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Old 16th Dec 2014, 14:33
  #481 (permalink)  
 
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provisional pax stats for November on Stobart routes

Antwerp - 2128
Maastricht - 434 (poss incomplete)
Munster Osnabruck - 1304
Groningen - 1657
Caen - 552 (poss incomplete)
Rennes - 3433


Berne pax was 877

which means average loads of 10 pax

load factor of around 32%
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Old 16th Dec 2014, 14:41
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Currently BE has very big gaps in the NQY schedulea so something is up.

At 1100/1105 the have BHX & LGW departing daily plus the STN on those days. However they currently only base/nightstop 1 Q400 at NQY.

It looks like the based Q will operate MAN X1 and LGW x1, however they either need to change schedules around or add aircraft and routes to NQY.

MD of NQY was quoted two weeks ago as saying that they expected to make an announcement shortly ref new and expanded routes so who knows.

It's entirely possible that SEN could return for summer15 if BE base extra aircraft at NQY or on a SEN based ATR.

cs
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Old 16th Dec 2014, 15:05
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Yes Berne wasn't good at all, but I make it about 11.9 (37%). There has been some promotion though lately and the ski season is virtually here, so December figures will be interesting.


None of the Stobart routes look great, I'd imagine the delay in release of Summer 15 might be linked to thorough reviews of the network and the change of leadership - are the SEN routes the reason for the Chief Exec's departure?


The only routes that look like they have any future are Groningen (around 36 per flight), Rennes (about 33.6 per flight), and Munster (31).


Caen did OK in the summer but approx 23 suggests it has little place in winter, Maastricht I can believe only had 434 (14.5) which is why it has gone Fri and Sun only and Antwerp has picked up (24.2) but that is still far too low and frequencies have been slashed. I think the latter two routes will go.


DUB actually held up quite well in terms of pax per flight, though LF suffers on the larger aircraft - around 2,938 would mean around 34 per flight.
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Old 16th Dec 2014, 16:08
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The major reason for the poor CFR figures for November is that the winter scheduling is difficult to sell with traditional weekend breaks not being possible for example. It was really a matter of one route within the route network having to have the difficult timings and CFR was that route. Hopefully the soon to appear S15 frequencies/scheduling will be more user-friendly.

Over the first six months of the Stobart Air/Flybe operation the CFR load factor was 51%, second only to RNS at 53%, with GRQ at 49% (my figures). All of those routes show potential for growth in S15.
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Old 17th Dec 2014, 07:26
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AirportPlanner1

I think the Berne load factor was 40% as one inbound was diverted to STN during the month.
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 14:31
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Stobart Air

Stobart removing one ATR 72 from SEN and suspending ANR and MST from 18 January?
What are the implications for SEN crew?
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 14:55
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they are both still bookable till March
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 15:09
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they are both still bookable till March
Disappearing off the website as we speak.

With the sudden change in prices DUB will be cut back from 5 to 3 weekly

Last edited by j636; 19th Dec 2014 at 15:19. Reason: add info
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 15:17
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what does the price change in dublin mean and from 5 what to 3 what?

Are they replacing the routes or moving the aircraft, and if so where is the aircraft going?
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 15:19
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what does the price change in dublin mean and from 5 what to 3 what?
They are going to drop Tuesday and Thursday flights during the period leaving the route only operating 3 weekly.
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 15:26
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I suspect that aircraft will need re-painting again
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 15:26
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And I almost booked a MST return on purple wednesday two days ago....
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 15:26
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Think they only have 2 aircraft based at Southend so a 50% cutback doesn't look good.

Stobart's venture into running an airline to put passengers though Southend seems to be biting them where it hurts. With the latest Dublin news it can only be a matter of time before this route is also killed off.
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 15:26
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OK, i see the schedule change although it looks to be 5 days a week to me and still double daily on some days…

what price change are you referring to?
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 15:32
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I can see 5 weekly, and then from April it becomes daily again
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 15:41
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If there is to be a withdrawal of one aircraft in mid-January I should imagine that may be only temporary until the S15 timetable comes into operation. I don't see how CFR, GRQ, FMO and RNS can be operated in the summer by one aircraft.
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 16:08
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ah yes your right, one thing is for certain these routes won't be coming back, such a shame for crews and that if they get let go
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 16:13
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what this S15 ?
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 16:22
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Rennes service, which I believe was bookable for summer already, has now also disappeared.

I fear that there won't even be a single ATR sationed at SEN for S15.
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Old 19th Dec 2014, 16:24
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RNS has not been bookable for a long time. I would think it will operate
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