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-   -   Iran (https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/586655-iran.html)

BEagle 29th July 2019 15:54

Perhaps then, Les Quebecois might influence the RCAF's future fighter programme office towards the excellent Dassault Rafale? The Polaris crews with whom I've worked were hugely impressed by the Rafale's capabilities during the Libyan campaign.

SASless 29th July 2019 16:50


By the way, there is nothing small about Quebec, take a look at a world map.
Caution....you just walked off into a Minefield.


Lets compare Quebec to the UK for instance......by land area.

OverlapMaps - Instantly compare any two places on Earth!

Select Country, Province (Canada/Quebec) and United Kingdom and check the results.

Capt Kremmen 29th July 2019 17:24

I'm left wondering why Wolfe bothered.

Lonewolf_50 29th July 2019 18:13

The mistake made was in the treaty in 1763. Wolfe bothered because it was a key strategic objective of the campaign.

tdracer 29th July 2019 18:40


Originally Posted by Imagegear (Post 10531322)
There is no prospect of integration since the Quebecois are increasingly supporting independence from the rest of Canada. TODAY.

If my Canadian friends in BC are in any way representative, the rest of Canada would be happy to see them go...
Before I visited Montreal the first time, I was warned to speak English with a distinctly American accent, if they thought I was Canadian speaking English they would ignore me. Absolutely correct - and quite obvious.


t43562 29th July 2019 20:19


Originally Posted by tdracer (Post 10531494)
If my Canadian friends in BC are in any way representative, the rest of Canada would be happy to see them go...
Before I visited Montreal the first time, I was warned to speak English with a distinctly American accent, if they thought I was Canadian speaking English they would ignore me. Absolutely correct - and quite obvious.

That's sometimes true in South Africa. It is useful to be foreign and not British because then some Afrikaners will then talk to you in English.

Personally I think it's totally incredible that these enormously arrogant people don't get with the program and speak English like everyone in the world should for our convenience.

tdracer 29th July 2019 20:39


Originally Posted by t43562 (Post 10531565)
Personally I think it's totally incredible that these enormously arrogant people don't get with the program and speak English like everyone in the world should for our convenience.

The vast majority of people in Quebec speak English quite well - I've been there a few times and never came across anyone who didn't speak English fluently (I also found it mildly amazing how quickly and seamlessly they could switch between French and English).
They just think everyone should speak French (at least other Canadians).


havoc 29th July 2019 23:40

Speaking of Thread drift France end of WWI
 
https://yaleglobal.yale.edu/content/...ys-middle-east

Lessons From Versailles for Today’s Middle East



Imagegear 30th July 2019 05:09

SASLESS

I think we are in agreement, there is nothing small about Quebec...:ok:

IG

ericsson16 4th August 2019 09:58

Another Tanker Seized
 
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...to-arab-states

SASless 4th August 2019 11:45

That article says nothing useful.

Which ship, where was it loaded, who owned the cargo, where was it too unload?

Was it Iranian Oil from an Iranian Port or was it from a non-Iranian Port headed to an Non-Iranian port?


From a better source.....at least there is some detail and background info in this article.

https://www.foxnews.com/world/iran-s...l-persian-gulf

ericsson16 4th August 2019 12:26


Originally Posted by SASless (Post 10536369)
That article says nothing useful.

Which ship, where was it loaded, who owned the cargo, where was it too unload?

Was it Iranian Oil from an Iranian Port or was it from a non-Iranian Port headed to an Non-Iranian port?

If true,what it does say is that the International community is pretty hopeless.

ericsson16 5th August 2019 10:03

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-G...sian-Gulf.html

racedo 7th August 2019 10:44


Originally Posted by ericsson16 (Post 10536390)
If true,what it does say is that the International community is pretty hopeless.

Ambivalent is a better word.

Asturias56 7th August 2019 11:18

Yes - its fine for the USA and the UK to have bases there but Really Bad when the Russians do................

