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Ash clouds threaten air traffic

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Old 19th Apr 2010, 08:47
  #1381 (permalink)  
TRC
 
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Tommoutrie in post #1320

Have you noticed how many of the doom-mongers and shut the airspace jockeys are PPRuNe contributors that don't actually have a licence?
Your point is?

One could equally ask:

Have you noticed how many of the 'it'll-be-all-right-on-the-nighters' and let's get back up there jockeys are pilots with no vulcanology or geology knowledge at all?

Having a pilot's licence doesn't make the holder an expert in everything.

I have various licences and qualifications that I have aquired during my 36 years as an aviation professional. None are pilot's licences, so do not qualify to appear in my profile.
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 08:55
  #1382 (permalink)  
 
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Speaking as SLF, the airlines may decide to restart a limited flight schedule, do you really think that I would put my family or myself at risk, under the present conditions, just because you think it will be ok. The decision to fly must be a decision based on safety, not on economic necessity. If there was just one incident, that was attributed to volcanic ash, which the airline was aware of, the resultant fall out from the worlds press would be far more catastrophic. Having seen and read many comments and views from informed sources, I am left with the overall impression that we do not know enough about this situation to be able to safely operate aircraft. At the end of the day, you may be ready to operate the planes, it is up to us to get on them.
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 08:55
  #1383 (permalink)  
 
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I've just read the report from the Dornier 228 flight DCALM (possibly the only scientific flight thats been made, the BA and KLM political stunt flying doesn't count) and they had a definite bum sucking up seat cloth moment at 5000 feet 52.75N 002.38E.

BD
P.S. I don't intend posting that report up here on a public website as, to quote the author, "I'm sure you'll be aware that this was written for internal use, so is a little rough around the edges, but it seems most appropriate to simply release you the unamended document.
This is regarded as being in the public domain, although given it's not really designed for public consumption so I'd appreciate it if it was kept between aviation or scientific professionals."
Hmmm, ...and when did this flight happen BDiONU ?






.
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 08:56
  #1384 (permalink)  
 
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Low level piston commercial flights also grouned

Can anyone tell me why the CAA has "asked" operators to stop commercial low level operations in piston aircraft?

I have 2 photographic flights to do, one in a Cessna 172 and one in a Senneca both not above 2000 feet and both are banned but both aircraft are legal and currently active for Flight training.


It appears that if I climb in a Cessna for fun or training it is safe, but the moment I take my camera the aircraft is susceptible to volcanic Ash.

Have any universities done any scientific studies on the increase in abrasiveness of volcanic ash when in proximity to a Canon Camera?
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 08:57
  #1385 (permalink)  
 
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If you are flying low level you might drop out of controlled airspace, and start mixing it with light aircraft and gliders.
Cherokees, Comanches, Apaches - Indian Country. Dangerous.

........if you see ..........
no sig ........ beat me to it !! Precisely
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 08:57
  #1386 (permalink)  
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Originally Posted by Flying Binghi
Hmmm, ...and when did this flight happen BDiONU ?
Friday 16th April 1448 - 1734BST.

BD
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:00
  #1387 (permalink)  
 
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In Österreich dürfen hingegen ab dem Morgen wieder Flugzeuge starten und landen. Welche Flüge durchgeführt und welche Ziele angeflogen würden, liege in der Verantwortung der Fluggesellschaften, sagte ein Sprecher der österreichischen Flugsicherung Austro Control. Die aktuellen Prognosekarten und der Umstand, dass bei Testflügen keine Schäden an der Außenhaut oder den Triebwerken der Maschinen aufgetreten seien, ließen darauf schließen, "dass derzeit keine Gefahr durch Asche- und Staubpartikel gegeben ist".
- Tagsschau.de

My translation: " Since this morning aircraft are allowed to take off and land in Austria. Which flights are conducted and which destinations are approached lies within the responsibility of the airlines said a spokesperson of austrian ATC Austro Control. The current prognostic charts and the fact, that during testflights no damage to the skin or the engines of testaircraft have occured lets one conclude "that presently there is no danger given by ash- or dust particles."

Now, that's what I've been saying! Why do all the research, when the facts are already on the table!

