyone "suggest" otherwise.
So you're saying that anyone who questions with the outcome of the Mahon inquiry (which of course was infallible) is either ignorant or fails to grasp the facts?

Did the captain have any responsibility at all on this flight? A responsibility for the safe conduct of the flight perhaps?

The cause was CFIT.
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 03:34
  #246 (permalink)  
 
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You mean the outcome was CFIT, caused by multiple errors made by the crew, and contributors included the change in the flight plan, the company culture, and the weather?

I’m no expert in this crash, but you can’t tell me that the captain didn’t contribute to the outcome.
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 03:44
  #247 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by morno
you can’t tell me that the captain didn’t contribute to the outcome.
Not you, not me, not the Chief Inspector of Air Accidents (a man of incredible warmth and intelligence who I knew briefly) nor a multitude of highly qualified unbiased observers and commentators.
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 03:55
  #248 (permalink)  
 
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When Mahon's report goes to 5 of his peers and 3 of them have conflicts of interest, two conflicting reports that end up in the Privvy Council, etc etc etc, I think there's a problem that needs to be resolved.
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 03:59
  #249 (permalink)  
 
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From the Qantas Antarctica flight blurb:

"There is a fantastic atmosphere of cooperation among passengers as they share the experience. This is unlike any flight you have been on before."

That sounds rather attractive..

The Qantas Antarctica flights are ongoing so it looks like they will be chartering others' B747s.
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 04:34
  #250 (permalink)  
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Chronic Snoozer says:
"So you're saying that anyone who questions with the outcome of the Mahon inquiry (which of course was infallible) is either ignorant or fails to grasp the facts?"

Not at all Snoozer, what I said was (and I shall spell it out for you- in BOLD text) -
Jim Collins and his crew hadnothing whatsoever to do with the cause of this accident as has been confirmed by highly qualified legal persons, multiple inquiries and aviation experts worldwide (I am not including the ones on this forum!). Only ignorance and a failure to grasp the facts in this accident would make anyone "suggest" otherwise.

The Mahon Inquiry was only a part of the of the many appeals, exhaustive investigations by Vette et al, into the effects of whiteout and visual deception, open admissions by Air New Zealand and the New Zealand government that they had got it wrong about the findings of the Chippendale report blaming Pilot Error for the crash and finally, the Privy Council conceding the pilots had NO CASE TO ANSWER in this whole disgraceful affair.
As I said in the last debate (15 years ago), there will never be a change to Mahon & the Privy Council's official finding. However, it is OK to get together on this forum and chew the fat.

Look forward to 2020 when they officiate the memorial in Antarctica.

Last edited by 3 Holer; 5th Dec 2019 at 05:13.
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 05:01
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But they went against policy and the basics for descent below MSA/LSALT. How can that not be the fault of the crew?
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 05:10
  #252 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by morno
But they went against policy and the basics for descent below MSA/LSALT. How can that not be the fault of the crew?
another private pilot wanting to play with the big boys. nice to see you all back together again i thought you would all be retired by now and playing with grand kids.
same players and same boring arguments. get a life chaps

oh and by the way, this accident would never had happened if they had not changed the final waypoint OR told the crew they had changed it.
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 05:15
  #253 (permalink)  
 
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And 36 years ago this was the finding of the Privy Council.

In their judgement, delivered on 20 October 1983, the five Law Lords of the Privy council dismissed the Commissioners appeal and upheld the Court of Appeals decision, which set aside costs order against the airline, on the grounds that Mahon had committed clear breaches of natural justice. They demolished his case item by item, including exhibit 164 which they said could not "be understood by any experienced pilot to be intended to be used for the purpose of navigation", and went even further, saying there was no clear proof on which to base a finding that a plan of deception, led by the company's chief executive, had ever existed.

You will note, committed clear breaches of natural justice, a ruling by his own peers that he could not run a commission of enquiry in his own field, yet he could make a ruling in a field in which he had no expertise whatsoever.