Pot, kettle, black...................................

Capt Kremmen 7th August 2019 11:18

If the British navy again caves in as pathetically as it did during the last interception by armed Iranian fast RIBs in 2007 then the correct description is 'hopeless'.

Risk aversion carried to the nth. Nelson must be quivering with rage !

ORAC 7th August 2019 13:45

https://nationalinterest.org/blog/bu...t-hormuz-71661

Iran and Russia: Getting Ready to Hold Joint-Naval Drills in the Strait of Hormuz

https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/ori...ounter-us.html

WE Branch Fanatic 7th August 2019 22:51

Capt Kremmen

Just a question - what would you have done, in a RIB and armed with a SA80 and a 9mm pistol, when IRGCN boats armed with 12.7mm and 14.5mm Heavy Machine Guns surround you?

If you are interested - the Fulton report was released under the Freedom of Information Act.

Capt Kremmen 8th August 2019 10:20

I'm not exactly an 'armchair warrior'. I'm a former member of No. 40 Commando and my actions would not have included the pathetic act of surrender that, when it became known, was so damaging to the international reputation of specifically our navy and generally our armed forces.

Resolution, linked to a clear cut extraction plan appeared to be lacking. Thank you for the link.

SASless 8th August 2019 12:51

My t thoughts go towards how did the RIB crew(s) come to find themselves in that predicament to begin with.

It is plain....they did not have the back-up support needed to ensure their safety.

Considering the situation, past conduct by the Iranians....going down with the ship with guns ablaze certainly was not the ending this situation demanded or would be be expected.

I did like the comment in the Report about "overly complex SOP's".

For the Captain....taking a hard line begins at 10 Downing Street and not on the Deck of a RIB in contested waters with a small boat crew with no backup.


Capt Kremmen 8th August 2019 16:52

The only SOP that really mattered on this occasion was the one that says that under no circumstances do you ever surrender your command. The reality of the situation was that it made our navy a laughing stock and encouraged the Iranians in the belief that they could very effectively continue tweaking the lion's tail.

That is the situation that still prevails. The inquiry report revealed a preoccupation with legal matters bordering on the obsessive. That is perhaps all very well if everyone is singing from the same hymn book, that, however is almost always never the case.

If one expects to be taken seriously - militarily that is - then situations that have a potential for robust threats need a robust response. Then you get taken seriously. 10, Downing St. isn't in the firing line when hard choices have to be made very quickly.





dead_pan 8th August 2019 17:22

Having a 'clear cut extraction plan' is all well and good if you're not out-manoeuvred by your opponent (or if they bend the rules) - they're not stupid, after all. They made the right choice not to try and fight their way out. To have done so would have been futile and could well have risked the lives of more of our servicemen.

Re our naval presence + posture in the Gulf, if it's any consolation to those who think we've been humiliated, even the US appears to be reluctant to get involved in a shooting war with Iran.

SASless 8th August 2019 17:32

Captain, Absolutely well said and clearly stated!

To do other than as they did....would. have required a White Head Band with the Union Jack affixed to the front....to make it a proper ritual suicide if they had fought. back only to die before surrender.

That would have accomplished nothing but the death of good people doing their Duty....when others more Senior to them had not done their own Duty.

WE Branch Fanatic 8th August 2019 21:02

Captain K

Who surrendered their command? The boarding party in the two RIBs? Are you really suggesting a suicidal firefight against things such as Heavy Machine Guns was the way forward? It was not combat. It was board and search. They lost situational awareness, and walked into a trap.You will be unsuprised to hear that much soul searching followed, and many changes were implemented.

How does this relate to current activities in the Strait of Hormuz?

Asturias56 8th August 2019 22:16

Capt. - are you REALLY suggesting you'd be willing to sacrifice your own life (and maybe those of your mates) in a stupid face off in a muddy creek in S Iraq/Iran for nothing other than the "reputation of the Service"?

Knowing that every officer and politician above you would disavow your action and do their damnedest to make sure you were totally forgotten??

