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AF 447 Thread No. 8

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Old 4th Jul 2012, 07:55
  #1521 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Dozy Wannabe
Read more closely sir.
I have misread the tense & the subject of your sentence and understood it wrongly you meant capt Asseline still supports the discredited theories put forward by his legal defense. My apologies. Anyway, those still insisting computers have flown the aeroplane into trees represent interesting case of belief that lawyers provide us with objective aeronautical analysis.

Originally Posted by Turbine D
For those who might be wondering about the 36 A-340/330 UAS incidents, here is the listing and details
Thanks, where did it come from?

Originally Posted by Lyman
The first we know the crew recognized Alternate Law is at 2:10:22, seventeen seconds after loss of autopilot! full stop.
Comma would be far more appropriate as the aeroplane exited the envelope at 2:10:54, thirty two seconds after the CM1 mentioned the alternate law.

Last edited by Clandestino; 4th Jul 2012 at 08:02.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 09:27
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Cool

Hi,
Clandestino
I have misread the tense & the subject of your sentence and understood it wrongly you meant capt Asseline still supports the discredited theories put forward by his legal defense. My apologies. Anyway, those still insisting computers have flown the aeroplane into trees represent interesting case of belief that lawyers provide us with objective aeronautical analysis.
This investigation has very bad start of a judicial point of view when we know that both flight recorders (CVR and DFDR) disappear that evening of the crash, transported by air by the Director of the DGAC Daniel TENENBAUM without any judicial seal there is affixed by the Prosecutor of Mulhouse, Jean WOLF.
10 days after the accident, the judge Germain Sengelin will questions about the itinerary and location of the two "black boxes". They are going to will have seals, but after ten days without judicial review, it is too late to prevent the suspicion of being born.
So do not be surprised at all that has followed
What would have happened if we had learned that the recorders of AF447 had been recovered but had been for ten days at the hands of investigators without judicial knowledge of it ?

Last edited by jcjeant; 4th Jul 2012 at 09:28.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 09:41
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Originally Posted byTurbineD
For those who might be wondering about the 36 A-340/330 UAS incidents, here is the listing and details Clandestino refers to...
Originally Posted by Lyman
The first we know the crew recognized Alternate Law is at 2:10:22, seventeen seconds after loss of autopilot! full stop.
Originally Posted by Clandestino
Comma would be far more appropriate as the aeroplane exited the envelope at 2:10:54, thirty two seconds after the CM1 mentioned the alternate law.
The question is, and i asked that before: Had the the crew a way to recognize the exact state of ALT Law, in this case ALT2B, which differs significantly from a variety of ALT Laws, and did they?

The listing from Turbine D does not offer any detailed information into what kind of ALT Law the FCS in the mentioned UAS events reverted.

We might as well have here with AF447 the only case, where ALT 2B was triggered and in all other cases more protections had been available. Thus creating a wrong mindset with the PF (...Alt Law, no problem, business as usual...)

Last edited by RetiredF4; 4th Jul 2012 at 10:17.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 09:45
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Those initial side stick commands again ...

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Old 4th Jul 2012, 09:51
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Originally Posted by bubbers44
Clandestino, I wouold like to meet you some day and see what planet you come from. No Boeing pilot would pull a yoke into his lap like the PF did with the side stick. Good luck with your long story but I don't think you will have any followers.
Try this planet for size:
The aircraft re-entered a stall situation (AOA reached its maximum values of around 26° at 00:41:09). Contrary to any stall recovery procedure, the control column was initially kept backward and gradually increased over the next 17”
Boeing pilot (deceased). With yoke. FO didn't intervene either.

