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ORAC 12th June 2025 08:48

Coincidence, or not?

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/...ear-safeguards

UN nuclear watchdog board finds Iran not complying with nuclear obligations

The United Nations nuclear watchdog’s Board of Governors has approved a resolution declaring Iran is not complying with its commitment to international nuclear safeguards, diplomatic sources told Al Jazeera.

The International Atomic Energy Agency’s (IAEA) Board of Governors resolution passed on Thursday with 19 votes in favour, three against and 11 abstentions.

Al Jazeera’s Hashem Ahelbarra, reporting from Vienna, described passage of the resolution as a “significant diplomatic development”, noting that it was the first time in almost 20 years that the IAEA had accused Iran of breaching its non-proliferation obligations.

Al Jazeera’s Tohid Asadi, reporting from Tehran, said that Iran will likely have a “tough response” to the IAEA resolution, adding that the upcoming talks between the US and Iran on Sunday would be “highly-influenced” by the vote in Vienna.…..

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/israel-...n-sources-say/

Israel is poised to launch operation on Iran, multiple sources tell CBS News

U.S. officials have been told Israel is fully ready to launch an operation into Iran, multiple sources told CBS News.

The U.S. anticipates Iran could retaliate on certain American sites in neighboring Iraq. This is part of the reason the U.S. advised some Americans to leave the region earlier Wednesday. The State Department ordered non-emergency government officials to exit Iraq due to "heightened regional tensions," and the Pentagon has authorized military family members to voluntarily leave locations throughout the Middle East, a defense official told CBS News…..

ORAC 12th June 2025 13:48

……………


The U.S. Embassy in Israel has restricted the travel of diplomatic staff and their family members to the areas of Tel-Aviv, Jerusalem, and Be’er Sheva, due to “heightened regional tensions” with Iran.

Similar actions were taken by the Embassy prior to both attacks by Iran against Israel in 2024.

Additionally, the U.S. Embassy reminds Americans in Israel to remain vigilant and maintain a high level of personal security awareness.

Be prepared by knowing the location of the nearest shelter in case of a red alert. Security incidents — including mortar, rocket, and missile attacks, as well as unmanned aircraft system (UAS) intrusions — can occur without warning.

The situation remains complex and may change rapidly in the coming days.

134brat 12th June 2025 17:38

Surely all this discussion means that the element of surprise has been lost....

West Coast 12th June 2025 19:31


Originally Posted by 134brat (Post 11899526)
Surely all this discussion means that the element of surprise has been lost....

Other than time, routes, etc it shouldn’t come as a surprise to the Iranians. There’s advantages to making intent known as well.

Hangarless 12th June 2025 19:45


Originally Posted by 134brat (Post 11899526)
Surely all this discussion means that the element of surprise has been lost....

What can the Iranians do about it even if they know it is coming as they no longer have effective air defenses.?

RAFEngO74to09 13th June 2025 00:10

Israel attacking Iran now - explosions in Tehran - Israeli Defense Minister declares state of emergency to Israeli populations and their sirens sounding in preparation for counter attacks.

RAFEngO74to09 13th June 2025 00:16

Israeli Times Israel begins preemptive strike against Iran, defense minister says; sirens wail across Israel | The Times of Israel

RAFEngO74to09 13th June 2025 00:40

Being covered on Fox News in USA by Trey Yingst now from Israel.

US Ambassador sent text saying something is happening.

Then Israel confirmed they are striking targeting the nuclear program + ICBM sites.

President Trump calling a Cabinet Meeting tonight.

US not involved in strikes.

T28B 13th June 2025 00:54

A silver lining to this cloud: based on today's news, my wife agreed that no, she does not want a vacation to the Holy Land next year.
Good. I didn't want to go anyway.

RAFEngO74to09 13th June 2025 01:00

IDF says military operation against Iran is expected to last several days: "At the end of the operation, there will be no nuclear threat"

RAFEngO74to09 13th June 2025 01:03


RAFEngO74to09 13th June 2025 01:16


RAFEngO74to09 13th June 2025 01:18

Israeli media reporting that the first round of strikes on Iran in Tehran tonight targeted a number of high value Iranian personnel.

Multiple apartment buildings appear to have been hit across the city.


T28B 13th June 2025 01:23

@RAFEngO74to09
If you follow that link and read some of the comments, you'll run into this:
Which made me laugh; who drinks Budweiser?

Full Disclosure: I have to keep watch on the recent Air India crash, so I'm also checking in on other forums that are active. Following your link was probably a wrong thing to do.

RAFEngO74to09 13th June 2025 01:24

Israel confirms that it struck key members of Iran’s nuclear program. Seen here, a Tehran apartment with multiple floors blown out by an Israeli missile.https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GtSS2oOW...jpg&name=large

RAFEngO74to09 13th June 2025 02:04

Iran confirms Head of IRGC killed

tdracer 13th June 2025 02:26

On "X"

IDF says military operation against Iran is expected to last several days:
"At the end of the operation, there will be no nuclear threat"


TWT 13th June 2025 02:35


Originally Posted by RAFEngO74to09 (Post 11899925)
Iran confirms Head of IRGC killed

​​​​​​​

From Press TV, which is affiliated with the Iranian government :


The commander of the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC), Major General Hossein Salami, was martyred in the Israeli attack early on Friday, according to unconfirmed reports.Several other senior IRGC commanders and nuclear scientists are also among the martyred in the large-scale Israeli attack in Tehran and other provinces across the country.
https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2025/0...attack--Report




RAFEngO74to09 13th June 2025 03:34

Iranian senior military leadership confirmed killed so far:

Major-General Mohammad Bagheri, Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces of Iran
Major-General Gholam Ali Rashid, Commander Iranian Armed Forced Central HQ
Major-General Hossein Salami, Commander Iran Revolutionary Guard Corps

Plus several senior nuclear scientists in multiple simultaneous precision strikes


tartare 13th June 2025 03:38

This will likely get very ugly indeed.
You'd have to think that the Mullahs (those who are left) would order everything ballistic to be unleashed on Israel.
Presumably that's what the ongoing strikes are targeting.
What would be the sequence?
Decapitate the leadership as you strike retaliatory sites, then hit the nuclear targets?
For a comparatively small air force - wonder how the IAF has done it - likely extensive use of that unknown drone they used in the last strikes.


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