If so I think its better for everyone, especially your friends and family, that you no longer are in the military

Capt Kremmen 9th August 2019 10:07

Investment ín the development, planning, construction and maintenance of a countries armed forces requires that those forces present, apart from offensive capability, a realistic and believable defence threat. In other words, a credible deterrent.

That deterrent value, was, in the incident under discussion, swiftly swept away by the Iranians who then went on their national TV network to expose RN personnel to further ridicule and derision.

At no point in this discussion have I suggested that a short range exchange of small arms fire would have provided an immediate solution. Those here that think I have, are ahead of themselves. I do not believe that the Iranians would first have opened fire. That wasn't necessary - they had read the situation all too well.

In the absence of any close support, all our people could do was maintain a separation and withdraw. Any moves by the Iranians towards a forcible arrest could then have been met with an appropriate response and one that required a demonstration of resolution and determination.

It seems that judged by the content of some of the criticisms aimed at me that appeasement still enjoys a certain popularity.

SASless 9th August 2019 12:07

The US Navy had a similar event.....with two boat crews.

The Iranians gained a propaganda advantage and we lost face in the process.

No one got killed or wounded although some careers took a bit of a detour.

At some point this game is going to take a turn for the bad and some good people are going to die.

When that happens....I pray that our response is immediate, over-whelming, and decisive.

We can look back to the initial attacks on the Falklands where the Royal Marines gave a good account of themselves but confronted with absolutely no hope of winning.....did the right thing and laid down their arms.

It was not an easy thing for them to do but they did what was necessary and lived to fight another day.


dead_pan 10th August 2019 01:15


Investment ín the development, planning, construction and maintenance of a countries armed forces requires that those forces present, apart from offensive capability, a realistic and believable defence threat. In other words, a credible deterrent.
Hmm, but given our current financial limitations do you think Joe public will be willing for our govt to lavish money on new frigates etc to protect shipping in the Gulf? I'd contend they'd prefer us to get the deal with Iran back on track and spend the money on hospitals, adult social care etc instead. From your language I guess you read the Daily Mail and spend a little too much time reminiscing with your mates down the Legion. I guess you must be furious with Trump's love-in with fat Kim, yes?

Asturias56 10th August 2019 11:42

You could make a start by paying the Iranians the money you owe them for the Challenger tanks - an issue which still irritates the hell out of the mullahs but, oddly enough, is never mentioned in the British Press........................

skydiver69 10th August 2019 13:52


Originally Posted by Asturias56 (Post 10541709)
You could make a start by paying the Iranians the money you owe them for the Challenger tanks - an issue which still irritates the hell out of the mullahs but, oddly enough, is never mentioned in the British Press........................

It has been mentioned a few times recently, often when there is a story about Nazarene Zaghari Ratcliffe and the suggestion that repaying the money might ease the path to her release.

Capt Kremmen 10th August 2019 14:07

Deadpan

As a maritime trading nation, if you haven't got enough frigates to protect your trade routes then it might be that new hospitals and social care come way down the list. The balance of your comment is foolish and pointless guesswork and wide of the mark..

dead_pan 10th August 2019 16:40

Captain - so what size of surface fleet would you propose we maintain? Given half our trade currently comes from Europe, how many frigates do you suggest we position in the Channel?

Fact of the matter is the world is a much different place to it was in the latter half of the 20th century - the playing field is much more level, and smaller nations like the UK can't project power like we once could.

Capt Kremmen 10th August 2019 18:33

I don't see a huge amount or even a mere trickle of crude oil, iron ore, bauxite or other bulk commodities coming directly from the EU. I do though see transferred liberal quantities of overpriced foodstuffs courtesy of CAP guaranteed prices to French farmers. Presumably if hostilities haven't commenced in Europe then all will use the Channel Tunnel thus obviating the need for any gunboats - They could though do sterling work picking up Iranian channel swimmers who seem to have been persuaded that the pleasantries of life in GB exceeds that in their native land.