Of course research should be done for the future, by engine manufactureres and it should be part of the proving airworthyness process in the future, but we need to save our industry now - if it's safe, and it obviously is.

Nic
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:03
  #1388 (permalink)  
 
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If it is an "engineer-business" decision, then why not leave the decision to those directly affected, i.e. the airlines?

But to put your idea in a more logical wrapping: if you have to make decisions, you need data - statistically reasonably sound data. I repeat: there has been no concerted effort by the EU to collect and evaluate such data. Instead, the authorities are flying blind without instruments.
We have data; government aircraft from several nations, including the UK have tested the air quality and stated that its is not good enough for aircraft to fly. You choose to ignore that, as well as ignoring the advice of engineers, engine manufactures and the experience of the many aircraft that have flow through similar concentrations of ash plumes.

Why not allow airlines to make the decision - well, its very obvious from the industries reaction that they will fly no matter what and use the "Gee-whizz who would have though that would happen" excuse to demand a bailout.
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:05
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Have we forgotten there's an election in a couple of weeks?
No labour politician is going to risk ordering the reopening of airspace if it might mean losing votes.
The likes of Lord Mandelson and others have already been on television with ready sound bites like 'Safety is our primary consideration' which are obviously comforting to the majority of voters who dont really understand the concept of risk management when applied to aviation wich is still perceived in many eyes as 'dangerous' even though it is statistically by far the safest form of transport.
Maybe we will have to wait till the end of the election before someone wil have the guts to make a command decision!
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:09
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As with so many things in aviation, "cut and dried" cannot be applied to this situation.
I have flow through volcanic ash that apparently fell "out of a clear blue sky".
After taking careful avoiding action well to the windward of a visibly erupting volcano, I was ambushed on final by ash falling out of a blue sky over 100 miles upwind of the volcano. It looked like the haze/Sahara dust which we are accustomed to. It did not last long and we left after a short delay. I understand later on it came back and coated the island with about 1/10 inch of fine white pumice type dust.
So "see and avoid" may not always deal with the problem. It is more complicated than that.
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:15
  #1391 (permalink)  
 
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No labour politician is going to risk ordering the reopening of airspace if it might mean losing votes.
Yes, it obviously a vote winning strategy to close down the holiday business, strand 150k abroad, put major companies into bankruptcy and hundreds of thousands of people out of work, interfere with the export business and cause potential serious economic damage at the time of election.

Any political party would find that a good idea would it? Are you serious?

Why no word from the likes of GE,RR,Pratt amongst others as to their view on things?
If you had bothered to read this thread, you would have se comment from GE specifically about the effects.

Why do so many people feel happy to make statement along the line of ' I know nothing about this subject, I haven't bothered to find any thing about it but on the basis of my lack of knowledge, even when its pointed out to me, my gut feeling is that they are all wrong'.

Vested interest.
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:16
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We have data; government aircraft from several nations, including the UK have tested the air quality and stated that its is not good enough for aircraft to fly. You choose to ignore that, as well as ignoring the advice of engineers, engine manufactures and the experience of the many aircraft that have flow through similar concentrations of ash plumes.
Tosh.

The research aircraft returned safely, and nobody has released pics of their turbines. And the aircraft that did have problems in ash were in thick ash, not the traces we have in the atmosphere over N Europe.

I spy administrators, towing the established party line.



Yes, it obviously a vote winning strategy to close down the holiday business, strand 150k abroad, put major companies into bankruptcy and hundreds of thousands of people out of work, interfere with the export business and cause potential serious economic damage at the time of election.
The point is that modern politicians are totally risk-adverse, and that Gordon Brown always goes AWOL when there are difficult issues to discuss and assess. Which means we will never get a rational decision.

European airspace may well be unusable, alternatively it may be absolutely fine, but we will never know until someone starts researching, assessing and making rational decisions.

At the moment, we have political rabbits caught in the headlights of an Icelandic eruption.

