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Old 8th Aug 2008, 19:58
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Looks like there may be some credibility in the rumours of a new LBA base ...

Ryanair holds out hope of regional base


BUDGET airline Ryanair is in talks about establishing a base at Leeds Bradford International Airport, which could mean a significant increase in flights.


Currently Ryanair flies three routes from the airport but does not have jets based there.

Airline chief executive Michael O'Leary said despite rising fuel costs, he hoped for Ryanair to fly between 10 and 20 routes from Leeds Bradford if an agreement were signed with the airport.

Mr O'Leary said: "It depends on a low cost base at Leeds Bradford which would allow Ryanair to establish Leeds Bradford as a base here in the UK. At the moment we have 10 bases in the UK – Leeds Bradford isn't one.

"We are in talks with the airport but unless the airport is able to beat the kind of low-cost offers we have from six or seven other European airports, then it'll have to wait its turn.

"If they come up with a really imaginative package on costs and proposals then Leeds Bradford could well be one of Ryanair's next bases in the spring. That would mean an enormous surge in routes, traffic and jobs at Leeds Bradford."

Ryanair's 10 UK bases include London Stanstead, Luton, Glasgow, Edinburgh and Liverpool. Last month the airline announced new routes to Barcelona and Alicante from Leeds Bradford, starting in October. It already has twice-daily flights to Dublin from the airport. Mr O'Leary did not discuss where the new routes might fly.

Leeds Bradford's new private equity owner Bridgepoint Capital has pledged to invest £70m in the airport.

Commercial and aviation development director Tony Hallwood said: "We look forward to working with any airline who's interested in expanding at Leeds Bradford. We believe we offer a great, competitively priced service at Leeds.

"At present we are in discussions with a wide number of airlines and Ryanair are one of those. At the present time we are more concerned that the two new routes just announced are successful."

The Dublin-based airline yesterday reaffirmed its intention to offer low fares in the face of soaring fuel costs and launched a £5 per flight strategy for one million flights in September.

It added fares would fall by five per cent this winter, and again reiterated its intention not to charge a fuel surcharge "not today, tomorrow or ever".

Mr O'Leary insisted the airline could sustain low prices and undercut rivals for the foreseeable future. Passenger numbers were up 19 per cent in July, with the airline now flying about 28m passengers per year from the UK, whom Mr O'Leary said are being poached from airlines such as British Airways.

He said: "We can sustain this for a couple of years even with oil at $130 a barrel. It will not be pretty from a shareholder's point of view. If it means for a year or two we do not make any money, as one of our largest shareholders I'm happy to live with that."

Last month Ryanair reported adjusted net profit in the three months to the end of June at 21m euros, (£16.57m), well below analysts' forecasts. Revenue grew 12 per cent to 777m euros, compared with the 865.4m (£683m) expected by analysts.

Mr O'Leary admitted the airline has been "consistently wrong" with its hedging of oil prices in the past 12 months. "I regret not hedging at $70 per barrel," he said. Ryanair has hedged its 90 per cent of September fuel needs at $129 per barrel, 80 per cent for its third quarter at $124, but has not hedged for the fourth quarter as it expects prices to fall. Oil is currently about $120 per barrel.

Mr O'Leary said he is in talks with both Boeing and Airbus buying new aircraft beyond 2012.


Source: Yorkshire Post.

So what does anyone think? I dont think there have been any press releases like this about establishing a base a DSA,MME,HUY,NCL so maybe LBA will be Ryanair's Yorkshire 'ub?
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Old 8th Aug 2008, 20:19
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In that statement it said somewhere about Ryanair wanting organic growth, so not too much of a growth but enough I am taking from that comment, so the A320 can hold 180pax max, and they already have B738, so I would have thought they will end up with the B739 which have between 205-220 passengers
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Old 8th Aug 2008, 20:46
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If its 200 seats MOL wants then maybe these would be better than Boeing & Airbus...certainly would look nice with a plastic Yellow & Blue interior...and I bet there cheap !
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Old 8th Aug 2008, 22:45
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LBA

If LBA were to offer a low cost base as per MOL wishes,I think Jet2 might have something to say on this matter.

Can't see Ryanair opening a base at LBA,maybe introduce more routes with foreign based aircraft like the recently announced Alicante and Gerona.
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Old 9th Aug 2008, 06:29
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maybe these would be better than Boeing & Airbus...
You mean Tu-204? Well, if ever Ryanair Russia were considered... But what about the Irishman ways of haggling with Russians?
Never flown O Leary air - with his customer facing skills I don't think I will ever be tempted to either!
Never with O'Leair? That's what many say. To be able to attract some additional customers there’s much more in it than just fares...
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Old 9th Aug 2008, 10:31
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Mr O Ceidigh went on to say that he was particularly offended when Mr O'Leary pretended to play the fiddle while he raised his concerns.
That did make me laugh
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Old 9th Aug 2008, 10:44
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I read in a statement from Ryanair today that O'Leary said that Gordon Brown was a greedy bd ...

Good for him At least someone has said it...
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Old 10th Aug 2008, 07:46
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I maybe a little behind on this one, but I dont think it has been metioned. With all the route changes @ LTN, RAK is now 6x week, up from 4x.
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Old 10th Aug 2008, 09:53
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I read in a statement from Ryanair today that O'Leary said that Gordon Brown was a greedy bd ...
Hypocrite !! I hope by throwing stones he smashes the windows in his own glass house.
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Old 10th Aug 2008, 10:59
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Sorry I have to agree with O'Leary, Gordon Brown is greedy and needs to fund all the non elected government Quango's.