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Old 5th Dec 2019, 06:35
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Originally Posted by The name is Porter
When Mahon's report goes to 5 of his peers and 3 of them have conflicts of interest, two conflicting reports that end up in the Privvy Council, etc etc etc, I think there's a problem that needs to be resolved.
TWO of them had alleged conflicts of interest. All of them agreed he'd overstepped the mark, Messrs Woodhouse and McMullin went further with their language. Why do we discount the other 3 who didn't have a conflict?
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 08:13
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Originally Posted by jack red
another private pilot wanting to play with the big boys. nice to see you all back together again i thought you would all be retired by now and playing with grand kids.
same players and same boring arguments. get a life chaps

oh and by the way, this accident would never had happened if they had not changed the final waypoint OR told the crew they had changed it.
Sorry buddy, but you’re a little wrong there. I’m a current experienced airline pilot that can see the major contributing factors at play.

I apologise if you disagree because the captain was a mate of yours.

Would you like to tell me how they DIDN’T breach policy and the basics of descent below MSA/LSALT?
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 10:36
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TWO of them had alleged conflicts of interest. All of them agreed he'd overstepped the mark, Messrs Woodhouse and McMullin went further with their language. Why do we discount the other 3 who didn't have a conflict?
ONE of them having a conflict of interest is enough to have the findings thrown out in any jurisdiction.
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 11:52
  #257 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by morno
You mean the outcome was CFIT, caused by multiple errors made by the crew, and contributors included the change in the flight plan, the company culture, and the weather?

I’m no expert in this crash, but you can’t tell me that the captain didn’t contribute to the outcome.
No I meant cause.
While air travel remains one of the safest modes of transport, controlled flight into terrain (CFIT) continues to remain one of the leading causes of commercial aircraft accidents.
https://www.atsb.gov.au/media/29968/b20060352.pdf
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 12:12
  #258 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by 3 Holer
Not at all Snoozer, what I said was (and I shall spell it out for you- in BOLD text) - Jim Collins and his crew hadnothing whatsoever to do with the cause of this accident as has been confirmed by highly qualified legal persons, multiple inquiries and aviation experts worldwide (I am not including the ones on this forum!). Only ignorance and a failure to grasp the facts in this accident would make anyone "suggest" otherwise.
Anyone who does not question the official finding of Mahon has failed to grasp the complexities of this accident and the role of the flight crew in it. (I spelt it out in bold text for you.)
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 12:40
  #259 (permalink)  
 
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.... and if a different crew had flown that flight, a crew who had NEVER flown over Antarctica before, would the outcome have been so tragic ?
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Old 5th Dec 2019, 19:12
  #260 (permalink)  
 
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Anyone who relies 100% on the Mahon report and considers the crew to be 100% free of responsibility (I will not use the phrase 'blame') has their head in the sand as is anyone who believes the Company is without responsibility. My problem with the crew 'is blameless' angle is to accept this is to accept that the crew of an aircraft are merely passengers who have no input or influence on the outcome of a flight i.e. you believe that given the flight plan change and the whiteout conditions this crew were crashing on that day no matter what, it was destined to happen and every person on that aircraft was dead the moment it departed. The fact is that there were multiple opportunities to avoid this crash:

- if the crew had taken heed of the McMurdo controller who advised the conditions were not suitable, due to cloud and whiteout, for sightseeing in the area then the crash would have been avoided.
- if any of the crew had questioned the relative position of Bird Island then the position error could have been picked up.
- given the inability to see any of the expected landmarks in VMC if any of the crew (some of who were trained navigators) had plotted a position on the chart or atlas the crash would have been avoided.
- if the crew had decided that given their unfamiliarity with Antarctic operations they were just going to follow published procedures for let down below MSA instead of opting for a figure eight descending pattern in VMC when the CVR shows they weren't 100% certain of their position then the crash would have been avoided.
- if the crew had initiated a climb to above MSA at the first instance of doubt being expressed as to their situation the crash MAY have been avoided.

The Company had multiple systemic and organisational factors that contributed to the crash, the crew decisions and actions on the day contributed to the crash. The aftermath was appallingly handled by the Government, CAA, Airline and in my opinion Mahon, anyone who has been involved in safety investigation knows that we are not trying to allocate blame, we are trying to identify the causal factors that contribute to the incident and then see if procedures or knowledge can result from the investigation that may help prevent a similar incident in the future. The lack of a thorough and balanced report in this case goes against all best practice.
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