And then of course you get the non-boeing pilots who pull the yoke right back on s/w and then pull right through the stick pusher. Again, FO didn't correct.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 10:07
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Originally Posted by RetiredF4
We might as well have here with AF447 the only case, where ALT 2B was triggered and in all other cases more protections had been available. Thus creating a wrong mindset with the PF (...Alt Law, no problem, business as usual...)
Originally Posted by BEA#2
The variations in altitude stayed within a range of more or less one thousand feet. Five cases of a voluntary descent were observed, of which one was of 3,500 feet. These descents followed a stall warning;
The other crews respected stall warnings and were not relying on the protections.

Last edited by HazelNuts39; 4th Jul 2012 at 10:09.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 10:29
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Smile Clandestino #1509

Thank you for mentioning the F16D as a training aircraft.

I would suppose that Concorde COULD have been used/ MUST have been used, as a "training aircraft" too ! ( Perhaps a little expensive for most beginners...)

The point that I was attempting to make with reference to the DH86b was that positive hand-over of the control was VERY visible to both pilots.

Last edited by Linktrained; 4th Jul 2012 at 10:30.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 10:29
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Re: Those initial side stick commands again ...

HN39: Thx again!

Considering this as the Proportional and Integrated SS inputs, we need to know values for Ki and Kp to calculate the input to Pitch control channel(THS/Elevator), true or not?

Are you able to extract q(pitch rates) from the pitch traces?

Excuses if you already did before, if so then I've probably missed it.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 10:31
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Cool

Hi,

HazelNuts39
The other crews respected stall warnings and were not relying on the protections.
Some other did not respect the stall warning (discarded cause believing to be false) .. and you know that (already posted multiple times)

Last edited by jcjeant; 4th Jul 2012 at 10:32.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 11:24
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A33Zab,

The C* story is probably not as simple as I'm trying to make it. Anyway, I don't think I can get any closer to defining the coefficients.

jcjeant,

Point taken.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 14:59
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Hi Clandestino,
Thanks, where did it come from?
I saved this chart for reference, actually there was a second chart with less detail but the same reported events. It came from a posting back in the 4th or 5th thread, I believe it was a takata posting.

I also saved this which was part of the posting:

Those 2 points are based on the history of published UAS events :
Here are the tables of the 36 UAS events declared before the publication of 2nd BEA report; one may see that 12 cases of "suspect" STALL WARNINGS were reported (33%). Moreover, those stall warnings do not let any trace outside the CVR or crew reports (they are not part of the maintenance post flight reports), and this survey was mostly incomplete about many cases listed. So it may be assumed that more cases of "suspect stall warnings" were not recorded.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 15:34
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Turbine D,
Yes, you're right, it was takata on thread #5, post #128.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 15:52
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Touch and experience and training

Thanks for the opportunity, Clan...

What is so remarkable about AF447 but is mostly glossed over, is that loss of control looked extremely benign on the inside. There were no extreme attitudes, no rapid attitude changes, no high or low G, no spin, nothing. Just unwinding altimeters.
I pointed this out early - the jet seems to have an excellent aerodynamic design. No extreme buffet, roll oscillations ( extreme, not the ones we see on the traces), etc.

I imagine the Concorde had the "standard" delta sink rate characteristics as the F-102 and other deltas - a slight buzz and then an unwinding altimeter and great directional control/stability. The buffet and shaking in most swept wing jets of the fighter genre had pronouced buffet and roll/yaw excursions. Ask Retired about the Double Ugly. I could feel the "buzz" in the F-102 as I lost those lifties and drag overcame lift. Many pilots could not, and their first clue was the unwinding altimeter or a sharp drop when in the "flare" ( gear damage was not uncommon).

That being said, I maintain that training for stall recognition and entry is possible, maybe even in the sim. I would advocate a stick shaker, but if your FBW system disregards AoA under certain laws, then that wouldn't work in the real jet, huh? OTOH, certainly the airframe buffet would be different enough from normal turbulence and spoiler deflection, etc. to provide a clue when the instruments are FUBAR. There might be a way to use the data from AF447 to introduce mechanical vibrations in the sim and let the folks "feel" it.

