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Old 4th Nov 2016, 16:08
  #5721 (permalink)  
 
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Whilst I agree with the decision to remove this backhander, I still believe a more proportionate course of action could have been taken.

Eg. Let the operation continue with support whilst a tender exercise (with a stipulated deadline) to find a replacement is undertaken. Forcing its end without affording this opportunity is a disgrace.

It may be that no alternative would be found but at least an opportunity would have been given.
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Old 4th Nov 2016, 18:03
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Would a United T/A route have worked starting off in UK first or vice versa so start in EDI / GLA stopoff in Belfast and then cross the pond or is it fraught with difficulty ?
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Old 4th Nov 2016, 18:19
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No the idea of it starting off from the likes of EDI or GLA and stopping off at BFS on the way to EWR is a ridiculous idea and one that would never work in the competitive transatlantic market.

By the way you mentioned starting off in the UK first well NI is also part of the UK as you well know!
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Old 4th Nov 2016, 18:36
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Originally Posted by canberra97
No the idea of it starting off from the likes of EDI or GLA and stopping off at BFS on the way to EWR is a ridiculous idea and one that would never work in the competitive transatlantic market.

By the way you mentioned starting off in the UK first well NI is also part of the UK as you well know!
As ridiculous as the many thousands of people who fly to DUB from the mainland UK to take advantage of the nil APD to cross the pond?

A transfer process at BFS (which has no APD on LH sectors) might have been a positive thing if it was done correctly through a coordinated devolved Aviation strategy, which is really the problem for BFS because our dip**** politicians are too busy playing pet projects in BHD and LDY which means BFS can never really take a bit of business back from DUB because it has to fight for its own traffic against sniping and undercutting from within NI which doesn't have the capacity for 3 airports.
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Old 4th Nov 2016, 19:04
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Second Dog

UK passengers via DUB pay a sizeable amount of APD, remember connections are not fully exempt from long haul bands.
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Old 4th Nov 2016, 19:12
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Ah right so it's BHD and LDY'S fault and nothing to do with the fact it was a struggling route from a dump or that there is far more attractive and cost effective alternatives just a short drive down the motorway. Glad we got that cleared up...
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Old 4th Nov 2016, 20:48
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Originally Posted by bongoo
Ah right so it's BHD and LDY'S fault and nothing to do with the fact it was a struggling route from a dump or that there is far more attractive and cost effective alternatives just a short drive down the motorway. Glad we got that cleared up...
Only thing you cleared up is that you don't read English very well
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Old 4th Nov 2016, 21:39
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I can't help but think that our neighbours in the south may have had part in complaining... after all, they will remain in the EU and DUB is only 2hrs away... maybe that's just my paranoid side kicking in..

I'm surprised that the EU cares so much over £9m, there's far more money being thrown around the EU every day for far less worthy causes..

Guess I'll be getting a refund for my April flights :-/
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Old 4th Nov 2016, 21:45
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3 million per year aint worth it. However EU against 'state' cash as it may affect competition in this case-seems strange. What about BHD/AMS would EZY not have a case?
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Old 4th Nov 2016, 22:01
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West Brit

Its about how its structured hence KLM get away with it and thousands of routes across Europe. Aren't the Welsh paying Flybe as well.....
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Old 4th Nov 2016, 23:58
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The only airline I could possibly see attempt a New York route would possibly be VS and maybe not until the summer season.
The chances of another American airline coming to Belfast when all fly from Dublin is very slim.
Aer Lingus is out of the questions
However VS have always been a well known name in NI which is why Orlando has done well, and if we are being honest most of us never thought VS would arrive at BFS with a B747
A New York route would obviously be on a 330 (correct me if I'm wrong) and with regards to crewing from Belfast would be a piece of cake
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Old 5th Nov 2016, 09:56
  #5732 (permalink)  
 
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The key problem is that times change. A few years ago it was all about GLA and EDI was a wee local airport with all the TLC going west, when politics and the economy changed EDI overtook and left GLA behind to play catchup. The gulf between BFS and DUB is considerably wider than that. DUB is now in a different ballpark and the need for year round long haul to NI just isn't there.

Having Scottish route stop in NI would just have gifted UA's local traffic to Delta given they pay to fly non stop and not via Belfast. If one stop was acceptable, via LHR has a better hard product and lounges.
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Old 5th Nov 2016, 11:07
  #5733 (permalink)  
 
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It was a sad day indeed. Agree that the £9mill was too high a price but as someone who uses the route yearly, I have a lot of good memories.Hopefully the airport can find another airline asap.

The one thing that has annoyed me no end is the arrogant (almost agressive) response from the Green party. The 'a few people will be disadvantaged going to dublin' or their former chair saying go to dublin for better immigration.. for a party that promotes 'shop local' it seems airports are exempt. But then they always were amatures on the economy.
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Old 5th Nov 2016, 11:09
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Indeed a sad day for NI where the single daily rotation to the US is being axed, though I sense that Stormont may rescue this situation, potentially to late to save the UA link, but worth some sort of subvention, presented in whatever fashion may attract a carrier with lower costs like Norwegian etc.

