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Search: Posts Made By: Recc
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21st Apr 2024, 19:52
Replies: 10,309
Views: 4,597,907
Posted By Recc

Technically, the BBC gives 51k as a baseline...

Technically, the BBC gives 51k as a baseline figure. In other words, this is the number of combat deaths (excluding "DNR" and "LNR" ) that could be conclusively established. They have also used...
20th Apr 2024, 11:22
Replies: 18
Views: 2,847
Posted By Recc

exceptio probat regulam. The fact that the...

exceptio probat regulam. The fact that the territories and regions covered are so clearly defined in the text is, from a legal perspective, a very clear statement of what is not covered.
20th Apr 2024, 10:18
Replies: 18
Views: 2,847
Posted By Recc

And in addition, non European/ N american...

And in addition, non European/ N american territory is explicitly not covered by the NATO text so the UK cannot invoke article 5 in the case of an attack on the Falklands.
26th Mar 2024, 16:09
Replies: 10,309
Views: 4,597,907
Posted By Recc

Closest Russian airspace to where this incident...

Closest Russian airspace to where this incident occurred is nearly 400km. I doubt that this would have been a factor in their decision making
26th Feb 2024, 11:30
Replies: 59
Views: 3,205
Posted By Recc

There are (conservatively) thousands of failure...

There are (conservatively) thousands of failure modes for a complex automated space mission. Addressing each of them with 'simple' mechanical solutions would add up to a very large increase in...
24th Feb 2024, 19:40
Replies: 62
Views: 11,208
Posted By Recc

I don't think the only other option is to...

I don't think the only other option is to hot-launch the missile! Being on the surface does not preclude the launch tubes from being flooded, and in any case public-source information suggests that...
24th Feb 2024, 12:42
Replies: 329
Views: 75,158
Posted By Recc

1. I have not heard anyone in the rest of Europe...

1. I have not heard anyone in the rest of Europe (or the USA) ask the UK to introduce conscription. I have heard the former head of the army suggest that our own defence failures mean that we would...
28th Jan 2024, 11:57
Replies: 10,309
Views: 4,597,907
Posted By Recc

By no means an expert, but would imagine that it...

By no means an expert, but would imagine that it would be very difficult/ impossible for a TVM missile to use a separate transmitter in the terminal guidance phase. We aren't talking about the target...
28th Jan 2024, 10:46
Replies: 10,309
Views: 4,597,907
Posted By Recc

That assumes that the Il-76 had no warning. My...

That assumes that the Il-76 had no warning. My understanding is that this aircraft type is equipped with RWR. If (as been theorised) this was a Ukranian SAM ambush, then, even against a patriot,...
26th Jan 2024, 09:25
Replies: 10,309
Views: 4,597,907
Posted By Recc

It isn't quite as simple as that. Starlink uses...

It isn't quite as simple as that. Starlink uses geofencing to prevent the use of starlink in Russia and Russian occupied territories in Ukraine. Starlink denied a request by Ukraine to temporarily...
25th Jan 2024, 14:17
Replies: 459
Views: 114,064
Posted By Recc

The first is a very good question. Donald Trump...

The first is a very good question. Donald Trump has gone on record as having made an article 5 response contingent on financial contributions during his first presidency, and has openly talked about...
24th May 2023, 11:08
Replies: 10,309
Views: 4,597,907
Posted By Recc

On the contrary, there is very little evidence...

On the contrary, there is very little evidence that they suffered any (or significant) losses. The Russians showed some pictures of supposedly destroyed vehicles, but there are legitimate questions...
24th May 2023, 08:13
Replies: 10,309
Views: 4,597,907
Posted By Recc

I also wonder whether this operation was intended...

I also wonder whether this operation was intended as a (less than subtle) signal to western supporters of Ukraine. Shifting the war to Russian territory is absolutely the last thing that these...
23rd May 2023, 11:30
Replies: 10,309
Views: 4,597,907
Posted By Recc

My (second hand) understanding is that they are...

My (second hand) understanding is that they are genuinely Russian nationals (to give Ukraine (im?)plausible deniability). I doubt that either they (or the Ukrainians) genuinely believe that this...
19th May 2023, 15:27
Replies: 10,309
Views: 4,597,907
Posted By Recc

They wouldn't have any choice but to respond. ...

They wouldn't have any choice but to respond. The global consequences of allowing a nuclear power to force victory via use of nuclear weapons would effectively end non-proliferation. Every state...
20th Mar 2023, 18:05
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,131,089
Posted By Recc

It is an EPIRB rather than a PLB so minimum...

It is an EPIRB rather than a PLB so minimum transmission of 48 hrs.

As you say, there are better ways of getting coordinates. My personal suspicion is that it is ad-hoc initiative from a local...
17th Mar 2023, 23:14
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,131,089
Posted By Recc

There is a self-destruct timer built-in to each...

There is a self-destruct timer built-in to each of the mines. The time varies depending on the model, but you would know roughly where they were deployed and how long you had to wait.
17th Mar 2023, 18:32
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,131,089
Posted By Recc

You know where one US ISR aircraft is because the...