BTW, the Viper family models I flew were the "B" models, as in first ones ever manufactured. Not only were we in tandem cockpit seats, but the stick only moved 1/8 inch! Figuring out what Joe Baggodonuts in the front seat was doing was a bear.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 16:12
  #1534 (permalink)  
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I must express some concern. clandestino, that you do not consider

"The pitch attitude changes from
6° nose-down to 13° nose-up in
11 seconds then stabilises at
about 11° nose-up"


to be a rapid change in attitude, nor a pitch attitude peaking at 18 degrees to be 'extreme'?

Both in a heavy jet at high level.

I do. To me that is anything but 'benign'.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 18:34
  #1535 (permalink)  
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Final report finds pilot error behind Air France crash that killed 228: source
PARIS — The Globe and Mail
Published Wednesday, Jul. 04 2012, 1:58 PM EDT
Last updated Wednesday, Jul. 04 2012, 2:19 PM EDT

A French report has found that human error and technical malfunctions caused the 2009 crash of an Air France flight from Rio to Paris that killed 228 people, a source close to the case said Wednesday.

The judicial report – due to be presented to victims’ families on Tuesday next week – has concluded that pilot error and malfunctioning speed sensors were responsible, the source told AFP.

The French aviation safety authority BEA is due Thursday to present its final report on the crash. The paper is eagerly awaited amid a row between Airbus and Air France on who ultimately bears responsibility.

The source said the separate 356-page judicial report found that speed sensors froze up and failed, but also that the “captain had failed in his duties” and “prevented the co-pilot from reacting.”

The aircraft had entered a zone of turbulence two hours into the flight when the autopilot suddenly disengaged, the BEA had said earlier.

French magistrates are investigating Air France and Airbus for alleged manslaughter in connection with the crash, notably because of the malfunctioning speed sensors, known as Pitots.

The airline replaced the Pitots, manufactured by French company Thales, on its Airbus planes with a newer model after the crash.

Victims’s families have previously alleged that the involvement of big French corporations such as Airbus and Air France was influencing the affair.

Last edited by TLB; 4th Jul 2012 at 18:35.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 19:24
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Thales speed probes

The airline replaced the Pitots, manufactured by French company Thales, on its Airbus planes with a newer model after the crash.
I may point out to the honorable PPRuners that the initial approval ratification of the aircraft model had been made with probes Goodrich.
It is only afterward that Tales probes were 'approved by equivalence'.

And after june 2009 crash, Goodrich sensors are coming back
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 19:26
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Cool

Hi,

The source said the separate 356-page judicial report found that speed sensors froze up and failed, but also that the “captain had failed in his duties” and “prevented the co-pilot from reacting.”
Well .. another new story
There is no doubt that the accident of AF447 will enter in the list of mythical accidents
BTW .. there are only a few hours to other speculations or last minute findings ..
EDIT:
Neofit
Final report: another Link
The only genuine link for the report will be tomorrow on the BEA site !

Last edited by jcjeant; 4th Jul 2012 at 19:39.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 19:36
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Final report: another Link (or leak?) 'surprise' factor

Final report: another Link

A large part of this 'paper' is Why? Why? Why?
The CCS AF serious event is also widely commented
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 21:13
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mm43 #1482
Thank you very much to have translated the recommendations following the 1994 Tarom incident report, and much more to have described the brought improvements.

Your conclusion is expressed with a lot of wisdom:
In short, the visual and audio clues/warnings provided, possibly added to the cognitive overload. Would a pseudo artificial feedback to the SS helped?? Perhaps the centrifuge simulators of tomorrow may help to reinforce what it feels like when the aircraft is maneouvered in abnormal conditions.

jcjeant
The only genuine link for the report will be tomorrow on the BEA site !
I'll be busy tomorrow
It does not matter, next meeting with #9 thread.
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Old 4th Jul 2012, 21:31
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Originally Posted by Retired F4
The question is, and i asked that before: Had the the crew a way to recognize the exact state of ALT Law, in this case ALT2B, which differs significantly from a variety of ALT Laws, and did they?
Maybe, maybe not, but given the inputs on the right stick it wouldn't matter anyway, as low speed stability of ALT1 is easily overridden and bank angles would not have triggered the protection before the aeroplane was truly and deeply stalled.