Remember any free publicity that brings an airline to the public's notice is good publicity and MOL is adept at doing this.

You may not like the guy or his methods BUT they work.
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Old 10th Aug 2008, 14:04
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Did I say Gordon Brown wasn't greedy ?

Do you think MOL isn't greedy ?

Well then, him calling anyone else greedy makes him a hypocrite, amongst many other unpleasant things...in fact I would HATE to be talked about in the way he universaly is...I do not see how creating so much bad blood & so many enemies can help you sleep at night...although for somebody so greedy the free publicity matters more. Rant over !
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Old 11th Aug 2008, 18:48
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I read above that MOL is suppossed to have said that Gordon Brown is a Greedy so and so? Well it is amazing. MOL invested so much energy in trying to destroy Aer Arann starting with Dublin/Cork and then targeting Cork and Galway routes with similar ones from Shannon,so one would wonder who is greedy? A small Irish regional airline has been so far up his list of priorities, it's a pity he is not up for taking on Flybe.

Look at the Belfast/Glasgow and Belfast/London markets, Ryanair's arrival on the market has not really had any effect on Flybe's numbers in these markets. I am so sure now that Ryanair will avoid Flybe, and contrary to what I originally thought I now doubt that MOL will take on Flybe on MAN or BHX to Belfast City..

What does anyone else think?
EI-BUD
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Old 11th Aug 2008, 19:03
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Originally Posted by EI-BUD
Well it is amazing. MOL invested so much energy in trying to destroy Aer Arann (...)
A small Irish regional airline has been so far up his list of priorities
Who said MOL didn't have any weaknesses? I think it's one of his worst ones. Investing so much energy (and money) to play his very-small-and-meaningless games locally while wasting some opportunities (and not earning money) elsewhere. A kind of Achilles’ heel syndrome with poor and costly results.
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Old 11th Aug 2008, 19:38
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FR at BHD

EI-BUD

In respect of BHX-BHD they would be mad to challenge flybe with oil at
its present level as it would just be so costly. If it drops and when they
run out of viable routes from BHX they probably will turn their attention
to BHX-BHD. At present load factors are about 60-65%, which is still a little low I would have thought (although I have not checked fares recently) but the schedules have been trimmed a little this winter.

At present flybe has recovered its market share from BHX to Belfast
mainly due to baby's awful summer schedule timings. Obviously after
losing 2500 pax per each month baby have seen the error of their ways
(it was only scheduled that way originally for maximum aircraft utilization)and the winter schedule is better but I doubt if this will affect flybe too much.

Flybe seem to have steadied their BHX ship after the BACON takeover and I doubt that FR's new BHX-HHN and BHX-NRN will trouble their FRA and DUS routes respectively. They have dropped Brest for winter which had low load factors last time round and doubt that Ryanair Dinard has influenced this decision, well I hope not as FR are not operating this winter from BHX (keeping EMA though).

Pete
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Old 11th Aug 2008, 20:08
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Now the oil is at 113 $,

and Ryanair hedged fuel till the end of December at 129 $ and 124 $. They made a mistake...again. This fuel hedging "game" at the White House is very dangerous.
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Old 11th Aug 2008, 21:30
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RYR Oil Price.

At the end of the day No One Expected Oil to Drop By Over 30 Dollars a Barrell in the last 4 weeks Not Even the Analysts/Markets. I Bet theres a few other airlines that have bought at a far higher price!!

As per Oliww Above Remember This Goverment Takes a Hell of Alot of Revenue in GB Taxes.They have also Increased it since they have been in power. And Very Little Comes Back In to the Airline Industry its just Goes into the Goverments Pocket.

Last edited by NJTCF; 11th Aug 2008 at 21:35. Reason: Missed abit!!!
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Old 11th Aug 2008, 23:16
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Hedging

They made a mistake...again.
Isn't hindsight brilliant
I suppose if they hadn't hedged and oil rose to $150 you'd be the same person to say "They should have hedged when oil was under $130. They made a mistake...again."
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Old 12th Aug 2008, 07:36
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Originally Posted by NJTCF
As per Oliww Above Remember This Goverment Takes a Hell of Alot of Revenue in GB Taxes.They have also Increased it since they have been in power. And Very Little Comes Back In to the Airline Industry its just Goes into the Goverments Pocket
Why should any of it come back to the airline industry? That's the nature of taxes. And taxes are levied by all governments of all political persuasions - do you really think that the Conservatives will cut fuel duties and taxes when they gain power?

These threads are not the place for blatant political point-scoring. It's boring.
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Old 12th Aug 2008, 08:31
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"Experts" say that oil drops to 100 Dollar/Barrell by the end of the year. And exchange rate Euro/Dollar goes also down to 1,40 or 1,30 from 1,50 now. The financial crisis in the US is nearly over and ressources like oil, gold, silver go down.

Wait until winter, hedge then and the next year is a better year for aviation.
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Old 12th Aug 2008, 08:41
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Ryanair aims to increase gross profit to €900m by 2012.

Ryanair aims to increase pretax profit to €900m by 2012 : Stansted Airport News Stories
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