You know where one US ISR aircraft is because the US air force is publicising where it is. You have know idea if or where other aircraft are operating. The US has a pretty good idea of what...
16th Mar 2023, 21:13
Replies: 280
Views: 109,219
Posted By Recc

Fortunately there is zero chance of that!

Fortunately there is zero chance of that!
15th Mar 2023, 09:55
Replies: 280
Views: 109,219
Posted By Recc

Another giveaway is that when you pause the...

Another giveaway is that when you pause the video, the propeller is sharply defined and undistorted. Compare this with genuine footage of an MQ-9 propeller.
15th Feb 2023, 16:18
Replies: 370
Views: 128,082
Posted By Recc

I suppose that a track (or rather the altitude...

I suppose that a track (or rather the altitude profile for a desired track) couldn't be targeted in advance, but the point is that the systems would be adaptive based on current position and...
12th Feb 2023, 18:09
Replies: 291
Views: 109,869
Posted By Recc

In terms of emissions and data, it isn't that...

In terms of emissions and data, it isn't that different. The radars in the AWACS and fighters are identical the guidance systems in the weapons are identical, the encryption and frequencies for...
12th Feb 2023, 17:46
Replies: 291
Views: 109,869
Posted By Recc

It isn't an original thought of mine, but there...

It isn't an original thought of mine, but there is a lot more involved in an interception than simply knowing the type of aircraft and the missile being used. There are all sorts of emissions and...
12th Feb 2023, 12:38
Replies: 291
Views: 109,869
Posted By Recc

That would have been true a few decades back, but...

That would have been true a few decades back, but if you have onboard power (e.g. solar) , then you can use pumps and valves to inflate or deflate a separate bladder in order to adjust the buoyancy...
10th Feb 2023, 11:31
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,131,089
Posted By Recc

That isn't entirely accurate. The S-300 was...

That isn't entirely accurate. The S-300 was primarily designed as a SAM, but a secondary role as a tactical ballistic missile was always part of the design.
10th Feb 2023, 10:36
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,131,089
Posted By Recc

Almost certainly not although not because of...

Almost certainly not although not because of curvature (the difference between a rhumb line and great circle will be barely perceptible over that distance). There are conflicting reports about...
6th Feb 2023, 15:10
Replies: 370
Views: 128,082
Posted By Recc

I believe that passive navigation has advanced a...

I believe that passive navigation has advanced a great deal in recent years. In particular, look at the (claimed) capabilities of the Aerostar stratospheric balloons. Indeed, they have been awarded...
3rd Feb 2023, 19:20
Replies: 370
Views: 128,082
Posted By Recc

China have claimed that it is theirs and that it...

China have claimed that it is theirs and that it is civilian weather balloon.

https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/suspected-chinese-balloon-us/h_e41790ac6ca5b17edf685112a0bbb60a
3rd Feb 2023, 19:01
Replies: 370
Views: 128,082
Posted By Recc

The only advantages that I can think of is that...

The only advantages that I can think of is that it remains above the same area for long periods of time compared to a LEO reconnaissance satellite. Potentially, if you were interested in observing...
26th Jan 2023, 14:22
Replies: 45
Views: 11,848
Posted By Recc

Those figures are for waterline visibility. If...

Those figures are for waterline visibility. If you add in the height of the ship, then they look more realistic (e.g. a periscope at a height of 20ft can see a 70ft warship out to 13Nm.

On the...
11th Jan 2023, 14:01
Replies: 19
Views: 2,572
Posted By Recc

I'm not sure what perspective that offers as it...

I'm not sure what perspective that offers as it says nothing (or nothing easily interpretable) about the potential for public health impact, which is, after all, the topic under discussion. Also, for...
11th Jan 2023, 07:58
Replies: 19
Views: 2,572
Posted By Recc

Surely you can see that your statement is a non...

Surely you can see that your statement is a non sequitur. Soil lead levels can be elevated (when compared to prior levels or surrounding land) without being over a threshold level. In addition,...
14th Dec 2022, 10:29
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,131,089
Posted By Recc

I doubt that the patriots will have (or are...

I doubt that the patriots will have (or are intended to have) much impact on the current Russian tactic of large-scale cruise-missile/ drone attacks. It is much more likely that this is a...
24th Oct 2022, 13:06
Replies: 110
Views: 36,250
Posted By Recc

It isn't unique to rivet joints or even western...

It isn't unique to rivet joints or even western surveillance/ AWACS aircraft; I believe that mainstays fly the same pattern. I don't know, but would guess that it is just straightforward geometry. ...
22nd Sep 2022, 21:37
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,131,089
Posted By Recc

I think the thing to watch will be the combat...

I think the thing to watch will be the combat readiness levels of the Russian strategic missile forces. Back in February, during a previous bluff, Putin claimed that he had put strategic missile...
Showing results 1 to 35 of 124
 


 
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