Originally Posted by Retired F4
The listing from Turbine D does not offer any detailed information into what kind of ALT Law the FCS in the mentioned UAS events reverted.
It does not, but the listing at the end of interim 2 shows most of the incidents involved 2 or 3 pitots. If we combine it with A330 FCOM which unambiguously states that high AoA protection is lost if 2 ADR are lost or ADR disagree, we can conclude...

Originally Posted by Retired F4
We might as well have here with AF447 the only case, where ALT 2B was triggered and in all other cases more protections had been available.
...that there is very good chance that majority (a large one) of incidents involved degrading to the same subset of ALT law AF447 experienced.

Originally Posted by jcjeant
Some other did not respect the stall warning (discarded cause believing to be false) .. and you know that (already posted multiple times)
If you happen to be referring to other A33o/340 UAS events, then: nope. We don't know that yet. Notion was posted but without quote from reliable source so far.

BEA makes it pretty clear that only 13 of 36 discovered occurrences could be fully analyzed as there were insufficient data on the rest. 9 cases of stall warning and 5 cases of voluntary descent following it were recorded among the 13. Nowhere is mentioned that any crew has disregarded the stall warning or tried to climb when stall warning went off. Except in interim 3. Only one crew.

Originally Posted by Linktrained
Thank you for mentioning the F16D as a training aircraft.
You are welcome. F-16D is combat capable trainer.

Originally Posted by Linktrained
I would suppose that Concorde COULD have been used/ MUST have been used, as a "training aircraft" too !
Unlike high-performance, combat single seaters, that require dedicated dual-control version for conversion and weapons training, airliners are required to have fully functional dual sets of controls per certification requirements. They can be used for base and line training without any modification.

Originally Posted by Linktrained
The point that I was attempting to make with reference to the DH86b was that positive hand-over of the control was VERY visible to both pilots.
Just as the myth about aeroplanes with interconnected yokes (especially those from Seattle) being immune to panic pull was getting seriously damaged, here comes the wink-wink-nudge-nudge that flight controls system of DeHavilland Express is in some, allegedly important, aspect superior to A330's. PPRuNE never ceases to amaze me.

Originally Posted by gums
I pointed this out early - the jet seems to have an excellent aerodynamic design. No extreme buffet, roll oscillations ( extreme, not the ones we see on the traces), etc.
True, just to add that this feature is purely incidental and definitively not by design. A330 was never supposed to get to alpha AF447 achieved.

Originally Posted by BOAC
I must express some concern. clandestino, that you do not consider

"The pitch attitude changes from
6° nose-down to 13° nose-up in
11 seconds then stabilises at
about 11° nose-up"

to be a rapid change in attitude, nor a pitch attitude peaking at 18 degrees to be 'extreme'?

Both in a heavy jet at high level.

I do. To me that is anything but 'benign'.
It is unusual for normal, steady, cruise flight, but is very, very remote from what usually happens in upsets, such as Dynasty 006, Interflug at Moscow Tarom at Paris and there was no classic spin that Birgenair 757 displayed when stalled. 19 degrees of pitch change in 11 seconds is less than 2°/sec average - not very fast in my book. While CM2 actions were distinctively odd, aeroplane's post-stall behaviour would not be intuitive to me at all. I'd expect highly loaded, supercritical, swept wings when pulled really hard to develop asymmetric stall, drop and autorotate. I expected that damage to collected flotsam would turn out to be the final result of very flat spin. That AF447 went down in Cessna 150-like gentle mushing is amazing.

I wonder what conspiracy theorists will make out of it.
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