All that said the key challenge for UA is not a lack of demand, in fact the numbers were strong, their challenge is that the uptake at the front cabin is poor, and whether the route be profitable or not, other routes will present a much greater return potential and with higher fares and greater uptake in business etc.

I'm hoping BFS get a replacement. Wow could turn up on KEF and offer a one stop US route, like from Dublin and soon Cork...in the mean time, though not ideal particularly from people north of the province, DUB offers a great range and frequency of routes. A significant proportion of NI / Ulster residents live equidistant from DUB and BFS...
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Old 5th Nov 2016, 11:33
  #5735 (permalink)  
 
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NYC & BFS-BHX

New York

I think the CAA stats demonstrate that there is at least a summer market and although unprofitable for United the obvious answer as per Una Due Tfc mentioned earlier you would think is Norwegian on the 738 MAX. They won't be in service until late summer unless the aircraft arrive early (there was talk) but still better than nothing,

They boast a low cost base, the pax numbers are there in summer and the only issues would be if a one aircraft base is viable and what to do in winter but a reduced service mixed with Canaries might be an option etc.

BFS-BHX easyjet - Same as on the BHX thread rumours of renegotiation and if true no doubt some will see it as good business practices by easyjet but I would not be one of them. I don't think the rumours have come from the BHX end,as all is quiet. They almost made a complete week of sell-outs on BFS-BHX sector - Thursday - Wednesday this week just gone. Just to add fares have lowered for the coming week compared to last week but still reasonable at times although the usual BHX-BFS cheap morning fares in mid week.

Pete

Last edited by OltonPete; 5th Nov 2016 at 14:45. Reason: added info
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Old 5th Nov 2016, 14:09
  #5736 (permalink)  
 
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Shame to see this. With most of the mid-sized regional UK airports (BRS, BFS, NCL) I definitely think there is a seasonal leisure market that exists to cities like NYC and Orlando.

I'm sure something will come up again. Norwegian will be having a sniff you'd think.
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Old 5th Nov 2016, 15:02
  #5737 (permalink)  
 
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their challenge is that the uptake at the front cabin is poor
On one of the few occasions where I was routed via United to Newark I enquired at check-in as to the possibility of upgrading to Business. The cost would have been £799, one-way, on top of the fare my company had already paid. I don't know what the going-rate for business class is but it's hard to see how that increment could be justified. Even if it had enabled me to work for seven hours it would still have been five times my salary for that period; by my rough maths you'd need to be earning £200k pa to justify it, at which point you're more likely to be flying in a bizjet or sending your staff.
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Old 5th Nov 2016, 16:03
  #5738 (permalink)  
 
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El Bunto generally Business fares UK-New York start around $1800 return and go up to as much as $3500 depending on ticket flexibility and it doesn't usually matter if non stop or via a hub when on a J ticket.

That upgrade quote is pretty much in line with what you should expect.
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Old 5th Nov 2016, 16:29
  #5739 (permalink)  
 
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EWR - what a shame. My only hope is the executive will enter into a tendering process like the LDY-LON one. Also its been mentioned UA leaving due to poor financial performance on the route, I believe they have never stated this and that it is profitable, however I know from the travel industry contacts I have the take up of business class is nowhere near enough.

BHX

Latest from EZY, discontinued for time being.
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Old 5th Nov 2016, 17:13
  #5740 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by mart901
EWR - what a shame. My only hope is the executive will enter into a tendering process like the LDY-LON one. Also its been mentioned UA leaving due to poor financial performance on the route, I believe they have never stated this and that it is profitable, however I know from the travel industry contacts I have the take up of business class is nowhere near enough.

BHX

Latest from EZY, discontinued for time being.
I realise that there was some support during that last ditch effort from Stormont (but moreso from Westminster) but that was too little too late and the deal was not disguised correctly to get it past the EC competition rules. The fault lies with the complacent approach by our devolved administration, who do not seem to understand the aviation market and the particular challenges we face in having a competitor with a land border. My hope is that now we seem to have a bit of purchase within the executive (you have to give it to the MD for shaking them up on that front) we might be able to get them to focus on some semblence of a strategy to attract airlines here.

That DUB is lightyears ahead is because they did this a long time ago and enjoy unrivalled state support through all the appropriate channels.

I think any trans atlantic service may have to err toward the low cost market but so be it.

In terms of the effect it has on BFS, ironically enough it probably doesn't hurt the airport too much from a financial standpoint considering they are not having to subsidise the flight any longer to the tune of 3 million. It is more about the loss of face and with it the loss of ability to attract other carriers that will be the problem.

Lets hope our politicians can be cajoled into a bit of action.
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