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-   -   Iran (https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/586655-iran.html)

SASless 31st December 2023 17:27

All is not smooth sailing.....as some NATO Nations are refusing to allow their Navy to participate unless their Ships are under NATO Control and not the US led Coalition.

How will that turn out should this become a genuine international commerce crisis where shipping can no longer utilize the Red Sea or Suez Canal route and have to go the long way around to get to Europe?

If Insurance Carriers terminate coverage and Shipping Companies have to avoid the area it could become a real economic cost to national economies that are already fragile.

ORAC 31st December 2023 22:21

FAFO…


ORAC 31st December 2023 22:47

The frigate IRIS Alborz of the Iranian Navy has entered the Red Sea as part of a flotilla of ships. The Iranian ships are deploying off the coast of Yemen.

Amid reports of the US and UK's readiness to begin military operations against the Houthis, the appearance of Iranian ships could be a harbinger of a serious escalation in the region.

https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....f1a96765de.png
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Lonewolf_50 1st January 2024 00:39

Looks like a lovely New Year's decoration for the bottom of the Red Sea. :p

Ninthace 1st January 2024 01:38


Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50 (Post 11565342)
Looks like a lovely New Year's decoration for the bottom of the Red Sea. :p

Not if you consider the implications. Best left floating and watched unless it fires first.

Big Pistons Forever 1st January 2024 01:46

I find the Frigate deployment surprising. Iran has made a point of trying to have plausible deniability for the actions of the Houthi. They now have skin in the game in a way that is pretty unambiguous.

Dangerous times indeed…

jolihokistix 1st January 2024 01:53

Maybe the Houthis are getting uppity and giving Iran a bad name...(?)

Coochycool 1st January 2024 08:02

Anyone got any updates on the situation with the Iranian nuke programme? Not expecting a detailed reply, you understand. I haven't read all the thread.

I always trusted that the Israeis would have the ways and means to babysit it. But they may be a tad distracted right now....

Cooch

keith williams 1st January 2024 09:27

Hopefully a Houthi missile will put a hole in the Iranian frigate.

Asturias56 1st January 2024 09:33


Originally Posted by Coochycool (Post 11565430)
Anyone got any updates on the situation with the Iranian nuke programme? Not expecting a detailed reply, you understand. I haven't read all the thread.

I always trusted that the Israeis would have the ways and means to babysit it. But they may be a tad distracted right now....

Cooch

Last I saw the Iranians were in a position were they could go nuclear in a couple of months if they want to . They seem to reckon they'll get more (such as the frozen oil cash) if they hold their hand and and DON'T proceed - for now anyway

Ninthace 1st January 2024 10:47

Perhaps the Iranian frigate is there to observe and report - what and to whom would be the question. While it is international waters however, not a lot that can be done about it.

JohnDixson 1st January 2024 13:49

SAS and Lonewolf: With indecisive national leadership, the rules of engagement imposed on local commanders can easily snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Had some experience with that some decades ago.

SASless 1st January 2024 15:59

An interesting question would not be "Where are the Carriers?" but rather "Where are the Attack Submarines?.

Then one might consider where are some B-52's and B-1's......or even some B-2's.

Iranian Frigates have done better as artificial reefs than as combatants as I recall.

They certainly are not going to carry the day should they decide to start the game with a kick off.....that shall not end well for them militarily.

Presence alone is sufficient to allow them to project some limited power.....actual hostilities shall only cause them to. lose the game and project no power at all.

Asturias56 1st January 2024 16:22

I 'm with Ninthace - they're there to observe, check on tactics etc and the guys in Tehran can tell the Yemenis "look! we've sent a frigate!" but it won't do anything

Big Pistons Forever 1st January 2024 17:18


Originally Posted by Asturias56 (Post 11565659)
I 'm with Ninthace - they're there to observe, check on tactics etc and the guys in Tehran can tell the Yemenis "look! we've sent a frigate!" but it won't do anything

Yes but the coalition will have to honour the threat, and it would only take one mistake on either side to start a shooting war. I don't see any way this can't be considered escalatory on Iran's part.

fitliker 1st January 2024 17:32

There are only two types of vessels at Sea . Submarines and Targets .

Mr Mac 1st January 2024 18:08

I have heard that from a friends son who is on Hunter Killers in UK Navy, however not sure the Red Sea is a great submarine attack area due to depth and manoeuvring space but that is just a bystander’s theoretical observation. I did know a US Navy Boomer officer who operated in the Mediterranean, and said they were always in Western Mediterranean due to depth.

Cheers
Mr Mac


DogTailRed2 1st January 2024 18:50

Does Iran have any submarines? There is also the threat of mines should anyone be daft enough to lay some.

Ninthace 1st January 2024 18:58


Originally Posted by Big Pistons Forever (Post 11565691)
Yes but the coalition will have to honour the threat, and it would only take one mistake on either side to start a shooting war. I don't see any way this can't be considered escalatory on Iran's part.

If it is in international waters, minding its own business, all the coalition can do is keep an eye on it. For all we know it may just be on passage from A to B. Perhaps a port visit somewhere?

havoc 1st January 2024 23:29

Ford heading home
 


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