"the world is a much different place..". Human nature doesn't change. It still respects strength. There are three elements essential to the international projection of power: The will to do so, confidence, and well balanced and adequately sized and resourced military forces. Two out of three won't do it. If you believe you can, you will. If you believe you can't you won't.

Asturias56 11th August 2019 07:51

"Projection of Power" = fighting wars all over the place

that's been a spectacular success since 1990 I don't think..............

racedo 11th August 2019 12:13


Originally Posted by Capt Kremmen (Post 10541799)
Deadpan

As a maritime trading nation, if you haven't got enough frigates to protect your trade routes then it might be that new hospitals and social care come way down the list. The balance of your comment is foolish and pointless guesswork and wide of the mark..

$1 billion warship, damaged / destroyed by 2 guys in a fibre glass boat... USS Cole.

So are warships better protected now or worse protected.




WE Branch Fanatic 11th August 2019 16:25


Originally Posted by racedo (Post 10542432)
$1 billion warship, damaged / destroyed by 2 guys in a fibre glass boat... USS Cole.

So are warships better protected now or worse protected.

But the Cole was in port - a sitting target! The force protection measures were not great.

The Royal Navy and other major navies have responded to the threat, including:

More weapons on the upper deck
Better sights
Anti FIAC drills built into sea training
0.50 Cal HMG carried by Lynx, later Merlin and now Wildcat
Better night vision equipment
Miniguns
Development of DS30M Mk2, a 30mm cannon controlled from the Operations Room (so operators not cold/wet/hot....), with an integrated Electro-Optical system, computers to predict when the target is moving to, and air bursting ammunition
0.5 Cal HMGs
Wildcat to carry Martlet - a maritime vesrion of the Lightweight Multirole Missile intended to engage small boat type targets (Wildcat HM2 can carry ten)
Experiments with a ship launched version of Martlet
Better and more EO systems to detect and track small craft

.....and other things such as training and tactics, and increased awareness of the maritime domain.

SASless 11th August 2019 17:36


$1 billion warship, damaged / destroyed by 2 guys in a fibre glass boat... USS Cole.
The same USS Cole that was transported to a repair facility and put back into service and currently serving in Operations at sea....that USS Cole?


https://www.public.navy.mil/surflant...s/default.aspx

racedo 11th August 2019 18:54


Originally Posted by SASless (Post 10542607)
The same USS Cole that was transported to a repair facility and put back into service and currently serving in Operations at sea....that USS Cole?


https://www.public.navy.mil/surflant...s/default.aspx

Oh I am aware of it went back into service after $1/4 billion repair. It was a new ship by the time in effect with everything that needed to be done and it was 18 months out of service. It was destroyed by a $200 boat with C4. Next time they wouldn't get that close but next time they may be using something else like lots of RPGs or something a bit bigger.

My comment directed at the view that UK MOD should spent £1 billion on a ship to project power a $200 piece of armament takes it out.

Capt Kremmen 11th August 2019 19:21

Yes, and that is likely to happen again unless the vessels sentry systems are awake. The threat level is ramped up if the pirates think that they are liable - for one reason or another - to escape with their lives - others won't care either way.

Perhaps a part answer might be an exclusion zone of around 1,000 yards with the ship at the center. Any suspicious object entering gets a warning, maybe two. Then obliteration.

It's pretty certain that a determined attacker will be effective. Even a drone with a pound of Semtex strapped to its underside will create more than a big bang.

dead_pan 12th August 2019 01:56


well balanced and adequately sized and resourced military forces
Good luck with that in the current climate.

I think someone suggested previously that a far cheaper and easier option would be to re-flag any British commercial shipping entering the straights under a flag of convenience. We've got enough tin-pot tax havens under our jurisdiction which no doubt would be more than happy to oblige.

Weird how it appears to have gone quiet in that neck of the woods. News cycle moved on? Back channels being explored?


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