Last edited by silverstrata; 19th Apr 2010 at 09:28.
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:22
  #1393 (permalink)  

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The D-CALM info is the only truly subjective info available in the UK at this time. As BDiONU states the rest are just publicity stunts. OK, BAW and KLM found no problems, but how thorough was the post-flight inspection? The Finnish Air Force seems to have drawn a different conclusion.

Safety and risk analysis is becoming more and more important these days, looking back I see many practices which were normal then that would reduce today's beancounters, regulators, SLF and crews today to tears.
OK the politicians have over-reacted, but at least on the side of safety. I would be more worried if they let themselves be pushed into opening the airspace and things going TU.

Ref. plans to fly pax into Italy and Spain then further overland, I wonder what the locals will have to say about increased number of flights, and a suspension of any night time curfews?


edited to add, Cool Guy there are no elections anywhere else so what relevance does your statement have?
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:23
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Sorry is this is a 'repeat' of any earlier post (cannot cope with 75 previous pages on this subject!).

It seems clear to me that some proper and immediate research needs to be undertaken given this 'opportunity' as to what levels of volcanic dust can be 'tolerated' my modern jet engines without using crews/pax etc as 'crash test dummies'

For example, why cannot test pilots in a 4 jet engined aircraft take off, shut down 2 engines, and then fly a controlled profile at various levels/locations etc in this dust cloud to gather data that can also be supported by a stripdown of the operating engines once back on the ground. IF the 'low levels' of volcanic dust did cause an in flight shutdown, the 2 remaining donks would be available for use once clear of the area. Such a flight would carry minimal risk, but the data gained would be invaluable.
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:24
  #1395 (permalink)  
 
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Flying in ashCLOUDS is definetely unsafe.

But the discussion is whether flying in contaminated air by ash is safe or unsafe.

The testflight Dornier did fly in clouds.
The KLM, LH, AF, BA testflights stayed VMC and had apparently no damage.

So why not open airspace during daylight and VMC only. ?
Climb VMC to FL200+++ and then overfly the contaminated air.
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:24
  #1396 (permalink)  
 
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mystery flights

KL7451 and BLX616F on their way to Paris ?
KL7451 flew at 25000ft and has just landed in Paris.
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:27
  #1397 (permalink)  
 
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There seems to be a fair number of people calling for re-opening of the airspace, so how about they all pop on board a BA 747, and go flying for a few hours in the ash and let the rest of us know if its alright?

Personally I find it worrying that in the face of extreme doubt, there appear to be people in positions of responsibility who are behaving like cowboys with regard to safety. Reassuring... Not.
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:31
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Exactly what "wee Willie " did AFAIK, money where your mouth is, in his case at least.
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:32
  #1399 (permalink)  
 
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and nobody has released pics of their turbines
Curious, isn't it? And those nasty Finns showing innards of their F404s for the whole world to see. Must be a conspiracy at work here.

And the aircraft that did have problems in ash were in thick ash
According to Finns, there they were, flying their Hornets in the severe CAVOK and there were no problems at all. Until the engines where inspected after landing, that is. Issue with prolonged flight in rare ash cloud is not abrasion of the leading edges/transparencies or pitot blockages or engine flameouts. The issue is accumulation of molten and re-solidified ash inside turbines. It won't cause flameout or immediate failure but it will certainly shorten engine's life. That's why the most of the European airforces have taken the stance of cutting all training but maintaining full operational capability: defending the nation or rescuing someone is worth wrecking a few engines. Is having your pax aeroplane sitting for months because you couldn't wait for a couple of days for dust to settle and there are no spare engines to propel it, fair price?

Well, if your life as CEO is short and brutish and if your successor gets to pick up the bill, then the answer is yes. For the aforementioned CEO, anyway.
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Old 19th Apr 2010, 09:32
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Chillpill:
For example, why cannot test pilots in a 4 jet engined aircraft take off, shut down 2 engines, and then fly a controlled profile at various levels/locations etc in this dust cloud to gather data that can also be supported by a stripdown of the operating engines once back on the ground. IF the 'low levels' of volcanic dust did cause an in flight shutdown, the 2 remaining donks would be available for use once clear of the area.

You're on the back of the drag-curve Chill - already suggested on Saturday, but only BA is listening. Do a thread search for "two engines".
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